Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Celtic 2–1 Aberdeen

Sunday 28 November 2021, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 15 · Half-time 1–1 · Attendance 58,469

Celtic Jota 20', McGregor 60'

Aberdeen Ferguson 33' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticAberdeen
Goals21
xG2.310.85
Non-penalty xG2.310.07
Expected Points2.410.38

Celtic 74%Draw 20%Aberdeen 6%

Most likely score 2–1, 23%. Final score 2–1, 23%.

Aberdeen goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+1%4%4%1%6%2%5%1%2%9%3%17%23%18%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTForrest on for Abada, 62'Johnston on for Jota, 83'Ajeti on for Furuhashi, 90+4'Campbell on for McGeouch, 49'Jenks on for Watkins and Samuels on for Brown, 66'Jota 20'McGregor 60'Ferguson 33' (pen)Celtic 2.31Aberdeen 0.8501230153045607590HTForrest on for Abada, 62'Johnston on for Jota, 83'Ajeti on for Furuhashi, 90+4'Campbell on for McGeouch, 49'Jenks on for Watkins and Samuels on for Brown, 66'Jota 20'McGregor 60'Ferguson 33' (pen)2.310.85CelticAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticAberdeen

2.31 −0.16xG0.85 −0.10
2.31Non-penalty xG0.07
1.58 −0.98xG on target1.36 +0.44
20 0Shots4 −9
5 −1.8Shots on target2 −2.4
3 −1.0Big chances1 0.0
35 0Touches in the opposition box7 −11
62% −11Possession38% −20
602 −77Passes379 −72
89% +1Pass accuracy76% 0
84% +4Field tilt16% −41
75 −1Final-third entries17 −22
24 +2.3Box entries3 −6.1
15.8 +6.8Passes per defensive action22.8 +8.9
14 +5.5Corners3 −2.3
14 +2Tackles20 +9
6 −1.1Interceptions4 −5.1
16 +1Clearances32 +15
1 −0.8Saves3 +2.1
12 0Fouls10 −4
4 +2.8Offsides0 −1.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Furuhashi 90+1', 0.54 xGAbada 60', 0.50 xGJota 83', 0.16 xGTurnbull 15', 0.14 xGForrest 63', 0.08 xGRalston 74', 0.08 xGTurnbull 29', 0.07 xGWelsh 42', 0.07 xGJota 56', 0.07 xGMcGregor 74', 0.06 xGMcGregor 54', 0.05 xGMcGregor 45+2', 0.04 xGMcGregor 54', 0.04 xGMcGregor 68', 0.04 xGJota 20', 0.02 xGJuranovic 20', 0.02 xGTurnbull 29', 0.02 xGJuranovic 57', 0.02 xGMcGregor 60', 0.16 xG, goalJota 20', 0.12 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals74%1.71 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 1.71 xG, 2 goals14%0.33 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.33 xG, 0 goals10%0.24 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.24 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Watkins 31', 0.02 xGHayes 82', 0.02 xGFerguson 88', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals33%0.02 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals67%0.04 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticAberdeen

0.84 12 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.04 2 shots, 0 goals
0.54 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.92 7 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.02 1 shot, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
49 min (51%) · Celtic 1.24, Aberdeen 0.00 xG
Celtic ahead
47 min (49%) · Celtic 1.07, Aberdeen 0.85 xG

Line-ups

155620578814164211817HartRalstonCarter-VickersWelshJuranovicTurnbullMcCarthyMcGregorAbadaFuruhashiJotaGoalYellow cardGoal62'90+4'83'Celtic 4-3-3Ange Postecoglou12122717198151197LewisGurrMcCrorieBatesHayesFergusonBrownMcGeouchHedgesRamirezWatkinsYellow cardGoal66'49'66'Aberdeen 4-3-3Stephen Glass

Celtic substitutes

  • 62' Forrest for Abada
  • 83' Johnston for Jota · yellow card 90'
  • 90+4' Ajeti for Furuhashi

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 49' Campbell for McGeouch
  • 66' Jenks for Watkins
  • 66' Samuels for Brown

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0100
RalstonRB900.080.0420.0654
Carter-VickersCB900.000.0200.14117
WelshCB900.070.0210.1478
JuranovicLB900.040.0400.0895
TurnbullCM900.230.2230.1192
McCarthyCM900.000.5010.0522
McGregor CM90110.400.2620.1755
AbadaRW620.500.0410.0730
FuruhashiST900.540.021−0.0300
JotaLW8310.370.1420.17153
ForrestFW280.080.0810.1340
Johnston FW70.000.1410.1821
AjetiFW00.000.000––0

