Matches › 2022/23

Kilmarnock 0–5 Celtic

Sunday 14 August 2022, 12:00 · Rugby Park · Round 3 · Half-time 0–3 · Referee David Dickinson · Attendance 9,162

Celtic Furuhashi 7', Jota 35', Jenz 45+1', Starfelt 76', Giakoumakis 82'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Kilmarnock	Celtic
Goals	0	5
xG	0.69	3.34
Expected Points	0.15	2.77

Kilmarnock 3%Draw 7%Celtic 90%

Most likely score 0–3, 13%. Final score 0–5, 6%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

KilmarnockCeltic

0.69 −0.11xG3.34 +1.52

0.44 +0.12xG on target4.16 +1.95

12 +1Shots20 −2

3 +0.5Shots on target11 +3.0

0 −0.5Big chances4 +2.0

27% −12Possession73% 0

211 −100Passes585 −66

61% −9Pass accuracy84% −4

29% −3Field tilt71% −15

30 0Final-third entries57 −36

6 −4Box entries19 −6

14.3 −5Passes per defensive action10.4 0

2 −1.5Corners8 −2.5

17 0Tackles11 −1

15 +3.0Interceptions0 −7.0

16 −7.5Clearances12 +3.0

5 +2.0Saves3 +1.0

18 +4.0Fouls11 +3.5

3 0.0Offsides2 0.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Kilmarnock

Celtic

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

KilmarnockCeltic

0.51 9 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.31 12 shots, 3 goals

0.19 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces2.03 8 shots, 2 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–10–20–30–5

Level: 7 min (7%) · Kilmarnock 0.00, Celtic 0.39 xG
Celtic ahead: 87 min (93%) · Kilmarnock 0.69, Celtic 2.94 xG

Line-ups

Kilmarnock substitutes

40' Waters for Dorsett
62' Armstrong for Murray · yellow card 78'
79' Cameron for Lafferty
79' Polworth for Donnelly
80' Lyons for Power

Celtic substitutes

55' Starfelt for Jenz · goal 76'
66' Mooy for Turnbull
66' Giakoumakis for Furuhashi · goal 82'
66' Abada for Maeda
80' Forrest for Jota

Players

Kilmarnock

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Walker	GK	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.05	5	0
Alebiosu	RB	90	0.03	0.01	0	0.04	6	8
Taylor	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	8
Mayo	CB	90	0.00	0.01	1	−0.09	0	11
Dorsett	LB	40	0.00	0.04	0	0.01	0	2
Murray	RM	62	0.08	0.04	2	0.05	3	1
Power	CM	80	0.04	0.03	1	0.07	6	8
Donnelly	CM	79	0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	4
McKenzie	LM	90	0.00	0.01	1	−0.01	0	3
Lafferty	ST	79	0.16	0.02	1	−0.03	0	2
Shaw	ST	90	0.32	0.01	1	0.05	1	1
Waters	DF	50	0.02	0.00	1	0.03	0	6
Armstrong	MF	28	0.03	0.14	1	0.15	6	0
Cameron	FW	11	0.00	0.06	0	−0.01	0	0
Polworth	MF	11	0.00	0.00	1	0.00	1	0
Lyons	MF	10	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hart	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
Juranovic	RB	90			0.00	0.12	1	0.16	14	2
Carter-Vickers	CB	90			0.34	0.00	0	0.04	4	8
Jenz	CB	55	1		0.19	0.06	0	0.17	8	2
Taylor	LB	90			0.10	0.07	0	0.01	10	6
O'Riley	CM	90			0.20	0.21	4	0.02	3	2
McGregor	CM	90			0.07	0.26	0	0.09	4	0
Turnbull	CM	66			0.21	0.51	2	0.07	4	0
Jota	RW	80	1		0.27	0.06	1	0.00	3	3
Furuhashi	ST	66	1		0.63	0.10	1	0.03	1	1
Maeda	LW	66		2	0.00	0.51	3	0.20	5	1
Starfelt	DF	35	1		1.14	0.01	0	0.09	8	2
Mooy	MF	24			0.00	0.01	0	−0.03	1	1
Giakoumakis	FW	24	1		0.17	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Abada	FW	24			0.02	0.12	1	0.22	4	0
Forrest	FW	10			0.00	0.01	0	0.02	1	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Kilmarnock

Celtic

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Kilmarnock

From	To	Passes
Walker	Lafferty	7
Alebiosu	Murray	7
Murray	Alebiosu	7
Murray	Power	6
Lafferty	Power	4

