Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Aberdeen 2–0 Livingston

Wednesday 1 December 2021, 19:45 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 16 · Half-time 1–0 · Attendance 6,295

Aberdeen Hedges 23', Bates 75'

Livingston Longridge sent off 61'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenLivingston
Goals20
xG1.180.08
Expected Points2.310.38

Aberdeen 67%Draw 31%Livingston 2%

Most likely score 1–0, 35%. Final score 2–0, 21%.

Livingston goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+2%3%21%2%7%2%28%35%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTLongridge (Livingston), second yellow card 61'McGinn on for Watkins, 80'McLennan on for Ramirez, 84'Samuels on for Hedges, 85'Shinnie on for Obileye and Hamilton on for Anderson, 46'Penrice on for Forrest, 64'Hedges 23'Bates 75'Aberdeen 1.18Livingston 0.0800.511.50153045607590HTLongridge (Livingston), second yellow card 61'McGinn on for Watkins, 80'McLennan on for Ramirez, 84'Samuels on for Hedges, 85'Shinnie on for Obileye and Hamilton on for Anderson, 46'Penrice on for Forrest, 64'Hedges 23'Bates 75'1.180.08AberdeenLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenLivingston

1.18 +0.23xG0.08 −0.59
1.75 +0.80xG on target0.00 −0.76
18 +5.9Shots2 −6.1
6 +1.7Shots on target0 −2.8
1 0.0Big chances0 −0.9
21 +4.1Touches in the opposition box10 +0.2
74% +18Possession26% −10
683 +237Passes237 −39
88% +12Pass accuracy64% +3
84% +30Field tilt16% −17
58 +20Final-third entries16 −6
15 +6.3Box entries7 +1.0
15.8 +1Passes per defensive action21.4 +5
4 −1.1Corners1 −2.6
7 −5Tackles12 −4
4 −4.7Interceptions9 −1.6
11 −7Clearances17 −6
0 −1.1Saves4 +0.8
10 −3Fouls17 +3
1 −0.4Offsides4 +2.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Hedges 35', 0.29 xGMcGinn 83', 0.13 xGBrown 9', 0.07 xGWatkins 77', 0.07 xGHedges 43', 0.06 xGWatkins 23', 0.05 xGRamirez 36', 0.05 xGHedges 19', 0.04 xGEmmanuel-Thomas 58', 0.04 xGEmmanuel-Thomas 90+2', 0.04 xGWatkins 5', 0.02 xGEmmanuel-Thomas 13', 0.02 xGWatkins 42', 0.02 xGFerguson 90', 0.02 xGFerguson 37', 0.01 xGFerguson 56', 0.01 xGBates 75', 0.18 xG, goalHedges 23', 0.05 xG, goal4%0.05 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals58%0.68 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.68 xG, 2 goals13%0.15 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals22%0.26 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals3%0.03 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Anderson 17', 0.05 xGBailey 66', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGCentral box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals100%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenLivingston

0.79 11 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.08 2 shots, 0 goals
0.08 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.31 5 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
23 min (25%) · Aberdeen 0.26, Livingston 0.05 xG
Aberdeen ahead
69 min (75%) · Aberdeen 0.92, Livingston 0.03 xG

Line-ups

11622717198141197LewisOjoMcCrorieBatesHayesFergusonBrownEmmanuel-ThomasHedgesRamirezWatkinsGoalGoal85'84'80'Aberdeen 4-3-3Stephen Glass3256421833314179StryjekFitzwaterObileyeParkesDevlinHoltOmeongaLongridgeBaileyForrestAndersonYellow cardSent off, second yellow46'64'46'Livingston 3-4-2-1David Martindale

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 80' McGinn for Watkins
  • 84' McLennan for Ramirez
  • 85' Samuels for Hedges

Livingston substitutes

  • 46' Shinnie for Obileye
  • 46' Hamilton for Anderson
  • 64' Penrice for Forrest

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LewisGK900.000.0000.0220
OjoRB900.000.0400.16142
McCrorieCB900.000.0100.0752
BatesCB9010.180.0100.1065
HayesLB9010.000.2540.22132
FergusonCM900.040.0720.17103
BrownCM900.070.042−0.0444
Emmanuel-ThomasCM900.100.0710.0183
HedgesRW8510.440.0310.2180
RamirezST8410.050.0640.1021
WatkinsLW800.170.031−0.0610
McGinnMF100.130.0000.0210
McLennanMF60.000.0200.0110
SamuelsFW50.000.0100.0000

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0110.0742
FitzwaterCB900.000.0000.0559
ObileyeCB460.000.0000.0226
ParkesCB900.000.000−0.0818
DevlinRWB900.000.0100.0434
HoltCM900.000.000−0.0203
OmeongaCM900.000.0100.0113
Longridge LWB610.000.0100.0014
BaileyAM900.030.0000.0010
ForrestAM640.000.0300.0553
AndersonST460.050.0000.0000
ShinnieFW440.000.011−0.0102
HamiltonFW440.000.000−0.0100
PenriceDF260.000.0000.0004

