Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Ross County 1–1 Dundee United

Saturday 15 October 2022, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 11 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Craig Napier · Attendance 3,744

Ross County Callachan 39'

Dundee United Watt 61'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyDundee United
Goals11
xG0.351.64
Expected Points0.392.40

Ross County 6%Draw 22%Dundee United 73%

Most likely score 0–1, 24%. Final score 1–1, 10%.

Dundee United goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+11%10%3%4%10%8%4%1%1%1%24%21%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTAkio on for Edwards and Olaigbe on for Hiwula-Mayifuila, 73'Samuel on for Cancola, 81'Watson on for Purrington, 87'Dhanda on for White, 88'Djoum on for McGrath and Meekison on for Sibbald, 46'Fletcher on for Middleton, 83'Callachan 39'Watt 61'Dundee United 1.64Ross County 0.3500.511.520153045607590HTAkio on for Edwards and Olaigbe on for Hiwula-Mayifuila, 73'Samuel on for Cancola, 81'Watson on for Purrington, 87'Dhanda on for White, 88'Djoum on for McGrath and Meekison on for Sibbald, 46'Fletcher on for Middleton, 83'Callachan 39'Watt 61'1.640.35Ross CountyDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyDundee United

0.35 −0.34xG1.64 +0.78
6 −1.7Shots14 +3.1
1 −0.8Shots on target3 −0.9
0 −0.8Big chances2 +1.3
13 −1Touches in the opposition box21 −1
41% −1Possession59% +14
305 −6Passes435 +72
68% +6Pass accuracy78% +8
41% +7Field tilt59% +16
39 +11Final-third entries46 +9
5 −1.4Box entries11 +1.6
16.7 +2Passes per defensive action13.3 −3
4 +1.0Corners10 +4.8
14 −2Tackles15 +1
6 −4.7Interceptions5 −4.1
17 −7Clearances26 +5
2 −1.3Saves0 −3.9
12 −1Fouls11 +1
3 +0.6Offsides1 −0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Johnson 90+5', 0.08 xGWhite 24', 0.06 xGOlaigbe 75', 0.03 xGTillson 4', 0.02 xGWhite 27', 0.02 xGCallachan 39', 0.13 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals86%0.30 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.30 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals14%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

Middleton 37', 0.22 xGMiddleton 61', 0.17 xGWatt 33', 0.15 xGMiddleton 45', 0.11 xGMcGrath 31', 0.09 xGWatt 48', 0.08 xGEdwards 45+1', 0.06 xGWatt 45+1', 0.06 xGWatt 52', 0.06 xGWatt 18', 0.03 xGSmith 65', 0.03 xGBehich 30', 0.02 xGLevitt 77', 0.02 xGWatt 61', 0.54 xG, goal33%0.54 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.54 xG, 1 goal42%0.69 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.69 xG, 0 goals21%0.34 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.34 xG, 0 goals4%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyDundee United

0.18 3 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.28 8 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.11 1 shot, 0 goals
0.16 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.25 5 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
73 min (76%) · Ross County 0.35, Dundee United 0.56 xG
Ross County ahead
23 min (24%) · Ross County 0.00, Dundee United 1.08 xG

Line-ups

112563422198726LaidlawJohnsonBaldwinIacovittiPurringtonCancolaTillsonHiwula-MayifuilaCallachanEdwardsWhiteYellow cardGoal87'81'73'73'88'Ross County 4-2-3-1Malky Mackay13212322141916181532ErikssonSmithEdwardsMcMannFreemanSibbaldLevittBehichMcGrathMiddletonWattGoal46'46'83'Dundee United 3-4-2-1Liam Fox

Ross County substitutes

  • 73' Olaigbe for Hiwula-Mayifuila
  • 73' Akio for Edwards
  • 81' Samuel for Cancola
  • 87' Watson for Purrington
  • 88' Dhanda for White

Dundee United substitutes

  • 46' Meekison for Sibbald
  • 46' Djoum for McGrath
  • 83' Fletcher for Middleton

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0340
Johnson RB900.080.0200.0676
BaldwinCB900.000.0100.0785
IacovittiCB900.000.0000.0784
PurringtonLB8710.000.0920.1167
CancolaDM810.000.0510.0261
TillsonDM900.020.010−0.0114
Hiwula-MayifuilaRW730.000.010−0.0113
CallachanAM9010.130.0500.1476
EdwardsLW730.000.0200.0572
WhiteST880.080.021−0.0714
OlaigbeMF170.030.0000.0110
AkioFW170.000.0000.0110
SamuelFW90.000.0000.0100
WatsonDF30.000.000––0
DhandaMF20.000.0910.0300

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ErikssonGK900.000.0000.0212
SmithCB900.030.0200.1098
EdwardsCB900.060.032−0.0978
McMannCB900.000.0200.12125
FreemanRWB900.000.1610.2393
SibbaldCM460.000.010−0.0114
LevittCM900.020.0500.0531
BehichLWB900.020.0220.06112
McGrathAM460.090.0830.0430
MiddletonAM8310.500.4920.2853
WattST9010.910.0410.0115
MeekisonMF440.000.000−0.0212
DjoumMF440.000.0000.0021
FletcherFW70.000.0100.0102

