Matches › 2022/23

Livingston 1–0 Hearts

Saturday 3 September 2022, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 6 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee William Collum · Attendance 4,678

Livingston Montaño 28'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Livingston	Hearts
Goals	1	0
xG	1.19	0.69
Expected Points	1.75	0.92

Livingston 47%Draw 33%Hearts 19%

Most likely score 1–0, 18%. Final score 1–0, 18%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonHearts

1.19 +0.45xG0.69 −0.82

1.41 +0.31xG on target0.00 −1.39

12 +4.0Shots6 −8.2

6 +2.8Shots on target0 −5.6

2 +0.4Big chances2 −0.2

25Touches in the opposition box19 −2

36% +1Possession64% +15

283 +21Passes487 +87

65% 0Pass accuracy75% +4

32% −4Field tilt68% +19

38 +16Final-third entries45 +9

11 +4.0Box entries9 −3.4

18.1 0Passes per defensive action10.6 −6

3 +0.8Corners3 −2.0

15 +1Tackles23 +7

13 +3.0Interceptions5 −2.2

27 +2Clearances9 −6

0 −2.6Saves5 +2.2

13 −1.6Fouls13 +3.4

4 +3.8Offsides0 −1.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Livingston

Hearts

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonHearts

0.96 9 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.51 3 shots, 0 goals

0.23 3 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.19 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–0

Level: 28 min (30%) · Livingston 0.18, Hearts 0.42 xG
Livingston ahead: 65 min (70%) · Livingston 1.01, Hearts 0.27 xG

Line-ups

Livingston substitutes

56' Bahamboula for Penrice
56' Guthrie for Gonçalves
56' Bitsindou
81' Stephen Kelly for Oméonga
83' Longridge for Montaño

Hearts substitutes

56' Forrest for Mackay-Steven
56' Haring for Grant
56' Shankland for Devlin · yellow card 65'
65' Ginnelly for Humphrys
83' Henderson for Halliday

Players

Livingston

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
George	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
Devlin	RB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.02	2	8
Obileye	CB	90			0.02	0.00	0	0.03	5	7
Sean Kelly	CB	90			0.00	0.08	1	0.06	6	11
Montaño	LB	83	1		0.23	0.16	5	0.27	12	11
Holt	CM	90		1	0.08	0.10	1	0.01	3	6
Pittman	CM	90			0.05	0.03	2	0.05	3	5
Gonçalves	CM	56			0.42	0.01	0	−0.02	1	1
Oméonga	AM	81			0.05	0.06	0	0.07	4	4
Penrice	AM	56			0.00	0.11	1	0.08	1	2
Nouble	ST	90			0.01	0.02	1	0.09	7	0
Bahamboula	FW	34			0.00	0.03	0	0.04	2	0
Guthrie	FW	34			0.34	0.02	0	0.04	0	1
Bitsindou	MF	34			0.00	0.00	0	–	–	0
Stephen Kelly	MF	9			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Longridge	DF	7			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0

Hearts

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Gordon	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	0
Sibbick	RB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.02	2	8
Neilson	CB	90	0.00	0.02	0	0.15	9	5
Kingsley	CB	90	0.13	0.03	0	0.15	5	5
Cochrane	LB	90	0.00	0.03	0	0.09	7	3
Devlin	DM	56	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	4
Halliday	DM	83	0.06	0.01	0	0.02	6	3
McKay	RW	90	0.00	0.26	2	0.21	7	1
Grant	AM	56	0.21	0.01	0	0.00	0	2
Mackay-Steven	LW	56	0.00	0.26	1	0.20	4	3
Humphrys	ST	65	0.21	0.00	0	−0.03	1	1
Forrest	MF	34	0.00	0.04	0	0.02	4	1
Haring	MF	34	0.00	0.02	0	0.02	3	1
Shankland	FW	34	0.00	0.03	0	−0.03	0	2
Ginnelly	FW	25	0.00	0.05	1	0.06	4	0
Henderson	FW	7	0.09	0.00	0	0.08	1	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Hearts

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

From	To	Passes
Montaño	Pittman	7
Montaño	Gonçalves	7
Montaño	Nouble	7
Pittman	Montaño	6
Oméonga	Devlin	5

Hearts

From	To	Passes
Kingsley	Cochrane	28
Cochrane	Kingsley	17
Sibbick	McKay	11
Cochrane	McKay	11
Kingsley	Neilson	10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

Against its average of 5 matches

Hearts

Against its average of 5 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

Hearts

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Livingston
Top six	36%	46%	+10
11th	7%	5%	−2
Bottom	4%	3%	−1
Hearts
Top six	86%	81%	−5
11th	<1%	1%	+1

From the forecast before the match (3 September 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Livingston	Hearts
Expected goals	1.17	1.26
Win	33%	38%
Expected Points	1.29	1.43
Clean sheet	28%	31%

Livingston 33%Draw 29%Hearts 38%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 50%.

From the forecast as it stood on 3 September 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Livingston win	Draw	Hearts win
Livingston
Top six	36%	46%	35%	28%
11th	7%	5%	7%	10%
Bottom	4%	3%	5%	6%
Hearts
Top six	86%	81%	86%	92%
11th	<1%	1%	1%	<1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

Hearts

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Livingston	Hearts
Position	7th	3rd
Played	5	5
Won, drawn, lost	2–⁠0–⁠3	3–⁠1–⁠1
Points	6 (1.20 per game)	10 (2.00 per game)
Expected Points per game	0.79	1.41
Goals	4–⁠9	10–⁠7
xG per game	0.74–⁠1.82	1.51–⁠1.51
Home: points, xG per game	1.50, 1.01–⁠1.50	3.00, 2.11–⁠1.17
Away: points, xG per game	1.00, 0.57–⁠2.03	0.50, 0.62–⁠2.02
Manager	David Martindale (66)	Robbie Neilson (43)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Livingston		Hearts
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−39%	average	+24%	+22%
Counter-attacks	−85%	−65%	−42%	+16%
Set pieces	−14%	+53%	−20%	−18%
Penalties	−91%	+269%	+40%	+21%
Headers	−23%	+87%	−10%	+14%
Left side	−22%	−6%	+29%	+10%
Centre	−57%	+5%	+8%	+16%
Right side	−13%	+30%	+3%	+10%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdHearts concededLeft side−22%+10%Centre−57%+16%Right side−13%+10%Open play−39%+22%Counter-attacks−85%+16%Set pieces−14%−18%Headers−23%+14%

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdLivingston concededLeft side+29%+30%Centre+8%+5%Right side+3%−6%Open play+24%averageCounter-attacks−42%−65%Set pieces−20%+53%Headers−10%+87%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonHearts

0.74xG1.51

1.82xG against1.51

35%Possession49%

8.0Shots14.2

17.4Shots against11.6

3.2Shots on target5.6

1.6Big chances2.2

262Passes400

65%Pass accuracy71%

2.2Corners5.0

36%Field tilt48%

22.0Final-third entries36.2

7.0Box entries12.4

17.7Passes per defensive action16.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	42	1.10	1.37
Ahead	31	0.60	1.46
Behind	17	0.13	3.55

Hearts

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	27	2.71	1.45
Ahead	44	1.19	1.44
Behind	19	0.58	1.78

xG by period

Livingston

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.18	0.03	2–0
16–30	0.11	0.06	0–0
31–45	0.16	0.38	0–1
46–60	0.08	0.44	1–2
61–75	0.07	0.60	0–5
76–90	0.14	0.31	1–1

Hearts

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.23	0.22	1–2
16–30	0.16	0.25	2–0
31–45	0.37	0.18	1–0
46–60	0.29	0.22	2–1
61–75	0.17	0.20	1–1
76–90	0.30	0.46	3–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

Formations: 4-3-2-1 (3), 4-3-3 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

Hearts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (3), 3-4-3 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
19 March 2022	Hearts	2–0	Livingston	xG 1.20–0.61
5 December 2021	Livingston	0–1	Hearts	xG 1.25–1.84
25 September 2021	Hearts	3–0	Livingston	xG 2.43–0.12

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 0, Hearts won 3, and 0 were drawn. Goals 0–6 and xG 0.66–1.82 per game.

Key players

Livingston

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Anderson	20	1,622	11	4	0.36	0.10
Nouble	18	1,587	2	3	0.16	0.16
Shinnie	23	2,072	3	2	0.12	0.07
Montano	11	1,050	1	1	0.13	0.05

Hearts

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Boyce	33	2,742	11	3	0.49	0.10
McKay	33	2,969	4	11	0.15	0.29
Ginnelly	18	1,796	6	3	0.25	0.10
Mackay-Steven	21	1,669	2	5	0.18	0.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.