Matches › 2022/23

Aberdeen 2–0 Hearts

Sunday 16 October 2022, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 11 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 14,711

Aberdeen Duk 74', Besuijen 79'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Aberdeen	Hearts
Goals	2	0
xG	1.73	1.36
Expected Points	1.63	1.10

Aberdeen 45%Draw 28%Hearts 27%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Final score 2–0, 6%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenHearts

1.73 +0.09xG1.36 +0.05

2.18 +0.38xG on target0.50 −0.70

16 +2Shots13 +1

5 +0.4Shots on target3 −1.4

4 +1.3Big chances2 −0.1

28 +4Touches in the opposition box14 −5

41% −14Possession59% +9

278 −141Passes417 +10

68% −10Pass accuracy74% +2

44% −3Field tilt56% +9

31 −13Final-third entries29 −6

14 +3Box entries5 −6

13.5 0Passes per defensive action11.3 −4

4 −1.1Corners1 −3.2

21 +7Tackles15 −3

7 −1.8Interceptions7 −1.1

17 −4Clearances18 +3

3 0.0Saves3 −0.4

11 +1Fouls16 +5

4 +2.7Offsides1 +0.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Aberdeen

Hearts

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenHearts

1.52 11 shots, 2 goalsOpen play1.28 10 shots, 0 goals

0.22 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.08 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–02–0

Level: 77 min (79%) · Aberdeen 1.30, Hearts 1.29 xG
Aberdeen ahead: 20 min (21%) · Aberdeen 0.43, Hearts 0.07 xG

Line-ups

Aberdeen substitutes

70' Besuijen for Clarkson · goal 79'
81' Watkins for Duk
87' Kennedy for MacKenzie

Hearts substitutes

10' Neilson for Halliday
82' Smith for Forrest
82' Haring for Snodgrass · off 90'
90' Grant for Haring · yellow card 90+4'

Players

Aberdeen

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Roos	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.05	6	2
McCrorie	CB	90			0.04	0.47	2	0.24	7	6
Stewart	CB	90			0.17	0.00	0	0.04	3	10
Scales	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	11
Richardson	RWB	90			0.00	0.01	0	−0.04	3	1
Barron	CM	90			0.05	0.13	1	0.18	5	7
Ramadani	CM	90		1	0.02	0.17	1	0.03	1	5
Clarkson	CM	70			0.00	0.16	2	0.10	2	1
MacKenzie	LWB	87			0.06	0.01	0	0.02	1	1
Miovski	ST	90			0.43	0.02	3	0.04	1	1
Duk	ST	81	1	1	0.57	0.15	3	0.37	5	1
Besuijen	FW	20	1		0.39	0.01	0	0.02	1	0
Watkins	FW	9			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Kennedy	MF	3			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Hearts

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Gordon	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	1
Cochrane	CB	90	0.46	0.11	2	0.17	3	5
Sibbick	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.07	7	5
Kingsley	CB	90	0.00	0.16	2	0.13	6	9
Forrest	RWB	82	0.05	0.01	0	0.03	6	2
Snodgrass	CM	82	0.03	0.06	1	0.10	4	6
Kiomourtzoglou	CM	90	0.03	0.01	0	0.01	4	3
Halliday	LWB	10	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
McKay	AM	90	0.03	0.02	0	0.02	4	0
Humphrys	ST	90	0.11	0.01	0	0.03	2	1
Shankland	ST	90	0.65	0.03	2	0.05	0	2
Neilson	DF	80	0.00	0.00	0	0.06	4	9
Smith	MF	8	0.00	0.00	1	0.01	1	0
Haring	MF	8	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Grant	MF	0	0.00	0.00	0	−0.02	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

From	To	Passes
MacKenzie	Clarkson	8
Stewart	McCrorie	7
McCrorie	Roos	7
Barron	McCrorie	7
Scales	Roos	6

Hearts

From	To	Passes
Sibbick	Kingsley	14
Kingsley	Sibbick	12
Sibbick	Neilson	11
Sibbick	Snodgrass	9
Neilson	Sibbick	9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

Against its average of 9 matches

Hearts

Against its average of 9 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

Hearts

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Aberdeen
Top six	69%	78%	+9
11th	2%	1%	−1
Hearts
Top six	77%	71%	−6
11th	1%	2%	+1

From the forecast before the match (16 October 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Aberdeen	Hearts
Expected goals	1.42	1.08
Win	44%	28%
Expected Points	1.61	1.12
Clean sheet	34%	24%

Aberdeen 44%Draw 28%Hearts 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 51%.

