Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Livingston 1–2 Aberdeen

Sunday 8 August 2021, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 2 · Half-time 1–0 · Attendance 1,710

Livingston Anderson 35'

Aberdeen Jenks 47', MacKenzie 90+4'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonAberdeen
Goals12
xG1.300.44
Expected Points2.080.62

Livingston 60%Draw 30%Aberdeen 11%

Most likely score 1–0, 24%. Final score 1–2, 2%.

Aberdeen goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+15%6%1%13%2%16%8%2%6%3%1%24%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTHamilton on for Sibbald, 59'Kelly on for Forrest, 66'Reilly on for Anderson, 72'Brown on for Hayes, 44'Ramirez on for McGinn, 63'Ramsay on for Gurr, 87'Anderson 35'Jenks 47'MacKenzie 90+4'Livingston 1.30Aberdeen 0.4400.511.50153045607590HTHamilton on for Sibbald, 59'Kelly on for Forrest, 66'Reilly on for Anderson, 72'Brown on for Hayes, 44'Ramirez on for McGinn, 63'Ramsay on for Gurr, 87'Anderson 35'Jenks 47'MacKenzie 90+4'1.300.44LivingstonAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonAberdeen

1.30 +1.23xG0.44 −0.23
0.53 +0.53xG on target0.62 −0.01
12 +10.0Shots11 +4.0
4 +4.0Shots on target3 0.0
2 +2.0Big chances0 −2.0
37% +14Possession63% +5
289 +108Passes475 −61
63% +14Pass accuracy79% −3
46% +36Field tilt54% +2
22 +11Final-third entries39 +11
10 +9.0Box entries6 +2.0
18.3 +1Passes per defensive action21.1 +7
6 +5.0Corners2 −3.0
11 −12Tackles6 −4
13 −5Interceptions11 −7
19 −8Clearances20 +8
1 −4.0Saves2 0.0
21 +7Fouls12 0
2 −1.0Offsides1 0.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Pittman 3', 0.42 xGPittman 40', 0.28 xGHamilton 64', 0.11 xGPenrice 90+6', 0.08 xGFitzwater 77', 0.06 xGHamilton 66', 0.05 xGLongridge 34', 0.04 xGObileye 55', 0.04 xGAnderson 27', 0.02 xGHolt 49', 0.02 xGForrest 55', 0.01 xGAnderson 35', 0.13 xG, goal33%0.42 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.42 xG, 0 goals57%0.74 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.74 xG, 1 goal9%0.12 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

McGinn 60', 0.13 xGHedges 71', 0.06 xGGallagher 53', 0.05 xGGurr 59', 0.04 xGHedges 14', 0.03 xGGallagher 57', 0.02 xGGallagher 68', 0.02 xGGallagher 58', 0.01 xGGallagher 71', 0.01 xGJenks 47', 0.04 xG, goalMacKenzie 90+4', 0.02 xG, goal11%0.05 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals52%0.23 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.23 xG, 0 goals16%0.07 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals20%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 2 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonAberdeen

0.63 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.23 4 shots, 2 goals
0.28 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.03 1 shot, 0 goals
0.39 6 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.18 6 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
82 min (85%) · Livingston 0.93, Aberdeen 0.40 xG
Livingston ahead
12 min (12%) · Livingston 0.28, Aberdeen 0.04 xG
Aberdeen ahead
2 min (2%) · Livingston 0.09, Aberdeen 0.00 xG

Line-ups

3226538182910917StryjekDevlinObileyeFitzwaterLongridgePittmanHoltPenriceSibbaldAndersonForrestYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoal59'72'66'Livingston 4-3-3David Martindale121543151120101714LewisGurrGallagherConsidineMacKenzieMcGeouchHedgesJenksMcGinnHayesEmmanuel-ThomasGoalGoal87'63'44'Aberdeen 4-1-4-1Stephen Glass

Livingston substitutes

  • 59' Hamilton for Sibbald
  • 66' Kelly for Forrest
  • 72' Reilly for Anderson

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 44' Brown for Hayes
  • 63' Ramirez for McGinn
  • 87' Ramsay for Gurr

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0000.0320
Devlin RB900.000.0300.0124
ObileyeCB900.040.0200.0965
FitzwaterCB900.060.0210.1849
Longridge LB900.040.0300.0527
Pittman CM900.700.0200.0814
HoltCM900.020.0100.0253
Penrice CM9010.080.5430.3332
Sibbald RW590.000.0910.0523
AndersonST7210.160.0410.0420
ForrestLW660.010.1030.0212
HamiltonFW310.170.0100.1000
KellyMF240.000.0000.0005
ReillyFW180.000.0300.0310

