Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Rangers 1–1 Livingston

Saturday 22 October 2022, 15:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 12 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee David Munro · Attendance 48,855

Rangers Lundstram 90+1'

Livingston Nouble 4' · Boyes sent off 78'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

RangersLivingston
Goals11
xG1.560.33
Expected Points2.310.44

Rangers 69%Draw 25%Livingston 6%

Most likely score 1–0, 23%. Final score 1–1, 10%.

Livingston goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+14%5%10%8%9%4%3%1%23%19%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTBoyes (Livingston), red card 78'Matondo on for Davis and Sands on for King, 46'Morelos on for Arfield, 66'Sakala on for Matondo, 78'Roofe on for Barisic, 81'Longridge on for Montano, 45+2'Penrice on for Stephen Kelly, 64'Boyes on for Sean Kelly, 73'Guthrie on for Shinnie, 74'Lundstram 90+1'Nouble 4'Rangers 1.56Livingston 0.3300.511.520153045607590HTBoyes (Livingston), red card 78'Matondo on for Davis and Sands on for King, 46'Morelos on for Arfield, 66'Sakala on for Matondo, 78'Roofe on for Barisic, 81'Longridge on for Montano, 45+2'Penrice on for Stephen Kelly, 64'Boyes on for Sean Kelly, 73'Guthrie on for Shinnie, 74'Lundstram 90+1'Nouble 4'1.560.33RangersLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersLivingston

1.56 −0.24xG0.33 −0.67
0.98 −1.12xG on target0.30 −0.68
24 +6Shots5 −6
3 −3.0Shots on target1 −2.3
3 −0.1Big chances0 −1.9
47 +17Touches in the opposition box7 −25
80% +13Possession20% −23
598 +10Passes159 −141
88% +4Pass accuracy40% −26
96% +19Field tilt4% −45
92 +29Final-third entries10 −21
25 +5Box entries0 −11
10.9 +2.0Passes per defensive action23.2 +8.4
14 +7.6Corners1 −3.3
12 −4Tackles21 +9
6 −1.3Interceptions3 −7.8
9 −1Clearances55 +34
0 −1.6Saves2 +0.2
9 −2Fouls12 −2
2 −0.3Offsides2 +1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Rangers

Colak 3', 0.21 xGLundstram 90+8', 0.16 xGColak 31', 0.15 xGDavies 90+3', 0.10 xGColak 90+4', 0.09 xGArfield 25', 0.07 xGSands 84', 0.06 xGColak 90+6', 0.06 xGLundstram 80', 0.05 xGColak 34', 0.04 xGTillman 62', 0.04 xGColak 64', 0.04 xGBarisic 41', 0.03 xGLundstram 48', 0.03 xGBarisic 57', 0.03 xGSands 68', 0.03 xGMorelos 82', 0.03 xGRoofe 85', 0.03 xGColak 10', 0.02 xGTavernier 49', 0.02 xGTavernier 84', 0.02 xGTavernier 58', 0.01 xGBarisic 79', 0.01 xGLundstram 90+1', 0.22 xG, goal4%0.06 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 0 goals73%1.14 xGCentral box: 11 shots, 1.14 xG, 1 goal3%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals15%0.24 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.24 xG, 0 goals5%0.08 xGFurther out: 4 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Shinnie 2', 0.04 xGFitzwater 18', 0.04 xGSean Kelly 17', 0.02 xGObileye 13', 0.01 xGNouble 4', 0.24 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals71%0.24 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.24 xG, 1 goal12%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals18%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersLivingston

1.14 13 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.29 3 shots, 1 goal
0.42 11 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.04 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
11 min (11%) · Rangers 0.61, Livingston 0.27 xG
Livingston ahead
89 min (89%) · Rangers 0.94, Livingston 0.06 xG

Line-ups

123826314103771149McGregorTavernierKingDaviesBarisicLundstramDavisArfieldTillmanKentColakGoalYellow card46'81'46'66'Rangers 4-2-3-1Giovanni van Bronckhorst12651118824172219GeorgeDevlinObileyeFitzwaterMontanoHoltPittmanSean KellyStephen KellyShinnieNoubleYellow cardYellow cardGoal45+2'73'64'74'Livingston 4-3-2-1David Martindale

Rangers substitutes

  • 46' Sands for King · yellow card 75'
  • 46' Matondo for Davis · off 78'
  • 66' Morelos for Arfield · yellow card 89'
  • 78' Sakala for Matondo
  • 81' Roofe for Barisic

Livingston substitutes

  • 45+2' Longridge for Montano
  • 64' Penrice for Stephen Kelly
  • 73' Boyes for Sean Kelly · red card 78'
  • 74' Guthrie for Shinnie

Players

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McGregorGK900.000.0000.0220
TavernierRB900.060.4270.46200
KingCB460.000.0200.0971
DaviesCB900.100.1310.19107
BarisicLB810.070.1000.21126
LundstramDM9010.460.1210.0475
DavisDM460.000.031−0.0513
ArfieldRW660.070.1810.0421
Tillman AM900.040.1210.0543
KentLW9010.000.7470.74200
ColakST900.620.0200.1021
Sands MF440.090.0200.0621
MatondoFW320.000.010−0.0120
Morelos FW240.030.0100.0010
SakalaFW120.000.0100.0470
RoofeFW90.030.0000.0000

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
George GK900.000.0000.0115
DevlinRB900.000.0000.0228
ObileyeCB900.010.0000.0007
FitzwaterCB900.040.0000.00011
MontanoLB450.000.0000.0121
HoltCM900.000.001−0.0105
PittmanCM900.000.0000.0104
Sean Kelly CM730.020.0100.0107
Stephen KellyAM640.000.0010.0221
ShinnieAM740.040.0100.03010
NoubleST9010.240.0000.0224
LongridgeDF450.000.0000.01116
PenriceDF260.000.0000.0006
Boyes DF50.000.0000.0000
GuthrieFW160.000.0000.0102

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

McGregor and Tavernier: 4 passesMcGregor and Lundstram: 4 passesTavernier and Tillman: 4 passesDavies and Tillman: 4 passesKing and Davis: 4 passesBarisic and Colak: 4 passesLundstram and Arfield: 4 passesMcGregor and King: 5 passesDavies and Lundstram: 5 passesLundstram and Colak: 5 passesDavis and Arfield: 5 passesMcGregor and Barisic: 6 passesLundstram and Davis: 8 passesBarisic and Tillman: 10 passesLundstram and Kent: 10 passesTavernier and Lundstram: 11 passesTavernier and Davis: 12 passesDavies and Barisic: 12 passesKing and Lundstram: 12 passesTavernier and Arfield: 16 passesDavies and King: 18 passesBarisic and Lundstram: 21 passesTavernier and King: 23 passesBarisic and Kent: 27 passesMcGregor: 16 completed passesTavernier: 38 completed passesDavies: 27 completed passesKing: 38 completed passesBarisic: 45 completed passesLundstram: 44 completed passesDavis: 21 completed passesArfield: 15 completed passesTillman: 13 completed passesKent: 25 completed passesColak: 11 completed passes122638314103771149McGregorTavernierDaviesKingBarisicLundstramDavisArfieldTillmanKentColakStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Livingston

Montano and Pittman: 3 passesSean Kelly and Pittman: 3 passesPittman and Shinnie: 3 passesStephen Kelly and Nouble: 3 passesDevlin and Holt: 4 passesSean Kelly and Stephen Kelly: 4 passesDevlin and Nouble: 5 passesGeorge: 6 completed passesDevlin: 7 completed passesObileye: 0 completed passesFitzwater: 0 completed passesMontano: 3 completed passesSean Kelly: 7 completed passesHolt: 6 completed passesPittman: 6 completed passesShinnie: 4 completed passesStephen Kelly: 5 completed passesNouble: 1 completed passes12651124188221719GeorgeDevlinObileyeFitzwaterMontanoSean KellyHoltPittmanShinnieStephen KellyNoubleStarters until 45+2' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

FromToPasses
LundstramBarisic26
BarisicKent25
KentBarisic21
SandsTavernier18
BarisicLundstram17

Livingston

FromToPasses
DevlinNouble5
HoltDevlin4
Sean KellyStephen Kelly3
Stephen KellyNouble3
DevlinHolt3

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

1−2.82−2.36−0.52−3.05+1.53−3.64−1.85+1.47+1.415+9.45−0.35+1.14+0.78+1.75−0.30−4.72−1.83−0.33−1.23−1.12−1.61−1.80−1.81−1.40−2.62+1.40−0.82+1.11+0.70−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

Livingston

9+4.011+4.634+23.824+16.76+1.33−5.45−1.44−1.14−2.513+5.61−5.45−0.71−1.74−0.88+0.51−3.32−1.31−0.80−3.74−0.52−0.13+1.50−1.01−0.32−1.00−1.10−0.20−0.70−0.50−0.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

0.010.020.020.020.010.020.060.090.070.020.050.110.060.080.060.11−0.020.030.050.16−0.040.10−0.040.450.47LessMore

Livingston

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.01−0.010.010.01−0.010.020.02LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.20AttackRangers2.04 → 2.03Livingston1.05 → 1.04Defence (lower is better)Rangers0.66 → 0.67Livingston1.21 → 1.21

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Rangers
Title28%21%−7
Livingston
Top six59%66%+7
11th3%2%−1
Bottom1%1%0
Celtic
Title72%79%+7

From the forecast before the match (22 October 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

RangersLivingston
Expected goals2.470.52
Win80%6%
Expected Points2.540.31
Clean sheet59%8%

Rangers 80%Draw 15%Livingston 6%

Most likely score 2–0, 15%. Both sides score 38%.

