Rangers Tavernier 45' (pen), Lawrence 58' · Morelos sent off 75'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Hibernian
Rangers
Goals
2
2
xG
0.77
1.57
Non-penalty xG
0.77
0.78
Expected Points
0.67
2.06
Hibernian 13%Draw 27%Rangers 59%
Most likely score 0–1, 18%. Final score 2–2, 5%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
HibernianRangers
0.77 −0.61xG1.57 −0.18
0.77Non-penalty xG0.78
1.41 +0.97xG on target1.23 −1.18
14 −2Shots9 −12
5 +2.0Shots on target2 −4.0
1 −0.3Big chances2 −0.7
46% −17Possession54% −22
345 −59Passes429 −251
78% 0Pass accuracy77% −10
63% −5Field tilt37% −55
53 +6Final-third entries34 −48
17 +3Box entries14 −12
14.8 +5.9Passes per defensive action14.3 +7.1
5 −5.0Corners3 −5.3
9 −2Tackles12 −5
10 +4.0Interceptions7 +1.0
21 +6.7Clearances17 +12.3
0 −3.3Saves3 +2.3
19 +5Fouls7 −5
1 −1.3Offsides2 −1.0
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Hibernian
Rangers
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
45'51'58'90+3'
0–01–11–2
0'HTFT
Level
53 min (56%) · Hibernian 0.02, Rangers 1.43 xG
Rangers ahead
41 min (44%) · Hibernian 0.75, Rangers 0.14 xG
Line-ups
Hibernian substitutes
28'Doidge for Henderson
28'Cabraja for Hanlon
77'Miller for Doyle-Hayes
90+1'Bojang for Porteous
Rangers substitutes
62'Morelos for Colak · red card 75'
62'Arfield for Lawrence
68'Davis for Matondo
78'King for Kent
Players
Hibernian
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Marshall
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
4
0
Cadden
RWB
90
0.00
0.02
1
0.01
3
5
Bushiri
CB
90
0.19
0.01
0
0.05
5
8
Porteous
CB
90
0.02
0.09
3
0.15
12
4
Hanlon
CB
28
0.00
0.01
0
0.00
1
1
Campbell
LWB
90
1
0.12
0.01
0
0.06
4
4
Doyle-Hayes
CM
77
0.02
0.01
0
0.00
1
4
Newell
CM
90
0.00
0.07
1
0.08
7
7
Henderson
CM
28
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
3
Boyle
ST
90
1
0.24
0.16
5
0.14
8
1
Youan
ST
90
1
0.00
0.60
1
0.25
7
1
Doidge
FW
62
0.11
0.01
1
−0.02
0
1
Cabraja
DF
62
0.03
0.07
2
0.10
6
2
Miller
DF
13
0.04
0.07
0
0.13
7
0
Bojang
FW
0
0.00
0.00
0
–
–
0
Rangers
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
McLaughlin
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
0
Tavernier
RB
90
1
0.83
0.05
0
0.10
12
8
Goldson
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.08
7
7
Sands
CB
90
0.14
0.00
0
0.06
4
4
Barisic
LB
90
1
0.00
0.48
2
0.38
4
5
Jack
DM
90
0.00
0.05
0
0.06
3
3
Lundstram
DM
90
0.00
0.06
1
0.04
4
2
Matondo
RW
68
0.00
0.11
1
0.10
3
2
Lawrence
AM
62
1
0.21
0.06
2
−0.02
3
1
Kent
LW
78
0.10
0.34
0
0.32
7
3
Colak
ST
62
0.28
0.09
0
0.03
0
0
Morelos
FW
13
0.00
0.01
0
0.00
0
0
Arfield
MF
28
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Davis
MF
22
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
3
King
DF
12
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
2
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Hibernian
Rangers
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Hibernian
From
To
Passes
Newell
Cabraja
12
Cabraja
Newell
10
Bushiri
Porteous
8
Marshall
Porteous
7
Porteous
Bushiri
7
Rangers
From
To
Passes
Barisic
Sands
24
Sands
Goldson
17
Sands
Barisic
12
Sands
Lundstram
12
Goldson
Tavernier
11
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Hibernian
Against its average of 3 matches
Rangers
Against its average of 3 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Hibernian
Rangers
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Hibernian
Top six
74%
76%
+2
11th
1%
1%
0
Rangers
Title
43%
39%
−4
Celtic
Title
57%
61%
+4
Dundee United
Top six
19%
17%
−2
11th
15%
15%
0
Bottom
12%
12%
0
From the forecast before the match (20 August 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Hibernian
Rangers
Expected goals
0.73
1.71
Win
15%
60%
Expected Points
0.70
2.06
Clean sheet
18%
48%
Hibernian 15%Draw 25%Rangers 60%
Most likely score 0–1, 14%. Both sides score 43%.
