Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Motherwell 0–2 Celtic

Saturday 16 October 2021, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 9 · Half-time 0–1 · Attendance 8,446

Celtic Jota 17', Turnbull 52'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

MotherwellCeltic
Goals02
xG0.541.18
Expected Points0.801.86

Motherwell 15%Draw 34%Celtic 51%

Most likely score 0–1, 20%. Final score 0–2, 12%.

Celtic goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+12%4%10%9%3%2%3%2%16%20%16%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTvan Veen on for Roberts, 63'Amaluzor on for Grimshaw, 77'Giakoumakis on for Abada and Bitton on for Rogic, 73'Johnston on for Furuhashi, 82'Jota 17'Turnbull 52'Celtic 1.18Motherwell 0.5400.511.50153045607590HTvan Veen on for Roberts, 63'Amaluzor on for Grimshaw, 77'Giakoumakis on for Abada and Bitton on for Rogic, 73'Johnston on for Furuhashi, 82'Jota 17'Turnbull 52'1.180.54MotherwellCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellCeltic

0.54 −0.56xG1.18 −1.52
0.00 −1.46xG on target1.92 −0.74
5 −5Shots18 −2
0 −4.2Shots on target7 −0.4
0 −1.9Big chances1 −3.4
21 +6Touches in the opposition box50 +20
27% −13Possession73% +2
230 −63Passes654 +2
59% −7Pass accuracy88% +1
22% −9Field tilt78% 0
17 −11Final-third entries67 −1
9 +1.2Box entries24 +1.8
21.2 +7.5Passes per defensive action10.6 +2.0
4 +0.1Corners8 −0.6
16 +3Tackles10 −3
10 −1.0Interceptions2 −6.1
27 +1Clearances36 +23
5 +1.1Saves0 −2.4
14 −2Fouls12 −2
3 +1.6Offsides2 +1.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Motherwell

van Veen 83', 0.34 xGWoolery 27', 0.10 xGGoss 51', 0.04 xGGrimshaw 65', 0.03 xGGoss 77', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals63%0.34 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.34 xG, 0 goals24%0.13 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals13%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Starfelt 61', 0.14 xGAbada 16', 0.11 xGJota 36', 0.11 xGJota 25', 0.09 xGRogic 13', 0.07 xGJota 47', 0.05 xGRalston 61', 0.04 xGMcGregor 3', 0.03 xGTurnbull 8', 0.03 xGTurnbull 39', 0.03 xGRalston 50', 0.03 xGAbada 45+1', 0.02 xGFuruhashi 45+2', 0.02 xGRogic 57', 0.02 xGTurnbull 61', 0.02 xGJohnston 90', 0.02 xGJota 17', 0.32 xG, goalTurnbull 52', 0.02 xG, goal19%0.23 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.23 xG, 0 goals33%0.39 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.39 xG, 0 goals31%0.36 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.36 xG, 1 goal13%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals4%0.05 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 1 goal

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellCeltic

0.54 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.88 11 shots, 2 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.03 1 shot, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.27 6 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
17 min (18%) · Motherwell 0.00, Celtic 0.57 xG
Celtic ahead
78 min (82%) · Motherwell 0.54, Celtic 0.61 xG

Line-ups

125141923162728327KellyO'DonnellMugabiOjalaMcGinleyGrimshawSlatteryGossRobertsWattWooleryYellow card77'63'Motherwell 4-3-3Graham Alexander15562042342181411817HartRalstonCarter-VickersStarfeltBolingoli-MbomboMcGregorRogicTurnbullAbadaFuruhashiJotaYellow cardGoalGoal73'73'82'Celtic 4-3-3Ange Postecoglou

Motherwell substitutes

  • 63' van Veen for Roberts
  • 77' Amaluzor for Grimshaw

Celtic substitutes

  • 73' Bitton for Rogic
  • 73' Giakoumakis for Abada
  • 82' Johnston for Furuhashi

Players

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0000.0110
O'DonnellRB900.000.0100.0337
Mugabi CB900.000.0910.0445
OjalaCB900.000.0000.00011
McGinleyLB900.000.1910.1848
GrimshawCM770.030.0000.0115
SlatteryCM900.000.0500.0115
GossCM900.070.0200.0217
RobertsRW630.000.011−0.0604
WattST900.000.0700.0623
WooleryLW900.100.021−0.0441
van VeenFW270.340.000−0.0100
AmaluzorFW130.000.000−0.0311

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0211
RalstonRB900.070.3820.591110
Carter-Vickers CB900.000.0200.07612
StarfeltCB900.140.0100.0628
Bolingoli-MbomboLB900.000.0200.1179
McGregorCM900.030.1050.1584
RogicCM7310.090.2020.1250
TurnbullCM9010.100.2440.1761
AbadaRW730.140.0500.0651
FuruhashiST820.020.040−0.0711
JotaLW90110.570.2510.2771
BittonDF170.000.0100.0331
GiakoumakisFW170.000.020−0.0200
JohnstonFW80.020.0400.0020

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Kelly and O'Donnell: 3 passesKelly and Ojala: 3 passesMugabi and Watt: 3 passesO'Donnell and Mugabi: 4 passesO'Donnell and Grimshaw: 5 passesO'Donnell and Roberts: 5 passesMcGinley and Goss: 5 passesMcGinley and Woolery: 5 passesO'Donnell and Slattery: 6 passesGoss and Slattery: 7 passesKelly: 7 completed passesO'Donnell: 18 completed passesOjala: 5 completed passesMugabi: 9 completed passesMcGinley: 8 completed passesGrimshaw: 11 completed passesGoss: 12 completed passesSlattery: 10 completed passesRoberts: 2 completed passesWatt: 5 completed passesWoolery: 3 completed passes121451923271628327KellyO'DonnellOjalaMugabiMcGinleyGrimshawGossSlatteryRobertsWattWooleryStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Celtic

Carter-Vickers and Turnbull: 6 passesRogic and Jota: 9 passesHart and Carter-Vickers: 10 passesHart and Bolingoli-Mbombo: 10 passesRalston and Rogic: 11 passesStarfelt and Turnbull: 11 passesTurnbull and Abada: 11 passesRogic and Abada: 12 passesHart and Starfelt: 14 passesStarfelt and McGregor: 14 passesRalston and McGregor: 15 passesRalston and Turnbull: 15 passesBolingoli-Mbombo and McGregor: 16 passesBolingoli-Mbombo and Jota: 16 passesRogic and McGregor: 16 passesTurnbull and Jota: 18 passesMcGregor and Turnbull: 21 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 25 passesRalston and Abada: 27 passesStarfelt and Bolingoli-Mbombo: 27 passesRalston and Carter-Vickers: 28 passesBolingoli-Mbombo and Turnbull: 30 passesStarfelt and Carter-Vickers: 37 passesHart: 27 completed passesRalston: 57 completed passesStarfelt: 62 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 62 completed passesBolingoli-Mbombo: 55 completed passesRogic: 26 completed passesMcGregor: 67 completed passesTurnbull: 60 completed passesAbada: 22 completed passesFuruhashi: 5 completed passesJota: 24 completed passes15564202318421411817HartRalstonStarfeltCarter-VickersBolingoli-MbomboRogicMcGregorTurnbullAbadaFuruhashiJotaStarters until 73' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

FromToPasses
GossMcGinley8
O'DonnellGrimshaw6
SlatteryGoss6
McGinleyWoolery5
McGinleyGoss5

Celtic

FromToPasses
StarfeltCarter-Vickers26
StarfeltBolingoli-Mbombo22
Carter-VickersRalston21
Carter-VickersStarfelt18
Bolingoli-MbomboTurnbull17

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

1−3.23−3.027+7.59+2.812+4.910+4.96−0.65−1.68+1.28−0.12−3.15+0.11−2.21−3.91−4.23−0.82−2.11−1.01−2.04+1.03+0.21+0.20−1.54+2.25+3.010.01+0.82+1.61+0.20−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

Celtic

4−0.68+4.513+5.18+3.58+2.18+2.18+2.940.04−1.011+4.13−2.64+0.13−0.66+0.83−3.56+1.13−1.13+1.04−0.14−0.50−2.50−1.51−0.61−0.51−2.60−0.52+1.90−0.50−1.00−1.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

0.010.010.010.010.010.020.010.03−0.010.010.030.03−0.01−0.030.01−0.04−0.110.050.010.20LessMore

Celtic

0.010.010.010.010.020.020.020.020.030.050.040.030.020.030.060.030.090.060.120.100.070.020.040.27−0.10−0.050.040.49LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackMotherwell1.01 → 1.01Celtic1.92 → 1.92Defence (lower is better)Motherwell1.39 → 1.38Celtic0.80 → 0.80

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Motherwell
Top six40%37%−3
11th5%5%0
Bottom1%2%+1
Celtic
Title30%34%+4
Rangers
Title65%62%−3
Aberdeen
Top six51%51%0

From the forecast before the match (16 October 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

MotherwellCeltic
Expected goals0.812.14
Win13%67%
Expected Points0.582.22
Clean sheet12%45%

Motherwell 13%Draw 20%Celtic 67%

Most likely score 0–2, 12%. Both sides score 49%.