Livingston goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+5%2%7%2%8%2%7%2%8%4%1%4%2%2%1%12%15%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 22 October 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRangers winDrawLivingston win
Rangers
Title28%30%21%16%
Livingston
Top six59%56%66%78%
11th3%3%2%1%
Bottom1%1%1%1%
Celtic
Title72%70%79%84%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

  1. W2–116 OctMotherwell (A)xG 1.16–0.17
  2. W4–08 OctSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.73–0.37
  3. W4–01 OctHearts (A)xG 1.85–0.41
  4. W2–117 SepDundee United (H)xG 1.51–0.59
  5. L0–43 SepCeltic (A)xG 0.79–1.88
  6. W4–027 AugRoss County (H)xG 3.19–0.48

Livingston

  1. W1–015 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.08–0.42
  2. L0–18 OctRoss County (H)xG 1.73–0.53
  3. L1–21 OctSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.45–0.77
  4. W1–017 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 0.83–0.11
  5. W1–03 SepHearts (H)xG 1.19–0.69
  6. L0–527 AugAberdeen (A)xG 0.53–4.14

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersLivingston
Position2nd6th
Played1010
Won, drawn, lost8–⁠1–⁠15–⁠0–⁠5
Points25 (2.50 per game)15 (1.50 per game)
Expected Points per game2.191.39
Goals26–⁠98–⁠12
xG per game1.80–⁠0.591.00–⁠1.16
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 2.30–⁠0.432.00, 1.14–⁠0.79
Away: points, xG per game2.00, 1.30–⁠0.760.75, 0.79–⁠1.71
ManagerGiovanni van Bronckhorst (35)David Martindale (71)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.20AttackRangers2.04, 2ndLivingston1.05, 7thDefence (lower is better)Rangers0.66, 2ndLivingston1.21, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctRangers attack: 2.04Livingston attack: 1.052.041.05LivingstonRangersDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctRangers defence: 0.66Livingston defence: 1.211.210.66

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+66%−51%−29%−30%
Counter-attacks−58%−100%−100%−78%
Set pieces−27%−32%+23%+26%
Penalties+37%−100%−32%+105%
Headers+37%−50%−9%+41%
Left side+69%−20%−16%−27%
Centre+10%−62%−22%−29%
Right side+63%−61%−26%−1%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdLivingston concededLeft side+69%−1%Centre+10%−29%Right side+63%−27%Open play+66%−30%Counter-attacks−58%−78%Set pieces−27%+26%Headers+37%+41%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdRangers concededLeft side−16%−61%Centre−22%−62%Right side−26%−20%Open play−29%−51%Counter-attacks−100%−100%Set pieces+23%−32%Headers−9%−50%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersLivingston

1.80xG1.00
0.59xG against1.16
67%Possession43%
17.7Shots10.7
7.7Shots against11.9
6.0Shots on target3.3
3.1Big chances1.9
30.0Touches in the opposition box31.8
588Passes300
84%Pass accuracy65%
6.4Corners4.3
76%Field tilt49%
63.3Final-third entries30.9
20.0Box entries10.7
8.9Passes per defensive action14.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level242.410.39
Ahead511.740.51
Behind151.011.22

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.061.03
Ahead340.830.84
Behind121.242.54

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.330.063–2
16–300.270.093–0
31–450.320.103–2
46–600.340.105–2
61–750.200.075–0
76–900.340.177–3

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.190.092–0
16–300.140.032–0
31–450.170.221–1
46–600.070.231–2
61–750.200.350–7
76–900.230.242–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMcLaughlin 6McGregor 4Tavernier 10Goldson 9King 2Davies 4Sands 4Souttar 1Barisic 9Yilmaz 1Jack 4Davis 2Arfield 1Lundstram 10Tillman 1Lawrence 1Wright 4Matondo 3Tillman 1Lawrence 3Tillman 2Arfield 2Kent 7Matondo 2Tillman 1Colak 104-2-3-1 in 8 of 10 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (8), 4-3-3 (2)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMAMAMSTGeorge 10Devlin 10Obileye 10Fitzwater 5Sean Kelly 5Montano 8Holt 1Cancar 1Sean Kelly 5Omeonga 5Stephen Kelly 1Holt 9Bahamboula 2Pittman 6Goncalves 1Shinnie 5Omeonga 3Bahamboula 2Pittman 4Nouble 3Penrice 2Nouble 7Guthrie 34-3-2-1 in 4 of 10 starts

Formations: 4-3-2-1 (4), 4-3-3 (3), 3-5-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 July 2022Livingston1–2RangersxG 0.57–1.15
26 January 2022Rangers1–0LivingstonxG 1.51–0.34
28 November 2021Livingston1–3RangersxG 0.94–1.70
31 July 2021Rangers3–0LivingstonxG 1.84–0.07
12 May 2021Livingston0–3RangersxG 0.87–2.44
3 March 2021Livingston0–1RangersxG 0.35–2.73

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 7, Livingston won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 15–2 and xG 1.73–0.51 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Colak107281000.610.09
Tavernier10900350.250.24
Kent7605140.160.20
Barisic9825030.020.28

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nouble10877220.180.11
Sean Kelly10822020.120.16
Montano8661300.080.17
Holt10849020.060.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.