Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

St. Johnstone 0–1 Aberdeen

Saturday 20 August 2022, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 4 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Craig Napier · Attendance 5,871

Aberdeen Clarkson 56'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
Goals01
xG0.341.05
Expected Points0.691.95

St. Johnstone 11%Draw 36%Aberdeen 53%

Most likely score 0–1, 27%. Final score 0–1, 27%.

Aberdeen goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+14%4%8%11%5%2%1%1%24%27%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTDavidson on for Phillips, May on for Bair, and Kucheriavyi on for Carey, 62'O'Halloran on for McGowan, 84'Morris on for Besuijen, 71'Duk on for Clarkson, 76'Polvara on for Miovski, 87'Clarkson 56'Aberdeen 1.05St. Johnstone 0.3400.511.50153045607590HTDavidson on for Phillips, May on for Bair, and Kucheriavyi on for Carey, 62'O'Halloran on for McGowan, 84'Morris on for Besuijen, 71'Duk on for Clarkson, 76'Polvara on for Miovski, 87'Clarkson 56'1.050.34St. JohnstoneAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneAberdeen

0.34 −0.11xG1.05 −0.57
0.03 −0.37xG on target0.70 −1.59
7 +1.0Shots15 +1.0
1 −0.7Shots on target4 −1.3
0 −0.7Big chances0 −3.7
46% +11Possession54% −1
341 +67Passes395 −70
67% +3Pass accuracy76% −3
54% +35Field tilt46% −1
32 +15Final-third entries43 −6
11 +6.0Box entries7 −4.0
9.5 −12Passes per defensive action11.2 −5
5 +1.7Corners5 +1.0
21 +3Tackles13 0
13 0Interceptions12 +2
24 −1Clearances16 −7
3 +1.0Saves1 −2.3
18 +8Fouls12 +1
1 0.0Offsides3 +2.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Murphy 83', 0.14 xGKucheriavyi 71', 0.06 xGHallberg 2', 0.04 xGCarey 14', 0.03 xGPhillips 26', 0.03 xGMurphy 70', 0.03 xGBrown 83', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals57%0.20 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals9%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals34%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Morris 90+3', 0.27 xGMiovski 66', 0.20 xGBesuijen 7', 0.10 xGMcCrorie 66', 0.08 xGMorris 90+1', 0.07 xGDuk 85', 0.06 xGCoulson 13', 0.04 xGMiovski 28', 0.04 xGMcCrorie 60', 0.04 xGMcCrorie 69', 0.03 xGCoulson 13', 0.02 xGClarkson 53', 0.02 xGMcCrorie 60', 0.02 xGMcCrorie 82', 0.01 xGClarkson 56', 0.04 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals72%0.75 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.75 xG, 0 goals7%0.07 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals14%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals7%0.07 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.07 xG, 1 goal

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneAberdeen

0.28 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.91 12 shots, 0 goals
0.07 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.14 3 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
56 min (60%) · St. Johnstone 0.10, Aberdeen 0.27 xG
Aberdeen ahead
37 min (40%) · St. Johnstone 0.24, Aberdeen 0.78 xG

Line-ups

113541422342232917MatthewsMcGowanMitchellConsidineWrightHallbergPhillipsBrownCareyMurphyBairYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card84'62'62'62'St. Johnstone 3-4-2-1Callum Davidson242554221621020179RoosRichardsonStewartScalesCoulsonRamadaniMcCrorieBesuijenClarksonHayesMiovskiGoal71'76'87'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Jim Goodwin

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 62' Kucheriavyi for Carey
  • 62' Davidson for Phillips
  • 62' May for Bair
  • 84' O'Halloran for McGowan

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 71' Morris for Besuijen
  • 76' Duk for Clarkson
  • 87' Polvara for Miovski

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MatthewsGK900.000.0000.0350
McGowanCB840.000.0210.0649
MitchellCB900.000.0000.01213
Considine CB900.000.0800.1048
WrightRWB900.000.0100.0588
Hallberg CM900.040.0210.0321
Phillips CM620.030.0100.0446
Brown LWB900.010.0300.0896
Carey AM620.030.0500.0153
MurphyAM900.170.1610.2961
BairST620.000.020−0.0802
KucheriavyiMF280.060.0200.0313
DavidsonMF280.000.0910.0732
MayFW280.000.000−0.0101
O'HalloranMF60.000.0000.0000

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RoosGK900.000.0000.0441
RichardsonRB900.000.0620.1692
StewartCB900.000.0100.06511
ScalesCB900.000.0100.0445
CoulsonLB900.060.0100.0584
RamadaniDM900.000.0300.0864
McCrorieDM900.170.011−0.0110
BesuijenRW710.100.0510.0231
ClarksonAM7610.070.0110.0234
HayesLW900.000.1720.0755
MiovskiST870.240.011−0.0502
MorrisMF190.350.0000.0523
DukFW140.060.0110.0211
PolvaraMF30.000.0010.0010

