Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Aberdeen 1–1 Celtic

Wednesday 21 April 2021, 19:45 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 35 · Half-time 1–0

Aberdeen Ferguson 17'

Celtic Griffiths 90+3'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenCeltic
Goals11
xG1.522.87
Expected Points0.592.21

Aberdeen 13%Draw 20%Celtic 67%

Most likely score 1–3, 11%. Final score 1–1, 6%.

Celtic goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+1%2%3%2%1%6%8%4%2%1%5%6%3%2%1%3%3%2%10%11%9%9%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTRamsay on for McCrorie, 15'MacKenzie on for McGinn and McGeouch on for Hendry, 66'Rogic on for Christie and Griffiths on for Edouard, 61'Dembélé on for Brown, 80'Ferguson 17'Griffiths 90+3'Celtic 2.87Aberdeen 1.5201230153045607590HTRamsay on for McCrorie, 15'MacKenzie on for McGinn and McGeouch on for Hendry, 66'Rogic on for Christie and Griffiths on for Edouard, 61'Dembélé on for Brown, 80'Ferguson 17'Griffiths 90+3'2.871.52AberdeenCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenCeltic

1.52 +0.32xG2.87 +0.94
1.62 +0.52xG on target1.18 −0.84
9 −2Shots23 +5
4 +0.6Shots on target6 −0.7
2 +0.6Big chances5 +2.6
21 +1Touches in the opposition box36 +7
29% −22Possession71% +5
274 −127Passes670 +81
69% −2Pass accuracy88% +4
15% −36Field tilt85% +12
18 −18Final-third entries101 +36
10 +0.4Box entries18 +1.2
27.2 +13Passes per defensive action18.3 +8
4 −0.6Corners10 +3.7
14 +1Tackles12 0
6 −4.2Interceptions7 −2.9
34 +14Clearances11 −5
4 +1.9Saves3 +1.3
7 −7Fouls5 −6
1 −0.6Offsides2 +0.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Ferguson 65', 0.37 xGFerguson 20', 0.08 xGHendry 3', 0.07 xGConsidine 17', 0.06 xGFerguson 26', 0.06 xGMcGinn 28', 0.05 xGFerguson 3', 0.04 xGConsidine 3', 0.04 xGFerguson 17', 0.76 xG, goal50%0.76 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.76 xG, 1 goal39%0.60 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.60 xG, 0 goals11%0.17 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Edouard 22', 0.42 xGTurnbull 52', 0.37 xGWelsh 90+2', 0.37 xGChristie 39', 0.30 xGEdouard 20', 0.12 xGTurnbull 69', 0.11 xGBrown 39', 0.08 xGEdouard 33', 0.07 xGChristie 39', 0.07 xGElyounoussi 44', 0.07 xGTurnbull 56', 0.07 xGTurnbull 69', 0.07 xGTurnbull 11', 0.06 xGEdouard 39', 0.06 xGEdouard 45', 0.06 xGElyounoussi 53', 0.04 xGElyounoussi 76', 0.04 xGBrown 80', 0.04 xGDembélé 90+2', 0.04 xGChristie 1', 0.03 xGMcGregor 26', 0.03 xGEdouard 29', 0.03 xGGriffiths 90+3', 0.34 xG, goal22%0.64 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.64 xG, 1 goal58%1.66 xGCentral box: 10 shots, 1.66 xG, 0 goals7%0.21 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals11%0.31 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.31 xG, 0 goals2%0.05 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenCeltic

0.67 6 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.46 14 shots, 1 goal
0.85 3 shots, 1 goalSet pieces1.41 9 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
18 min (19%) · Aberdeen 0.97, Celtic 0.08 xG
Aberdeen ahead
76 min (81%) · Aberdeen 0.56, Celtic 2.79 xG

Line-ups

4340341733192410229WoodsMcCrorieHobanConsidineHayesKennedyFergusonCampbellMcGinnKamberiHendryGoal15'66'66'Aberdeen 4-4-1-1Stephen Glass2916576384217142722BainKennyWelshBittonTaylorBrownMcGregorChristieTurnbullElyounoussiEdouardYellow card80'61'61'Celtic 4-2-3-1John Kennedy

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 15' Ramsay for McCrorie
  • 66' MacKenzie for McGinn
  • 66' McGeouch for Hendry

Celtic substitutes

  • 61' Griffiths for Edouard · goal 90+3'
  • 61' Rogic for Christie
  • 80' Dembélé for Brown

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WoodsGK900.000.0000.0230
McCrorieRB150.000.0310.0710
HobanCB900.000.0000.02212
ConsidineCB9010.090.0010.0108
HayesLB900.000.0610.231112
KennedyRM900.000.0410.0648
FergusonCM9011.300.0300.0936
CampbellCM900.000.0000.0116
McGinnLM660.050.0820.0330
KamberiAM900.000.0100.0173
HendryST660.070.0000.0001
RamsayDF750.000.0200.0443
MacKenzieDF240.000.0000.0001
McGeouchMF240.000.0000.0002

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BainGK900.000.0000.0100
KennyRB900.000.1220.1054
WelshCB900.370.0300.20164
BittonCB900.000.0200.1486
TaylorLB900.000.0910.0882
BrownDM800.120.0700.12105
McGregorDM900.030.1610.22114
ChristieRW610.400.2320.0332
Turnbull AM900.660.7550.2452
ElyounoussiLW9010.150.5620.3162
EdouardST610.760.1010.1630
GriffithsFW2910.340.041−0.0700
RogicFW290.000.0200.0111
DembéléFW100.040.001−0.0120

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Kenny and Christie: 7 passesBitton and Brown: 7 passesWelsh and Turnbull: 7 passesTurnbull and Elyounoussi: 7 passesKenny and Turnbull: 8 passesMcGregor and Edouard: 8 passesBain and Welsh: 9 passesKenny and Welsh: 9 passesTurnbull and Edouard: 9 passesBitton and Taylor: 10 passesBitton and Elyounoussi: 10 passesMcGregor and Turnbull: 10 passesChristie and Turnbull: 11 passesWelsh and McGregor: 12 passesBrown and Christie: 12 passesMcGregor and Elyounoussi: 12 passesBitton and McGregor: 14 passesTaylor and Turnbull: 14 passesTaylor and Elyounoussi: 14 passesBain and Bitton: 15 passesWelsh and Christie: 16 passesBrown and Turnbull: 16 passesTaylor and McGregor: 17 passesWelsh and Brown: 19 passesBrown and McGregor: 19 passesBitton and Welsh: 30 passesBain: 16 completed passesKenny: 22 completed passesBitton: 49 completed passesWelsh: 56 completed passesTaylor: 39 completed passesBrown: 47 completed passesMcGregor: 53 completed passesChristie: 31 completed passesTurnbull: 42 completed passesElyounoussi: 22 completed passesEdouard: 15 completed passes2916657384217142722BainKennyBittonWelshTaylorBrownMcGregorChristieTurnbullElyounoussiEdouardStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
WoodsKamberi7
HayesKamberi7
KamberiCampbell6
CampbellWoods5
KennedyRamsay5

Celtic

FromToPasses
WelshBitton26
BittonWelsh26
TaylorMcGregor20
TaylorElyounoussi18
BittonMcGregor17

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

4−1.112+5.827+15.55−1.25−0.17+0.49+2.46−0.84−4.07−0.34−1.33−2.03−1.27+0.910+2.81−2.42−1.30−2.72−2.33−1.64+1.90−1.60−1.01−0.92−0.82+1.20−0.40−0.80−0.50−0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 34 matches

Celtic

6+1.83−1.48−2.06+1.85+0.54−2.22−2.75−1.97−1.14−1.91−4.33−0.85−0.25−1.26+1.81−2.73−0.45+0.740.04+1.70−2.120.02−0.20−2.50−0.40−0.52+1.32+1.41+0.22−5.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 34 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.010.010.020.010.030.010.010.030.03−0.01−0.020.05−0.01−0.030.01−0.010.080.100.090.11LessMore

Celtic

0.010.010.040.020.030.010.020.070.040.070.030.070.150.070.100.09−0.030.110.050.220.07−0.15−0.010.050.41LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackAberdeen1.02 → 1.05Celtic1.76 → 1.79Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen0.94 → 0.97Celtic0.74 → 0.78

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenCeltic
Expected goals0.731.42
Win19%53%
Expected Points0.841.88
Clean sheet24%48%

Aberdeen 19%Draw 28%Celtic 53%

Most likely score 0–1, 16%. Both sides score 40%.

