Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Motherwell 0–3 St. Johnstone

Saturday 20 February 2021, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 33 · Half-time 0–2

St. Johnstone Melamed 19', 50' (pen), Kerr 45'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

MotherwellSt. Johnstone
Goals03
xG0.033.04
Non-penalty xG0.032.25
Expected Points0.022.97

Motherwell <1%Draw 2%St. Johnstone 98%

Most likely score 0–3, 30%. Final score 0–3, 30%.

St. Johnstone goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+1%9%20%9%4%24%30%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTHastie on for Long, McGinley on for Carroll, and Roberts on for Maguire, 61'Bryson on for Wotherspoon, 62'May on for Kane, 76'Middleton on for Melamed, 77'Gilmour on for McCann, 90'Melamed 19'Kerr 45'Melamed 50' (pen)St. Johnstone 3.04Motherwell 0.03012340153045607590HTHastie on for Long, McGinley on for Carroll, and Roberts on for Maguire, 61'Bryson on for Wotherspoon, 62'May on for Kane, 76'Middleton on for Melamed, 77'Gilmour on for McCann, 90'Melamed 19'Kerr 45'Melamed 50' (pen)3.040.03MotherwellSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellSt. Johnstone

0.03 −1.09xG3.04 +1.82
0.03Non-penalty xG2.25
0.02 −0.94xG on target2.36 +1.47
1 −10Shots22 +10
1 −2.4Shots on target7 +3.8
0 −1.3Big chances3 +1.6
4 −15Touches in the opposition box39 +18
53% +8Possession47% +2
417 +71Passes358 −4
73% +4Pass accuracy67% +1
22% −14Field tilt78% +27
24 −7Final-third entries37 +1
2 −7.9Box entries10 +0.6
15.9 +1Passes per defensive action9.8 −5
6 +1.1Corners7 +2.6
13 −1Tackles27 +10
9 −2Interceptions18 +5
28 +5Clearances9 −11
4 +1.1Saves1 −0.7
10 −2Fouls13 0
0 −2.0Offsides0 −2.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Motherwell

Polworth 33', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGCentral box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals100%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Rooney 45', 0.66 xGKane 45', 0.39 xGRooney 63', 0.21 xGGordon 42', 0.12 xGMiddleton 79', 0.12 xGKerr 43', 0.09 xGMelamed 30', 0.07 xGMelamed 31', 0.07 xGCraig 4', 0.06 xGMcCann 34', 0.06 xGRooney 4', 0.05 xGMcCann 13', 0.04 xGRooney 32', 0.04 xGWotherspoon 47', 0.04 xGMcCann 20', 0.03 xGBooth 56', 0.03 xGCraig 73', 0.03 xGMay 87', 0.03 xGCraig 45', 0.02 xGKerr 45', 0.05 xG, goalMelamed 19', 0.03 xG, goal65%1.47 xGSix-yard box: 5 shots, 1.47 xG, 0 goals17%0.39 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.39 xG, 1 goal7%0.15 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals11%0.24 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.24 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellSt. Johnstone

0.03 1 shot, 0 goalsOpen play0.55 11 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces1.70 10 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
19 min (21%) · Motherwell 0.00, St. Johnstone 0.18 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
71 min (79%) · Motherwell 0.03, St. Johnstone 2.86 xG

Line-ups

132740431581944932KellyJohnstonMagloireLamieCarrollMaguireCrawfordPolworthColeLongWattYellow card61'61'61'Motherwell 4-3-3Graham Alexander15641918262417109ClarkKerrGordonMcCartRooneyMcCannCraigBoothMelamedWotherspoonKaneGoalGoalGoal90'77'62'76'St. Johnstone 3-4-2-1Callum Davidson

Motherwell substitutes

  • 61' Hastie for Long
  • 61' McGinley for Carroll
  • 61' Roberts for Maguire

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 62' Bryson for Wotherspoon
  • 76' May for Kane
  • 77' Middleton for Melamed
  • 90' Gilmour for McCann

Players

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0000.0210
JohnstonRB900.000.0100.0477
MagloireCB900.000.0000.0009
LamieCB900.000.0200.03113
CarrollLB610.000.0000.0339
MaguireCM610.000.0000.0231
CrawfordCM900.000.0000.0135
PolworthCM900.030.0200.0865
ColeRW900.000.010−0.0100
Long ST610.000.000−0.0101
WattLW900.000.0110.0233
HastieMF290.000.0000.0011
McGinleyMF290.000.0100.0522
RobertsFW290.000.000−0.0110