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Jenz	Taylor	20
Starfelt	Taylor	16
Carter-Vickers	Jenz	15
Taylor	Starfelt	14
Taylor	Turnbull	13

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Kilmarnock

Against its average of 2 matches

Celtic

Against its average of 2 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Kilmarnock

Celtic

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Kilmarnock
Top six	36%	32%	−4
11th	10%	11%	+1
Bottom	10%	12%	+2
Celtic
Title	52%	55%	+3
Rangers
Title	48%	45%	−3

From the forecast before the match (14 August 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Kilmarnock	Celtic
Expected goals	0.64	2.06
Win	10%	70%
Expected Points	0.50	2.30
Clean sheet	13%	53%

Kilmarnock 10%Draw 20%Celtic 70%

Most likely score 0–2, 14%. Both sides score 42%.

From the forecast as it stood on 14 August 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Kilmarnock win	Draw	Celtic win
Kilmarnock
Top six	36%	54%	42%	32%
11th	10%	6%	9%	11%
Bottom	10%	4%	7%	12%
Celtic
Title	52%	40%	48%	55%
Rangers
Title	48%	60%	52%	45%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Kilmarnock

Celtic

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Kilmarnock	Celtic
Position	11th	2nd
Played	2	2
Won, drawn, lost	0–⁠1–⁠1	2–⁠0–⁠0
Points	1 (0.50 per game)	6 (3.00 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.19	2.46
Goals	1–⁠3	5–⁠1
xG per game	0.80–⁠1.07	1.82–⁠0.31
Home: points, xG per game	1.00, 1.24–⁠0.38	3.00, 1.90–⁠0.23
Away: points, xG per game	0.00, 0.37–⁠1.77	3.00, 1.75–⁠0.39
Manager	Derek McInnes (2)	Ange Postecoglou (40)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Kilmarnock		Celtic
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−13%	+3%	+119%	−63%
Counter-attacks	−33%	−33%	+49%	−79%
Set pieces	+9%	−12%	+29%	−35%
Penalties	−33%	−33%	−12%	−75%
Headers	−13%	−21%	+88%	−43%
Left side	−4%	+8%	+53%	−60%
Centre	−8%	+3%	+139%	−52%
Right side	−15%	−16%	+60%	−62%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Kilmarnock attacking

Kilmarnock createdCeltic concededLeft side−4%−62%Centre−8%−52%Right side−15%−60%Open play−13%−63%Counter-attacks−33%−79%Set pieces+9%−35%Headers−13%−43%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdKilmarnock concededLeft side+53%−16%Centre+139%+3%Right side+60%+8%Open play+119%+3%Counter-attacks+49%−33%Set pieces+29%−12%Headers+88%−21%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

KilmarnockCeltic

0.80xG1.82

1.07xG against0.31

40%Possession73%

11.0Shots22.0

12.5Shots against5.0

2.5Shots on target8.0

0.5Big chances2.0

312Passes650

70%Pass accuracy87%

3.5Corners10.5

33%Field tilt86%

30.5Final-third entries93.0

10.5Box entries24.5

19.7Passes per defensive action10.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Kilmarnock

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	47	1.00	1.17
Ahead	0	–	–
Behind	43	0.60	0.98

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	38	2.15	0.36
Ahead	52	1.57	0.27
Behind	0	–	–

xG by period

Kilmarnock

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.15	0.29	0–0
16–30	0.17	0.09	0–0
31–45	0.09	0.10	0–1
46–60	0.15	0.25	0–1
61–75	0.05	0.02	0–0
76–90	0.19	0.32	1–1

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.27	0.01	1–0
16–30	0.29	0.02	0–0
31–45	0.34	0.16	0–0
46–60	0.29	0.04	1–1
61–75	0.37	0.04	1–0
76–90	0.26	0.03	2–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Kilmarnock

Formations: 3-4-3 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

Celtic

Formations: 4-3-3 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
2 February 2021	Kilmarnock	0–4	Celtic	xG 1.87–2.13
13 December 2020	Celtic	2–0	Kilmarnock	xG 1.83–0.79
9 August 2020	Kilmarnock	1–1	Celtic	xG 1.06–0.74

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Kilmarnock won 0, Celtic won 2, and 1 was a draw. Goals 1–7 and xG 1.24–1.57 per game.

Key players

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Giakoumakis	11	1,103	13	1	0.86	0.13
Furuhashi	18	1,366	13	0	0.78	0.13
Abada	24	2,254	11	6	0.53	0.32
Jota	27	2,387	11	13	0.28	0.46

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.