Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Livingston 1–2 Aberdeen

Saturday 1 May 2021, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 36 · Half-time 0–0

Livingston Emmanuel-Thomas 80'

Aberdeen Hendry 52', Hedges 74'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonAberdeen
Goals12
xG1.351.78
Expected Points1.021.70

Livingston 24%Draw 28%Aberdeen 47%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Final score 1–2, 13%.

Aberdeen goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+2%8%8%4%3%6%2%2%9%4%1%4%4%2%1%14%13%10%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTKabia on for Sibbald, 66'Mullin on for Poplatnik, 75'Hornby on for Hendry, 64'Hedges on for McGinn, 70'Kennedy on for Hornby, 88'Emmanuel-Thomas 80'Hendry 52'Hedges 74'Aberdeen 1.78Livingston 1.3500.511.520153045607590HTKabia on for Sibbald, 66'Mullin on for Poplatnik, 75'Hornby on for Hendry, 64'Hedges on for McGinn, 70'Kennedy on for Hornby, 88'Emmanuel-Thomas 80'Hendry 52'Hedges 74'1.781.35LivingstonAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonAberdeen

1.35 +0.20xG1.78 +0.57
1.02 −0.05xG on target2.07 +0.96
13 +3.1Shots12 +0.8
5 +2.0Shots on target8 +4.5
2 +0.5Big chances3 +1.6
55% +8Possession45% −6
380 +42Passes305 −92
71% +11Pass accuracy64% −7
68% +19Field tilt32% −18
39 +8Final-third entries19 −16
9 +1.1Box entries10 +0.4
9.1 −3Passes per defensive action13.1 −1
4 −0.6Corners3 −1.6
13 −3Tackles13 0
14 +2Interceptions4 −6
10 −8Clearances26 +6
6 +3.8Saves4 +1.9
11 −3Fouls16 +2
3 +1.1Offsides1 −0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Poplatnik 39', 0.31 xGKabia 90+2', 0.20 xGGuthrie 55', 0.09 xGPoplatnik 6', 0.08 xGDevlin 68', 0.08 xGGuthrie 77', 0.08 xGEmmanuel-Thomas 20', 0.07 xGSibbald 35', 0.06 xGEmmanuel-Thomas 67', 0.05 xGSibbald 35', 0.04 xGLongridge 65', 0.03 xGSibbald 33', 0.02 xGEmmanuel-Thomas 80', 0.24 xG, goal15%0.20 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.20 xG, 0 goals29%0.39 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.39 xG, 0 goals50%0.68 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.68 xG, 1 goal4%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals2%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

McLennan 52', 0.31 xGKamberi 81', 0.23 xGHoban 38', 0.09 xGHendry 62', 0.06 xGHendry 13', 0.05 xGFerguson 31', 0.05 xGMcGinn 34', 0.04 xGHendry 60', 0.04 xGHayes 29', 0.03 xGFerguson 12', 0.02 xGHendry 52', 0.79 xG, goalHedges 74', 0.07 xG, goal44%0.79 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.79 xG, 1 goal48%0.86 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.86 xG, 1 goal4%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals3%0.05 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonAberdeen

1.10 9 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.53 8 shots, 2 goals
0.25 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.24 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
52 min (55%) · Livingston 0.59, Aberdeen 1.38 xG
Aberdeen ahead
42 min (45%) · Livingston 0.77, Aberdeen 0.40 xG

Line-ups

32252723618981015StryjekDevlinFitzwaterGuthrieLongridgeBartleyHoltEmmanuel-ThomasPittmanSibbaldPoplatnikYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow cardYellow card66'75'Livingston 4-2-3-1David Martindale4318342919151722109WoodsMcLennanHobanConsidineMacKenzieFergusonMcGeouchHayesKamberiMcGinnHendryYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoal70'64'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Stephen Glass

Livingston substitutes

  • 66' Kabia for Sibbald · 1 assist
  • 75' Mullin for Poplatnik

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 64' Hornby for Hendry · off 88'
  • 70' Hedges for McGinn · goal 74'
  • 88' Kennedy for Hornby

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0100.11110
DevlinRB900.080.0910.0114
Fitzwater CB900.000.0300.1196
GuthrieCB900.170.0300.0656
LongridgeLB900.030.0910.1285
Bartley DM900.000.0100.0101
HoltDM900.000.0410.0338
Emmanuel-ThomasRW9010.360.113−0.0753
Pittman AM900.000.030−0.0503
Sibbald LW660.120.191−0.0302
PoplatnikST750.390.0500.0000
KabiaFW2410.200.1510.1810
MullinMF150.000.2010.0110

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WoodsGK900.000.0000.0111
McLennan RB900.310.010−0.0214
HobanCB900.090.0000.03410
Considine CB900.000.0120.0759
MacKenzie LB900.000.0000.0117
FergusonDM900.070.0110.0135
McGeouchDM900.000.0000.0236
Hayes RW900.030.0600.0244
KamberiAM9010.230.0810.1560
McGinnLW700.040.4450.6050
HendryST6410.940.0000.0111
HornbyFW240.000.0100.0001
HedgesFW2010.070.0100.0320
KennedyFW20.000.0000.0010