From the forecast as it stood on 20 August 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Hibernian win
Draw
Rangers win
Hibernian
Top six
74%
86%
76%
70%
11th
1%
1%
1%
2%
Rangers
Title
43%
33%
39%
47%
Celtic
Title
57%
67%
61%
53%
Dundee United
Top six
19%
18%
17%
20%
11th
15%
15%
15%
14%
Bottom
12%
12%
12%
12%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Hibernian
Rangers
Position
6th
2nd
Played
3
3
Won, drawn, lost
1–1–1
3–0–0
Points
4 (1.33 per game)
9 (3.00 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.76
2.31
Goals
3–3
8–1
xG per game
1.38–0.85
1.75–0.42
Home: points, xG per game
1.00, 1.50–0.96
3.00, 2.04–0.35
Away: points, xG per game
1.50, 1.32–0.80
3.00, 1.15–0.57
Manager
Lee Johnson (3)
Giovanni van Bronckhorst (28)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Hibernian
Rangers
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
+4%
−23%
+80%
−56%
Counter-attacks
−9%
−43%
−36%
−96%
Set pieces
+15%
−19%
+22%
−44%
Penalties
−53%
−53%
−6%
−72%
Headers
+52%
−10%
+23%
−55%
Left side
+36%
+1%
+61%
−32%
Centre
−18%
−47%
+48%
−61%
Right side
+19%
−7%
+86%
−67%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
HibernianRangers
1.38xG1.75
0.85xG against0.42
63%Possession76%
16.3Shots21.0
9.3Shots against4.3
3.0Shots on target6.0
1.3Big chances2.7
404Passes680
78%Pass accuracy88%
10.0Corners8.3
68%Field tilt92%
47.0Final-third entries82.0
14.3Box entries25.7
8.9Passes per defensive action7.2
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Hibernian
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
51
0.99
0.73
Ahead
0
–
–
Behind
39
1.90
1.02
Rangers
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
30
1.91
0.71
Ahead
38
1.95
0.21
Behind
22
1.18
0.38
xG by period
Hibernian
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.12
0.12
0–1
16–30
0.08
0.07
0–1
31–45
0.21
0.13
0–0
46–60
0.33
0.24
1–0
61–75
0.12
0.06
0–0
76–90
0.52
0.23
2–1
Rangers
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.31
0.10
0–1
16–30
0.09
0.07
0–0
31–45
0.30
0.09
1–0
46–60
0.29
0.11
1–0
61–75
0.23
0.00
3–0
76–90
0.53
0.05
3–0
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
Most used players by position
Hibernian
Rangers
Formations: 4-3-3 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1)
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
7 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 0, Rangers won 6, and 1 was a draw. Goals 4–11 and xG 0.67–1.90 per game.
Key players
Hibernian
Player
Starts
Min
G
A
xG per 90
xA per 90
Boyle
20
1,853
8
3
0.32
0.20
Doidge
6
837
2
0
0.35
0.06
Henderson
13
1,161
1
1
0.18
0.22
Melkersen
10
744
0
1
0.27
0.03
Rangers
Player
Starts
Min
G
A
xG per 90
xA per 90
Morelos
25
2,168
12
7
0.68
0.17
Tavernier
38
3,396
10
14
0.27
0.32
Arfield
18
1,669
6
1
0.41
0.12
Wright
12
1,103
4
1
0.27
0.24
Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.