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Laidlaw and Purrington: 4 passesLaidlaw and White: 4 passesIacovitti and Edwards: 4 passesPurrington and Callachan: 4 passesCancola and Hiwula-Mayifuila: 4 passesCancola and Callachan: 4 passesCallachan and White: 4 passesEdwards and White: 4 passesJohnson and Callachan: 5 passesBaldwin and Cancola: 5 passesBaldwin and Callachan: 5 passesCancola and Edwards: 5 passesTillson and Edwards: 5 passesCallachan and Edwards: 5 passesJohnson and Hiwula-Mayifuila: 6 passesPurrington and Cancola: 6 passesPurrington and White: 6 passesLaidlaw and Baldwin: 7 passesJohnson and Cancola: 7 passesHiwula-Mayifuila and Callachan: 8 passesIacovitti and Cancola: 9 passesJohnson and Baldwin: 10 passesPurrington and Edwards: 13 passesBaldwin and Iacovitti: 14 passesIacovitti and Purrington: 14 passesLaidlaw: 11 completed passesJohnson: 22 completed passesBaldwin: 26 completed passesIacovitti: 26 completed passesPurrington: 30 completed passesCancola: 24 completed passesTillson: 8 completed passesHiwula-Mayifuila: 13 completed passesCallachan: 19 completed passesEdwards: 15 completed passesWhite: 12 completed passes112563422198726LaidlawJohnsonBaldwinIacovittiPurringtonCancolaTillsonHiwula-MayifuilaCallachanEdwardsWhiteStarters until 73' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Dundee United

Edwards and Levitt: 4 passesEdwards and McGrath: 4 passesSmith and McMann: 4 passesMcMann and McGrath: 4 passesMcMann and Middleton: 4 passesFreeman and McGrath: 4 passesSibbald and McGrath: 4 passesMcGrath and Watt: 4 passesEriksson and Edwards: 5 passesEdwards and Freeman: 5 passesBehich and McGrath: 5 passesSmith and Sibbald: 6 passesMcMann and Behich: 6 passesMcMann and Sibbald: 6 passesBehich and Levitt: 6 passesBehich and Middleton: 6 passesSmith and Freeman: 8 passesLevitt and McGrath: 8 passesEdwards and Smith: 9 passesSmith and Levitt: 9 passesSmith and McGrath: 9 passesEdwards and McMann: 13 passesMcMann and Levitt: 13 passesEriksson: 10 completed passesEdwards: 25 completed passesSmith: 29 completed passesMcMann: 27 completed passesFreeman: 13 completed passesBehich: 16 completed passesSibbald: 12 completed passesLevitt: 26 completed passesMcGrath: 23 completed passesMiddleton: 7 completed passesWatt: 6 completed passes13122322161419181532ErikssonEdwardsSmithMcMannFreemanBehichSibbaldLevittMcGrathMiddletonWattStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
JohnsonBaldwin10
BaldwinIacovitti9
IacovittiPurrington9
CancolaIacovitti7
PurringtonEdwards7

Dundee United

FromToPasses
EdwardsMcMann13
LevittMcMann12
BehichMiddleton9
McMannBehich9
LevittSmith9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

5−1.716−0.46−2.46+0.54−2.14−2.510+5.02−1.93−0.72−3.08+4.04−0.74+0.47+4.03−0.22−1.93+0.90−1.81+0.25+3.66+4.82+1.31+0.71+0.31+0.92+1.45−4.33−4.74−4.61−5.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

Dundee United

6+1.69+2.65−1.610+3.48+3.85+1.06−1.78+1.77+3.16+2.03−0.62−2.62−4.250.03−0.40−2.01−2.91−2.06+4.71−0.61+0.10−1.61−0.61+0.42+1.91+0.50−0.61+0.19−5.52−4.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.010.010.010.030.010.030.030.010.020.040.010.070.010.050.010.030.020.01−0.020.010.01−0.02−0.010.020.11LessMore

Dundee United

0.020.030.040.020.010.030.020.010.020.060.020.050.030.020.030.07−0.02−0.010.050.04−0.150.010.190.20LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.20AttackRoss County0.86 → 0.84Dundee United0.97 → 0.99Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.53 → 1.54Dundee United1.42 → 1.38

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six3%2%−1
11th24%23%−1
Bottom41%43%+2
Dundee United
Top six8%7%−1
11th21%22%+1
Bottom18%17%−1
Kilmarnock
Top six12%12%0
11th18%18%0
Bottom18%18%0

From the forecast before the match (15 October 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyDundee United
Expected goals1.221.12
Win38%33%
Expected Points1.421.28
Clean sheet33%30%

Ross County 38%Draw 29%Dundee United 33%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 48%.

