Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Livingston 1–0 St. Johnstone

Saturday 15 October 2022, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 11 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 1,554

Livingston Bahamboula 35'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonSt. Johnstone
Goals10
xG1.080.42
Expected Points1.890.75

Livingston 51%Draw 36%St. Johnstone 13%

Most likely score 1–0, 24%. Final score 1–0, 24%.

St. Johnstone goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+9%2%12%2%13%6%1%4%2%22%24%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTLongridge on for Montano, 46'Fitzwater on for Guthrie and Anderson on for Holt, 71'Boyes on for Bahamboula, 84'Shinnie on for Stephen Kelly, 90+1'Kucheriavyi on for Bair and McLennan on for Mitchell, 66'Montgomery on for Brown and Crawford on for Murphy, 77'Wotherspoon on for Wright, 82'Bahamboula 35'Livingston 1.08St. Johnstone 0.4200.511.50153045607590HTLongridge on for Montano, 46'Fitzwater on for Guthrie and Anderson on for Holt, 71'Boyes on for Bahamboula, 84'Shinnie on for Stephen Kelly, 90+1'Kucheriavyi on for Bair and McLennan on for Mitchell, 66'Montgomery on for Brown and Crawford on for Murphy, 77'Wotherspoon on for Wright, 82'Bahamboula 35'1.080.42LivingstonSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonSt. Johnstone

1.08 +0.09xG0.42 −0.34
0.41 −0.64xG on target0.35 −0.57
14 +3.7Shots10 +0.7
4 +0.8Shots on target3 +0.3
1 −1.0Big chances1 −0.2
34 +3Touches in the opposition box14 −1
51% +9Possession49% +8
349 +55Passes335 +19
64% −1Pass accuracy60% −3
57% +9Field tilt43% +12
31 0Final-third entries20 −5
17 +7.0Box entries8 +0.7
11.0 −4Passes per defensive action11.7 −5
8 +4.1Corners2 −1.2
8 −4Tackles23 +6
11 0Interceptions11 0
22 +1Clearances26 0
3 +1.3Saves3 +0.8
20 +7Fouls18 +6
2 +1.1Offsides1 −0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Holt 62', 0.21 xGGuthrie 13', 0.18 xGBahamboula 69', 0.13 xGDevlin 68', 0.10 xGBahamboula 24', 0.08 xGLongridge 52', 0.06 xGBahamboula 73', 0.06 xGObileye 76', 0.06 xGDevlin 43', 0.05 xGPittman 34', 0.04 xGSean Kelly 45+1', 0.02 xGBahamboula 58', 0.02 xGSean Kelly 73', 0.02 xGBahamboula 35', 0.04 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals64%0.69 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 0.69 xG, 0 goals28%0.30 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.30 xG, 1 goal8%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Hallberg 81', 0.08 xGCrawford 90', 0.08 xGMay 8', 0.06 xGMay 1', 0.05 xGMurphy 21', 0.04 xGMay 39', 0.04 xGBrown 8', 0.03 xGMurphy 60', 0.03 xGGordon 39', 0.01 xGWright 62', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals40%0.17 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals10%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals45%0.19 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals5%0.02 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonSt. Johnstone

0.74 9 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.41 9 shots, 0 goals
0.34 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.01 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
35 min (36%) · Livingston 0.34, St. Johnstone 0.17 xG
Livingston ahead
63 min (64%) · Livingston 0.74, St. Johnstone 0.25 xG

Line-ups

12624111718872819GeorgeDevlinObileyeSean KellyMontanoStephen KellyHoltPittmanBahamboulaGuthrieNoubleYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoal46'90+1'71'84'71'Livingston 4-3-3David Martindale1145642291322717MatthewsWrightMitchellGordonConsidineBrownMurphyMcGowanHallbergMayBairYellow cardYellow card82'66'77'77'66'St. Johnstone 5-3-2Callum Davidson

Livingston substitutes

  • 46' Longridge for Montano
  • 71' Fitzwater for Guthrie
  • 71' Anderson for Holt
  • 84' Boyes for Bahamboula
  • 90+1' Shinnie for Stephen Kelly

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 66' McLennan for Mitchell · yellow card 81'
  • 66' Kucheriavyi for Bair
  • 77' Montgomery for Brown
  • 77' Crawford for Murphy
  • 82' Wotherspoon for Wright

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0000.0570
DevlinRB900.150.0100.0764
Obileye CB900.060.0000.0348
Sean KellyCB900.050.1430.0569
MontanoLB460.000.2720.3274
Stephen KellyCM900.000.1030.0382
Holt CM710.210.0400.0622
Pittman CM900.040.1510.0200
BahamboulaRW8410.330.020−0.0167
GuthrieST710.180.030−0.0101
NoubleLW9010.000.0220.0161
LongridgeDF440.060.1110.1843
FitzwaterDF190.000.0000.0010
AndersonFW190.000.010−0.0200
BoyesDF60.000.0000.0003
ShinnieFW00.000.0000.0100