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Emmanuel-Thomas and Ramirez: 8 passesHedges and Ramirez: 8 passesMcCrorie and Hedges: 9 passesBates and Emmanuel-Thomas: 10 passesEmmanuel-Thomas and Ferguson: 10 passesFerguson and Watkins: 11 passesBates and Brown: 12 passesBrown and Ferguson: 12 passesLewis and Bates: 13 passesHayes and Brown: 13 passesMcCrorie and Ferguson: 14 passesHayes and Emmanuel-Thomas: 14 passesHayes and Watkins: 14 passesLewis and McCrorie: 15 passesOjo and Emmanuel-Thomas: 16 passesOjo and Brown: 16 passesFerguson and Hedges: 16 passesHayes and Ferguson: 17 passesOjo and Hedges: 18 passesOjo and Ferguson: 20 passesMcCrorie and Brown: 20 passesBates and Ferguson: 22 passesBates and Hayes: 30 passesOjo and McCrorie: 35 passesBates and McCrorie: 47 passesLewis: 31 completed passesOjo: 58 completed passesBates: 77 completed passesMcCrorie: 79 completed passesHayes: 56 completed passesEmmanuel-Thomas: 34 completed passesBrown: 49 completed passesFerguson: 67 completed passesHedges: 32 completed passesRamirez: 19 completed passesWatkins: 21 completed passes11627217148191197LewisOjoBatesMcCrorieHayesEmmanuel-ThomasBrownFergusonHedgesRamirezWatkinsStarters until 80' · lines join pairs with 8+ passes

Livingston

Stryjek and Parkes: 3 passesObileye and Fitzwater: 3 passesDevlin and Omeonga: 3 passesLongridge and Omeonga: 3 passesStryjek and Fitzwater: 4 passesLongridge and Forrest: 4 passesOmeonga and Forrest: 4 passesParkes and Omeonga: 5 passesParkes and Obileye: 6 passesStryjek: 5 completed passesParkes: 11 completed passesObileye: 5 completed passesFitzwater: 8 completed passesDevlin: 6 completed passesLongridge: 8 completed passesOmeonga: 8 completed passesHolt: 3 completed passesBailey: 4 completed passesForrest: 5 completed passesAnderson: 0 completed passes3246523331814179StryjekParkesObileyeFitzwaterDevlinLongridgeOmeongaHoltBaileyForrestAndersonStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
McCrorieBates32
McCrorieOjo25
BatesMcCrorie24
BatesHayes23
OjoEmmanuel-Thomas15

Livingston

FromToPasses
FitzwaterStryjek7
ParkesObileye6
DevlinFitzwater6
ParkesFitzwater6
DevlinShinnie6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

1−4.23−2.98−3.34−0.96−1.43−2.53−2.09+2.75−3.84−1.53−1.52−1.212+6.45−0.87+4.16+3.12−0.13+0.42−3.31−1.42+1.13+2.12+0.90−2.70−0.60−0.10−0.71+0.90−0.50−5.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 15 matches

Livingston

4−1.44−2.312−4.711+4.54−3.72−5.610+2.29+2.87−1.316+7.55−0.92−2.60−3.53−1.912+5.87+3.12−0.64+2.14+1.24−0.22−0.410.01−0.21−0.92+0.42+0.41+0.61+0.30−0.40−1.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 14 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.020.030.040.050.070.070.050.030.100.120.040.020.040.05−0.04−0.01−0.010.08−0.02−0.060.040.070.18LessMore

Livingston

0.020.010.010.010.010.010.020.01−0.01−0.010.020.010.010.02−0.080.040.030.03LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.21AttackAberdeen1.11 → 1.10Livingston0.97 → 0.94Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.06 → 1.03Livingston1.29 → 1.28

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Aberdeen
Top six44%54%+10
11th4%2%−2
Bottom2%1%−1
Livingston
Top six15%10%−5
11th16%19%+3
Bottom11%14%+3
St. Johnstone
Top six20%18%−2
11th12%11%−1

From the forecast before the match (1 December 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenLivingston
Expected goals1.310.81
Win48%23%
Expected Points1.730.97
Clean sheet44%27%

Aberdeen 48%Draw 30%Livingston 23%

Most likely score 1–0, 15%. Both sides score 41%.