Dundee United goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+6%2%7%3%7%8%5%2%3%3%2%1%10%10%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 15 October 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawDundee United win
Ross County
Top six3%5%2%1%
11th24%24%23%24%
Bottom41%30%43%51%
Dundee United
Top six8%5%7%12%
11th21%23%22%18%
Bottom18%25%17%10%
Kilmarnock
Top six12%12%12%12%
11th18%16%18%20%
Bottom18%19%18%16%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. W1–08 OctLivingston (A)xG 0.53–1.73
  2. L0–54 OctMotherwell (H)xG 0.52–2.58
  3. L0–21 OctHibernian (H)xG 0.66–1.66
  4. D0–017 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.39–0.82
  5. D1–13 SepAberdeen (H)xG 1.36–0.83
  6. L0–427 AugRangers (A)xG 0.48–3.19

Dundee United

  1. W1–011 OctHibernian (H)xG 0.56–1.31
  2. W4–08 OctAberdeen (H)xG 2.25–0.89
  3. L1–21 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.30–0.72
  4. L1–217 SepRangers (A)xG 0.59–1.51
  5. D0–03 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.36–3.28
  6. L0–928 AugCeltic (H)xG 0.22–5.53

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyDundee United
Position12th11th
Played1010
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠2–⁠62–⁠2–⁠6
Points8 (0.80 per game)8 (0.80 per game)
Expected Points per game0.820.89
Goals5–⁠189–⁠22
xG per game0.69–⁠1.530.86–⁠1.90
Home: points, xG per game0.80, 0.72–⁠1.501.00, 1.01–⁠1.87
Away: points, xG per game0.80, 0.66–⁠1.550.50, 0.63–⁠1.96
ManagerMalky Mackay (48)Liam Fox (5)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.20AttackRoss County0.86, 11thDundee United0.97, 8thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.53, 12thDundee United1.42, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRoss County attack: 0.86Dundee United attack: 0.970.970.86Dundee UnitedRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRoss County defence: 1.53Dundee United defence: 1.421.531.42

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−53%+25%−37%+60%
Counter-attacks−39%+113%−20%+284%
Set pieces−3%+5%−51%−3%
Penalties−100%−33%+34%−33%
Headers−28%+5%−59%−16%
Left side−16%+9%−24%+85%
Centre−43%+35%−52%+61%
Right side−63%+24%−35%+19%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdDundee United concededLeft side−16%+19%Centre−43%+61%Right side−63%+85%Open play−53%+60%Counter-attacks−39%+284%Set pieces−3%−3%Headers−28%−16%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdRoss County concededLeft side−24%+24%Centre−52%+35%Right side−35%+9%Open play−37%+25%Counter-attacks−20%+113%Set pieces−51%+5%Headers−59%+5%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyDundee United

0.69xG0.86
1.53xG against1.90
42%Possession45%
7.7Shots10.9
17.5Shots against16.5
1.8Shots on target3.9
0.8Big chances0.7
14.0Touches in the opposition box21.8
311Passes363
62%Pass accuracy70%
3.0Corners5.2
34%Field tilt43%
27.7Final-third entries37.3
6.4Box entries9.4
14.7Passes per defensive action16.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level620.691.42
Ahead20.001.71
Behind260.741.77

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level310.762.12
Ahead180.971.29
Behind410.892.00

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.060.200–0
16–300.160.210–2
31–450.080.270–1
46–600.060.431–8
61–750.160.141–0
76–900.160.283–7

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.311–4
16–300.090.180–0
31–450.150.463–5
46–600.080.401–7
61–750.230.232–1
76–900.200.312–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLaidlaw 10Johnson 6Watson 2Randall 2Baldwin 9Watson 1Iacovitti 10Purrington 10Callachan 6Paton 2Loturi 1Cancola 8Tillson 3Edwards 3Sims 2Akio 2Callachan 3Dhanda 3Samuel 3Olaigbe 3Edwards 2Sims 2White 5Hiwula-Mayifuila 54-2-3-1 in every start

Dundee United

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTEriksson 7Birighitti 3Smith 6Freeman 4Edwards 10Smith 4Middleton 2Cudjoe 2Graham 6Mulgrew 4McMann 2Behich 6McMann 3Middleton 1Harkes 7Sibbald 4Middleton 1Levitt 9Mulgrew 1McGrath 6Watt 8McGrath 2Anaku 1Fletcher 6Middleton 35-3-2 in 3 of 10 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (3), 4-3-3 (3), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
14 May 2022Ross County1–2Dundee UnitedxG 0.52–2.93
26 January 2022Dundee United2–1Ross CountyxG 2.96–1.19
27 November 2021Ross County1–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.53–0.47
2 October 2021Dundee United1–0Ross CountyxG 1.26–0.90
1 May 2021Dundee United0–2Ross CountyxG 0.16–2.18
6 February 2021Ross County0–2Dundee UnitedxG 0.74–1.65

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 1, Dundee United won 6, and 1 was a draw. Goals 7–12 and xG 1.17–1.57 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Edwards5541210.200.09
White5496100.180.10
Johnson6579000.050.07
Purrington10856000.030.08

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fletcher6485110.370.05
McGrath8703110.130.12
Watt8676200.170.07
Middleton7586000.100.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.