Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Dundee United 0–0 Celtic

Sunday 7 March 2021, 12:00 · Tannadice Park · Round 31 · Half-time 0–0

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedCeltic
Goals00
xG0.511.77
Expected Points0.502.28

Dundee United 9%Draw 23%Celtic 68%

Most likely score 0–1, 18%. Final score 0–0, 9%.

Celtic goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+9%10%4%1%5%11%9%5%2%1%2%2%1%18%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTPawlett on for Clark, 62'Appere on for McNulty, 71'Chalmers on for Harkes, 79'Rogic on for Turnbull, 62'Forrest on for Brown, 78'Griffiths on for Elyounoussi, 84'Celtic 1.77Dundee United 0.5100.511.520153045607590HTPawlett on for Clark, 62'Appere on for McNulty, 71'Chalmers on for Harkes, 79'Rogic on for Turnbull, 62'Forrest on for Brown, 78'Griffiths on for Elyounoussi, 84'1.770.51Dundee UnitedCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedCeltic

0.51 −0.43xG1.77 −0.16
0.48 −0.46xG on target1.59 −0.44
9 −0.5Shots27 +9.4
4 +1.1Shots on target12 +5.7
0 −1.2Big chances2 −0.5
19 +5Touches in the opposition box44 +15
32% −15Possession68% +1
272 −94Passes570 −18
53% −13Pass accuracy79% −6
22% −17Field tilt78% +4
32 +1Final-third entries70 +4
13 +4.5Box entries21 +4.1
16.0 +1Passes per defensive action24.0 +14
5 +1.0Corners9 +2.9
17 +3Tackles11 −2
14 +3Interceptions9 −1
30 +5Clearances19 +3
12 +8.3Saves4 +2.4
15 +2Fouls4 −8
3 +1.3Offsides3 +1.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Shankland 82', 0.10 xGReynolds 77', 0.07 xGChalmers 87', 0.07 xGMcNulty 26', 0.06 xGMcNulty 68', 0.06 xGShankland 68', 0.05 xGHarkes 15', 0.04 xGHarkes 13', 0.03 xGFuchs 80', 0.03 xG14%0.07 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals10%0.05 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals43%0.22 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals33%0.17 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Elyounoussi 74', 0.32 xGWelsh 51', 0.23 xGGriffiths 90+1', 0.15 xGEdouard 9', 0.11 xGBrown 7', 0.07 xGEdouard 13', 0.07 xGElyounoussi 51', 0.07 xGLaxalt 34', 0.06 xGElyounoussi 78', 0.06 xGKenny 8', 0.05 xGElyounoussi 54', 0.05 xGElyounoussi 3', 0.04 xGLaxalt 9', 0.04 xGTurnbull 16', 0.04 xGEdouard 23', 0.04 xGMcGregor 31', 0.04 xGElyounoussi 41', 0.04 xGChristie 54', 0.04 xGChristie 63', 0.04 xGKenny 23', 0.03 xGBrown 37', 0.03 xGTurnbull 37', 0.03 xGMcGregor 50', 0.03 xGMcGregor 60', 0.03 xGLaxalt 1', 0.02 xGMcGregor 24', 0.02 xGElyounoussi 32', 0.02 xG8%0.15 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.15 xG, 0 goals53%0.94 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 0.94 xG, 0 goals20%0.36 xGWide in the box: 7 shots, 0.36 xG, 0 goals12%0.22 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals6%0.10 xGFurther out: 4 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedCeltic

0.13 3 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.42 23 shots, 0 goals
0.23 3 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.15 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.35 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
94 min (100%) · Dundee United 0.51, Celtic 1.77 xG

Line-ups

121261766101823924SiegristSmithEdwardsReynoldsRobsonFuchsClarkButcherHarkesMcNultyShanklandYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card62'79'71'Dundee United 4-1-2-1-2Micky Mellon291657359314842172722BainKennyWelshAjerLaxaltTurnbullBrownMcGregorChristieElyounoussiEdouardYellow cardYellow card62'78'84'Celtic 4-3-1-2John Kennedy

Dundee United substitutes

  • 62' Pawlett for Clark · yellow card 90+2'
  • 71' Appere for McNulty
  • 79' Chalmers for Harkes

Celtic substitutes

  • 62' Rogic for Turnbull
  • 78' Forrest for Brown
  • 84' Griffiths for Elyounoussi

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SiegristGK900.000.0000.0222
Smith RB900.000.1000.1396
EdwardsCB900.000.0900.06210
ReynoldsCB900.070.0000.0227
RobsonLB900.000.0400.08211
FuchsDM900.030.0300.1267
ClarkCM620.000.3100.0923
ButcherCM900.000.0100.0647
Harkes AM790.080.0200.0014
McNulty ST710.120.010−0.0105
Shankland ST900.150.1620.1474
Pawlett MF280.000.1130.0531
AppereFW190.000.0100.0430
ChalmersFW110.070.0010.0210