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Stryjek and Holt: 5 passesFitzwater and Pittman: 5 passesLongridge and Poplatnik: 5 passesEmmanuel-Thomas and Pittman: 5 passesEmmanuel-Thomas and Poplatnik: 5 passesSibbald and Poplatnik: 5 passesStryjek and Emmanuel-Thomas: 6 passesDevlin and Bartley: 6 passesGuthrie and Holt: 6 passesEmmanuel-Thomas and Sibbald: 6 passesDevlin and Pittman: 7 passesStryjek and Guthrie: 8 passesGuthrie and Longridge: 8 passesHolt and Sibbald: 8 passesDevlin and Emmanuel-Thomas: 9 passesFitzwater and Guthrie: 9 passesLongridge and Sibbald: 9 passesDevlin and Holt: 10 passesFitzwater and Holt: 10 passesHolt and Emmanuel-Thomas: 10 passesStryjek and Fitzwater: 11 passesStryjek: 18 completed passesDevlin: 23 completed passesFitzwater: 29 completed passesGuthrie: 21 completed passesLongridge: 20 completed passesBartley: 10 completed passesHolt: 32 completed passesEmmanuel-Thomas: 21 completed passesPittman: 18 completed passesSibbald: 20 completed passesPoplatnik: 8 completed passes32252723618981015StryjekDevlinFitzwaterGuthrieLongridgeBartleyHoltEmmanuel-ThomasPittmanSibbaldPoplatnikStarters until 66' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Aberdeen

Considine and Hayes: 4 passesConsidine and Hendry: 4 passesMacKenzie and Ferguson: 4 passesMcGeouch and Kamberi: 4 passesMcGeouch and McGinn: 4 passesFerguson and Hayes: 4 passesConsidine and McGeouch: 5 passesConsidine and Ferguson: 5 passesConsidine and Kamberi: 5 passesMcGeouch and Ferguson: 5 passesKamberi and McGinn: 5 passesMcLennan and Hoban: 6 passesMacKenzie and McGeouch: 6 passesHoban and McGeouch: 7 passesMacKenzie and Kamberi: 7 passesMcLennan and McGinn: 8 passesHoban and Considine: 8 passesWoods and Hoban: 9 passesMcLennan and Ferguson: 9 passesConsidine and MacKenzie: 9 passesWoods and Considine: 12 passesWoods: 18 completed passesMcLennan: 23 completed passesHoban: 18 completed passesConsidine: 28 completed passesMacKenzie: 23 completed passesMcGeouch: 19 completed passesFerguson: 16 completed passesHayes: 6 completed passesKamberi: 10 completed passesMcGinn: 15 completed passesHendry: 5 completed passes4318342915191722109WoodsMcLennanHobanConsidineMacKenzieMcGeouchFergusonHayesKamberiMcGinnHendryStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
FitzwaterStryjek15
HoltGuthrie11
StryjekEmmanuel-Thomas8
GuthrieFitzwater8
DevlinHolt7

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
WoodsConsidine11
WoodsHoban6
FergusonMcLennan5
ConsidineWoods5
HobanConsidine5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

4−1.32−2.91−4.23−1.76−2.25−1.77−0.76−3.44−1.69+3.77+3.02−3.68+1.56+1.911+6.71−1.92−1.76+1.61−2.24+1.63+1.84+2.53+0.22+0.70−0.51+0.32+1.50−1.15−5.51−5.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 35 matches

Aberdeen

4−1.13−3.311−0.914+7.88+2.96−0.67+0.49+2.28+0.115+7.76+0.70−4.90−4.16−0.11−6.35+1.70−3.33+0.44−0.33−1.50−2.11−0.60−1.01−0.93+0.20−0.80−0.40−0.80−0.51+0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 35 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.010.050.030.050.020.010.010.020.040.030.020.080.010.010.04−0.02−0.02−0.030.030.02−0.160.070.18LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.030.010.010.010.030.030.010.010.030.030.040.040.150.030.170.24LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackLivingston1.05 → 1.06Aberdeen1.05 → 1.07Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.19 → 1.22Aberdeen0.97 → 0.98

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonAberdeen
Expected goals0.981.05
Win32%36%
Expected Points1.291.39
Clean sheet35%38%

Livingston 32%Draw 32%Aberdeen 36%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 41%.

