Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
HibernianRoss County
1.42 −0.12xG0.69 −0.29
0.31 −1.32xG on target1.70 +1.16
13 +0.8Shots6 −3.9
4 −0.2Shots on target4 +1.4
2 +0.1Big chances1 −0.1
27 +7Touches in the opposition box8 −8
58% +9Possession42% −7
451 +61Passes350 −46
78% +6Pass accuracy71% −1
74% +29Field tilt26% −23
43 +4Final-third entries18 −22
8 −2.9Box entries2 −5.8
11.0 −4Passes per defensive action10.9 −4
8 +2.6Corners5 +1.0
15 +1Tackles18 +5
8 −1.3Interceptions12 +1.5
10 −10Clearances23 −1
2 −0.7Saves4 +1.2
10 −3Fouls20 +6
4 +2.0Offsides0 −1.6
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Hibernian
Ross County
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
25'76'
0–00–10–2
0'HTFT
Level
25 min (28%) · Hibernian 0.58, Ross County 0.04 xG
Ross County ahead
65 min (72%) · Hibernian 0.84, Ross County 0.66 xG
Line-ups
Hibernian substitutes
59'Stevenson for Doig
59'Gullan for Wright
67'S. McGinn for Hallberg · yellow card 86'
Ross County substitutes
84'Randall for Vigurs
Players
Hibernian
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Barnes
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
0
P. McGinn
RB
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.07
7
4
Porteous
CB
90
0.05
0.04
1
0.28
10
6
Hanlon
CB
90
0.08
0.18
0
0.06
8
6
Doig
LB
59
0.00
0.01
0
0.08
5
5
Boyle
RM
90
0.00
0.16
1
0.08
4
1
Hallberg
CM
67
0.05
0.14
0
0.12
3
2
Newell
CM
90
0.12
0.82
5
0.25
4
2
Wright
LM
59
0.06
0.03
0
0.01
1
1
Nisbet
ST
90
0.03
0.05
1
0.02
2
2
Doidge
ST
90
1.00
0.08
0
−0.20
1
0
Stevenson
MF
31
0.00
0.06
1
0.09
2
3
Gullan
FW
31
0.03
0.04
1
0.06
1
1
S. McGinn
MF
23
0.00
0.01
0
0.00
1
1
Ross County
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Laidlaw
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
2
Watson
RB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
1
5
Donaldson
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.05
5
11
Iacovitti
CB
90
0.08
0.00
0
0.04
5
5
Tremarco
LB
90
0.00
0.00
1
0.00
2
10
Paton
RM
90
1
0.04
0.01
0
0.01
1
3
Tillson
CM
90
0.00
0.01
1
0.03
4
5
Vigurs
CM
84
0.00
0.01
0
0.03
6
4
Kelly
CM
90
0.03
0.13
1
0.01
3
6
Hylton
LM
90
1
0.06
0.18
1
0.21
2
4
Shaw
ST
90
1
1
0.49
0.02
1
−0.01
0
0
Randall
MF
6
0.00
0.00
0
–
–
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Hibernian
Ross County
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Hibernian
From
To
Passes
Hanlon
Porteous
15
Porteous
P. McGinn
12
Newell
Porteous
12
Porteous
Newell
12
Newell
P. McGinn
11
Ross County
From
To
Passes
Watson
Vigurs
11
Vigurs
Watson
8
Shaw
Paton
8
Shaw
Tillson
7
Kelly
Hylton
7
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Hibernian
Against its average of 20 matches
Ross County
Against its average of 20 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Hibernian
Ross County
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Ross County
11th
38%
40%
+2
Bottom
47%
34%
−13
Hamilton Academical
11th
37%
28%
−9
Bottom
47%
57%
+10
Kilmarnock
Top six
12%
12%
0
11th
11%
14%
+3
Bottom
3%
4%
+1
From the forecast before the match (30 December 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Hibernian
Ross County
Expected goals
1.84
0.81
Win
61%
15%
Expected Points
2.07
0.69
Clean sheet
45%
16%
Hibernian 61%Draw 23%Ross County 15%
Most likely score 1–0, 12%. Both sides score 47%.
From the forecast as it stood on 30 December 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Hibernian win
Draw
Ross County win
Ross County
11th
38%
37%
38%
40%
Bottom
47%
51%
45%
34%
Hamilton Academical
11th
37%
39%
36%
28%
Bottom
47%
43%
48%
57%
Kilmarnock
Top six
12%
12%
12%
12%
11th
11%
10%
11%
14%
Bottom
3%
2%
3%
4%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Hibernian
Ross County
Position
4th
12th
Played
20
20
Won, drawn, lost
10–6–4
3–4–13
Points
36 (1.80 per game)
13 (0.65 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.53
0.84
Goals
30–18
10–38
xG per game
1.54–1.26
0.98–1.84
Home: points, xG per game
1.56, 1.42–1.48
0.60, 0.95–2.06
Away: points, xG per game
2.00, 1.64–1.08
0.70, 1.01–1.63
Manager
Jack Ross (20)
John Hughes (2)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Hibernian
Ross County
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
+25%
−16%
−21%
+37%
Counter-attacks
+5%
+59%
−73%
−59%
Set pieces
−8%
+2%
−22%
+28%
Penalties
+30%
+30%
−48%
+108%
Headers
+30%
−11%
+7%
+13%
Left side
+2%
−12%
−21%
+21%
Centre
+16%
−26%
−28%
+52%
Right side
+26%
+28%
−15%
+4%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
Hibernian attacking
Hibernian createdRoss County concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side+2%+4%Centre+16%+52%Right side+26%+21%Open play+25%+37%Counter-attacks+5%−59%Set pieces−8%+28%Headers+30%+13%
Ross County attacking
Ross County createdHibernian concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−21%+28%Centre−28%−26%Right side−15%−12%Open play−21%−16%Counter-attacks−73%+59%Set pieces−22%+2%Headers+7%−11%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
HibernianRoss County
1.54xG0.98
1.26xG against1.84
49%Possession49%
12.2Shots9.9
12.7Shots against13.9
4.2Shots on target2.6
1.9Big chances1.1
20.4Touches in the opposition box15.6
390Passes396
72%Pass accuracy72%
5.4Corners4.0
45%Field tilt49%
39.5Final-third entries40.1
10.9Box entries7.8
14.9Passes per defensive action14.9
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Hibernian
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
40
1.73
1.16
Ahead
35
1.62
1.38
Behind
15
0.81
1.27
Ross County
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
40
0.89
1.86
Ahead
11
0.39
1.65
Behind
39
1.23
1.87
xG by period
Hibernian
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.28
0.16
4–3
16–30
0.17
0.14
6–0
31–45
0.24
0.29
6–6
46–60
0.20
0.23
4–2
61–75
0.34
0.17
5–1
76–90
0.29
0.27
5–6
Ross County
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.14
0.30
1–4
16–30
0.12
0.27
3–6
31–45
0.17
0.18
2–3
46–60
0.15
0.36
0–8
61–75
0.20
0.44
1–10
76–90
0.20
0.29
3–7
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts