Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Celtic 1–1 St. Johnstone

Sunday 6 December 2020, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 16 · Half-time 0–0

Celtic Elyounoussi 83'

St. Johnstone Kane 79'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticSt. Johnstone
Goals11
xG1.731.30
Expected Points1.671.01

Celtic 45%Draw 32%St. Johnstone 23%

Most likely score 1–1, 18%. Final score 1–1, 18%.

St. Johnstone goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+1%6%3%4%10%2%4%11%2%2%8%5%2%1%18%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTTaylor on for Laxalt, 46'Griffiths on for Brown, 59'Turnbull on for Rogic, 68'Elyounoussi on for Ajer, 81'Kane on for O'Halloran, 26'Craig on for Bryson, 86'Elyounoussi 83'Kane 79'Celtic 1.73St. Johnstone 1.3000.511.520153045607590HTTaylor on for Laxalt, 46'Griffiths on for Brown, 59'Turnbull on for Rogic, 68'Elyounoussi on for Ajer, 81'Kane on for O'Halloran, 26'Craig on for Bryson, 86'Elyounoussi 83'Kane 79'1.731.30CelticSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticSt. Johnstone

1.73 −0.45xG1.30 +0.07
1.98 −0.61xG on target0.97 +0.10
17 −1Shots6 −7
5 −2.2Shots on target1 −2.0
2 −1.1Big chances2 +0.7
31 +6Touches in the opposition box12 −11
69% +2Possession31% −15
574 −19Passes263 −112
83% −3Pass accuracy64% −3
63% −9Field tilt37% −18
66 −5Final-third entries24 −14
19 +2Box entries4 −6
7.7 −3Passes per defensive action21.3 +6
8 +1.9Corners1 −3.7
9 −4Tackles22 +6
9 +0.2Interceptions17 +5.2
12 −4Clearances16 −4
0 −1.4Saves5 +3.6
14 +2Fouls8 −4
1 −0.1Offsides5 +3.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Bitton 53', 0.60 xGEdouard 22', 0.43 xGRogic 12', 0.08 xGElyounoussi 87', 0.08 xGLaxalt 22', 0.07 xGEdouard 65', 0.06 xGJullien 69', 0.06 xGEdouard 81', 0.06 xGChristie 87', 0.05 xGGriffiths 64', 0.04 xGRogic 30', 0.03 xGChristie 35', 0.03 xGJullien 53', 0.03 xGTaylor 53', 0.03 xGTurnbull 76', 0.03 xGTurnbull 84', 0.03 xGElyounoussi 83', 0.04 xG, goal34%0.59 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.59 xG, 0 goals48%0.82 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 0.82 xG, 1 goal2%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals14%0.24 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.24 xG, 0 goals2%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

May 10', 0.31 xGMcCann 10', 0.07 xGMay 45+2', 0.07 xGMay 46', 0.04 xGMcCann 73', 0.02 xGKane 79', 0.79 xG, goal60%0.79 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.79 xG, 1 goal34%0.45 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.45 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals5%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticSt. Johnstone

0.81 10 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.92 4 shots, 1 goal
0.93 7 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.38 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
88 min (96%) · Celtic 1.64, St. Johnstone 1.30 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
4 min (4%) · Celtic 0.10, St. Johnstone 0.00 xG

Line-ups

162353042817931822BarkasBittonJullienAjerFrimpongMcGregorBrownChristieLaxaltRogicEdouardYellow card81'59'46'68'Celtic 3-5-1-1Neil Lennon119641518133101114ClarkRooneyGordonMcCartMcNamaraMcCannBrysonTanserWotherspoonO'HalloranMayYellow cardYellow cardYellow card86'26'St. Johnstone 3-4-2-1Callum Davidson

Celtic substitutes

  • 46' Taylor for Laxalt
  • 59' Griffiths for Brown
  • 68' Turnbull for Rogic
  • 81' Elyounoussi for Ajer · goal 83'

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 26' Kane for O'Halloran · yellow card 68', goal 79'
  • 86' Craig for Bryson · yellow card 90'

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BarkasGK900.000.0000.0100
BittonCB900.600.0500.1485
JullienCB900.090.1410.39106
AjerCB810.000.0100.0983
FrimpongRWB900.000.1320.1283
McGregor CM900.000.3110.20111
BrownCM590.000.0100.0224
ChristieCM9010.070.2130.0473
LaxaltLWB460.070.0200.0121
RogicAM680.110.0900.0751
EdouardST900.540.6310.1540
TaylorDF440.030.0200.0433
GriffithsFW310.040.2230.0210
TurnbullMF220.070.0700.0910
ElyounoussiFW910.120.0610.0810