Celtic goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+6%2%8%9%4%1%3%4%3%1%1%12%16%12%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 21 April 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. W1–010 AprSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.26–1.39
  2. L0–120 MarDundee United (A)xG 0.47–0.46
  3. D0–06 MarHamilton Academical (H)xG 1.97–0.51
  4. L0–127 FebCeltic (A)xG 1.15–1.33
  5. W1–020 FebKilmarnock (H)xG 1.14–0.88
  6. L0–117 FebCeltic (A)xG 0.43–0.98

Celtic

  1. W6–010 AprLivingston (H)xG 2.83–0.79
  2. D1–121 MarRangers (H)xG 1.33–0.83
  3. D0–07 MarDundee United (A)xG 1.77–0.51
  4. W1–027 FebAberdeen (H)xG 1.33–1.15
  5. L0–121 FebRoss County (A)xG 2.31–0.98
  6. W1–017 FebAberdeen (H)xG 0.98–0.43

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenCeltic
Position4th2nd
Played3434
Won, drawn, lost14–⁠10–⁠1021–⁠9–⁠4
Points52 (1.53 per game)72 (2.12 per game)
Expected Points per game1.501.99
Goals33–⁠3172–⁠24
xG per game1.20–⁠0.981.93–⁠0.92
Home: points, xG per game1.82, 1.30–⁠1.012.22, 1.76–⁠0.88
Away: points, xG per game1.24, 1.10–⁠0.952.00, 2.12–⁠0.97
ManagerStephen Glass (1)John Kennedy (4)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackAberdeen1.02, 7thCeltic1.76, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen0.94, 3rdCeltic0.74, 2nd

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprAberdeen attack: 1.02Celtic attack: 1.761.761.02CelticAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprAberdeen defence: 0.94Celtic defence: 0.740.940.74

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−13%−24%+76%−42%
Counter-attacks+25%−32%+111%−54%
Set pieces−1%−35%+3%+6%
Penalties+20%+20%+20%−14%
Headers+2%−48%−1%−4%
Left side+6%−9%+56%−26%
Centre−11%−45%+52%−22%
Right side−15%−14%+65%−44%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdCeltic concededLeft side+6%−44%Centre−11%−22%Right side−15%−26%Open play−13%−42%Counter-attacks+25%−54%Set pieces−1%+6%Headers+2%−4%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdAberdeen concededLeft side+56%−14%Centre+52%−45%Right side+65%−9%Open play+76%−24%Counter-attacks+111%−32%Set pieces+3%−35%Headers−1%−48%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenCeltic

1.20xG1.93
0.98xG against0.92
51%Possession66%
11.3Shots17.8
9.8Shots against8.4
3.4Shots on target6.7
1.4Big chances2.4
20.1Touches in the opposition box29.4
401Passes589
71%Pass accuracy84%
4.6Corners6.3
51%Field tilt74%
35.5Final-third entries65.5
9.6Box entries16.8
14.0Passes per defensive action10.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.290.89
Ahead231.301.15
Behind220.920.99

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.700.93
Ahead392.190.99
Behind91.870.59

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.260.135–7
16–300.150.205–6
31–450.200.177–4
46–600.200.147–6
61–750.160.133–4
76–900.230.226–4

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.200.138–3
16–300.300.1213–3
31–450.350.098–4
46–600.390.1914–5
61–750.310.209–5
76–900.370.1920–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTLewis 34Hoban 29Hayes 3McCrorie 3Taylor 30McKenna 4Considine 31Kennedy 8Hedges 7McLennan 6Ferguson 22McGeouch 4Kennedy 2McCrorie 19Campbell 10Ojo 5Hayes 19Kennedy 6Leigh 5Hedges 10Wright 9Ferguson 8Cosgrove 9Watkins 7Hornby 5Main 8Kamberi 7Hayes 53-4-1-2 in 9 of 34 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (9), 3-4-2-1 (9), 3-4-3 (5), 3-5-2 (4), 4-4-1-1 (3), 3-5-1-1 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBain 16Barkas 13Hazard 5Frimpong 14Kenny 10Ajer 4Duffy 13Welsh 11Bitton 9Ajer 26Taylor 17Laxalt 12Edouard 2Brown 10Soro 10Turnbull 6McGregor 30Ntcham 2Forrest 1Christie 11Brown 5Forrest 4Turnbull 12Brown 4Christie 4Edouard 12Elyounoussi 10Taylor 3Edouard 9Ajeti 7Griffiths 74-2-3-1 in 14 of 34 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (14), 4-1-3-2 (5), 4-1-2-1-2 (4), 3-5-2 (4), 4-3-3 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
27 February 2021Celtic1–0AberdeenxG 1.33–1.15
17 February 2021Celtic1–0AberdeenxG 0.98–0.43
25 October 2020Aberdeen3–3CelticxG 2.76–2.04

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 0, Celtic won 2, and 1 was a draw. Goals 3–5 and xG 1.45–1.45 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McGinn10871010.190.36
Main8709200.390.09
Watkins9732210.330.07
Wright141,132210.220.16

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Edouard242,0711640.740.21
Elyounoussi171,4481030.530.12
Griffiths7672520.490.16
Turnbull211,710750.240.38

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.