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LewisGK900.000.0000.0121
GurrRB900.000.0000.03310
McCrorie CB900.000.0000.0554
BatesCB900.000.0000.03313
HayesLB900.020.0100.0676
FergusonCM9010.810.0100.0217
BrownCM660.000.0000.0013
McGeouchCM490.000.1200.1722
HedgesRW900.000.0100.0138
RamirezST900.000.011−0.0205
WatkinsLW660.020.0000.0422
CampbellMF410.000.031−0.0112
JenksDF240.000.0010.0113
SamuelsFW240.000.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Welsh and Turnbull: 7 passesJuranovic and Turnbull: 7 passesMcCarthy and Turnbull: 7 passesTurnbull and Abada: 7 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 9 passesMcGregor and Turnbull: 9 passesTurnbull and Jota: 10 passesRalston and McCarthy: 11 passesRalston and Turnbull: 11 passesMcGregor and Jota: 11 passesCarter-Vickers and McCarthy: 12 passesCarter-Vickers and Turnbull: 12 passesMcCarthy and McGregor: 12 passesHart and Welsh: 13 passesRalston and Abada: 15 passesJuranovic and McCarthy: 15 passesWelsh and McGregor: 16 passesWelsh and Jota: 16 passesJuranovic and McGregor: 17 passesRalston and Carter-Vickers: 20 passesJuranovic and Jota: 21 passesWelsh and Juranovic: 24 passesCarter-Vickers and Welsh: 36 passesHart: 18 completed passesRalston: 41 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 57 completed passesWelsh: 65 completed passesJuranovic: 48 completed passesMcCarthy: 41 completed passesMcGregor: 41 completed passesTurnbull: 36 completed passesAbada: 14 completed passesFuruhashi: 4 completed passesJota: 29 completed passes155620578816421411817HartRalstonCarter-VickersWelshJuranovicMcCarthyMcGregorTurnbullAbadaFuruhashiJotaStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

Aberdeen

Lewis and Hayes: 3 passesMcCrorie and Hedges: 3 passesMcCrorie and Watkins: 3 passesHayes and Brown: 3 passesHedges and Watkins: 3 passesRamirez and Watkins: 3 passesLewis and McCrorie: 4 passesGurr and McCrorie: 4 passesBates and McCrorie: 4 passesHayes and Watkins: 4 passesBrown and Hedges: 4 passesGurr and Ferguson: 5 passesGurr and Hedges: 5 passesBrown and McGeouch: 5 passesMcCrorie and Ferguson: 6 passesFerguson and Hedges: 7 passesBates and Hayes: 8 passesBrown and Ferguson: 9 passesBates and McGeouch: 13 passesLewis: 9 completed passesGurr: 11 completed passesBates: 17 completed passesMcCrorie: 19 completed passesHayes: 11 completed passesBrown: 14 completed passesFerguson: 18 completed passesMcGeouch: 17 completed passesHedges: 13 completed passesRamirez: 3 completed passesWatkins: 6 completed passes12127217819151197LewisGurrBatesMcCrorieHayesBrownFergusonMcGeouchHedgesRamirezWatkinsStarters until 49' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
WelshCarter-Vickers30
JuranovicWelsh19
Carter-VickersWelsh19
RalstonCarter-Vickers16
WelshJuranovic15

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
HayesCampbell11
GurrMcCrorie9
HayesBates9
GurrFerguson8
FergusonMcCrorie8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

4+0.14−0.87−1.41−3.16+0.87+1.82−3.23−1.53−2.58+0.82−3.32−1.94+0.56+0.77+1.25+0.54+0.14+2.04+0.112+7.31−1.11−0.53+1.32+0.44+1.11+0.61+0.61+0.50−0.70−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 13 matches

Aberdeen

8+3.06+0.124+13.615+10.96+0.47−0.410+4.84−1.16−0.44−5.113+8.13−1.60−3.42−3.93−3.01−2.00−3.10−2.21−1.71−4.63+0.60−0.90−1.02+0.94+1.41+0.40−0.11+0.30−0.10−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 14 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.020.010.010.010.010.060.050.070.040.040.050.050.050.100.100.020.05−0.050.110.130.100.24LessMore

Aberdeen

0.030.030.020.010.040.010.020.01−0.010.01−0.01−0.010.02−0.020.020.04−0.010.19LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.21AttackCeltic2.02 → 2.04Aberdeen1.10 → 1.11Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.82 → 0.83Aberdeen1.05 → 1.06

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title35%39%+4
Aberdeen
Top six47%41%−6
11th3%4%+1
Bottom1%2%+1
Rangers
Title65%61%−4
Dundee United
Top six69%70%+1
Bottom<1%<1%0

From the forecast before the match (28 November 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticAberdeen
Expected goals1.940.72
Win66%12%
Expected Points2.190.59
Clean sheet49%14%

Celtic 66%Draw 22%Aberdeen 12%

Most likely score 2–0, 13%. Both sides score 44%.