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MatthewsGK900.000.0000.0110
WrightRWB820.010.0310.0335
Mitchell CB660.000.0100.02110
GordonCB900.010.0110.0349
ConsidineCB900.000.0200.10710
BrownLWB770.030.0000.0344
MurphyCM770.060.0810.0942
McGowan CM900.000.0300.0356
HallbergCM900.080.0300.0008
MayST900.150.000−0.0811
BairST660.000.010−0.0213
McLennan MF240.000.0510.0612
KucheriavyiMF240.000.000−0.0102
MontgomeryDF130.000.0000.0010
CrawfordMF130.080.0100.0010
WotherspoonMF80.000.0200.0210

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

George and Pittman: 3 passesObileye and Bahamboula: 3 passesBahamboula and Guthrie: 3 passesObileye and Sean Kelly: 4 passesObileye and Holt: 4 passesSean Kelly and Holt: 4 passesSean Kelly and Nouble: 4 passesMontano and Holt: 4 passesPittman and Stephen Kelly: 4 passesPittman and Guthrie: 4 passesGuthrie and Nouble: 4 passesGeorge and Obileye: 5 passesDevlin and Holt: 5 passesDevlin and Guthrie: 5 passesGeorge and Devlin: 6 passesSean Kelly and Montano: 6 passesStephen Kelly and Bahamboula: 6 passesDevlin and Obileye: 7 passesMontano and Nouble: 7 passesMontano and Stephen Kelly: 8 passesDevlin and Bahamboula: 9 passesMontano and Pittman: 12 passesGeorge: 11 completed passesDevlin: 23 completed passesObileye: 16 completed passesSean Kelly: 16 completed passesMontano: 23 completed passesHolt: 11 completed passesPittman: 12 completed passesStephen Kelly: 16 completed passesBahamboula: 12 completed passesGuthrie: 9 completed passesNouble: 6 completed passes12624111881772819GeorgeDevlinObileyeSean KellyMontanoHoltPittmanStephen KellyBahamboulaGuthrieNoubleStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

St. Johnstone

Matthews and Gordon: 3 passesMatthews and Brown: 3 passesWright and Murphy: 3 passesWright and Bair: 3 passesGordon and Hallberg: 3 passesBrown and McGowan: 3 passesMatthews and Mitchell: 4 passesWright and Hallberg: 4 passesBrown and Murphy: 4 passesMcGowan and Hallberg: 4 passesMcGowan and Murphy: 4 passesMurphy and May: 4 passesWright and Mitchell: 5 passesConsidine and Gordon: 5 passesBrown and Hallberg: 5 passesMurphy and Bair: 5 passesConsidine and Hallberg: 8 passesMatthews and Considine: 9 passesConsidine and Murphy: 9 passesConsidine and Brown: 10 passesMatthews: 17 completed passesWright: 11 completed passesMitchell: 9 completed passesConsidine: 22 completed passesGordon: 10 completed passesBrown: 12 completed passesMcGowan: 10 completed passesHallberg: 19 completed passesMurphy: 15 completed passesMay: 2 completed passesBair: 4 completed passes1145462132229717MatthewsWrightMitchellConsidineGordonBrownMcGowanHallbergMurphyMayBairStarters until 66' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
LongridgeNouble12
DevlinBahamboula7
MontanoPittman7
Stephen KellyPittman6
DevlinGeorge6

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
MurphyConsidine6
HallbergConsidine6
BrownConsidine6
ConsidineBrown6
MatthewsConsidine6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

7+2.28+1.811+0.99+1.95+0.37−1.610+4.05−0.15−1.78+1.82−4.12−0.88+3.67−0.610+6.34+0.83+1.33−0.83−1.71−1.24+2.82+1.11−0.35+2.20−1.20−0.22+1.42+1.71+0.82−6.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 9 matches

St. Johnstone

19+12.87−1.916+0.15−1.75−1.312+4.25−3.17−0.614+4.98+0.27+0.41−3.73−0.82−3.43−4.13−1.53−1.30−2.50−2.66+2.51−1.83+1.40−0.31+0.16+4.71−0.11+0.83+2.70−0.20−0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.020.020.010.030.010.010.020.010.020.040.020.060.010.030.050.100.070.010.010.13−0.220.060.28LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.020.020.030.020.010.010.020.010.030.04−0.02−0.01−0.010.020.02−0.06−0.030.090.09LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.20AttackLivingston1.04 → 1.05St. Johnstone0.86 → 0.84Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.23 → 1.21St. Johnstone1.35 → 1.36

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six46%54%+8
11th4%3%−1
Bottom2%1%−1
St. Johnstone
Top six9%6%−3
11th20%22%+2
Bottom16%19%+3
Aberdeen
Top six68%67%−1

From the forecast before the match (15 October 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.410.80
Win51%21%
Expected Points1.810.91
Clean sheet45%24%

Livingston 51%Draw 29%St. Johnstone 21%

Most likely score 1–0, 15%. Both sides score 42%.