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LewisGK900.000.0000.0102
GurrRB870.040.1410.2457
GallagherCB900.120.0100.30128
ConsidineCB900.000.0200.1465
MacKenzieLB9010.020.1410.0742
McGeouchDM900.000.1030.0772
HedgesRM9010.090.0410.0853
JenksCM9010.040.0100.0024
McGinnCM630.130.000−0.0200
HayesLM440.000.000−0.0200
Emmanuel-ThomasST900.000.0120.0013
BrownMF460.000.0000.0103
RamirezFW270.000.0000.0000
RamsayDF30.000.0000.0111

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Stryjek and Penrice: 3 passesDevlin and Sibbald: 3 passesFitzwater and Longridge: 3 passesFitzwater and Pittman: 3 passesObileye and Penrice: 3 passesLongridge and Holt: 3 passesHolt and Pittman: 3 passesHolt and Forrest: 3 passesPittman and Sibbald: 3 passesSibbald and Anderson: 3 passesStryjek and Devlin: 4 passesStryjek and Fitzwater: 4 passesFitzwater and Penrice: 4 passesObileye and Longridge: 4 passesLongridge and Anderson: 4 passesPenrice and Pittman: 4 passesDevlin and Holt: 5 passesObileye and Pittman: 5 passesFitzwater and Holt: 6 passesPenrice and Forrest: 6 passesDevlin and Obileye: 7 passesObileye and Holt: 7 passesObileye and Sibbald: 7 passesLongridge and Forrest: 7 passesStryjek and Obileye: 12 passesFitzwater and Obileye: 12 passesStryjek: 13 completed passesDevlin: 14 completed passesFitzwater: 18 completed passesObileye: 30 completed passesLongridge: 14 completed passesPenrice: 12 completed passesHolt: 17 completed passesPittman: 11 completed passesSibbald: 11 completed passesAnderson: 6 completed passesForrest: 8 completed passes3225632918810917StryjekDevlinFitzwaterObileyeLongridgePenriceHoltPittmanSibbaldAndersonForrestStarters until 59' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Aberdeen

Gallagher and Hedges: 3 passesGallagher and Jenks: 3 passesGallagher and McGinn: 3 passesMacKenzie and McGeouch: 3 passesMcGeouch and Jenks: 3 passesMcGeouch and Hayes: 3 passesGurr and Hedges: 4 passesMcGeouch and Emmanuel-Thomas: 4 passesHedges and Jenks: 4 passesLewis and McGeouch: 5 passesGurr and Emmanuel-Thomas: 5 passesConsidine and Jenks: 5 passesMacKenzie and Hayes: 5 passesLewis and Considine: 7 passesMcGeouch and McGinn: 7 passesGurr and McGeouch: 8 passesLewis and Gallagher: 9 passesGallagher and Considine: 9 passesConsidine and Hayes: 9 passesConsidine and MacKenzie: 11 passesGurr and Gallagher: 18 passesConsidine and McGeouch: 20 passesGallagher and McGeouch: 26 passesLewis: 16 completed passesGurr: 17 completed passesGallagher: 35 completed passesConsidine: 36 completed passesMacKenzie: 15 completed passesMcGeouch: 43 completed passesHedges: 6 completed passesJenks: 10 completed passesMcGinn: 7 completed passesHayes: 9 completed passesEmmanuel-Thomas: 7 completed passes121543151120101714LewisGurrGallagherConsidineMacKenzieMcGeouchHedgesJenksMcGinnHayesEmmanuel-ThomasStarters until 44' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
ObileyeFitzwater7
ObileyeStryjek6
StryjekObileye6
HoltObileye5
DevlinObileye5

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
McGeouchGallagher26
ConsidineMcGeouch19
GallagherGurr17
GallagherMcGeouch14
GurrGallagher13

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

3−4.013−5.060.010+4.07−7.011+4.07+2.07−4.08−3.04+1.050.05+4.03−1.05+2.010+6.03+3.03+2.01−5.03−1.05+1.02+2.010.03−2.03+3.04+4.01+1.000.01+1.00−1.03−10.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 1 match

Aberdeen

6−1.010+7.015+5.05+2.08+4.070.030.03−1.06−3.03−2.020.04+1.06−2.02−3.05+3.03+3.00−4.00−1.01+1.010.02+1.03−1.01+1.000.01+1.000.00−2.03−6.01−7.07−6.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 1 match

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.010.010.020.040.010.040.010.010.040.010.030.010.010.01−0.010.090.030.060.110.010.220.26LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.020.030.010.050.010.060.050.020.030.010.020.020.030.050.050.02−0.020.060.190.16LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.17AttackLivingston1.02 → 1.05Aberdeen1.09 → 1.10Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.24 → 1.23Aberdeen1.00 → 1.01

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six29%22%−7
11th10%12%+2
Bottom6%8%+2
Aberdeen
Title<1%1%+1
Top six72%80%+8
11th2%1%−1
Bottom1%<1%−1

From the forecast before the match (8 August 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonAberdeen
Expected goals0.971.09
Win31%37%
Expected Points1.251.44
Clean sheet34%38%

Livingston 31%Draw 32%Aberdeen 37%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 42%.

