Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Celtic 1–0 Aberdeen

Saturday 27 February 2021, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 30 · Half-time 1–0

Celtic Edouard 8'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticAberdeen
Goals10
xG1.331.15
Expected Points1.491.18

Celtic 38%Draw 34%Aberdeen 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 22%. Final score 1–0, 10%.

Aberdeen goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+5%8%4%1%10%10%2%6%12%7%2%2%4%2%22%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTElyounoussi on for Klimala, 65'Soro on for Turnbull, 78'Hendry on for Campbell, 60'Kennedy on for McLennan, 77'McGeouch on for McGinn, 90+2'Edouard 8'Celtic 1.33Aberdeen 1.1500.511.50153045607590HTElyounoussi on for Klimala, 65'Soro on for Turnbull, 78'Hendry on for Campbell, 60'Kennedy on for McLennan, 77'McGeouch on for McGinn, 90+2'Edouard 8'1.331.15CelticAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticAberdeen

1.33 −0.62xG1.15 −0.05
0.19 −1.90xG on target0.94 −0.20
12 −6Shots9 −2
3 −3.4Shots on target3 −0.5
1 −1.5Big chances1 −0.4
29 0Touches in the opposition box22 +2
69% +2Possession31% −20
661 +75Passes279 −124
86% +1Pass accuracy64% −7
81% +8Field tilt19% −33
57 −9Final-third entries28 −8
15 −2.0Box entries3 −6.7
10.0 0Passes per defensive action19.3 +6
7 +1.0Corners4 −0.5
12 −1Tackles25 +13
8 −2Interceptions17 +7
21 +5Clearances20 0
2 +0.4Saves2 −0.1
8 −4Fouls17 +3
0 −1.2Offsides1 −0.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Klimala 20', 0.62 xGKlimala 29', 0.17 xGEdouard 90+1', 0.11 xGTurnbull 14', 0.06 xGMcGregor 24', 0.06 xGTurnbull 35', 0.05 xGMcGregor 89', 0.05 xGChristie 32', 0.04 xGEdouard 50', 0.04 xGMcGregor 83', 0.04 xGMcGregor 84', 0.04 xGEdouard 8', 0.04 xG, goal47%0.62 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.62 xG, 0 goals24%0.32 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.32 xG, 0 goals9%0.12 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals16%0.21 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.21 xG, 1 goal4%0.05 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Taylor 5', 0.57 xGMcGinn 58', 0.14 xGMcGinn 86', 0.09 xGTaylor 52', 0.07 xGConsidine 72', 0.07 xGTaylor 5', 0.06 xGMcCrorie 13', 0.05 xGHoban 5', 0.04 xGTaylor 72', 0.04 xG56%0.64 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.64 xG, 0 goals40%0.46 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.46 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals4%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticAberdeen

1.17 10 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.29 3 shots, 0 goals
0.11 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.05 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.86 6 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
8 min (9%) · Celtic 0.04, Aberdeen 0.68 xG
Celtic ahead
84 min (91%) · Celtic 1.29, Aberdeen 0.47 xG

Line-ups

291657359314817421122BainKennyWelshAjerLaxaltTurnbullBrownChristieMcGregorKlimalaEdouardGoal78'65'Celtic 4-1-2-1-2John Kennedy1314418401924171022LewisHobanTaylorConsidineMcLennanMcCrorieFergusonCampbellHayesMcGinnKamberiYellow card77'60'90+2'Aberdeen 3-5-2Derek McInnes

Celtic substitutes

  • 65' Elyounoussi for Klimala
  • 78' Soro for Turnbull

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 60' Hendry for Campbell
  • 77' Kennedy for McLennan
  • 90+2' McGeouch for McGinn

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BainGK900.000.0000.0210
KennyRB900.000.4220.2573
WelshCB900.000.0300.14155
AjerCB900.000.0100.09612
LaxaltLB900.000.2510.21114
TurnbullDM780.110.2310.0663
BrownCM900.000.0200.0866
ChristieCM9010.040.0650.0063
McGregorAM900.190.0700.1394
KlimalaST650.790.1400.1114
EdouardST9010.200.2520.1790
ElyounoussiFW250.000.0100.0520
SoroMF120.000.0000.0111