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Matthews and Bair: 3 passesMitchell and Phillips: 3 passesConsidine and Brown: 3 passesConsidine and Hallberg: 3 passesConsidine and Phillips: 3 passesBrown and Phillips: 3 passesPhillips and Bair: 3 passesMcGowan and Wright: 4 passesMcGowan and Hallberg: 4 passesMitchell and Hallberg: 4 passesHallberg and Carey: 5 passesCarey and Murphy: 5 passesMurphy and Bair: 5 passesMcGowan and Carey: 6 passesHallberg and Phillips: 6 passesPhillips and Murphy: 6 passesWright and Murphy: 7 passesHallberg and Murphy: 7 passesMcGowan and Phillips: 9 passesWright and Carey: 11 passesBrown and Murphy: 12 passesWright and Hallberg: 15 passesMatthews: 8 completed passesMcGowan: 15 completed passesMitchell: 8 completed passesConsidine: 7 completed passesWright: 20 completed passesBrown: 16 completed passesHallberg: 25 completed passesPhillips: 20 completed passesCarey: 11 completed passesMurphy: 20 completed passesBair: 8 completed passes113541422234232917MatthewsMcGowanMitchellConsidineWrightBrownHallbergPhillipsCareyMurphyBairStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Aberdeen

Roos and Clarkson: 4 passesRichardson and Hayes: 4 passesStewart and McCrorie: 4 passesStewart and Ramadani: 4 passesCoulson and Miovski: 4 passesMcCrorie and Miovski: 4 passesRamadani and Clarkson: 4 passesBesuijen and Clarkson: 4 passesClarkson and Hayes: 4 passesRichardson and McCrorie: 5 passesRoos and Richardson: 6 passesStewart and Miovski: 6 passesStewart and Clarkson: 7 passesRichardson and Ramadani: 8 passesMcCrorie and Ramadani: 8 passesRoos and Stewart: 9 passesRichardson and Clarkson: 11 passesScales and Ramadani: 11 passesCoulson and McCrorie: 11 passesScales and Coulson: 13 passesCoulson and Ramadani: 13 passesRoos and Scales: 14 passesRichardson and Besuijen: 18 passesScales and Stewart: 19 passesRichardson and Stewart: 20 passesRoos: 22 completed passesRichardson: 43 completed passesScales: 38 completed passesStewart: 35 completed passesCoulson: 26 completed passesMcCrorie: 17 completed passesRamadani: 31 completed passesBesuijen: 12 completed passesClarkson: 16 completed passesHayes: 10 completed passesMiovski: 9 completed passes242545222161020179RoosRichardsonScalesStewartCoulsonMcCrorieRamadaniBesuijenClarksonHayesMiovskiStarters until 71' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
BrownMurphy13
HallbergWright8
MurphyHallberg8
WrightHallberg7
CareyWright7

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
ScalesStewart14
RichardsonStewart12
RichardsonBesuijen12
RoosScales11
RamadaniCoulson10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

10+5.711+6.016−1.79+1.74−4.35−3.05−5.07−4.39+2.312+6.07+4.72−0.78+3.08−1.07+2.36+1.02+1.05+3.32+0.320.01+0.70−0.72+2.02+1.32+0.700.000.00−0.30−0.31−8.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 3 matches

Aberdeen

4+0.36+1.011+6.05−3.37+1.75−3.07−0.312+6.33−0.33−2.73−0.77+2.38+3.02−1.03−0.330.05+2.73−1.34+3.310.010.01−0.32+1.010.00−1.01+0.700.02+1.72−7.311−8.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 3 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.030.010.010.010.020.050.030.020.020.010.040.010.020.040.060.06−0.040.090.06−0.03−0.070.010.110.15LessMore

Aberdeen

0.020.010.010.010.020.010.030.010.040.010.030.030.020.050.040.050.040.030.02−0.03−0.020.03−0.070.010.070.08LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.19AttackSt. Johnstone0.83 → 0.82Aberdeen1.07 → 1.09Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.34 → 1.35Aberdeen1.17 → 1.15

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six14%8%−6
11th18%21%+3
Bottom18%24%+6
Aberdeen
Top six56%66%+10
11th4%2%−2
Bottom2%1%−1
Ross County
Top six8%8%0
11th20%21%+1
Bottom30%28%−2

From the forecast before the match (20 August 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
Expected goals0.981.11
Win31%38%
Expected Points1.241.45
Clean sheet33%38%

St. Johnstone 31%Draw 31%Aberdeen 38%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 43%.

