Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Celtic 0–0 Livingston

Saturday 16 January 2021, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 24 · Half-time 0–0

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticLivingston
Goals00
xG0.421.22
Expected Points0.662.02

Celtic 11%Draw 32%Livingston 57%

Most likely score 0–1, 24%. Final score 0–0, 18%.

Livingston goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+15%5%1%7%12%7%2%1%2%1%18%24%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTHenderson on for Johnston, 66'Oko-Flex on for Rogic, 80'Forrest on for Sibbald, 62'Hamilton on for Robinson, 75'Livingston 1.22Celtic 0.4200.511.50153045607590HTHenderson on for Johnston, 66'Oko-Flex on for Rogic, 80'Forrest on for Sibbald, 62'Hamilton on for Robinson, 75'1.220.42CelticLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticLivingston

0.42 −1.65xG1.22 −0.07
0.22 −2.09xG on target0.41 −0.76
7 −12Shots15 +4
1 −6.1Shots on target1 −2.1
0 −2.9Big chances2 +0.4
16 −12Touches in the opposition box30 +11
61% −5Possession39% −9
471 −113Passes279 −68
75% −10Pass accuracy56% −5
66% −6Field tilt34% −18
35 −33Final-third entries28 −6
9 −7.9Box entries11 +2.0
12.5 +2.6Passes per defensive action13.4 +0.8
2 −4.4Corners9 +4.1
14 +1Tackles18 +2
9 −0.8Interceptions11 −0.6
38 +24Clearances10 −9
1 −0.4Saves1 −0.8
12 0Fouls10 −4
1 −0.3Offsides0 −2.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Johnston 57', 0.10 xGFrimpong 21', 0.08 xGFrimpong 21', 0.06 xGLaxalt 60', 0.06 xGMcGregor 16', 0.04 xGHenderson 69', 0.04 xGJohnston 25', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals39%0.16 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals44%0.18 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals17%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Ambrose 67', 0.29 xGMullin 81', 0.25 xGRobinson 52', 0.18 xGMullin 2', 0.06 xGPittman 5', 0.06 xGMullin 30', 0.05 xGAmbrose 77', 0.05 xGGuthrie 4', 0.04 xGMullin 10', 0.04 xGDevlin 80', 0.04 xGDevlin 86', 0.04 xGDevlin 18', 0.03 xGSibbald 42', 0.03 xGRobinson 56', 0.03 xGLawson 87', 0.03 xG15%0.18 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.18 xG, 0 goals33%0.40 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.40 xG, 0 goals26%0.32 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.32 xG, 0 goals26%0.32 xGEdge of the box: 8 shots, 0.32 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticLivingston

0.42 7 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.59 9 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.63 6 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
90 min (100%) · Celtic 0.42, Livingston 1.22 xG

Line-ups

65566493421230141918HazardRalstonBittonDuffyLaxaltMcGregorSoroFrimpongTurnbullJohnstonRogicYellow card66'80'Celtic 4-2-3-1Neil Lennon322252731763310814StryjekDevlinAmbroseGuthrieBrownRobinsonBartleyLawsonSibbaldPittmanMullinYellow cardYellow card75'62'Livingston 4-4-2David Martindale

Celtic substitutes

  • 66' Henderson for Johnston
  • 80' Oko-Flex for Rogic

Livingston substitutes

  • 62' Forrest for Sibbald
  • 75' Hamilton for Robinson

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HazardGK900.000.0000.0000
Ralston RB900.000.0210.0978
BittonCB900.000.0100.04811
DuffyCB900.000.0000.07611
LaxaltLB900.060.0100.0358
McGregorDM900.040.1410.1158
SoroDM900.000.0300.0527
FrimpongRW900.140.2220.1631
TurnbullAM900.000.0900.0742
JohnstonLW660.140.020−0.0132
RogicST800.000.0400.0434
HendersonMF240.040.0000.0001
Oko-FlexFW100.000.0000.0110

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0000.0450
DevlinRB900.110.1000.0643
AmbroseCB900.330.050−0.0162
GuthrieCB900.040.0200.0716
BrownLB900.000.0310.0648
RobinsonRM750.210.0300.1500
Bartley CM900.000.0100.0335
Lawson CM900.030.1740.17114
SibbaldLM620.030.0100.0115
PittmanST900.060.2720.1585
MullinST900.400.2430.0144
ForrestFW280.000.0100.0100
HamiltonFW150.000.0000.0010

