Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Dundee United 1–2 St. Johnstone

Saturday 1 October 2022, 15:00 · Tannadice Park · Round 9 · Half-time 0–2 · Referee David Munro · Attendance 7,977

Dundee United Watt 82'

St. Johnstone May 15', Hallberg 39'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone
Goals12
xG1.300.72
Expected Points1.800.89

Dundee United 50%Draw 31%St. Johnstone 19%

Most likely score 1–0, 17%. Final score 1–2, 5%.

St. Johnstone goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+9%3%5%11%9%3%4%4%1%1%12%17%15%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTWatt on for Fletcher, 56'Meekison on for Harkes and Middleton on for Freeman, 68'Niskanen on for Anaku, 75'Crawford on for Murphy and McLennan on for May, 71'Bair on for Clark, 85'Watt 82'May 15'Hallberg 39'Dundee United 1.30St. Johnstone 0.7200.511.50153045607590HTWatt on for Fletcher, 56'Meekison on for Harkes and Middleton on for Freeman, 68'Niskanen on for Anaku, 75'Crawford on for Murphy and McLennan on for May, 71'Bair on for Clark, 85'Watt 82'May 15'Hallberg 39'1.300.72Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone

1.30 +0.65xG0.72 −0.07
0.56 −0.16xG on target1.29 +0.49
19 +9.4Shots12 +3.7
6 +2.6Shots on target3 +0.7
0 −0.4Big chances1 −0.1
29 +11Touches in the opposition box14 −2
64% +18Possession36% −5
536 +166Passes303 −13
80% +11Pass accuracy66% +1
70% +29Field tilt30% −1
58 +21Final-third entries30 +6
15 +6.6Box entries10 +2.6
13.7 −4Passes per defensive action19.1 +2
9 +4.3Corners0 −3.6
9 −5Tackles18 +1
4 −5.7Interceptions11 −1.4
12 −10Clearances29 +2
1 −3.3Saves4 +1.9
11 +1Fouls11 0
3 +1.9Offsides4 +2.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Watt 80', 0.15 xGBehich 82', 0.12 xGLevitt 68', 0.10 xGAnaku 36', 0.09 xGAnaku 64', 0.09 xGEdwards 38', 0.06 xGFletcher 45+1', 0.06 xGNiskanen 89', 0.06 xGEdwards 64', 0.05 xGEdwards 23', 0.04 xGFletcher 24', 0.04 xGLevitt 90+4', 0.04 xGAnaku 11', 0.02 xGAnaku 49', 0.02 xGLevitt 70', 0.02 xGBehich 89', 0.02 xGAnaku 11', 0.01 xGSmith 70', 0.01 xGWatt 82', 0.31 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals75%0.98 xGCentral box: 10 shots, 0.98 xG, 1 goal9%0.12 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals12%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals4%0.05 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Wright 44', 0.10 xGBair 90+2', 0.10 xGMurphy 44', 0.06 xGClark 32', 0.05 xGClark 18', 0.03 xGMay 57', 0.03 xGMcLennan 72', 0.03 xGMurphy 10', 0.02 xGMontgomery 50', 0.02 xGMcLennan 75', 0.01 xGHallberg 39', 0.14 xG, goalMay 15', 0.13 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals35%0.25 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.25 xG, 1 goal49%0.35 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.35 xG, 1 goal12%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals4%0.03 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone

1.04 12 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.49 10 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.23 2 shots, 1 goal
0.26 7 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
15 min (16%) · Dundee United 0.03, St. Johnstone 0.16 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
80 min (84%) · Dundee United 1.27, St. Johnstone 0.57 xG

Line-ups

1322212616231918209ErikssonFreemanSmithEdwardsGrahamBehichHarkesLevittMcGrathAnakuFletcherYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card68'68'75'56'Dundee United 5-3-2Liam Fox11456419221329737MatthewsWrightMitchellGordonConsidineMontgomeryHallbergMcGowanMurphyMayClarkYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow cardGoal71'71'85'St. Johnstone 5-3-2Callum Davidson

Dundee United substitutes

  • 56' Watt for Fletcher · goal 82'
  • 68' Meekison for Harkes · yellow card 72'
  • 68' Middleton for Freeman
  • 75' Niskanen for Anaku

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 71' Crawford for Murphy
  • 71' McLennan for May
  • 85' Bair for Clark

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ErikssonGK900.000.0000.0101
FreemanRWB680.000.0300.1380
SmithCB900.010.0210.12115
Edwards CB900.150.0200.2586
GrahamCB900.000.021−0.1189
Behich LWB900.140.2210.1560
Harkes CM680.000.0200.0311
Levitt CM900.150.1110.1261
McGrathCM900.000.3660.1691
AnakuST750.220.2210.0230
FletcherST560.100.020−0.1210
WattFW3410.460.070−0.0222
Meekison MF220.000.0710.1121
MiddletonFW220.000.0910.1811
NiskanenMF150.060.0500.1331