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0000.0230
RooneyCB900.000.0000.0437
GordonCB900.000.0000.0115
McCartCB900.000.0100.0555
McNamara RWB900.000.0100.03312
McCannCM900.100.0710.0836
Bryson CM860.000.020−0.0216
TanserLWB900.000.1600.0756
Wotherspoon AM900.000.2520.0344
O'HalloranAM260.000.0100.0200
MayST9010.420.6710.1415
Kane FW6410.790.0100.0023
Craig MF40.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Jullien and Frimpong: 5 passesChristie and Rogic: 5 passesMcGregor and Edouard: 5 passesBarkas and Jullien: 6 passesJullien and Laxalt: 6 passesJullien and Christie: 6 passesFrimpong and Brown: 6 passesBitton and Brown: 7 passesFrimpong and Rogic: 7 passesFrimpong and Christie: 8 passesBitton and Frimpong: 9 passesLaxalt and McGregor: 9 passesLaxalt and Edouard: 9 passesBitton and Christie: 10 passesAjer and Laxalt: 15 passesJullien and Bitton: 20 passesJullien and Ajer: 31 passesBarkas: 11 completed passesJullien: 43 completed passesBitton: 33 completed passesAjer: 34 completed passesFrimpong: 22 completed passesLaxalt: 21 completed passesChristie: 18 completed passesBrown: 19 completed passesMcGregor: 16 completed passesRogic: 11 completed passesEdouard: 11 completed passes126353093178421822BarkasJullienBittonAjerFrimpongLaxaltChristieBrownMcGregorRogicEdouardStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

St. Johnstone

Clark and McCart: 3 passesMcCart and Wotherspoon: 3 passesBryson and Wotherspoon: 3 passesBryson and O'Halloran: 3 passesMcCann and Wotherspoon: 3 passesTanser and Bryson: 5 passesTanser and Wotherspoon: 5 passesClark: 2 completed passesGordon: 1 completed passesMcCart: 7 completed passesRooney: 3 completed passesMcNamara: 2 completed passesTanser: 6 completed passesBryson: 9 completed passesMcCann: 4 completed passesWotherspoon: 5 completed passesO'Halloran: 1 completed passesMay: 1 completed passes164191531318101114ClarkGordonMcCartRooneyMcNamaraTanserBrysonMcCannWotherspoonO'HalloranMayStarters until 26' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
JullienAjer25
BittonJullien25
AjerJullien25
JullienBitton17
FrimpongChristie14

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
McCartTanser11
BrysonWotherspoon6
TanserMay6
BrysonTanser6
McCannWotherspoon5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

4+0.17+2.46+1.94−1.18+0.59+3.24−0.14−2.28−0.14−1.15−0.51−1.62−3.05−1.17+3.84+0.34+1.01−3.22−2.01−0.83+0.92+0.42−0.54+1.40−0.41+0.50−1.00−0.70−0.85−4.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 13 matches

St. Johnstone

1−3.313+9.412−0.31−4.28+3.27−3.110+2.513+6.58−0.77−1.311+5.39+3.77+0.59+2.74−2.42−2.71−2.72−0.35+1.83−2.54+1.51−0.70−1.71−0.73−0.10−1.31+0.90−0.50−0.60−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 15 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.010.010.030.030.020.010.010.030.050.080.030.070.060.110.110.010.070.020.050.050.040.120.140.160.14LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.020.010.010.010.010.030.020.010.030.010.02−0.010.020.02−0.010.010.010.050.01−0.010.19LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackCeltic2.21 → 2.17St. Johnstone1.05 → 1.07Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.86 → 0.89St. Johnstone1.09 → 1.06

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title12%8%−4
St. Johnstone
Top six47%53%+6
11th3%2%−1
Bottom1%<1%−1
Rangers
Title88%92%+4
Motherwell
Top six44%42%−2

From the forecast before the match (6 December 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticSt. Johnstone
Expected goals2.190.70
Win71%10%
Expected Points2.320.49
Clean sheet50%11%

Celtic 71%Draw 19%St. Johnstone 10%

Most likely score 2–0, 13%. Both sides score 45%.