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Ralston and Rogic: 4 passesDuffy and Johnston: 4 passesBitton and McGregor: 4 passesFrimpong and Rogic: 4 passesTurnbull and Johnston: 4 passesHazard and Duffy: 5 passesRalston and McGregor: 5 passesFrimpong and Turnbull: 5 passesTurnbull and Rogic: 5 passesRalston and Bitton: 8 passesDuffy and McGregor: 8 passesBitton and Soro: 8 passesMcGregor and Rogic: 9 passesRalston and Soro: 10 passesRalston and Frimpong: 10 passesDuffy and Laxalt: 10 passesLaxalt and Turnbull: 10 passesDuffy and Soro: 11 passesLaxalt and Johnston: 11 passesSoro and Turnbull: 11 passesMcGregor and Soro: 13 passesRalston and Turnbull: 16 passesMcGregor and Johnston: 16 passesLaxalt and McGregor: 17 passesMcGregor and Turnbull: 20 passesHazard: 7 completed passesRalston: 30 completed passesDuffy: 23 completed passesBitton: 15 completed passesLaxalt: 25 completed passesMcGregor: 51 completed passesSoro: 33 completed passesFrimpong: 12 completed passesTurnbull: 35 completed passesJohnston: 19 completed passesRogic: 11 completed passes65564693421230141918HazardRalstonDuffyBittonLaxaltMcGregorSoroFrimpongTurnbullJohnstonRogicStarters until 66' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Livingston

Stryjek and Brown: 3 passesStryjek and Lawson: 3 passesDevlin and Ambrose: 3 passesDevlin and Robinson: 3 passesGuthrie and Mullin: 3 passesGuthrie and Sibbald: 3 passesLawson and Pittman: 3 passesMullin and Robinson: 3 passesStryjek and Devlin: 4 passesStryjek and Ambrose: 4 passesDevlin and Lawson: 4 passesDevlin and Sibbald: 4 passesBrown and Sibbald: 4 passesMullin and Sibbald: 4 passesStryjek and Guthrie: 5 passesAmbrose and Brown: 5 passesGuthrie and Brown: 5 passesLawson and Mullin: 5 passesMullin and Pittman: 5 passesPittman and Robinson: 5 passesAmbrose and Guthrie: 6 passesBrown and Lawson: 6 passesBrown and Robinson: 6 passesBrown and Pittman: 7 passesLawson and Robinson: 9 passesDevlin and Pittman: 10 passesStryjek: 7 completed passesDevlin: 22 completed passesAmbrose: 15 completed passesGuthrie: 13 completed passesBrown: 24 completed passesLawson: 15 completed passesBartley: 4 completed passesMullin: 11 completed passesPittman: 14 completed passesSibbald: 9 completed passesRobinson: 11 completed passes322252733361481017StryjekDevlinAmbroseGuthrieBrownLawsonBartleyMullinPittmanSibbaldRobinsonStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
McGregorTurnbull15
McGregorLaxalt14
SoroMcGregor14
LaxaltMcGregor13
RalstonTurnbull12

Livingston

FromToPasses
DevlinPittman7
BrownGuthrie6
BrownLawson6
LawsonRobinson5
RobinsonLawson5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

6+1.69+4.326+17.27+3.410+5.59+1.26+0.27+2.99+2.28−0.44−1.76+0.35+1.95+0.512+5.71−3.03−1.02−1.23−1.20−4.11−1.01−1.21−1.00−2.52−0.80−0.31+0.40−0.80−0.71+0.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 20 matches

Livingston

2−3.23−1.910−0.53−2.16+1.17−1.35−1.911+4.68+0.34−1.22−2.110+4.75−1.73−1.69+4.94+1.06+2.09+4.85+2.06+3.80−1.10−1.62−0.61−0.52+1.61+0.32+1.52+0.94−5.50−5.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 21 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.030.010.010.010.020.010.010.020.010.080.010.010.030.020.020.060.030.030.020.060.05−0.060.030.010.13LessMore

Livingston

0.010.010.020.020.010.020.020.020.080.020.050.010.040.020.030.040.030.03−0.01−0.100.100.160.13LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackCeltic1.95 → 1.87Livingston1.11 → 1.11Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.78 → 0.78Livingston1.16 → 1.08

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title1%<1%−1
Livingston
Top six88%91%+3
St. Mirren
Top six38%38%0
11th3%3%0

From the forecast before the match (16 January 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticLivingston
Expected goals1.990.76
Win66%13%
Expected Points2.190.60
Clean sheet47%14%

Celtic 66%Draw 21%Livingston 13%

Most likely score 2–0, 13%. Both sides score 46%.