Celtic goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+6%9%5%2%1%4%7%4%2%2%4%4%3%1%1%1%11%12%10%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 16 October 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowMotherwell winDrawCeltic win
Motherwell
Top six40%55%43%37%
11th5%3%4%5%
Bottom1%<1%0%2%
Celtic
Title30%22%25%34%
Rangers
Title65%71%70%62%
Aberdeen
Top six51%47%52%51%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

  1. L0–22 OctHearts (A)xG 1.12–2.16
  2. W2–125 SepRoss County (H)xG 0.85–0.79
  3. D1–119 SepRangers (A)xG 0.27–2.65
  4. W2–011 SepAberdeen (H)xG 0.92–1.56
  5. W1–028 AugDundee FC (H)xG 0.23–1.15
  6. W2–121 AugLivingston (A)xG 2.30–0.95

Celtic

  1. W2–13 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.65–0.57
  2. D1–126 SepDundee United (H)xG 2.65–0.98
  3. L0–119 SepLivingston (A)xG 1.24–0.62
  4. W3–011 SepRoss County (H)xG 2.71–0.45
  5. L0–129 AugRangers (A)xG 1.44–0.74
  6. W6–021 AugSt. Mirren (H)xG 4.93–0.23

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellCeltic
Position4th6th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠2–⁠24–⁠1–⁠3
Points14 (1.75 per game)13 (1.62 per game)
Expected Points per game1.042.34
Goals11–⁠919–⁠6
xG per game1.10–⁠1.622.70–⁠0.65
Home: points, xG per game2.25, 0.87–⁠1.592.50, 3.95–⁠0.47
Away: points, xG per game1.25, 1.34–⁠1.640.75, 1.46–⁠0.83
ManagerGraham Alexander (26)Ange Postecoglou (8)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackMotherwell1.01, 6thCeltic1.92, 1stDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.39, 10thCeltic0.80, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctMotherwell attack: 1.01Celtic attack: 1.921.921.01CelticMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctMotherwell defence: 1.39Celtic defence: 0.801.390.80

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−25%+31%+176%−50%
Counter-attacks+48%−39%+6%−29%
Set pieces+54%−7%+38%−22%
Penalties−100%+140%−20%−100%
Headers+52%−14%+135%−14%
Left side+26%+51%+86%−69%
Centre+6%+6%+194%−19%
Right side−42%+10%+49%−62%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdCeltic concededLeft side+26%−62%Centre+6%−19%Right side−42%−69%Open play−25%−50%Counter-attacks+48%−29%Set pieces+54%−22%Headers+52%−14%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdMotherwell concededLeft side+86%+10%Centre+194%+6%Right side+49%+51%Open play+176%+31%Counter-attacks+6%−39%Set pieces+38%−7%Headers+135%−14%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellCeltic

1.10xG2.70
1.62xG against0.65
40%Possession71%
10.1Shots20.5
15.9Shots against8.4
4.2Shots on target7.4
1.9Big chances4.4
15.0Touches in the opposition box30.0
293Passes652
66%Pass accuracy88%
3.9Corners8.6
31%Field tilt78%
27.8Final-third entries68.1
7.8Box entries22.2
13.7Passes per defensive action8.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level371.381.58
Ahead260.401.81
Behind271.411.48

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level452.030.74
Ahead284.260.68
Behind171.950.39

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.292–2
16–300.120.212–2
31–450.130.141–3
46–600.260.412–1
61–750.170.341–1
76–900.260.223–0

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.340.161–1
16–300.590.126–2
31–450.400.071–0
46–600.220.142–1
61–750.500.104–1
76–900.660.075–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWKelly 8O'Donnell 5Mugabi 3Ojala 6Mugabi 4Johansen 1Lamie 5McGinley 4Carroll 4Grimshaw 6Slattery 8Donnelly 2O'Hara 6Maguire 2Woolery 6Amaluzor 2Watt 5van Veen 3van Veen 3Watt 2Woolery 24-3-3 in every start

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 7Bain 1Ralston 6Juranovic 2Carter-Vickers 4Welsh 4Bitton 1Starfelt 7Taylor 4Juranovic 2Montgomery 1Rogic 4Christie 2Soro 1McGregor 6McCarthy 2Bitton 1Turnbull 8Abada 8Ajeti 3Edouard 3Furuhashi 2Jota 4Furuhashi 2Christie 14-3-3 in 7 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (7), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
6 February 2021Celtic2–1MotherwellxG 1.57–0.42
8 November 2020Motherwell1–4CelticxG 1.66–2.84
30 August 2020Celtic3–0MotherwellxG 2.06–0.22

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 0, Celtic won 3, and 0 were drawn. Goals 2–9 and xG 0.77–2.16 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Watt7637400.360.03
Woolery8648110.310.07
van Veen6536210.260.06
O'Hara6540000.010.25

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Abada8687320.360.48
Turnbull8686310.230.41
Ralston6540210.090.25
McGregor6495000.050.09

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.