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0000.0130
KerrCB9010.140.0510.1047
GordonCB900.120.0000.0457
McCartCB900.000.0210.0757
RooneyRWB9010.960.4610.42103
McCannCM900.130.041−0.1527
CraigCM900.110.3830.0597
BoothLWB900.030.2230.2995
MelamedAM7720.960.040−0.0213
WotherspoonAM620.040.3630.0632
KaneST760.390.1510.0112
BrysonMF280.000.0100.0213
MayFW140.030.1810.1821
MiddletonFW130.120.0000.0110
GilmourMF00.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Johnston and Polworth: 5 passesJohnston and Long: 5 passesMagloire and Maguire: 5 passesLamie and Carroll: 5 passesLamie and Watt: 5 passesCarroll and Watt: 5 passesPolworth and Long: 5 passesMaguire and Long: 5 passesMagloire and Lamie: 6 passesCarroll and Crawford: 6 passesCarroll and Polworth: 6 passesCrawford and Polworth: 6 passesPolworth and Maguire: 6 passesLamie and Crawford: 7 passesCarroll and Cole: 7 passesJohnston and Magloire: 8 passesJohnston and Cole: 9 passesPolworth and Watt: 9 passesJohnston and Maguire: 10 passesKelly and Magloire: 11 passesKelly and Lamie: 14 passesKelly: 26 completed passesJohnston: 27 completed passesMagloire: 20 completed passesLamie: 24 completed passesCarroll: 18 completed passesCrawford: 16 completed passesPolworth: 25 completed passesMaguire: 19 completed passesLong: 6 completed passesCole: 15 completed passesWatt: 19 completed passes132740438191594432KellyJohnstonMagloireLamieCarrollCrawfordPolworthMaguireLongColeWattStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

St. Johnstone

McCart and Wotherspoon: 4 passesKerr and McCann: 4 passesGordon and Craig: 4 passesGordon and Wotherspoon: 4 passesRooney and Wotherspoon: 4 passesRooney and Melamed: 4 passesBooth and Melamed: 4 passesCraig and Wotherspoon: 4 passesCraig and Kane: 4 passesMcCann and Kane: 4 passesWotherspoon and Kane: 4 passesClark and Gordon: 5 passesMcCart and Craig: 5 passesKerr and Melamed: 5 passesBooth and McCann: 5 passesMcCart and Gordon: 6 passesCraig and McCann: 7 passesRooney and McCann: 9 passesKerr and Rooney: 11 passesRooney and Craig: 13 passesMcCart and Booth: 14 passesBooth and Craig: 19 passesBooth and Wotherspoon: 24 passesClark: 7 completed passesMcCart: 24 completed passesKerr: 14 completed passesGordon: 14 completed passesRooney: 19 completed passesBooth: 39 completed passesCraig: 33 completed passesMcCann: 19 completed passesWotherspoon: 27 completed passesMelamed: 11 completed passesKane: 6 completed passes14561924261810179ClarkMcCartKerrGordonRooneyBoothCraigMcCannWotherspoonMelamedKaneStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

FromToPasses
JohnstonMagloire10
KellyLamie10
MagloireKelly10
JohnstonPolworth9
KellyMagloire8

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
BoothCraig13
CraigRooney12
WotherspoonBooth12
BoothWotherspoon12
BoothMcCart10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

4−0.55−1.819+2.913+4.213+6.97+0.53−5.09+2.73−4.811+3.87+2.03−2.13−0.97+1.82−2.95+1.72−1.22−0.60−3.02−1.51−1.20−1.61+0.20−1.51−1.10−0.80−0.510.00−0.41+0.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 28 matches

St. Johnstone

6+1.72−2.70−5.08+2.85−4.05−3.310+3.16−2.75−1.56−0.44−1.56−0.59+2.54−1.01−3.49+6.210+6.56+1.09+6.24+2.04+2.51−0.64+1.03+1.70−0.31+0.60−0.50−0.86−6.53−5.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 29 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

0.010.020.010.010.020.010.010.010.010.010.040.030.020.030.020.010.010.01−0.010.01−0.01−0.15−0.010.13LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.030.020.010.050.020.010.020.040.020.040.070.030.050.010.060.08−0.01−0.160.130.190.37LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackMotherwell1.05 → 1.01St. Johnstone1.09 → 1.14Defence (lower is better)Motherwell1.42 → 1.46St. Johnstone1.11 → 1.08

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Motherwell
Top six4%1%−3
11th8%12%+4
Bottom3%4%+1
St. Johnstone
Top six12%22%+10
11th1%<1%−1
St. Mirren
Top six74%69%−5
Hamilton Academical
11th37%34%−3
Bottom30%30%0

From the forecast before the match (20 February 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

MotherwellSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.021.36
Win27%44%
Expected Points1.111.61
Clean sheet26%36%

Motherwell 27%Draw 29%St. Johnstone 44%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 48%.

St. Johnstone goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+9%4%1%9%9%4%1%5%7%4%2%2%2%2%10%12%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 20 February 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowMotherwell winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Motherwell
Top six4%10%2%1%
11th8%4%7%12%
Bottom3%1%2%4%
St. Johnstone
Top six12%3%6%22%
11th1%3%2%<1%
St. Mirren
Top six74%78%80%69%
Hamilton Academical
11th37%40%38%34%
Bottom30%29%29%30%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

  1. L1–413 FebHamilton Academical (H)xG 1.32–2.03
  2. W1–010 FebKilmarnock (A)xG 0.95–1.00
  3. L1–26 FebCeltic (A)xG 0.42–1.57
  4. W2–13 FebDundee United (H)xG 1.90–0.97
  5. W2–127 JanRoss County (A)xG 1.56–1.86
  6. L0–223 JanAberdeen (A)xG 0.47–3.10

St. Johnstone

  1. L1–214 FebCeltic (H)xG 0.30–1.44
  2. W2–16 FebLivingston (A)xG 1.78–0.86
  3. L0–13 FebRangers (A)xG 0.27–1.33
  4. W3–230 JanKilmarnock (A)xG 2.14–1.17
  5. D0–027 JanAberdeen (H)xG 0.36–1.10
  6. W1–016 JanSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.06–0.30

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellSt. Johnstone
Position9th8th
Played2829
Won, drawn, lost7–⁠7–⁠147–⁠9–⁠13
Points28 (1.00 per game)30 (1.03 per game)
Expected Points per game1.081.48
Goals26–⁠4328–⁠39
xG per game1.12–⁠1.601.22–⁠0.98
Home: points, xG per game0.86, 1.13–⁠1.580.93, 1.04–⁠0.84
Away: points, xG per game1.14, 1.12–⁠1.611.13, 1.38–⁠1.11
ManagerGraham Alexander (8)Callum Davidson (29)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackMotherwell1.05, 7thSt. Johnstone1.09, 5thDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.42, 10thSt. Johnstone1.11, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMotherwell attack: 1.05St. Johnstone attack: 1.091.091.05St. JohnstoneMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMotherwell defence: 1.42St. Johnstone defence: 1.111.421.11

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−14%+13%−8%−17%
Counter-attacks−70%+171%+49%−79%
Set pieces+9%+20%+6%−19%
Penalties−17%+66%−20%−40%
Headers+1%+32%+1%−16%
Left side−27%+5%+10%−16%
Centre−5%+30%−13%−16%
Right side−4%+26%+6%−34%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−27%−34%Centre−5%−16%Right side−4%−16%Open play−14%−17%Counter-attacks−70%−79%Set pieces+9%−19%Headers+1%−16%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdMotherwell concededLeft side+10%+26%Centre−13%+30%Right side+6%+5%Open play−8%+13%Counter-attacks+49%+171%Set pieces+6%+20%Headers+1%+32%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellSt. Johnstone

1.12xG1.22
1.60xG against0.98
46%Possession45%
10.8Shots12.2
13.9Shots against9.8
3.4Shots on target3.2
1.3Big chances1.4
19.1Touches in the opposition box20.6
346Passes362
69%Pass accuracy65%
4.9Corners4.4
36%Field tilt52%
30.9Final-third entries35.9
9.9Box entries9.4
14.7Passes per defensive action14.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level351.231.59
Ahead251.031.60
Behind301.081.60

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level571.081.01
Ahead111.561.30
Behind221.380.73

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.326–9
16–300.260.207–4
31–450.130.193–5
46–600.200.232–5
61–750.250.277–7
76–900.090.391–13

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.122–4
16–300.140.123–4
31–450.170.227–11
46–600.200.206–7
61–750.280.115–3
76–900.280.215–10

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWCarson 12Kelly 8Chapman 4O'Donnell 24Grimshaw 2Mugabi 1Gallagher 22O'Hara 4Mugabi 18Lamie 12Carroll 9Grimshaw 8McGinley 7Campbell 26Long 1Seedorf 1O'Hara 14Crawford 11Grimshaw 1Polworth 17Maguire 9Turnbull 2Long 6Seedorf 5Lang 4Watt 13Cole 7Long 5Watt 10Lang 7Cole 64-3-3 in 17 of 28 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (17), 5-3-2 (4), 3-5-2 (3), 4-4-2 (3), 4-2-3-1 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTClark 21Parish 8Kerr 21Rooney 7Craig 2Gordon 28McCart 28McNamara 20Rooney 6Kerr 1McCann 21Bryson 7McNamara 2Davidson 13Craig 8Wotherspoon 4Tanser 21Booth 7Bryson 1Conway 15Melamed 4McCann 2Wotherspoon 18O'Halloran 10May 4May 10Kane 9Hendry 73-4-2-1 in 18 of 29 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (18), 3-4-3 (4), 5-3-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-1-2-2-1 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
21 November 2020St. Johnstone1–1MotherwellxG 2.14–0.69
12 September 2020Motherwell1–0St. JohnstonexG 0.26–1.02

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 1, St. Johnstone won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 2–1 and xG 0.47–1.58 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Cole141,139520.510.02
Lang121,038310.360.03
Watt231,945340.250.12
Polworth171,448030.070.24

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May141,416530.480.15
Kane111,025410.390.12
Conway171,391320.230.21
Hendry8691000.320.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.