Livingston goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+7%4%2%4%4%8%6%2%4%3%1%2%1%12%10%13%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 16 January 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawLivingston win
Celtic
Title1%1%<1%<1%
Livingston
Top six88%85%91%97%
St. Mirren
Top six38%39%38%32%
11th3%3%3%3%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. D1–111 JanHibernian (H)xG 0.97–1.83
  2. L0–12 JanRangers (A)xG 0.61–0.58
  3. W3–030 DecDundee United (H)xG 2.09–0.95
  4. W3–026 DecHamilton Academical (A)xG 3.69–0.09
  5. W2–023 DecRoss County (H)xG 2.15–0.29
  6. W2–013 DecKilmarnock (H)xG 1.83–0.79

Livingston

  1. W3–110 JanRoss County (H)xG 1.74–1.28
  2. W3–02 JanHibernian (A)xG 1.18–0.49
  3. W2–126 DecKilmarnock (A)xG 0.68–1.22
  4. W2–023 DecHamilton Academical (A)xG 2.20–0.05
  5. W2–112 DecSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.98–1.05
  6. W2–05 DecDundee United (H)xG 1.20–0.42

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticLivingston
Position2nd5th
Played2021
Won, drawn, lost13–⁠5–⁠29–⁠3–⁠9
Points44 (2.20 per game)30 (1.43 per game)
Expected Points per game1.961.46
Goals46–⁠1628–⁠27
xG per game2.07–⁠0.991.29–⁠1.10
Home: points, xG per game2.30, 1.94–⁠0.931.30, 1.14–⁠1.30
Away: points, xG per game2.10, 2.20–⁠1.051.55, 1.42–⁠0.92
ManagerNeil Lennon (20)David Martindale (6)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackCeltic1.95, 2ndLivingston1.11, 5thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.78, 2ndLivingston1.16, 6th

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0SepOctNovDecJanCeltic attack: 1.95Livingston attack: 1.111.951.11LivingstonCelticDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0SepOctNovDecJanCeltic defence: 0.78Livingston defence: 1.161.160.78

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+73%−40%+2%−27%
Counter-attacks+209%−40%−100%−74%
Set pieces+24%−8%+15%+13%
Penalties+34%+34%−24%+2%
Headers+6%−50%+4%+10%
Left side+71%−19%−11%−40%
Centre+63%−31%+25%−5%
Right side+58%−43%−23%−15%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdLivingston concededLeft side+71%−15%Centre+63%−5%Right side+58%−40%Open play+73%−27%Counter-attacks+209%−74%Set pieces+24%+13%Headers+6%+10%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdCeltic concededLeft side−11%−43%Centre+25%−31%Right side−23%−19%Open play+2%−40%Counter-attacks−100%−40%Set pieces+15%−8%Headers+4%−50%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticLivingston

2.07xG1.29
0.99xG against1.10
66%Possession48%
18.5Shots10.5
8.2Shots against9.1
7.1Shots on target3.1
2.9Big chances1.6
27.9Touches in the opposition box18.6
584Passes348
85%Pass accuracy61%
6.4Corners4.9
72%Field tilt52%
68.3Final-third entries33.7
16.9Box entries9.0
9.9Passes per defensive action12.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.950.99
Ahead372.341.05
Behind91.580.74

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.121.02
Ahead171.341.01
Behind281.521.28

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.260.154–2
16–300.300.158–2
31–450.360.085–2
46–600.350.208–3
61–750.390.216–3
76–900.410.2015–4

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.105–2
16–300.250.222–10
31–450.130.252–5
46–600.230.228–8
61–750.240.145–0
76–900.260.176–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBarkas 12Hazard 4Bain 4Frimpong 14Elhamed 3Duffy 1Jullien 9Duffy 8Bitton 5Ajer 16Welsh 2Laxalt 8Taylor 7Edouard 2Brown 7Soro 6Christie 3McGregor 20Ntcham 2Forrest 1Christie 8Frimpong 3Forrest 3Turnbull 6Rogic 4Ntcham 4Edouard 6Elyounoussi 6Taylor 3Edouard 4Griffiths 4Ajeti 44-2-3-1 in 9 of 20 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (9), 3-5-2 (4), 4-1-3-2 (3), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTStryjek 11McCrorie 10Devlin 19Robinson 1Ambrose 1Ambrose 8Fitzwater 6Guthrie 20Brown 6Taylor-Sinclair 2Serrano 12Brown 3Ambrose 2Bartley 17Pittman 2Holt 11Sibbald 9Forrest 2Mullin 7Robinson 5Pittman 3Pittman 14Bartley 3Holt 1Forrest 12Sibbald 5Robinson 1Emmanuel-Thomas 5Robinson 3Tiffoney 34-2-3-1 in 12 of 21 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (12), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-3 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
19 September 2020Celtic3–2LivingstonxG 1.58–1.35

1 league meeting since 2020/21: Celtic won 1, Livingston won 0, and 0 were drawn. Goals 3–2 and xG 1.58–1.35 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Edouard121,055720.820.18
Turnbull7615420.280.46
Elyounoussi11872610.590.11
Christie151,325360.310.28

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Forrest141,250410.210.26
Emmanuel-Thomas5508100.330.04
Robinson121,102410.200.10
Mullin7609220.060.19

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.