St. Johnstone goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+8%4%5%1%9%3%5%4%2%2%1%12%15%13%11%

From the forecast as it stood on 15 October 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Livingston
Top six46%54%41%34%
11th4%3%5%7%
Bottom2%1%2%4%
St. Johnstone
Top six9%6%9%16%
11th20%22%20%15%
Bottom16%19%15%10%
Aberdeen
Top six68%67%69%71%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. L0–18 OctRoss County (H)xG 1.73–0.53
  2. L1–21 OctSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.45–0.77
  3. W1–017 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 0.83–0.11
  4. W1–03 SepHearts (H)xG 1.19–0.69
  5. L0–527 AugAberdeen (A)xG 0.53–4.14
  6. L0–120 AugMotherwell (A)xG 0.27–1.43

St. Johnstone

  1. L1–28 OctCeltic (H)xG 0.43–1.66
  2. L1–25 OctKilmarnock (A)xG 0.87–1.28
  3. W2–11 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.72–1.30
  4. D0–017 SepRoss County (H)xG 0.82–0.39
  5. W3–03 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.25–0.81
  6. L2–328 AugHearts (A)xG 0.77–2.74

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonSt. Johnstone
Position8th9th
Played910
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠0–⁠53–⁠1–⁠6
Points12 (1.33 per game)10 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.330.97
Goals7–⁠1211–⁠15
xG per game0.99–⁠1.240.76–⁠1.30
Home: points, xG per game1.80, 1.15–⁠0.870.80, 0.80–⁠0.94
Away: points, xG per game0.75, 0.79–⁠1.711.20, 0.71–⁠1.66
ManagerDavid Martindale (70)Callum Davidson (86)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.20AttackLivingston1.04, 7thSt. Johnstone0.86, 12thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.23, 5thSt. Johnstone1.35, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctLivingston attack: 1.04St. Johnstone attack: 0.861.040.86St. JohnstoneLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctLivingston defence: 1.23St. Johnstone defence: 1.351.351.23

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−29%−27%−46%+22%
Counter-attacks−100%−77%−56%−100%
Set pieces+15%+33%−24%−30%
Penalties−25%+124%−33%−33%
Headers−23%+49%−54%+8%
Left side−11%−21%−47%−13%
Centre−24%−24%−49%+1%
Right side−31%+1%−26%+29%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−11%+29%Centre−24%+1%Right side−31%−13%Open play−29%+22%Counter-attacks−100%−100%Set pieces+15%−30%Headers−23%+8%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdLivingston concededLeft side−47%+1%Centre−49%−24%Right side−26%−21%Open play−46%−27%Counter-attacks−56%−77%Set pieces−24%+33%Headers−54%+49%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonSt. Johnstone

0.99xG0.76
1.24xG against1.30
42%Possession40%
10.3Shots9.3
12.1Shots against15.2
3.2Shots on target2.7
2.0Big chances1.2
31.0Touches in the opposition box15.2
294Passes316
65%Pass accuracy64%
3.9Corners3.2
48%Field tilt32%
30.9Final-third entries25.0
10.0Box entries7.3
15.3Passes per defensive action16.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.071.08
Ahead310.760.93
Behind131.242.54

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level430.711.11
Ahead220.821.22
Behind250.761.70

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.190.082–0
16–300.140.032–0
31–450.170.240–1
46–600.070.261–2
61–750.160.390–7
76–900.250.252–2

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.192–1
16–300.200.092–1
31–450.050.201–3
46–600.120.181–2
61–750.070.231–1
76–900.230.404–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMAMAMSTGeorge 9Devlin 9Fitzwater 5Obileye 9Sean Kelly 4Montano 7Holt 1Cancar 1Pittman 5Omeonga 5Shinnie 1Holt 8Bahamboula 2Sean Kelly 5Goncalves 1Shinnie 5Omeonga 3Penrice 2Pittman 4Nouble 2Guthrie 1Nouble 7Guthrie 24-3-2-1 in 4 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-3-2-1 (4), 4-3-3 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTMatthews 10McGowan 6Mitchell 10Gordon 4Considine 10Wright 10Hallberg 7Brown 1McGowan 3Murphy 2MacPherson 2Montgomery 6Brown 3Phillips 1Clark 5Carey 5Hallberg 3Murphy 6May 5Bair 4Murphy 13-4-2-1 in 5 of 10 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (5), 5-3-2 (4), 3-4-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
7 May 2022Livingston1–1St. JohnstonexG 1.25–1.21
2 April 2022St. Johnstone1–0LivingstonxG 0.99–0.73
1 February 2022Livingston1–2St. JohnstonexG 1.24–0.41
16 October 2021St. Johnstone0–3LivingstonxG 1.45–1.55
15 May 2021St. Johnstone0–0LivingstonxG 0.22–0.30
6 February 2021Livingston1–2St. JohnstonexG 0.86–1.78

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 3, St. Johnstone won 3, and 2 were drawn. Goals 10–7 and xG 0.93–1.03 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nouble9787210.210.12
Sean Kelly9732020.130.16
Montano7615300.080.14
Obileye9810100.140.04

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Carey6512200.210.06
May5491230.190.06
Murphy9709100.090.05
Wright10870100.080.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.