Aberdeen goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+7%3%7%2%6%7%3%1%2%2%1%14%13%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 1 May 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Livingston

  1. L1–221 AprHibernian (A)xG 1.77–2.31
  2. L0–610 AprCeltic (A)xG 0.79–2.83
  3. D1–120 MarHibernian (H)xG 1.09–0.68
  4. W2–113 MarHamilton Academical (H)xG 1.26–0.19
  5. L1–36 MarMotherwell (A)xG 1.14–1.80
  6. L0–13 MarRangers (H)xG 0.35–2.73

Aberdeen

  1. D1–121 AprCeltic (H)xG 1.52–2.87
  2. W1–010 AprSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.26–1.39
  3. L0–120 MarDundee United (A)xG 0.47–0.46
  4. D0–06 MarHamilton Academical (H)xG 1.97–0.51
  5. L0–127 FebCeltic (A)xG 1.15–1.33
  6. W1–020 FebKilmarnock (H)xG 1.14–0.88

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonAberdeen
Position5th4th
Played3535
Won, drawn, lost12–⁠8–⁠1514–⁠11–⁠10
Points44 (1.26 per game)53 (1.51 per game)
Expected Points per game1.321.47
Goals41–⁠4934–⁠32
xG per game1.15–⁠1.211.21–⁠1.04
Home: points, xG per game1.29, 1.05–⁠1.291.78, 1.31–⁠1.12
Away: points, xG per game1.22, 1.24–⁠1.141.24, 1.10–⁠0.95
ManagerDavid Martindale (20)Stephen Glass (2)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackLivingston1.05, 5thAberdeen1.05, 6thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.19, 7thAberdeen0.97, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprLivingston attack: 1.05Aberdeen attack: 1.051.051.05AberdeenLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprLivingston defence: 1.19Aberdeen defence: 0.971.190.97

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−7%−10%−13%−21%
Counter-attacks−92%−30%+23%−33%
Set pieces+6%+5%+3%−24%
Penalties−34%+15%+15%+15%
Headers+9%−2%+1%−42%
Left side−21%−30%+4%−4%
Centre+10%−2%−8%−39%
Right side−22%+10%−16%−11%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdAberdeen concededLeft side−21%−11%Centre+10%−39%Right side−22%−4%Open play−7%−21%Counter-attacks−92%−33%Set pieces+6%−24%Headers+9%−42%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdLivingston concededLeft side+4%+10%Centre−8%−2%Right side−16%−30%Open play−13%−10%Counter-attacks+23%−30%Set pieces+3%+5%Headers+1%−2%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonAberdeen

1.15xG1.21
1.21xG against1.04
47%Possession50%
9.9Shots11.2
10.0Shots against10.2
3.0Shots on target3.5
1.5Big chances1.4
17.1Touches in the opposition box20.1
338Passes397
60%Pass accuracy71%
4.6Corners4.6
49%Field tilt50%
31.5Final-third entries35.1
7.9Box entries9.6
12.4Passes per defensive action14.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level470.971.14
Ahead161.060.86
Behind271.501.56

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.330.89
Ahead241.241.34
Behind210.920.99

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.128–4
16–300.220.245–14
31–450.130.293–12
46–600.210.2010–12
61–750.200.135–2
76–900.250.2410–5

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.260.125–7
16–300.180.216–6
31–450.190.187–4
46–600.190.157–6
61–750.170.133–4
76–900.230.246–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTStryjek 19McCrorie 16Devlin 32Ambrose 1Robinson 1Fitzwater 13Ambrose 12Lithgow 1Guthrie 32Brown 8Taylor-Sinclair 4Serrano 17Longridge 5Brown 5Bartley 26Pittman 5Lawson 4Holt 20Sibbald 11Forrest 2Mullin 12Robinson 6Sibbald 5Pittman 23Bartley 4Sibbald 2Forrest 19Sibbald 8Mullin 2Emmanuel-Thomas 10Robinson 5Poplatnik 34-2-3-1 in 20 of 35 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (20), 3-4-2-1 (6), 4-3-3 (3), 5-4-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTLewis 34Woods 1Hoban 30Hayes 3McCrorie 3Taylor 30McKenna 4Considine 32Kennedy 8Hedges 7McLennan 6Ferguson 23McGeouch 4Kennedy 2McCrorie 19Campbell 11Ojo 5Hayes 20Kennedy 6Leigh 5Hedges 10Wright 9Ferguson 8Cosgrove 9Watkins 7Hornby 5Main 8Kamberi 7McGinn 53-4-1-2 in 9 of 35 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (9), 3-4-2-1 (9), 3-4-3 (5), 4-4-1-1 (4), 3-5-2 (4), 3-5-1-1 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
2 February 2021Aberdeen0–2LivingstonxG 0.36–0.56
30 January 2021Livingston0–0AberdeenxG 0.98–1.38
23 August 2020Aberdeen2–1LivingstonxG 2.15–1.62

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 1, Aberdeen won 1, and 1 was a draw. Goals 3–2 and xG 1.05–1.30 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Forrest211,816410.180.20
Emmanuel-Thomas111,157400.290.05
Robinson161,473410.200.08
Mullin151,301230.070.18

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McGinn11937010.180.34
Main8709200.390.09
Watkins9732210.330.07
Wright141,132210.220.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.