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LewisGK900.000.0000.0470
HobanCB900.040.0000.08415
TaylorCB900.740.2210.01310
ConsidineCB900.070.0200.0749
McLennan RWB770.000.0200.1093
McCrorieCM900.050.0910.0724
FergusonCM900.000.000−0.0125
CampbellCM600.000.011−0.0218
HayesLWB900.000.000−0.01110
McGinnST900.240.6440.2430
KamberiST900.000.1710.0530
HendryFW300.000.0000.0010
KennedyMF130.000.0200.0222
McGeouchMF00.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Bain and Ajer: 7 passesChristie and Edouard: 7 passesKenny and Turnbull: 8 passesWelsh and McGregor: 9 passesMcGregor and Edouard: 9 passesBain and Welsh: 10 passesMcGregor and Christie: 10 passesKenny and Brown: 11 passesAjer and Turnbull: 12 passesWelsh and Christie: 12 passesLaxalt and Turnbull: 13 passesKenny and Welsh: 14 passesKenny and Christie: 14 passesTurnbull and Edouard: 14 passesAjer and Welsh: 15 passesLaxalt and Brown: 15 passesBrown and Turnbull: 15 passesLaxalt and Edouard: 16 passesBrown and Christie: 16 passesAjer and Brown: 19 passesAjer and Laxalt: 20 passesBrown and McGregor: 20 passesMcGregor and Turnbull: 21 passesAjer and McGregor: 23 passesWelsh and Brown: 24 passesLaxalt and McGregor: 24 passesBain: 18 completed passesKenny: 38 completed passesAjer: 59 completed passesWelsh: 49 completed passesLaxalt: 46 completed passesBrown: 68 completed passesMcGregor: 62 completed passesTurnbull: 51 completed passesChristie: 38 completed passesEdouard: 29 completed passesKlimala: 5 completed passes291635579384214172211BainKennyAjerWelshLaxaltBrownMcGregorTurnbullChristieEdouardKlimalaStarters until 65' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

Aberdeen

Lewis and Hayes: 3 passesLewis and Ferguson: 3 passesHoban and Taylor: 3 passesHoban and McLennan: 3 passesTaylor and McGinn: 3 passesMcLennan and McGinn: 3 passesHayes and Campbell: 3 passesMcCrorie and Campbell: 3 passesLewis and McCrorie: 4 passesTaylor and McLennan: 4 passesTaylor and McCrorie: 4 passesTaylor and Ferguson: 4 passesHayes and Ferguson: 4 passesCampbell and McGinn: 4 passesLewis and Considine: 5 passesConsidine and Hayes: 5 passesMcLennan and McCrorie: 5 passesFerguson and Campbell: 5 passesCampbell and Kamberi: 5 passesConsidine and Campbell: 7 passesLewis: 13 completed passesHoban: 8 completed passesTaylor: 10 completed passesConsidine: 12 completed passesMcLennan: 10 completed passesHayes: 8 completed passesMcCrorie: 10 completed passesFerguson: 13 completed passesCampbell: 14 completed passesKamberi: 6 completed passesMcGinn: 9 completed passes1314418174019242210LewisHobanTaylorConsidineMcLennanHayesMcCrorieFergusonCampbellKamberiMcGinnStarters until 60' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
McGregorLaxalt18
BrownWelsh17
AjerLaxalt15
AjerMcGregor15
BrownChristie14

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
ConsidineLewis6
TaylorMcCrorie6
McGinnTaylor5
HayesConsidine5
CampbellConsidine5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

2−2.43−1.615+5.35+1.12−2.83−4.84−2.013+8.611+3.96−2.15−0.97+1.72−1.914+9.43−3.17+2.81−3.11−2.53−1.440.05+2.920.02−0.10−2.52−0.50−0.40−0.51+0.32+1.41+0.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 30 matches

Aberdeen

8+3.016+9.911−0.23−3.31−4.09+2.315+9.010+3.34−3.75−2.08+2.64−1.02−2.24−2.27−0.15+1.54+0.66+3.55+0.53−1.73+1.32+0.44+3.12+0.10−3.02+1.30−0.41+0.21+0.50−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 30 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.020.010.010.020.020.020.020.030.010.060.060.020.020.090.050.050.07−0.010.030.040.100.11−0.030.240.24LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.010.030.020.010.010.010.030.060.02−0.010.050.010.040.01−0.020.070.27LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.16AttackCeltic1.77 → 1.74Aberdeen1.06 → 1.05Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.80 → 0.79Aberdeen0.99 → 0.97

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticAberdeen
Expected goals1.570.75
Win56%17%
Expected Points1.960.78
Clean sheet47%21%

Celtic 56%Draw 26%Aberdeen 17%

Most likely score 1–0, 15%. Both sides score 42%.