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BainGK900.000.0000.0211
Kenny RB900.080.4320.49263
WelshCB900.230.0000.0348
AjerCB900.000.0720.18109
LaxaltLB900.120.2120.0126
TurnbullCM620.060.3450.22111
BrownCM780.100.0100.0333
McGregorCM900.120.2420.16130
ChristieAM900.070.8140.4343
Elyounoussi ST840.610.1420.0824
EdouardST900.220.1600.0522
RogicFW280.000.0210.0651
ForrestFW120.000.0200.0730
GriffithsFW60.150.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Smith and Shankland: 3 passesReynolds and Robson: 3 passesMcNulty and Shankland: 3 passesRobson and Harkes: 4 passesFuchs and Harkes: 4 passesClark and McNulty: 4 passesSmith and McNulty: 5 passesSmith and Clark: 6 passesRobson and Shankland: 6 passesHarkes and Clark: 6 passesClark and Shankland: 6 passesSmith and Fuchs: 8 passesRobson and Clark: 8 passesFuchs and Shankland: 9 passesSiegrist: 4 completed passesSmith: 16 completed passesEdwards: 6 completed passesReynolds: 6 completed passesRobson: 18 completed passesButcher: 5 completed passesFuchs: 15 completed passesHarkes: 8 completed passesClark: 21 completed passesMcNulty: 6 completed passesShankland: 10 completed passes121261718662310924SiegristSmithEdwardsReynoldsRobsonButcherFuchsHarkesClarkMcNultyShanklandStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Celtic

Bain and Welsh: 6 passesBain and McGregor: 6 passesAjer and Brown: 6 passesBrown and McGregor: 6 passesMcGregor and Christie: 6 passesMcGregor and Elyounoussi: 6 passesKenny and Elyounoussi: 7 passesAjer and Welsh: 7 passesAjer and Turnbull: 7 passesTurnbull and Christie: 8 passesTurnbull and Edouard: 8 passesBain and Ajer: 9 passesKenny and Edouard: 9 passesBrown and Turnbull: 9 passesKenny and Welsh: 11 passesLaxalt and Turnbull: 11 passesKenny and Brown: 12 passesKenny and McGregor: 13 passesTurnbull and Elyounoussi: 13 passesAjer and Laxalt: 15 passesKenny and Turnbull: 16 passesAjer and McGregor: 18 passesMcGregor and Turnbull: 24 passesKenny and Christie: 25 passesLaxalt and McGregor: 26 passesBain: 17 completed passesKenny: 55 completed passesAjer: 44 completed passesWelsh: 27 completed passesLaxalt: 38 completed passesBrown: 25 completed passesMcGregor: 54 completed passesTurnbull: 47 completed passesChristie: 21 completed passesEdouard: 12 completed passesElyounoussi: 18 completed passes291635579384214172227BainKennyAjerWelshLaxaltBrownMcGregorTurnbullChristieEdouardElyounoussiStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
RobsonShankland8
SmithFuchs6
SmithShankland5
ShanklandFuchs5
RobsonClark5

Celtic

FromToPasses
KennyChristie19
McGregorLaxalt16
LaxaltMcGregor14
McGregorAjer14
TurnbullMcGregor12

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

50.07+0.521+3.68+0.78+0.58+1.37−0.411+3.980.03−2.45−0.29+4.79+3.52−3.55+0.76+2.42−0.72−0.73−0.73+0.71−0.32+1.13+1.33+1.20−0.71+0.94+3.60−0.40−0.65−4.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 31 matches

Celtic

1−3.35+0.514+4.19+5.15+0.35−2.610+4.15+0.34−3.27−1.03−2.46+2.29+4.19+3.03−1.32−2.05+1.61−3.32−2.02−0.20−2.01−1.11−1.43+0.50−0.41+0.50−0.71+0.30−0.80−5.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 31 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.010.020.010.010.010.030.040.020.020.110.020.010.030.060.010.030.07−0.110.010.120.140.16LessMore

Celtic

0.010.010.020.040.010.030.030.040.030.030.070.010.090.060.030.090.070.110.140.08−0.020.19−0.10−0.010.230.260.27LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackDundee United0.94 → 0.93Celtic1.73 → 1.68Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.36 → 1.32Celtic0.78 → 0.76

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six1%–−1
11th1%1%0
St. Mirren
Top six70%73%+3
St. Johnstone
Top six29%28%−1

From the forecast before the match (7 March 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedCeltic
Expected goals0.682.09
Win10%70%
Expected Points0.512.29
Clean sheet12%51%

Dundee United 10%Draw 20%Celtic 70%

Most likely score 0–2, 14%. Both sides score 44%.