Aberdeen goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+8%3%7%3%6%7%4%1%2%2%1%13%13%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 8 August 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawAberdeen win
Livingston
Top six29%39%27%22%
11th10%7%10%12%
Bottom6%3%5%8%
Aberdeen
Title<1%<1%<1%1%
Top six72%63%71%80%
11th2%3%1%1%
Bottom1%1%1%<1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. L0–331 JulRangers (A)xG 0.07–1.84
  2. D0–015 MaySt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.30–0.22
  3. L0–312 MayRangers (H)xG 0.87–2.44
  4. L1–21 MayAberdeen (H)xG 1.35–1.78
  5. L1–221 AprHibernian (A)xG 1.77–2.31
  6. L0–610 AprCeltic (A)xG 0.79–2.83

Aberdeen

  1. W2–01 AugDundee United (H)xG 0.67–0.43
  2. L0–415 MayRangers (A)xG 1.98–1.19
  3. L0–112 MayHibernian (H)xG 1.28–0.44
  4. W2–11 MayLivingston (A)xG 1.78–1.35
  5. D1–121 AprCeltic (H)xG 1.52–2.87
  6. W1–010 AprSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.26–1.39

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonAberdeen
Position12th3rd
Played11
Won, drawn, lost0–⁠0–⁠11–⁠0–⁠0
Points0 (0.00 per game)3 (3.00 per game)
Expected Points per game0.171.51
Goals0–⁠32–⁠0
xG per game0.07–⁠1.840.67–⁠0.43
Home: points, xG per game–⁠3.00, 0.67–⁠0.43
Away: points, xG per game0.00, 0.07–⁠1.84–⁠
ManagerDavid Martindale (24)Stephen Glass (6)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.17AttackLivingston1.02, 8thAberdeen1.09, 4thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.24, 8thAberdeen1.00, 4th

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−22%+15%−7%−24%
Counter-attacks−94%−44%−2%−46%
Set pieces−12%+8%−8%−33%
Penalties−47%+5%−8%−8%
Headers−11%−7%+8%−27%
Left side−31%−11%−11%−15%
Centre−11%+23%−3%−37%
Right side−33%+11%−7%−22%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdAberdeen concededLeft side−31%−22%Centre−11%−37%Right side−33%−15%Open play−22%−24%Counter-attacks−94%−46%Set pieces−12%−33%Headers−11%−27%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdLivingston concededLeft side−11%+11%Centre−3%+23%Right side−7%−11%Open play−7%+15%Counter-attacks−2%−44%Set pieces−8%+8%Headers+8%−7%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonAberdeen

0.07xG0.67
1.84xG against0.43
23%Possession58%
2.0Shots7.0
18.0Shots against5.0
0.0Shots on target3.0
0.0Big chances2.0
2.0Touches in the opposition box13.0
181Passes536
50%Pass accuracy82%
1.0Corners5.0
10%Field tilt52%
11.0Final-third entries28.0
1.0Box entries4.0
17.7Passes per defensive action13.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level80.001.46
Ahead0––
Behind820.081.88

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level271.100.00
Ahead630.490.61
Behind0––

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.000.280–1
16–300.000.000–0
31–450.030.090–0
46–600.000.200–0
61–750.040.060–0
76–900.001.220–2

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.110.000–0
16–300.220.001–0
31–450.000.330–0
46–600.300.001–0
61–750.040.020–0
76–900.000.080–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWStryjek 1McMillan 1Obileye 1Fitzwater 1Lewis 1Pittman 1Holt 1Sibbald 1Forrest 1Anderson 1Penrice 14-3-3 in every start

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTLewis 1Ramsay 1McCrorie 1Considine 1MacKenzie 1Ojo 1Ferguson 1Brown 1Hayes 1Emmanuel-Thomas 1Ramirez 14-4-2 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
1 May 2021Livingston1–2AberdeenxG 1.35–1.78
2 February 2021Aberdeen0–2LivingstonxG 0.36–0.56
30 January 2021Livingston0–0AberdeenxG 0.98–1.38
23 August 2020Aberdeen2–1LivingstonxG 2.15–1.62

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 1, Aberdeen won 2, and 1 was a draw. Goals 4–4 and xG 1.13–1.42 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Forrest221,927410.170.18
Pittman383,412620.160.06
Devlin353,156220.060.10
Holt282,486140.060.10

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Ferguson363,201930.280.07
Hayes352,948330.050.14
McLennan131,398010.080.07
McCrorie292,553100.080.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.