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MatthewsGK900.000.0000.0011
Wright RWB900.100.0210.0894
Mitchell CB900.000.0100.04514
GordonCB900.000.0000.03313
ConsidineCB9010.000.0120.0745
MontgomeryLWB900.020.0100.0763
HallbergCM9010.140.0100.0356
McGowan CM900.000.0120.0866
MurphyCM710.090.0820.1143
MayST71110.160.2720.1524
ClarkST850.070.0300.0112
CrawfordMF190.000.0020.0011
McLennanMF190.040.0000.0111
BairFW50.100.0000.0310

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Smith and Harkes: 4 passesSmith and Anaku: 4 passesHarkes and Fletcher: 4 passesEdwards and McGrath: 5 passesEdwards and Fletcher: 5 passesSmith and Graham: 5 passesLevitt and Anaku: 5 passesGraham and Levitt: 6 passesMcGrath and Levitt: 6 passesMcGrath and Fletcher: 6 passesFreeman and Levitt: 7 passesEriksson and Edwards: 8 passesEriksson and Graham: 8 passesEdwards and Levitt: 8 passesGraham and McGrath: 8 passesFreeman and Smith: 11 passesGraham and Behich: 12 passesBehich and McGrath: 12 passesFreeman and Harkes: 14 passesSmith and Levitt: 14 passesEdwards and Graham: 15 passesEdwards and Smith: 16 passesEriksson: 15 completed passesFreeman: 20 completed passesEdwards: 31 completed passesSmith: 30 completed passesGraham: 30 completed passesBehich: 20 completed passesMcGrath: 28 completed passesHarkes: 17 completed passesLevitt: 28 completed passesFletcher: 9 completed passesAnaku: 10 completed passes1322122616182319920ErikssonFreemanEdwardsSmithGrahamBehichMcGrathHarkesLevittFletcherAnakuStarters until 56' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

St. Johnstone

Matthews and Montgomery: 3 passesWright and Gordon: 3 passesConsidine and Gordon: 3 passesConsidine and Murphy: 3 passesConsidine and Clark: 3 passesGordon and Murphy: 3 passesMontgomery and Hallberg: 3 passesMurphy and Clark: 3 passesMatthews and Considine: 4 passesWright and McGowan: 4 passesWright and May: 4 passesConsidine and McGowan: 4 passesConsidine and May: 4 passesGordon and Hallberg: 4 passesMay and Clark: 5 passesMontgomery and Murphy: 6 passesMurphy and May: 6 passesMatthews and Mitchell: 7 passesWright and Hallberg: 7 passesWright and Clark: 7 passesConsidine and Montgomery: 7 passesConsidine and Hallberg: 7 passesMontgomery and May: 7 passesHallberg and May: 7 passesWright and Mitchell: 8 passesWright and Murphy: 15 passesMatthews: 14 completed passesWright: 23 completed passesMitchell: 16 completed passesConsidine: 23 completed passesGordon: 10 completed passesMontgomery: 15 completed passesMcGowan: 12 completed passesHallberg: 17 completed passesMurphy: 18 completed passesMay: 16 completed passesClark: 10 completed passes11454619132229737MatthewsWrightMitchellConsidineGordonMontgomeryMcGowanHallbergMurphyMayClarkStarters until 71' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
GrahamEdwards15
EdwardsSmith14
LevittSmith14
ErikssonEdwards14
EdwardsGraham13

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
MurphyWright10
MitchellWright6
ConsidineMontgomery5
WrightMurphy5
ConsidineMcGowan5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

6+2.33−4.114−0.78+0.65+1.14−0.14−2.13−3.48+5.13−1.34+0.65−0.33−3.32−3.77+4.32−0.46+2.13+0.11−0.32+0.72+1.30−1.61−0.71+0.700.00−0.71+0.40−0.73−5.03−5.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 7 matches

St. Johnstone

3−2.98−0.624+8.16−1.46−1.311+3.79+0.68−0.310+1.410+2.71−5.62−3.11−3.49+3.35−3.43−1.63−2.12−0.46+4.06+2.72−0.310.00−0.32+1.12+0.92+1.10−0.11+0.90−0.10−0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 7 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.010.010.010.020.010.020.010.050.020.070.040.030.130.100.050.040.040.04−0.060.100.070.10−0.210.050.090.29LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.050.010.030.040.030.040.010.040.030.040.010.020.050.030.040.010.030.030.080.10LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.18AttackDundee United0.92 → 0.93St. Johnstone0.85 → 0.87Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.46 → 1.46St. Johnstone1.32 → 1.32

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six3%2%−1
11th24%25%+1
Bottom37%46%+9
St. Johnstone
Top six10%14%+4
11th19%14%−5
Bottom15%8%−7
Ross County
Top six6%6%0
11th23%25%+2
Bottom23%21%−2

From the forecast before the match (1 October 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.220.95
Win42%28%
Expected Points1.551.14
Clean sheet39%29%

Dundee United 42%Draw 30%St. Johnstone 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 44%.

St. Johnstone goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+5%2%6%2%8%8%4%1%3%3%2%1%1%12%10%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 1 October 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Dundee United
Top six3%4%2%2%
11th24%24%24%25%
Bottom37%28%40%46%
St. Johnstone
Top six10%7%9%14%
11th19%22%20%14%
Bottom15%21%13%8%
Ross County
Top six6%6%7%6%
11th23%21%22%25%
Bottom23%25%22%21%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. L1–217 SepRangers (A)xG 0.59–1.51
  2. D0–03 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.36–3.28
  3. L0–928 AugCeltic (H)xG 0.22–5.53
  4. L0–320 AugSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.25–1.84
  5. L1–414 AugHearts (A)xG 1.21–1.80
  6. L0–17 AugLivingston (H)xG 0.51–0.90

St. Johnstone

  1. D0–017 SepRoss County (H)xG 0.82–0.39
  2. W3–03 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.25–0.81
  3. L2–328 AugHearts (A)xG 0.77–2.74
  4. L0–120 AugAberdeen (H)xG 0.34–1.05
  5. L0–413 AugRangers (A)xG 0.33–2.32
  6. W2–16 AugMotherwell (A)xG 0.87–0.67

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone
Position12th9th
Played77
Won, drawn, lost0–⁠2–⁠52–⁠1–⁠4
Points2 (0.29 per game)7 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game0.581.06
Goals3–⁠207–⁠10
xG per game0.65–⁠2.300.79–⁠1.25
Home: points, xG per game0.00, 0.66–⁠2.761.00, 0.89–⁠0.76
Away: points, xG per game0.50, 0.63–⁠1.961.00, 0.66–⁠1.91
ManagerLiam Fox (2)Callum Davidson (83)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.18AttackDundee United0.92, 10thSt. Johnstone0.85, 12thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.46, 12thSt. Johnstone1.32, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepDundee United attack: 0.92St. Johnstone attack: 0.850.920.85St. JohnstoneDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepDundee United defence: 1.46St. Johnstone defence: 1.321.461.32

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−52%+87%−48%+8%
Counter-attacks−100%+421%−100%−100%
Set pieces−55%+13%−16%−27%
Penalties+2%+2%+2%+2%
Headers−70%−19%−50%+1%
Left side−57%+119%−62%−21%
Centre−61%+100%−38%−31%
Right side−45%+20%−32%+57%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−57%+57%Centre−61%−31%Right side−45%−21%Open play−52%+8%Counter-attacks−100%−100%Set pieces−55%−27%Headers−70%+1%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdDundee United concededLeft side−62%+20%Centre−38%+100%Right side−32%+119%Open play−48%+87%Counter-attacks−100%+421%Set pieces−16%+13%Headers−50%−19%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone

0.65xG0.79
2.30xG against1.25
46%Possession41%
9.6Shots8.3
17.3Shots against15.9
3.4Shots on target2.3
0.4Big chances1.1
18.0Touches in the opposition box16.0
370Passes316
70%Pass accuracy64%
4.7Corners3.6
41%Field tilt31%
36.9Final-third entries23.5
8.4Box entries7.4
17.5Passes per defensive action17.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level350.542.57
Ahead70.420.90
Behind480.752.29

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level520.741.00
Ahead210.891.06
Behind180.792.18

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.420–3
16–300.110.220–0
31–450.050.591–4
46–600.100.441–7
61–750.170.271–1
76–900.130.360–5

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.060.151–0
16–300.240.122–1
31–450.020.230–2
46–600.150.131–1
61–750.080.211–1
76–900.240.412–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWEriksson 4Birighitti 3Smith 6Freeman 1Edwards 5Smith 1Graham 5Mulgrew 3Behich 4McMann 3McGrath 4Mulgrew 2Sibbald 2Levitt 6Harkes 6Middleton 3Edwards 2Cudjoe 2Fletcher 4Watt 3Watt 3Middleton 2McGrath 14-3-3 in 3 of 7 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (3), 5-3-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTMatthews 7McGowan 6Mitchell 7Gordon 1Considine 7Wright 7Hallberg 6McGowan 1Brown 1MacPherson 2Murphy 1Carey 1Montgomery 5Brown 1Phillips 1Carey 5Clark 2Hallberg 1Murphy 6Bair 4May 33-4-2-1 in 5 of 7 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (5), 5-3-2 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
5 February 2022St. Johnstone0–0Dundee UnitedxG 0.39–1.13
30 October 2021Dundee United0–1St. JohnstonexG 1.84–0.33
22 August 2021St. Johnstone0–1Dundee UnitedxG 0.85–1.36
12 January 2021Dundee United2–2St. JohnstonexG 0.82–2.25
24 October 2020St. Johnstone0–0Dundee UnitedxG 0.96–0.10
1 August 2020Dundee United1–1St. JohnstonexG 1.84–0.38

6 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 1, St. Johnstone won 1, and 4 were drawn. Goals 4–4 and xG 1.18–0.86 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Harkes6490000.060.10
Smith7630100.050.08
Levitt6524100.020.08
Watt6465000.040.04

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Carey6512200.210.06
Wright7618100.100.04
Murphy7542100.100.03
Considine7630100.090.01

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.