Celtic goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+7%10%5%2%1%4%9%9%6%3%1%1%3%3%2%1%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 7 March 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawCeltic win
Dundee United
Top six1%14%––
11th1%<1%1%2%
St. Mirren
Top six70%64%73%70%
St. Johnstone
Top six29%23%28%31%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. D1–127 FebKilmarnock (A)xG 1.02–1.25
  2. L1–421 FebRangers (A)xG 1.04–3.26
  3. W3–013 FebLivingston (H)xG 1.93–0.93
  4. W2–06 FebRoss County (A)xG 1.65–0.74
  5. L1–23 FebMotherwell (A)xG 0.97–1.90
  6. L0–230 JanHibernian (H)xG 0.51–1.34

Celtic

  1. W1–027 FebAberdeen (H)xG 1.33–1.15
  2. L0–121 FebRoss County (A)xG 2.31–0.98
  3. W1–017 FebAberdeen (H)xG 0.98–0.43
  4. W2–114 FebSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.44–0.30
  5. W4–010 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.57–0.57
  6. W2–16 FebMotherwell (H)xG 1.57–0.42

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedCeltic
Position8th2nd
Played3131
Won, drawn, lost8–⁠11–⁠1220–⁠7–⁠4
Points35 (1.13 per game)67 (2.16 per game)
Expected Points per game0.981.96
Goals28–⁠4365–⁠23
xG per game0.94–⁠1.551.93–⁠0.94
Home: points, xG per game1.27, 0.96–⁠1.582.25, 1.72–⁠0.88
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 0.93–⁠1.522.07, 2.15–⁠1.00
ManagerMicky Mellon (31)John Kennedy (1)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackDundee United0.94, 9thCeltic1.73, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.36, 9thCeltic0.78, 2nd

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarDundee United attack: 0.94Celtic attack: 1.731.730.94CelticDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarDundee United defence: 1.36Celtic defence: 0.781.360.78

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−18%+29%+73%−40%
Counter-attacks+61%+91%+126%−67%
Set pieces−39%+18%+3%+7%
Penalties−62%−25%+31%−6%
Headers−53%+16%−14%−4%
Left side+18%+42%+55%−23%
Centre−40%+11%+52%−22%
Right side−23%+45%+59%−45%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdCeltic concededLeft side+18%−45%Centre−40%−22%Right side−23%−23%Open play−18%−40%Counter-attacks+61%−67%Set pieces−39%+7%Headers−53%−4%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdDundee United concededLeft side+55%+45%Centre+52%+11%Right side+59%+42%Open play+73%+29%Counter-attacks+126%+91%Set pieces+3%+18%Headers−14%+16%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedCeltic

0.94xG1.93
1.55xG against0.94
47%Possession67%
9.5Shots17.6
15.5Shots against8.5
2.9Shots on target6.3
1.2Big chances2.5
14.2Touches in the opposition box29.2
366Passes588
66%Pass accuracy84%
4.0Corners6.1
39%Field tilt74%
31.0Final-third entries65.8
8.5Box entries16.9
15.2Passes per defensive action10.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level470.841.26
Ahead191.131.33
Behind251.002.25

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level401.711.01
Ahead402.160.96
Behind101.870.59

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.144–3
16–300.200.195–9
31–450.120.334–9
46–600.160.225–4
61–750.070.391–9
76–900.250.289–9

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.200.148–3
16–300.290.1311–3
31–450.340.097–3
46–600.390.1812–5
61–750.320.218–5
76–900.400.1919–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTSiegrist 29Mehmet 2L. Smith 14Neilson 6Bolton 4Edwards 17Connolly 16Butcher 1Reynolds 27Robson 1Robson 19Butcher 3Powers 3Bolton 9L. Smith 7Chalmers 3Butcher 14Clark 6Powers 2Harkes 19Pawlett 10Fuchs 8Robson 8Sporle 8Bolton 4Clark 13McNulty 10Chalmers 1Shankland 24Appere 6Butcher 44-4-2 in 10 of 31 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (10), 3-5-2 (10), 4-1-4-1 (4), 5-3-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBain 13Barkas 13Hazard 5Frimpong 14Kenny 7Ajer 4Duffy 13Bitton 9Jullien 9Ajer 23Taylor 16Laxalt 10Edouard 2Soro 10Brown 9Christie 5McGregor 27Turnbull 4Ntcham 2Christie 10Brown 4Frimpong 4Turnbull 11Rogic 4Ntcham 4Edouard 11Elyounoussi 8Taylor 3Edouard 7Ajeti 7Griffiths 74-2-3-1 in 13 of 31 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (13), 4-1-3-2 (5), 4-1-2-1-2 (4), 3-5-2 (4), 4-4-2 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 December 2020Celtic3–0Dundee UnitedxG 2.09–0.95
22 August 2020Dundee United0–1CelticxG 0.29–3.00

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 0, Celtic won 2, and 0 were drawn. Goals 0–4 and xG 0.62–2.54 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Shankland242,206720.290.11
Clark221,842810.280.12
Sporle11953320.190.14
Pawlett141,225110.130.15

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Edouard211,8241620.800.18
Griffiths7650520.480.16
Elyounoussi141,204720.480.11
Turnbull181,501650.220.35

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.