St. Johnstone goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+6%3%1%9%3%9%3%7%2%5%4%1%2%2%1%12%13%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 6 December 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Celtic
Title12%14%8%7%
St. Johnstone
Top six47%43%53%65%
11th3%4%2%1%
Bottom1%1%<1%<1%
Rangers
Title88%86%92%93%
Motherwell
Top six44%45%42%39%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. D2–221 NovHibernian (A)xG 1.91–1.54
  2. W4–18 NovMotherwell (A)xG 2.84–1.66
  3. D3–325 OctAberdeen (A)xG 2.04–2.76
  4. L0–217 OctRangers (H)xG 0.55–1.50
  5. W2–04 OctSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.71–0.63
  6. W3–027 SepHibernian (H)xG 1.94–0.60

St. Johnstone

  1. D2–224 NovHibernian (A)xG 1.02–1.56
  2. D1–121 NovMotherwell (H)xG 2.14–0.69
  3. W1–06 NovKilmarnock (H)xG 0.61–0.46
  4. D0–024 OctDundee United (H)xG 0.96–0.10
  5. W5–317 OctHamilton Academical (A)xG 3.81–0.73
  6. L0–24 OctCeltic (H)xG 0.63–1.71

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticSt. Johnstone
Position2nd7th
Played1315
Won, drawn, lost9–⁠3–⁠14–⁠4–⁠7
Points30 (2.31 per game)16 (1.07 per game)
Expected Points per game1.971.56
Goals34–⁠1313–⁠19
xG per game2.18–⁠1.081.23–⁠0.85
Home: points, xG per game2.40, 2.13–⁠0.831.00, 1.12–⁠0.66
Away: points, xG per game2.25, 2.22–⁠1.231.14, 1.35–⁠1.07
ManagerNeil Lennon (13)Callum Davidson (15)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackCeltic2.21, 2ndSt. Johnstone1.05, 7thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.86, 2ndSt. Johnstone1.09, 3rd

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0SepOctNovDecCeltic attack: 2.21St. Johnstone attack: 1.052.211.05St. JohnstoneCelticDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0SepOctNovDecCeltic defence: 0.86St. Johnstone defence: 1.091.090.86

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+73%−43%−7%−34%
Counter-attacks+368%−20%+146%−81%
Set pieces+14%−12%+1%−34%
Penalties+38%+73%−70%−40%
Headers−7%−39%+27%−23%
Left side+69%−25%+23%−18%
Centre+66%−30%−5%−37%
Right side+63%−50%−11%−53%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+69%−53%Centre+66%−37%Right side+63%−18%Open play+73%−34%Counter-attacks+368%−81%Set pieces+14%−34%Headers−7%−23%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdCeltic concededLeft side+23%−50%Centre−5%−30%Right side−11%−25%Open play−7%−43%Counter-attacks+146%−20%Set pieces+1%−12%Headers+27%−39%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticSt. Johnstone

2.18xG1.23
1.08xG against0.85
67%Possession46%
17.9Shots12.7
8.7Shots against9.4
7.2Shots on target3.0
3.1Big chances1.3
25.0Touches in the opposition box23.4
593Passes375
86%Pass accuracy67%
6.1Corners4.7
73%Field tilt55%
70.8Final-third entries37.5
16.8Box entries10.3
10.3Passes per defensive action15.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level372.051.22
Ahead402.441.03
Behind121.730.78

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level571.070.89
Ahead92.380.96
Behind241.160.74

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.270.174–2
16–300.290.216–2
31–450.390.104–2
46–600.340.275–3
61–750.410.183–2
76–900.490.1512–2

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.122–2
16–300.060.090–2
31–450.260.133–7
46–600.150.201–1
61–750.300.103–1
76–900.290.224–6

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBarkas 9Bain 4Frimpong 7Elhamed 3Bitton 1Duffy 6Jullien 5Bitton 3Ajer 11Welsh 1Taylor 5Laxalt 3Edouard 2Brown 7Christie 2Frimpong 1McGregor 13Ntcham 2Forrest 1Christie 4Frimpong 3Forrest 3Ntcham 4Brown 3Christie 2Elyounoussi 5Taylor 3Edouard 2Ajeti 4Elyounoussi 3Klimala 24-2-3-1 in 7 of 13 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (7), 3-5-2 (4), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTParish 8Clark 7Kerr 13Craig 2McCann 1Gordon 14McCart 14McNamara 13Rooney 1Kerr 1McCann 11McNamara 2Bryson 1Davidson 6Craig 5Wotherspoon 3Tanser 13Booth 2Conway 9McCann 2Craig 1Wotherspoon 8O'Halloran 7May 1May 7Hendry 7O'Halloran 13-4-2-1 in 9 of 15 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (9), 5-3-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-1-2-2-1 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
4 October 2020St. Johnstone0–2CelticxG 0.63–1.71

1 league meeting since 2020/21: Celtic won 1, St. Johnstone won 0, and 0 were drawn. Goals 2–0 and xG 1.71–0.63 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Edouard6577510.900.15
Christie10896340.390.32
Elyounoussi10735410.580.10
Forrest5484210.280.23

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May8776420.470.13
Conway11941220.250.25
Hendry8621000.320.03
Wotherspoon11980310.180.15

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.