Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Hibernian 0–1 Rangers

Wednesday 27 January 2021, 19:45 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 26 · Half-time 0–0

Rangers Morelos 51'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HibernianRangers
Goals01
xG0.801.72
Expected Points0.642.10

Hibernian 13%Draw 26%Rangers 61%

Most likely score 1–1, 15%. Final score 0–1, 13%.

Rangers goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+5%6%2%4%7%2%1%5%5%2%13%14%15%14%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTHanlon on for Porteous and Boyle on for Doig, 69'Magennis on for Hallberg, 74'Allan on for Gogic, 79'Roofe on for Morelos, 73'Zungu on for Jack, 79'Itten on for Aribo, 83'Morelos 51'Rangers 1.72Hibernian 0.8000.511.520153045607590HTHanlon on for Porteous and Boyle on for Doig, 69'Magennis on for Hallberg, 74'Allan on for Gogic, 79'Roofe on for Morelos, 73'Zungu on for Jack, 79'Itten on for Aribo, 83'Morelos 51'1.720.80HibernianRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianRangers

0.80 −0.66xG1.72 −0.53
0.06 −1.49xG on target0.55 −1.58
8 −4Shots11 −7
2 −2.2Shots on target3 −3.3
1 −0.9Big chances3 +0.1
13 −8Touches in the opposition box34 +2
38% −12Possession62% −6
347 −47Passes584 −32
70% −2Pass accuracy83% −1
25% −22Field tilt75% −4
35 −4Final-third entries51 −8
6 −5Box entries14 −5
13.4 0Passes per defensive action11.4 +1
4 −1.6Corners2 −5.2
26 +12Tackles9 −6
20 +10.3Interceptions11 +1.8
16 −4Clearances21 +10
2 −0.7Saves2 +0.5
14 +1Fouls8 −3
1 −1.1Offsides4 +2.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hibernian

Irvine 29', 0.38 xGDoidge 18', 0.11 xGIrvine 61', 0.10 xGDoidge 29', 0.06 xGDoidge 41', 0.06 xGIrvine 41', 0.04 xGDoig 41', 0.02 xGBoyle 90', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals95%0.75 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.75 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals3%0.02 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals3%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Morelos 54', 0.64 xGGoldson 86', 0.29 xGHelander 76', 0.07 xGMorelos 32', 0.06 xGGoldson 74', 0.06 xGGoldson 2', 0.05 xGKent 78', 0.05 xGItten 90+2', 0.05 xGAribo 13', 0.04 xGKent 26', 0.03 xGMorelos 51', 0.35 xG, goal37%0.64 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.64 xG, 0 goals51%0.87 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.87 xG, 1 goal7%0.12 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals5%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianRangers

0.67 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.25 7 shots, 1 goal
0.13 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.48 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
51 min (55%) · Hibernian 0.68, Rangers 0.55 xG
Rangers ahead
41 min (45%) · Hibernian 0.12, Rangers 1.18 xG

Line-ups

162452736132025915MarcianoMcGinnMcGregorPorteousCaddenIrvineGogicHallbergDoigDoidgeNisbetYellow cardYellow cardYellow card69'79'74'69'Hibernian 3-5-2Jack Ross12653118810172014McGregorTavernierGoldsonHelanderBarisicKamaraJackDavisAriboMorelosKentGoal79'83'73'Rangers 4-3-3Steven Gerrard

Hibernian substitutes

  • 69' Hanlon for Porteous
  • 69' Boyle for Doig
  • 74' Magennis for Hallberg
  • 79' Allan for Gogic

Rangers substitutes

  • 73' Roofe for Morelos
  • 79' Zungu for Jack
  • 83' Itten for Aribo

Players

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MarcianoGK900.000.0000.0230
McGinnCB900.000.0200.1097
McGregor CB900.000.0000.01017
PorteousCB690.000.0300.10613
CaddenRWB900.000.0500.0657
Irvine CM900.520.0100.0228
GogicCM790.000.0000.0315
HallbergCM740.000.131−0.0113
Doig LWB690.020.3220.2652
DoidgeST900.230.1010.0601
NisbetST900.000.010−0.0210
HanlonDF210.000.0000.0111
BoyleFW210.020.0000.0010
MagennisMF160.000.0000.0100
AllanMF110.000.000−0.0100

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McGregorGK900.000.0000.0101
TavernierRB900.000.2120.12168
GoldsonCB900.400.0000.0544
HelanderCB900.070.0000.0445
BarisicLB900.000.1010.0763
KamaraCM900.000.6510.3464
JackCM790.000.0300.0442
DavisCM900.000.0510.0184
AriboRW8310.040.8120.0345
MorelosST7311.060.0200.0403
KentLW900.090.3020.1382
RoofeFW170.000.051−0.0501
ZunguMF110.000.000−0.0101
IttenFW70.050.0000.0131