From the forecast as it stood on 16 October 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Aberdeen win	Draw	Hearts win
Aberdeen
Top six	69%	78%	66%	56%
11th	2%	1%	2%	3%
Hearts
Top six	77%	71%	78%	87%
11th	1%	2%	1%	1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

Hearts

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Aberdeen	Hearts
Position	7th	6th
Played	9	9
Won, drawn, lost	4–⁠1–⁠4	4–⁠2–⁠3
Points	13 (1.44 per game)	14 (1.56 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.42	1.14
Goals	18–⁠15	15–⁠14
xG per game	1.64–⁠1.48	1.31–⁠1.68
Home: points, xG per game	2.25, 2.78–⁠1.16	2.25, 1.68–⁠1.34
Away: points, xG per game	0.80, 0.73–⁠1.73	1.00, 1.01–⁠1.95
Manager	Barry Robson (1)	Robbie Neilson (47)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Aberdeen		Hearts
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+14%	−8%	+18%	+47%
Counter-attacks	+105%	+26%	−66%	−36%
Set pieces	−12%	+48%	−21%	+26%
Penalties	+224%	+143%	−19%	−19%
Headers	+52%	+24%	−12%	+31%
Left side	−19%	−23%	+5%	+36%
Centre	+20%	+3%	+9%	+34%
Right side	+30%	+40%	+2%	+49%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdHearts concededLeft side−19%+49%Centre+20%+34%Right side+30%+36%Open play+14%+47%Counter-attacks+105%−36%Set pieces−12%+26%Headers+52%+31%

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdAberdeen concededLeft side+5%+40%Centre+9%+3%Right side+2%−23%Open play+18%−8%Counter-attacks−66%+26%Set pieces−21%+48%Headers−12%+24%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenHearts

1.64xG1.31

1.48xG against1.68

55%Possession50%

13.7Shots11.7

13.0Shots against14.3

4.6Shots on target4.4

2.7Big chances2.1

24.0Touches in the opposition box19.1

419Passes407

78%Pass accuracy73%

5.1Corners4.2

47%Field tilt47%

44.2Final-third entries34.7

11.3Box entries11.0

13.8Passes per defensive action15.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	36	1.25	1.13
Ahead	29	2.76	1.32
Behind	25	0.88	2.19

Hearts

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	26	2.26	1.47
Ahead	33	1.27	1.94
Behind	32	0.57	1.59

xG by period

Aberdeen

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.09	0.15	1–1
16–30	0.27	0.16	3–2
31–45	0.36	0.28	5–3
46–60	0.27	0.26	3–3
61–75	0.34	0.26	3–4
76–90	0.32	0.37	3–2

Hearts

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.21	0.15	1–3
16–30	0.22	0.24	3–2
31–45	0.24	0.26	1–0
46–60	0.22	0.32	3–3
61–75	0.14	0.31	2–1
76–90	0.28	0.40	5–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-2 (3)

Hearts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 3-4-3 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
2 March 2022	Hearts	2–0	Aberdeen	xG 1.15–0.92
30 October 2021	Aberdeen	2–1	Hearts	xG 1.11–0.95
22 August 2021	Hearts	1–1	Aberdeen	xG 1.17–0.54

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 1, Hearts won 1, and 1 was a draw. Goals 3–4 and xG 0.86–1.09 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Miovski	9	727	7	0	0.86	0.03
Besuijen	9	700	2	0	0.18	0.22
Hayes	9	750	1	3	0.11	0.15
Richardson	9	789	0	0	0.06	0.14

Hearts

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Shankland	6	571	4	2	0.52	0.06
Forrest	7	553	3	0	0.31	0.08
McKay	7	624	2	1	0.13	0.19
Smith	6	543	0	0	0.09	0.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.