Livingston goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+9%4%1%5%1%10%8%3%4%4%1%1%1%13%15%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 1 December 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawLivingston win
Aberdeen
Top six44%54%38%30%
11th4%2%5%7%
Bottom2%1%2%3%
Livingston
Top six15%10%15%26%
11th16%19%14%11%
Bottom11%14%10%6%
St. Johnstone
Top six20%18%22%21%
11th12%11%12%12%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. L1–228 NovCeltic (A)xG 0.85–2.31
  2. L0–120 NovDundee United (A)xG 0.69–0.58
  3. L0–26 NovMotherwell (H)xG 0.94–0.47
  4. W2–130 OctHearts (H)xG 1.11–0.95
  5. D2–227 OctRangers (A)xG 1.02–2.34
  6. W1–023 OctHibernian (H)xG 0.24–0.22

Livingston

  1. L1–328 NovRangers (H)xG 0.94–1.70
  2. D1–120 NovSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.76–0.91
  3. D0–030 OctCeltic (A)xG 0.10–1.80
  4. D1–127 OctDundee United (H)xG 0.34–1.83
  5. W3–223 OctRoss County (A)xG 0.57–2.11
  6. W3–016 OctSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.55–1.45

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenLivingston
Position8th10th
Played1514
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠3–⁠83–⁠4–⁠7
Points15 (1.00 per game)13 (0.93 per game)
Expected Points per game1.220.78
Goals16–⁠2112–⁠20
xG per game0.95–⁠1.060.67–⁠1.50
Home: points, xG per game1.43, 1.00–⁠0.740.67, 0.86–⁠1.38
Away: points, xG per game0.62, 0.90–⁠1.331.12, 0.53–⁠1.58
ManagerStephen Glass (20)David Martindale (37)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.21AttackAberdeen1.11, 5thLivingston0.97, 10thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.06, 4thLivingston1.29, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovAberdeen attack: 1.11Livingston attack: 0.971.110.97LivingstonAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovAberdeen defence: 1.06Livingston defence: 1.291.291.06

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−21%−29%−42%+19%
Counter-attacks−62%+34%−1%−55%
Set pieces−1%+6%−33%+23%
Penalties−55%+34%−100%+91%
Headers+4%−14%−35%+16%
Left side−24%−10%−24%average
Centre−24%−26%−36%+18%
Right side+1%−5%−54%+36%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdLivingston concededLeft side−24%+36%Centre−24%+18%Right side+1%averageOpen play−21%+19%Counter-attacks−62%−55%Set pieces−1%+23%Headers+4%+16%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdAberdeen concededLeft side−24%−5%Centre−36%−26%Right side−54%−10%Open play−42%−29%Counter-attacks−1%+34%Set pieces−33%+6%Headers−35%−14%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenLivingston

0.95xG0.67
1.06xG against1.50
56%Possession36%
12.1Shots8.1
8.9Shots against14.7
4.3Shots on target2.8
1.0Big chances0.9
16.9Touches in the opposition box9.8
446Passes276
76%Pass accuracy60%
5.1Corners3.6
55%Field tilt32%
37.8Final-third entries21.5
8.7Box entries6.0
14.4Passes per defensive action16.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level490.801.14
Ahead160.531.12
Behind251.520.86

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level480.541.11
Ahead150.822.18
Behind270.821.80

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.141–2
16–300.200.104–3
31–450.160.202–3
46–600.140.234–7
61–750.150.123–2
76–900.160.282–4

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.181–3
16–300.070.193–3
31–450.230.235–2
46–600.050.210–3
61–750.130.231–3
76–900.090.462–6

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWLewis 13Woods 2Ramsay 9Gurr 3Ojo 3Bates 7Gallagher 6Brown 4McCrorie 10Considine 2MacKenzie 1MacKenzie 7Campbell 5Hayes 2McGeouch 6Hedges 4Ojo 3Brown 10Jenks 3Ferguson 11Longstaff 3McGinn 1Ojo 5Hedges 4Ferguson 2Ramirez 10Watkins 3Emmanuel-Tho… 2Emmanuel-ThomasHayes 4Watkins 3Ramirez 34-3-3 in 4 of 15 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (4), 3-4-1-2 (3), 4-2-3-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWStryjek 14Devlin 10McMillan 4Fitzwater 14Obileye 12Parkes 2Penrice 4Longridge 4Kelly 3Pittman 6Bailey 3Parkes 1Holt 14Omeonga 6Shinnie 3Williamson 3Bailey 5Forrest 2McMillan 2Anderson 11Shinnie 3Forrest 5Montano 3Bailey 24-3-3 in 4 of 14 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (4), 4-2-3-1 (3), 3-4-2-1 (2), 4-1-4-1 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
8 August 2021Livingston1–2AberdeenxG 1.30–0.44
1 May 2021Livingston1–2AberdeenxG 1.35–1.78
2 February 2021Aberdeen0–2LivingstonxG 0.36–0.56
30 January 2021Livingston0–0AberdeenxG 0.98–1.38
23 August 2020Aberdeen2–1LivingstonxG 2.15–1.62

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 3, Livingston won 1, and 1 was a draw. Goals 6–5 and xG 1.22–1.16 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Watkins6578100.240.10
Ramsay9726040.010.28
Ferguson131,161310.200.09
Ramirez141,225610.250.04

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Forrest8777110.190.11
Pittman6570110.220.02
Anderson11813430.150.09
Bailey10883200.100.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.