Aberdeen goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+8%5%2%4%9%3%9%6%2%4%3%1%2%1%13%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 28 November 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawAberdeen win
Celtic
Title35%39%29%26%
Aberdeen
Top six47%41%52%67%
11th3%4%3%1%
Bottom1%2%1%<1%
Rangers
Title65%61%71%73%
Dundee United
Top six69%70%70%63%
Bottom<1%<1%<1%1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. W4–27 NovDundee FC (A)xG 1.95–0.66
  2. D0–030 OctLivingston (H)xG 1.80–0.10
  3. W3–127 OctHibernian (A)xG 2.86–1.50
  4. W2–023 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.70–0.13
  5. W2–016 OctMotherwell (A)xG 1.18–0.54
  6. W2–13 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.65–0.57

Aberdeen

  1. L0–120 NovDundee United (A)xG 0.69–0.58
  2. L0–26 NovMotherwell (H)xG 0.94–0.47
  3. W2–130 OctHearts (H)xG 1.11–0.95
  4. D2–227 OctRangers (A)xG 1.02–2.34
  5. W1–023 OctHibernian (H)xG 0.24–0.22
  6. L1–216 OctDundee FC (A)xG 0.96–0.56

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticAberdeen
Position3rd8th
Played1314
Won, drawn, lost8–⁠2–⁠34–⁠3–⁠7
Points26 (2.00 per game)15 (1.07 per game)
Expected Points per game2.371.28
Goals30–⁠915–⁠19
xG per game2.47–⁠0.630.95–⁠0.97
Home: points, xG per game2.33, 3.38–⁠0.351.43, 1.00–⁠0.74
Away: points, xG per game1.71, 1.69–⁠0.860.71, 0.90–⁠1.20
ManagerAnge Postecoglou (13)Stephen Glass (19)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.21AttackCeltic2.02, 1stAberdeen1.10, 5thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.82, 2ndAberdeen1.05, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovCeltic attack: 2.02Aberdeen attack: 1.102.021.10AberdeenCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovCeltic defence: 0.82Aberdeen defence: 1.051.050.82

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+147%−43%−16%−32%
Counter-attacks+58%−44%−57%−46%
Set pieces+28%−40%+6%−9%
Penalties+57%−100%−100%+46%
Headers+86%−7%+11%−13%
Left side+81%−48%−19%−30%
Centre+167%−28%−19%−31%
Right side+30%−65%+8%−13%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdAberdeen concededLeft side+81%−13%Centre+167%−31%Right side+30%−30%Open play+147%−32%Counter-attacks+58%−46%Set pieces+28%−9%Headers+86%−13%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdCeltic concededLeft side−19%−65%Centre−19%−28%Right side+8%−48%Open play−16%−43%Counter-attacks−57%−44%Set pieces+6%−40%Headers+11%−7%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticAberdeen

2.47xG0.95
0.63xG against0.97
73%Possession58%
20.1Shots12.7
7.1Shots against8.1
6.8Shots on target4.4
4.0Big chances1.0
35.0Touches in the opposition box18.0
679Passes451
88%Pass accuracy76%
8.5Corners5.3
80%Field tilt57%
75.8Final-third entries39.3
21.7Box entries9.1
9.0Passes per defensive action13.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level402.040.54
Ahead403.040.79
Behind101.950.39

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level490.851.06
Ahead170.531.12
Behind241.480.68

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.290.144–1
16–300.510.129–3
31–450.410.062–1
46–600.200.105–1
61–750.400.134–2
76–900.670.086–1

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.131–2
16–300.220.094–2
31–450.110.211–3
46–600.150.194–6
61–750.160.113–2
76–900.170.242–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 12Bain 1Ralston 11Juranovic 2Carter-Vickers 9Bitton 1Starfelt 11Welsh 5Juranovic 6Taylor 4Bolingoli-Mbo… 2Bolingoli-MbomboRogic 7Christie 2Soro 1McGregor 11Bitton 3McCarthy 2Turnbull 13Abada 11Jota 1Giakoumakis 1Furuhashi 6Ajeti 3Edouard 3Jota 8Furuhashi 2Johnston 14-3-3 in 11 of 13 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (11), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTLewis 12Woods 2Ojo 6Hedges 3Hayes 1Bates 8Gallagher 6Brown 4McCrorie 11Considine 2MacKenzie 1Ramsay 9Ojo 3Gurr 2Brown 9McGeouch 4Jenks 1Ferguson 8Longstaff 3Hedges 1MacKenzie 7Campbell 5McCrorie 1Ferguson 4Hedges 3Hayes 2Ramirez 13Emmanuel-Thomas 3Watkins 5Hayes 3Samuels 23-4-1-2 in 3 of 14 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (3), 4-3-3 (3), 4-2-3-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
3 October 2021Aberdeen1–2CelticxG 0.57–1.65
21 April 2021Aberdeen1–1CelticxG 1.52–2.87
27 February 2021Celtic1–0AberdeenxG 1.33–1.15
17 February 2021Celtic1–0AberdeenxG 0.98–0.43
25 October 2020Aberdeen3–3CelticxG 2.76–2.04

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 3, Aberdeen won 0, and 2 were drawn. Goals 8–5 and xG 1.77–1.29 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Furuhashi8664700.840.14
Abada11898320.310.43
Jota9789440.340.32
Turnbull131,136430.200.43

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Watkins5512100.270.11
Ramirez131,135610.270.05
Ramsay9726040.010.28
Ferguson121,071210.150.09

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.