Aberdeen goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+10%7%3%4%1%9%3%6%5%2%2%2%15%12%12%

From the forecast as it stood on 27 February 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Celtic

  1. L0–121 FebRoss County (A)xG 2.31–0.98
  2. W1–017 FebAberdeen (H)xG 0.98–0.43
  3. W2–114 FebSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.44–0.30
  4. W4–010 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.57–0.57
  5. W2–16 FebMotherwell (H)xG 1.57–0.42
  6. W4–02 FebKilmarnock (A)xG 2.13–1.87

Aberdeen

  1. W1–020 FebKilmarnock (H)xG 1.14–0.88
  2. L0–117 FebCeltic (A)xG 0.43–0.98
  3. D0–013 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.51–0.66
  4. L0–26 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.54–2.26
  5. L0–22 FebLivingston (H)xG 0.36–0.56
  6. D0–030 JanLivingston (A)xG 1.38–0.98

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticAberdeen
Position2nd4th
Played3030
Won, drawn, lost19–⁠7–⁠413–⁠9–⁠8
Points64 (2.13 per game)48 (1.60 per game)
Expected Points per game1.981.49
Goals64–⁠2332–⁠29
xG per game1.95–⁠0.931.20–⁠0.99
Home: points, xG per game2.20, 1.75–⁠0.871.88, 1.26–⁠1.04
Away: points, xG per game2.07, 2.15–⁠1.001.29, 1.13–⁠0.93
ManagerJohn Kennedy (0)Derek McInnes (30)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.16AttackCeltic1.77, 2ndAberdeen1.06, 6thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.80, 2ndAberdeen0.99, 3rd

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0SepOctNovDecJanFebCeltic attack: 1.77Aberdeen attack: 1.061.771.06AberdeenCelticDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0SepOctNovDecJanFebCeltic defence: 0.80Aberdeen defence: 0.990.990.80

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+73%−40%−15%−24%
Counter-attacks+119%−66%+23%−34%
Set pieces+6%+2%−4%−38%
Penalties+34%−4%+34%+34%
Headers−11%−11%−6%−45%
Left side+59%−25%+1%−12%
Centre+52%−23%−12%−46%
Right side+59%−44%−17%−15%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdAberdeen concededLeft side+59%−15%Centre+52%−46%Right side+59%−12%Open play+73%−24%Counter-attacks+119%−34%Set pieces+6%−38%Headers−11%−45%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdCeltic concededLeft side+1%−44%Centre−12%−23%Right side−17%−25%Open play−15%−40%Counter-attacks+23%−66%Set pieces−4%+2%Headers−6%−11%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticAberdeen

1.95xG1.20
0.93xG against0.99
66%Possession51%
17.8Shots11.4
8.5Shots against9.7
6.4Shots on target3.5
2.5Big chances1.4
29.2Touches in the opposition box20.2
586Passes403
84%Pass accuracy71%
6.0Corners4.5
74%Field tilt52%
66.1Final-third entries35.7
17.0Box entries9.7
10.0Passes per defensive action13.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.720.96
Ahead392.210.99
Behind101.870.59

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.240.92
Ahead251.301.12
Behind211.000.99

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.210.127–3
16–300.270.1411–3
31–450.340.097–3
46–600.400.1812–5
61–750.330.218–5
76–900.400.1919–4

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.270.125–6
16–300.130.205–6
31–450.210.177–4
46–600.180.156–6
61–750.160.143–3
76–900.250.226–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBarkas 13Bain 12Hazard 5Frimpong 14Kenny 6Ajer 4Duffy 13Bitton 9Jullien 9Ajer 22Taylor 16Laxalt 9Edouard 2Soro 10Brown 9Christie 4McGregor 27Turnbull 3Ntcham 2Christie 10Frimpong 4Brown 3Turnbull 11Rogic 4Ntcham 4Edouard 10Elyounoussi 8Taylor 3Edouard 7Ajeti 7Griffiths 74-2-3-1 in 13 of 30 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (13), 4-1-3-2 (5), 3-5-2 (4), 4-1-2-1-2 (3), 4-4-2 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTLewis 30Hoban 26McCrorie 3Hayes 3Taylor 27McKenna 4Considine 27Kennedy 8Hedges 7McLennan 5Ferguson 21Kennedy 2Wright 1McCrorie 17Campbell 7Ojo 5Hayes 17Kennedy 6Leigh 5Hedges 12Ferguson 5McCrorie 2Wright 12McGinn 4Kennedy 4Main 7Cosgrove 6Hornby 53-4-2-1 in 9 of 30 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (9), 3-4-1-2 (8), 3-4-3 (5), 3-5-2 (3), 3-5-1-1 (2), 4-4-1-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
17 February 2021Celtic1–0AberdeenxG 0.98–0.43
25 October 2020Aberdeen3–3CelticxG 2.76–2.04

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 1, Aberdeen won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 4–3 and xG 1.51–1.59 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Edouard201,7341520.830.18
Griffiths7650520.480.16
Elyounoussi141,179720.490.11
Christie201,818470.300.29

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Main8709200.390.09
Watkins9732210.330.07
Wright141,132210.220.16
Cosgrove9853300.330.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.