Aberdeen goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+8%3%7%3%6%7%4%1%2%2%1%13%13%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 20 August 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawAberdeen win
St. Johnstone
Top six14%22%12%8%
11th18%15%19%21%
Bottom18%13%17%24%
Aberdeen
Top six56%46%53%66%
11th4%5%4%2%
Bottom2%3%2%1%
Ross County
Top six8%8%7%8%
11th20%20%21%21%
Bottom30%31%32%28%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–413 AugRangers (A)xG 0.33–2.32
  2. W2–16 AugMotherwell (A)xG 0.87–0.67
  3. L0–130 JulHibernian (H)xG 0.15–0.78
  4. L0–415 MayHibernian (A)xG 0.51–1.99
  5. W1–011 MayAberdeen (H)xG 0.68–0.28
  6. D1–17 MayLivingston (A)xG 1.21–1.25

Aberdeen

  1. L2–313 AugMotherwell (H)xG 1.27–2.72
  2. W4–16 AugSt. Mirren (H)xG 3.37–0.93
  3. L0–231 JulCeltic (A)xG 0.23–1.90
  4. D0–015 MaySt. Mirren (H)xG 1.16–0.37
  5. L0–111 MaySt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.28–0.68
  6. D1–17 MayHibernian (A)xG 0.63–2.02

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
Position9th7th
Played33
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠0–⁠21–⁠0–⁠2
Points3 (1.00 per game)3 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game0.791.21
Goals2–⁠66–⁠6
xG per game0.45–⁠1.261.62–⁠1.85
Home: points, xG per game0.00, 0.15–⁠0.781.50, 2.32–⁠1.83
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 0.60–⁠1.490.00, 0.23–⁠1.90
ManagerCallum Davidson (79)Jim Goodwin (15)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.19AttackSt. Johnstone0.83, 12thAberdeen1.07, 5thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.34, 10thAberdeen1.17, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSt. Johnstone attack: 0.83Aberdeen attack: 1.071.070.83AberdeenSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSt. Johnstone defence: 1.34Aberdeen defence: 1.171.341.17

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−64%+10%+4%+6%
Counter-attacks−90%+36%+102%+37%
Set pieces−21%−6%−13%+12%
Penalties−72%−34%+102%+83%
Headers−54%+4%+11%+14%
Left side−58%−8%−12%−10%
Centre−55%+2%−12%+14%
Right side−48%+39%+37%+17%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdAberdeen concededLeft side−58%+17%Centre−55%+14%Right side−48%−10%Open play−64%+6%Counter-attacks−90%+37%Set pieces−21%+12%Headers−54%+14%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−12%+39%Centre−12%+2%Right side+37%−8%Open play+4%+10%Counter-attacks+102%+36%Set pieces−13%−6%Headers+11%+4%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneAberdeen

0.45xG1.62
1.26xG against1.85
35%Possession55%
6.0Shots14.0
16.7Shots against15.3
1.7Shots on target5.3
0.7Big chances3.7
274Passes465
64%Pass accuracy80%
3.3Corners4.0
19%Field tilt47%
17.1Final-third entries49.0
5.0Box entries11.0
21.6Passes per defensive action15.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level500.610.99
Ahead210.220.84
Behind190.252.39

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level182.981.82
Ahead242.891.58
Behind480.491.99

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.040.170–0
16–300.150.111–0
31–450.000.240–1
46–600.090.170–0
61–750.020.200–1
76–900.150.351–4

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.200–1
16–300.380.251–1
31–450.340.063–0
46–600.410.571–3
61–750.060.170–1
76–900.350.601–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTMatthews 3McGowan 3Mitchell 3Considine 3Wright 3Hallberg 3MacPherson 2Davidson 1Montgomery 3Carey 3Murphy 3Bair 33-4-2-1 in every start

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTRoos 3Richardson 3Stewart 3McCrorie 2Scales 1Coulson 2Scales 1Ramadani 3McCrorie 1Clarkson 1Polvara 1Kennedy 3Besuijen 3Hayes 3Miovski 34-2-3-1 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
11 May 2022St. Johnstone1–0AberdeenxG 0.68–0.28
15 February 2022Aberdeen1–1St. JohnstonexG 2.12–1.17
11 December 2021St. Johnstone0–1AberdeenxG 0.21–0.77
18 September 2021Aberdeen0–1St. JohnstonexG 0.55–0.31
10 April 2021St. Johnstone0–1AberdeenxG 1.39–1.26
27 January 2021St. Johnstone0–0AberdeenxG 0.36–1.10

8 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 2, Aberdeen won 4, and 2 were drawn. Goals 4–6 and xG 0.68–0.96 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May131,362310.190.09
Hallberg171,410040.020.14
Crawford242,048300.070.09
MacPherson131,315010.030.09

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Ramirez332,9681040.210.05
Besuijen181,664200.130.11
Kennedy6477010.040.19
Hayes312,747310.060.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.