Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
HibernianRangers
0.22 −1.18xG1.78 −0.17
0.22Non-penalty xG0.99
0.06 −1.38xG on target1.30 −0.84
4 −8Shots14 −6
1 −3.0Shots on target4 −2.6
0 −1.5Big chances2 −0.1
17 −1Touches in the opposition box24 −12
43% −11Possession57% −8
354 −53Passes481 −63
74% −1Pass accuracy79% −5
35% −20Field tilt65% −14
38 −4Final-third entries51 −6
9 −4Box entries11 −8
12.6 0Passes per defensive action10.2 −2
6 +0.3Corners6 −3.1
17 +3Tackles19 +6
15 +6.3Interceptions8 +2.1
11 −5Clearances22 +8
3 +0.4Saves1 −0.6
15 +4Fouls14 +3
3 +0.8Offsides1 −0.6
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Hibernian
Rangers
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
85'
0–00–1
0'HTFT
Level
85 min (90%) · Hibernian 0.12, Rangers 1.78 xG
Rangers ahead
9 min (10%) · Hibernian 0.10, Rangers 0.00 xG
Line-ups
Hibernian substitutes
86'Murphy for Cadden
87'Allan for Campbell
Rangers substitutes
66'Arfield for Davis
66'Roofe for Morelos · goal 85' (pen)
86'Lundstram for Kent
Players
Hibernian
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Macey
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
2
McGinn
CB
90
0.00
0.04
1
0.15
10
5
Porteous
CB
90
0.10
0.01
0
0.10
10
7
Hanlon
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
4
5
Cadden
RWB
86
0.04
0.01
0
0.06
5
1
Doyle-Hayes
CM
90
0.00
0.01
0
−0.02
4
5
Newell
CM
90
0.00
0.15
1
0.01
3
12
Doig
LWB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.03
6
2
Campbell
AM
87
0.00
0.02
1
−0.01
1
5
Boyle
ST
90
0.09
0.01
0
0.06
4
0
Nisbet
ST
90
0.00
0.02
1
0.01
2
3
Murphy
MF
4
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
0
Allan
MF
3
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
1
0
Rangers
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
McGregor
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
3
2
Tavernier
RB
90
0.04
0.14
2
0.08
10
5
Goldson
CB
90
0.07
0.01
0
0.12
12
9
Bassey
CB
90
0.02
0.00
0
0.03
5
4
Barisic
LB
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.06
5
7
Davis
DM
66
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
3
1
Kamara
DM
90
0.00
0.04
2
0.06
8
6
Aribo
RW
90
0.08
0.20
1
0.09
9
6
Hagi
AM
90
0.17
0.04
1
0.10
7
5
Kent
LW
86
0.17
0.03
1
0.13
9
2
Morelos
ST
66
0.43
0.02
2
−0.03
0
1
Arfield
MF
24
0.03
0.03
1
−0.08
2
1
Roofe
FW
24
1
0.79
0.00
1
−0.01
0
1
Lundstram
MF
4
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Hibernian
Rangers
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Hibernian
From
To
Passes
McGinn
Porteous
12
McGinn
Doyle-Hayes
11
Porteous
Doig
8
Porteous
Doyle-Hayes
8
Doyle-Hayes
Hanlon
8
Rangers
From
To
Passes
Hagi
Tavernier
13
Tavernier
Hagi
9
Bassey
Goldson
9
Barisic
Kent
9
Tavernier
Davis
9
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Hibernian
Against its average of 13 matches
Rangers
Against its average of 14 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Hibernian
Rangers
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Hibernian
Top six
88%
85%
−3
Rangers
Title
64%
71%
+7
Celtic
Title
36%
29%
−7
From the forecast before the match (1 December 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Hibernian
Rangers
Expected goals
0.92
1.66
Win
20%
54%
Expected Points
0.86
1.89
Clean sheet
19%
40%
Hibernian 20%Draw 26%Rangers 54%
Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 49%.
From the forecast as it stood on 1 December 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Hibernian win
Draw
Rangers win
Hibernian
Top six
88%
94%
89%
85%
Rangers
Title
64%
54%
59%
71%
Celtic
Title
36%
46%
41%
29%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Hibernian
Rangers
Position
6th
1st
Played
13
14
Won, drawn, lost
5–3–5
10–3–1
Points
18 (1.38 per game)
33 (2.36 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.65
2.16
Goals
17–17
32–14
xG per game
1.40–0.96
1.95–0.70
Home: points, xG per game
1.67, 1.43–0.96
2.14, 1.97–0.57
Away: points, xG per game
1.14, 1.38–0.96
2.57, 1.93–0.83
Manager
Jack Ross (51)
Giovanni van Bronckhorst (1)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Hibernian
Rangers
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
+15%
−16%
+71%
−42%
Counter-attacks
+195%
+79%
−73%
−100%
Set pieces
−41%
−12%
+67%
−49%
Penalties
+106%
−100%
+43%
−4%
Headers
−27%
+9%
+60%
−44%
Left side
+1%
−5%
+32%
−41%
Centre
−5%
−2%
+50%
−49%
Right side
+35%
−38%
+121%
−45%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
HibernianRangers
1.40xG1.95
0.96xG against0.70
54%Possession64%
12.4Shots19.6
10.4Shots against6.3
4.0Shots on target6.6
1.5Big chances2.1
17.6Touches in the opposition box35.8
407Passes544
74%Pass accuracy84%
5.7Corners9.1
55%Field tilt79%
41.7Final-third entries57.2
12.6Box entries19.3
12.8Passes per defensive action12.7
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Hibernian
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
44
1.34
0.81
Ahead
20
1.34
0.96
Behind
26
1.55
1.21
Rangers
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
29
1.75
0.87
Ahead
44
1.95
0.75
Behind
17
2.28
0.29
xG by period
Hibernian
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.14
0.12
1–4
16–30
0.14
0.17
3–3
31–45
0.20
0.13
3–3
46–60
0.23
0.13
4–2
61–75
0.38
0.20
3–2
76–90
0.31
0.20
3–3
Rangers
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.26
0.14
4–5
16–30
0.30
0.11
6–2
31–45
0.29
0.11
5–1
46–60
0.37
0.09
5–1
61–75
0.16
0.12
3–2
76–90
0.58
0.14
9–3
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts