Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

St. Johnstone 1–1 Motherwell

Saturday 21 November 2020, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 15 · Half-time 1–1

St. Johnstone May 34' (pen)

Motherwell O'Hara 17'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneMotherwell
Goals11
xG2.140.69
Non-penalty xG1.350.69
Expected Points2.450.37

St. Johnstone 76%Draw 18%Motherwell 6%

Most likely score 2–0, 17%. Final score 1–1, 11%.

Motherwell goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+2%2%12%11%3%5%11%9%3%4%3%1%17%14%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTBryson on for Davidson, 30'O'Halloran on for Conway, 61'Kane on for May, 86'Long on for Cole, 63'Lamie on for Long, 77'White on for Lang, 87'May 34' (pen)O'Hara 17'St. Johnstone 2.14Motherwell 0.6901230153045607590HTBryson on for Davidson, 30'O'Halloran on for Conway, 61'Kane on for May, 86'Long on for Cole, 63'Lamie on for Long, 77'White on for Lang, 87'May 34' (pen)O'Hara 17'2.140.69St. JohnstoneMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneMotherwell

2.14 +0.97xG0.69 −0.48
1.35Non-penalty xG0.69
1.75 +0.93xG on target0.58 −0.47
16 +4Shots8 −4
5 +2.2Shots on target2 −0.8
1 −0.4Big chances1 −0.2
29 +6Touches in the opposition box14 −8
54% +7Possession46% −2
483 +111Passes432 +70
71% +4Pass accuracy70% −3
81% +27Field tilt19% −20
46 +8Final-third entries33 0
15 +5.1Box entries5 −5.2
12.2 −3Passes per defensive action30.0 +15
4 −0.8Corners1 −5.2
17 +1Tackles13 0
11 0Interceptions8 −3
13 −7Clearances23 +3
1 −0.4Saves4 +1.6
11 −1Fouls11 −2
3 +1.0Offsides4 +1.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

May 70', 0.48 xGWotherspoon 81', 0.13 xGKane 90+2', 0.12 xGWotherspoon 90+2', 0.09 xGTanser 90', 0.08 xGMay 7', 0.07 xGWotherspoon 23', 0.06 xGGordon 75', 0.06 xGWotherspoon 35', 0.05 xGMcCann 54', 0.05 xGKerr 24', 0.04 xGConway 59', 0.04 xGBryson 32', 0.03 xGMay 66', 0.03 xGWotherspoon 83', 0.03 xG44%0.59 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.59 xG, 0 goals40%0.53 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 0.53 xG, 0 goals8%0.11 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals8%0.11 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

O'Hara 45+3', 0.08 xGCole 45+5', 0.08 xGPolworth 17', 0.07 xGWatt 68', 0.06 xGO'Hara 12', 0.04 xGO'Donnell 85', 0.03 xGPolworth 90+2', 0.03 xGO'Hara 17', 0.30 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals86%0.59 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.59 xG, 1 goal6%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals9%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneMotherwell

1.24 13 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.59 6 shots, 1 goal
0.11 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.10 2 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
80 min (82%) · St. Johnstone 1.22, Motherwell 0.69 xG
Motherwell ahead
17 min (18%) · St. Johnstone 0.92, Motherwell 0.00 xG

Line-ups

156415188371014ClarkKerrGordonMcCartMcNamaraMcCannDavidsonTanserConwayWotherspoonMayYellow cardYellow cardGoal30'61'86'St. Johnstone 3-4-2-1Callum Davidson3433163157819293244ChapmanO'DonnellMugabiGallagherMcGinleyO'HaraCrawfordPolworthLangWattColeYellow cardGoal87'63'Motherwell 4-3-3Stephen Robinson

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 30' Bryson for Davidson · yellow card 40'
  • 61' O'Halloran for Conway
  • 86' Kane for May

Motherwell substitutes

  • 63' Long for Cole · off 77'
  • 77' Lamie for Long
  • 87' White for Lang

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0000.0230
KerrCB900.040.3910.1087
GordonCB900.060.0000.0315
McCartCB900.000.0200.0976
McNamara RWB900.000.1020.17142
McCann CM900.050.031−0.01110
DavidsonCM300.000.0000.0010
TanserLWB900.080.1130.27187
ConwayAM610.040.0910.1151
WotherspoonAM900.360.2920.1462
MayST8611.370.011−0.0910
Bryson MF600.030.0100.0441
O'HalloranMF290.000.0600.0213
KaneFW40.120.000−0.0100

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ChapmanGK900.000.0000.0652
O'DonnellRB900.030.1710.27113
MugabiCB900.000.0100.07811
Gallagher CB900.000.1710.1985
McGinleyLB900.000.0000.0108
O'HaraCM9010.410.1110.0732
CrawfordCM900.000.0100.0125
PolworthCM900.100.0710.0821
LangRW870.000.010−0.0132
WattST900.060.0610.0833
ColeLW630.080.0100.0123
LongFW140.000.0000.0000
LamieDF130.000.0000.0113
WhiteFW30.000.0010.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Gordon and McNamara: 4 passesMcCart and Tanser: 5 passesTanser and McCann: 5 passesWotherspoon and May: 5 passesKerr and Gordon: 6 passesGordon and McCart: 8 passesMcNamara and Davidson: 8 passesTanser and Wotherspoon: 8 passesKerr and McNamara: 9 passesMcNamara and Conway: 9 passesClark: 0 completed passesKerr: 13 completed passesGordon: 10 completed passesMcCart: 14 completed passesMcNamara: 19 completed passesTanser: 12 completed passesDavidson: 7 completed passesMcCann: 7 completed passesWotherspoon: 10 completed passesConway: 5 completed passesMay: 3 completed passes156415381810714ClarkKerrGordonMcCartMcNamaraTanserDavidsonMcCannWotherspoonConwayMayStarters until 30' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Motherwell

O'Donnell and Watt: 4 passesMugabi and Lang: 4 passesMugabi and Watt: 4 passesGallagher and O'Hara: 4 passesPolworth and Watt: 4 passesChapman and O'Donnell: 5 passesChapman and Mugabi: 5 passesO'Donnell and Lang: 5 passesMcGinley and Crawford: 5 passesPolworth and Crawford: 5 passesLang and Watt: 5 passesO'Hara and Crawford: 6 passesO'Hara and Polworth: 7 passesMcGinley and Polworth: 8 passesO'Donnell and Gallagher: 9 passesO'Donnell and O'Hara: 9 passesO'Donnell and Polworth: 9 passesGallagher and McGinley: 9 passesO'Donnell and Crawford: 11 passesGallagher and Crawford: 11 passesO'Donnell and Mugabi: 12 passesGallagher and Polworth: 13 passesChapman and Gallagher: 15 passesMugabi and Gallagher: 18 passesChapman: 20 completed passesO'Donnell: 35 completed passesMugabi: 28 completed passesGallagher: 37 completed passesMcGinley: 16 completed passesO'Hara: 17 completed passesPolworth: 26 completed passesCrawford: 28 completed passesLang: 8 completed passesWatt: 9 completed passesCole: 6 completed passes3433163157198293244ChapmanO'DonnellMugabiGallagherMcGinleyO'HaraPolworthCrawfordLangWattColeStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
McNamaraKerr15
KerrMcNamara15
McNamaraConway14
TanserWotherspoon13
WotherspoonTanser11

Motherwell

FromToPasses
MugabiGallagher14
ChapmanGallagher12
MugabiO'Donnell12
O'DonnellMugabi11
GallagherPolworth10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

3−1.61−2.92−3.45+0.49+1.86−0.29+0.56−2.95−0.62−3.59+2.210+4.14−2.550.07+3.77+5.26+2.98+2.71−1.56+4.53+1.43+1.52−1.01−0.40−0.11+0.52+1.51+0.27−5.05−5.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 13 matches

Motherwell

7+3.911+5.417+4.46−1.83−3.56−1.49+2.912+5.810+2.95−0.33−3.16+2.76+0.95+0.31−2.73+0.22−0.22−0.73−0.31−1.60−1.61+0.30−1.53+1.10−1.10−0.60−1.00−0.50−0.92−5.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 12 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.030.030.010.020.060.030.010.010.020.050.010.140.01−0.020.010.10−0.02−0.10−0.020.080.230.18LessMore

Motherwell

0.010.030.020.030.020.070.020.020.030.050.030.040.010.010.04−0.01−0.010.120.010.060.01−0.01−0.010.100.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.22AttackSt. Johnstone0.99 → 1.03Motherwell1.14 → 1.14Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.05 → 1.05Motherwell1.27 → 1.31

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six45%42%−3
11th3%3%0
Bottom1%1%0
Motherwell
Top six59%59%0
11th2%2%0

From the forecast before the match (21 November 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneMotherwell
Expected goals1.121.00
Win38%31%
Expected Points1.441.25
Clean sheet37%33%

St. Johnstone 38%Draw 31%Motherwell 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 43%.

Motherwell goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+6%2%7%2%8%8%4%1%3%3%1%13%11%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 21 November 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawMotherwell win
St. Johnstone
Top six45%59%42%32%
11th3%2%3%4%
Bottom1%<1%1%1%
Motherwell
Top six59%47%59%71%
11th2%3%2%1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. W1–06 NovKilmarnock (H)xG 0.61–0.46
  2. D0–024 OctDundee United (H)xG 0.96–0.10
  3. W5–317 OctHamilton Academical (A)xG 3.81–0.73
  4. L0–24 OctCeltic (H)xG 0.63–1.71
  5. L0–226 SepLivingston (A)xG 1.11–0.54
  6. L0–119 SepRoss County (H)xG 0.85–0.23

Motherwell

  1. L1–48 NovCeltic (H)xG 1.66–2.84
  2. W2–031 OctLivingston (A)xG 1.40–0.70
  3. W4–024 OctRoss County (H)xG 3.11–1.47
  4. L1–527 SepRangers (H)xG 0.38–2.59
  5. W3–020 SepAberdeen (A)xG 1.75–0.70
  6. W1–012 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.26–1.02

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneMotherwell
Position8th7th
Played1312
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠2–⁠74–⁠2–⁠6
Points14 (1.08 per game)14 (1.17 per game)
Expected Points per game1.541.09
Goals10–⁠1614–⁠17
xG per game1.17–⁠0.811.17–⁠1.61
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 0.98–⁠0.661.00, 1.11–⁠1.87
Away: points, xG per game1.17, 1.40–⁠0.991.40, 1.24–⁠1.25
ManagerCallum Davidson (13)Stephen Robinson (4)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.22AttackSt. Johnstone0.99, 8thMotherwell1.14, 5thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.05, 4thMotherwell1.27, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovSt. Johnstone attack: 0.99Motherwell attack: 1.141.140.99MotherwellSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovSt. Johnstone defence: 1.05Motherwell defence: 1.271.271.05

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−14%−45%−30%+4%
Counter-attacks+162%−80%−88%+156%
Set pieces+6%−30%+15%+17%
Penalties−100%−26%+20%+60%
Headers+38%−16%−4%+18%
Left side+20%−40%−21%+7%
Centre−12%−39%−20%+28%
Right side−6%−50%−15%−8%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdMotherwell concededLeft side+20%−8%Centre−12%+28%Right side−6%+7%Open play−14%+4%Counter-attacks+162%+156%Set pieces+6%+17%Headers+38%+18%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−21%−50%Centre−20%−39%Right side−15%−40%Open play−30%−45%Counter-attacks−88%−80%Set pieces+15%−30%Headers−4%−16%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneMotherwell

1.17xG1.17
0.81xG against1.61
47%Possession48%
12.5Shots11.7
9.4Shots against12.7
2.8Shots on target2.8
1.4Big chances1.2
23.2Touches in the opposition box22.2
372Passes362
67%Pass accuracy72%
4.8Corners6.2
54%Field tilt39%
37.7Final-third entries32.5
9.9Box entries10.2
15.3Passes per defensive action14.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level541.040.84
Ahead102.410.79
Behind260.970.77

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level360.991.71
Ahead281.301.44
Behind261.271.64

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.112–2
16–300.060.070–1
31–450.200.121–6
46–600.170.181–1
61–750.280.083–1
76–900.280.253–5

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.344–3
16–300.150.192–3
31–450.200.273–2
46–600.260.141–1
61–750.310.283–3
76–900.070.391–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTParish 8Clark 5Kerr 12Craig 2McCann 1Gordon 12McCart 12McNamara 11Kerr 1Rooney 1McCann 9McNamara 2Bryson 1Davidson 5Craig 4Wotherspoon 3Tanser 11Booth 2Conway 8McCann 2Craig 1Wotherspoon 7O'Halloran 6May 1Hendry 7May 5O'Halloran 13-4-2-1 in 7 of 13 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (7), 5-3-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-1-2-2-1 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWCarson 10Chapman 2O'Donnell 9Grimshaw 2Gallagher 1Gallagher 10O'Hara 3Mugabi 6Lamie 5McGinley 5Lamie 4Grimshaw 3Campbell 11Long 1Seedorf 1O'Hara 8Maguire 3Polworth 8Turnbull 2Donnelly 1Seedorf 3Lang 2Mugabi 2Watt 5Long 4White 2Lang 3Watt 2Cole 24-3-3 in 5 of 12 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (5), 4-4-2 (3), 5-3-2 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
12 September 2020Motherwell1–0St. JohnstonexG 0.26–1.02

1 league meeting since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 0, Motherwell won 1, and 0 were drawn. Goals 0–1 and xG 1.02–0.26 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May6603310.380.16
Conway10880220.260.26
Hendry8621000.320.03
Wotherspoon10861210.150.13

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Watt7615210.360.05
Lang6558210.350.03
Polworth8670020.070.21
Long6553110.160.02

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.