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Porteous and Gogic: 4 passesCadden and Doidge: 4 passesCadden and Nisbet: 4 passesIrvine and Nisbet: 4 passesGogic and Hallberg: 4 passesMarciano and Doidge: 5 passesMcGinn and Gogic: 5 passesPorteous and Hallberg: 5 passesDoig and Irvine: 5 passesDoig and Doidge: 5 passesIrvine and Gogic: 5 passesHallberg and Nisbet: 5 passesMarciano and McGregor: 6 passesMcGinn and Porteous: 6 passesPorteous and McGregor: 6 passesCadden and Gogic: 6 passesIrvine and Doidge: 6 passesDoidge and Nisbet: 7 passesMcGinn and McGregor: 8 passesCadden and Irvine: 9 passesMcGinn and Cadden: 11 passesDoig and Hallberg: 11 passesMarciano and Porteous: 14 passesPorteous and Doig: 15 passesMarciano: 21 completed passesMcGinn: 22 completed passesPorteous: 31 completed passesMcGregor: 15 completed passesCadden: 16 completed passesDoig: 20 completed passesIrvine: 19 completed passesGogic: 15 completed passesHallberg: 15 completed passesDoidge: 14 completed passesNisbet: 10 completed passes165242725361320915MarcianoMcGinnPorteousMcGregorCaddenDoigIrvineGogicHallbergDoidgeNisbetStarters until 69' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Rangers

Helander and Davis: 9 passesDavis and Morelos: 9 passesAribo and Morelos: 9 passesHelander and Barisic: 10 passesBarisic and Davis: 11 passesDavis and Kent: 11 passesKamara and Aribo: 12 passesMcGregor and Goldson: 13 passesTavernier and Davis: 13 passesTavernier and Morelos: 13 passesJack and Aribo: 13 passesHelander and Goldson: 14 passesTavernier and Goldson: 15 passesGoldson and Davis: 15 passesJack and Davis: 15 passesKamara and Kent: 16 passesBarisic and Morelos: 17 passesKamara and Jack: 17 passesKamara and Davis: 19 passesBarisic and Kamara: 20 passesTavernier and Aribo: 22 passesBarisic and Kent: 26 passesTavernier and Jack: 32 passesMcGregor: 21 completed passesTavernier: 54 completed passesHelander: 31 completed passesGoldson: 35 completed passesBarisic: 50 completed passesKamara: 52 completed passesJack: 53 completed passesDavis: 58 completed passesAribo: 34 completed passesMorelos: 26 completed passesKent: 38 completed passes12563118810172014McGregorTavernierHelanderGoldsonBarisicKamaraJackDavisAriboMorelosKentStarters until 73' · lines join pairs with 9+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

FromToPasses
PorteousDoig9
MarcianoPorteous8
CaddenMcGinn8
IrvineCadden7
McGregorMcGinn7

Rangers

FromToPasses
BarisicKent20
JackTavernier20
DavisKamara15
TavernierAribo14
KamaraBarisic14

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

8+3.17+1.911−2.37+0.221+15.27+0.53−4.510+1.714+7.47−0.210+4.110+4.44−0.78+1.97+1.72−1.87+3.81−0.91−2.16+1.64+2.31−0.20−0.81−0.21−0.90−0.70−0.50−1.20−0.42+1.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 24 matches

Rangers

3−0.66+2.813+6.34−0.62−2.65−2.27+0.96+2.89+3.74−3.05−1.46+0.72−1.64−0.51−4.95+0.24−0.63+0.68+4.45−0.25+1.66+3.84+2.92−0.22−0.43+2.01+0.70−0.90−0.610.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 25 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

0.010.010.010.020.010.030.020.030.040.010.010.020.060.050.030.03−0.04−0.020.090.050.010.17LessMore

Rangers

0.010.050.020.010.020.060.010.010.050.060.090.020.040.040.070.02−0.020.010.03−0.01−0.04−0.050.040.25LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackHibernian1.26 → 1.25Rangers2.02 → 1.98Defence (lower is better)Hibernian1.09 → 1.07Rangers0.62 → 0.61

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Rangers
Title>99%>99%0

From the forecast before the match (27 January 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HibernianRangers
Expected goals0.731.84
Win14%63%
Expected Points0.642.13
Clean sheet16%48%

Hibernian 14%Draw 23%Rangers 63%

Most likely score 0–1, 14%. Both sides score 44%.

Rangers goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+8%8%4%1%5%9%6%3%1%2%4%3%2%1%14%13%11%

From the forecast as it stood on 27 January 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHibernian winDrawRangers win
Rangers
Title>99%99%>99%>99%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

  1. W2–016 JanKilmarnock (H)xG 0.68–0.64
  2. D1–111 JanCeltic (A)xG 1.83–0.97
  3. L0–32 JanLivingston (H)xG 0.49–1.18
  4. L0–230 DecRoss County (H)xG 1.42–0.69
  5. L0–126 DecRangers (A)xG 0.95–2.08
  6. W1–023 DecSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.86–0.85

Rangers

  1. W5–023 JanRoss County (H)xG 2.67–0.50
  2. D1–117 JanMotherwell (A)xG 0.98–1.20
  3. W2–110 JanAberdeen (A)xG 2.03–0.63
  4. W1–02 JanCeltic (H)xG 0.58–0.61
  5. W2–030 DecSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.71–0.71
  6. W1–026 DecHibernian (H)xG 2.08–0.95

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianRangers
Position4th1st
Played2425
Won, drawn, lost11–⁠7–⁠622–⁠3–⁠0
Points40 (1.67 per game)69 (2.76 per game)
Expected Points per game1.532.38
Goals33–⁠2465–⁠7
xG per game1.46–⁠1.202.25–⁠0.54
Home: points, xG per game1.42, 1.28–⁠1.323.00, 2.47–⁠0.55
Away: points, xG per game1.92, 1.65–⁠1.072.54, 2.04–⁠0.52
ManagerJack Ross (24)Steven Gerrard (25)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackHibernian1.26, 3rdRangers2.02, 1stDefence (lower is better)Hibernian1.09, 5thRangers0.62, 1st

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanHibernian attack: 1.26Rangers attack: 2.022.021.26RangersHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanHibernian defence: 1.09Rangers defence: 0.621.090.62

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+18%−14%+99%−55%
Counter-attacks−16%+9%+34%−17%
Set pieces+8%−3%+24%−54%
Penalties+15%+15%+76%−100%
Headers+41%−24%+52%−50%
Left side+2%−7%+31%−45%
Centre+13%−30%+84%−53%
Right side+27%+25%+99%−61%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdRangers concededLeft side+2%−61%Centre+13%−53%Right side+27%−45%Open play+18%−55%Counter-attacks−16%−17%Set pieces+8%−54%Headers+41%−50%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdHibernian concededLeft side+31%+25%Centre+84%−30%Right side+99%−7%Open play+99%−14%Counter-attacks+34%+9%Set pieces+24%−3%Headers+52%−24%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianRangers

1.46xG2.25
1.20xG against0.54
50%Possession68%
11.8Shots17.9
12.0Shots against5.6
4.2Shots on target6.3
1.9Big chances2.9
20.5Touches in the opposition box32.4
394Passes616
72%Pass accuracy85%
5.6Corners7.2
47%Field tilt80%
39.5Final-third entries59.5
10.6Box entries18.6
13.8Passes per defensive action10.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level401.601.08
Ahead311.601.37
Behind190.941.18

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level282.480.63
Ahead572.130.53
Behind62.270.11

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.270.144–4
16–300.150.176–2
31–450.210.276–6
46–600.180.205–3
61–750.330.175–1
76–900.330.257–8

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.320.137–1
16–300.470.1117–2
31–450.270.0511–1
46–600.450.0610–0
61–750.370.0912–2
76–900.380.098–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTMarciano 20Macey 2Barnes 2McGinn 22Boyle 1Wright 1Porteous 24McGinn 1Hanlon 23Doig 11Stevenson 8Gogic 2Boyle 18Wright 2Newell 2Gogic 12Hallberg 8Mallan 3Newell 20Nisbet 1Magennis 1Murphy 7Horgan 4Doig 3Nisbet 21Boyle 3Wright 1Doidge 17Gogic 3Murphy 14-4-2 in 13 of 24 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (13), 3-5-2 (3), 4-5-1 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWMcGregor 16McLaughlin 9Tavernier 25Goldson 25Helander 13Balogun 12Barisic 22Bassey 3Aribo 14Arfield 10Davis 17Jack 12Hagi 2Kamara 18Hagi 10Roofe 6Kent 3Morelos 17Roofe 5Defoe 3Kent 21Hagi 2Roofe 14-3-3 in 18 of 25 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (18), 4-2-3-1 (7)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
26 December 2020Rangers1–0HibernianxG 2.08–0.95
20 September 2020Hibernian2–2RangersxG 0.60–3.01

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 0, Rangers won 1, and 1 was a draw. Goals 2–3 and xG 0.77–2.54 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nisbet221,9051120.500.09
Mallan4507100.230.33
Doidge171,628520.420.08
Boyle232,052540.260.10

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Roofe121,0311020.680.11
Itten2456410.510.25
Tavernier252,2251190.450.27
Kent241,993660.290.28

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.