Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Motherwell 0–4 Celtic

Sunday 6 February 2022, 13:30 · Fir Park · Round 25 · Half-time 0–3 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 7,421

Celtic Abada 28', Rogic 31', 45', Maeda 71'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

MotherwellCeltic
Goals04
xG0.242.79
Expected Points0.102.83

Motherwell 1%Draw 7%Celtic 92%

Most likely score 0–3, 21%. Final score 0–4, 14%.

Celtic goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+3%12%14%6%3%3%5%5%3%2%20%21%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTWoolery on for van Veen, Tierney on for Carroll, and Efford on for Goss, 46'Nirennold on for Slattery, 81'Grimshaw on for Johansen, 82'Forrest on for Abada and Bitton on for Hatate, 46'Jota on for Giakoumakis and O'Riley on for McGregor, 63'Juranovic on for Taylor, 80'Abada 28'Rogic 31'Rogic 45'Maeda 71'Celtic 2.79Motherwell 0.2401230153045607590HTWoolery on for van Veen, Tierney on for Carroll, and Efford on for Goss, 46'Nirennold on for Slattery, 81'Grimshaw on for Johansen, 82'Forrest on for Abada and Bitton on for Hatate, 46'Jota on for Giakoumakis and O'Riley on for McGregor, 63'Juranovic on for Taylor, 80'Abada 28'Rogic 31'Rogic 45'Maeda 71'2.790.24MotherwellCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellCeltic

0.24 −0.74xG2.79 +0.27
0.32 −0.80xG on target2.30 −0.15
7 −3Shots18 −3
1 −2.6Shots on target10 +3.0
0 −1.4Big chances5 +1.4
11 −6Touches in the opposition box44 +6
30% −11Possession70% 0
267 −23Passes625 −24
58% −2Pass accuracy83% −4
27% −10Field tilt73% −6
27 +1Final-third entries59 −14
6 −1.6Box entries27 +4.0
16.5 +4Passes per defensive action7.1 −3
4 0.0Corners10 +0.2
17 +3Tackles12 −1
12 +0.9Interceptions5 −3.3
25 +1Clearances18 +3
5 +1.4Saves1 −0.4
17 +2Fouls13 +1
2 +0.1Offsides3 +1.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Motherwell

O'Donnell 25', 0.07 xGGoss 24', 0.04 xGDonnelly 78', 0.04 xGEfford 51', 0.03 xGEfford 53', 0.02 xGDonnelly 61', 0.02 xGGoss 44', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals46%0.11 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals29%0.07 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals25%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Maeda 72', 0.42 xGForrest 67', 0.28 xGRogic 43', 0.19 xGAbada 2', 0.18 xGMcGregor 54', 0.12 xGAbada 41', 0.10 xGJota 77', 0.09 xGTaylor 77', 0.08 xGRogic 78', 0.08 xGMaeda 34', 0.07 xGRogic 88', 0.07 xGGiakoumakis 27', 0.06 xGJuranovic 84', 0.03 xGJuranovic 81', 0.01 xGAbada 28', 0.42 xG, goalRogic 45', 0.38 xG, goalMaeda 71', 0.17 xG, goalRogic 31', 0.03 xG, goal3%0.07 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals87%2.42 xGCentral box: 11 shots, 2.42 xG, 3 goals8%0.22 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals2%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 1 goal0%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellCeltic

0.13 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play2.34 12 shots, 3 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.25 2 shots, 1 goal
0.11 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.20 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
28 min (31%) · Motherwell 0.11, Celtic 0.66 xG
Celtic ahead
62 min (69%) · Motherwell 0.13, Celtic 2.13 xG

Line-ups

15211922218316927KellyMugabiJohansenMcGinleyO'DonnellDonnellyCorneliusCarrollSlatteryvan VeenGossYellow cardYellow cardYellow card82'46'81'46'46'Motherwell 3-4-3Graham Alexander1556204318424111738HartRalstonCarter-VickersStarfeltTaylorRogicMcGregorHatateAbadaGiakoumakisMaedaGoalGoalGoalYellow cardGoal80'63'46'46'63'Celtic 4-3-3Ange Postecoglou

Motherwell substitutes

  • 46' Tierney for Carroll
  • 46' Efford for Goss
  • 46' Woolery for van Veen
  • 81' Nirennold for Slattery
  • 82' Grimshaw for Johansen

Celtic substitutes

  • 46' Bitton for Hatate
  • 46' Forrest for Abada
  • 63' O'Riley for McGregor · 1 assist
  • 63' Jota for Giakoumakis
  • 80' Juranovic for Taylor

Players

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0000.0330
Mugabi CB900.000.0100.0219
JohansenCB820.000.0000.01112
McGinley CB900.000.0000.01111
O'DonnellRWB900.070.0210.0436
Donnelly CM900.070.0100.0235
CorneliusCM900.000.0320.06210
CarrollLWB460.000.0000.0222
SlatteryRW810.000.0300.0661
van VeenST460.000.010−0.0501
GossLW460.050.0400.0710
TierneyMF440.000.0010.0121
EffordFW440.050.0000.0530
WooleryFW440.000.0000.0000
NirennoldMF90.000.0000.0000
GrimshawDF80.000.000−0.0101

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0210
RalstonRB900.000.1310.22147
Carter-VickersCB900.000.0000.0687
StarfeltCB900.000.0000.0427
TaylorLB800.080.1000.13142
RogicCM9020.750.6440.49132
McGregorCM630.120.0600.0611
HatateCM4610.000.0310.0430
AbadaRW46120.700.2130.3070
Giakoumakis ST630.060.010−0.0626
MaedaLW9010.660.0710.1530
BittonDF440.000.0200.0564
ForrestFW440.280.050−0.0220
O'RileyMF2710.000.3930.2860
JotaFW270.090.4420.2780
JuranovicDF100.050.0000.0011

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Kelly and Donnelly: 3 passesJohansen and Goss: 3 passesO'Donnell and Cornelius: 3 passesCarroll and Donnelly: 3 passesCornelius and Slattery: 3 passesDonnelly and Slattery: 3 passesDonnelly and Goss: 3 passesSlattery and van Veen: 3 passesvan Veen and Goss: 3 passesSlattery and Goss: 4 passesO'Donnell and Goss: 5 passesCornelius and Goss: 5 passesCarroll and Goss: 6 passesO'Donnell and Slattery: 10 passesKelly: 3 completed passesJohansen: 3 completed passesMugabi: 4 completed passesMcGinley: 8 completed passesO'Donnell: 16 completed passesCarroll: 8 completed passesCornelius: 13 completed passesDonnelly: 10 completed passesSlattery: 13 completed passesvan Veen: 4 completed passesGoss: 13 completed passes12151923182216927KellyJohansenMugabiMcGinleyO'DonnellCarrollCorneliusDonnellySlatteryvan VeenGossStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Celtic

Hart and McGregor: 4 passesStarfelt and Carter-Vickers: 4 passesStarfelt and Hatate: 4 passesStarfelt and McGregor: 4 passesTaylor and Giakoumakis: 4 passesRogic and Hatate: 4 passesGiakoumakis and Maeda: 4 passesHart and Ralston: 6 passesRalston and Rogic: 6 passesRalston and Hatate: 6 passesTaylor and Rogic: 6 passesMcGregor and Abada: 6 passesRalston and Carter-Vickers: 7 passesTaylor and McGregor: 7 passesHart and Carter-Vickers: 9 passesStarfelt and Taylor: 9 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 9 passesRogic and McGregor: 10 passesTaylor and Maeda: 11 passesHatate and McGregor: 12 passesHart and Starfelt: 13 passesTaylor and Hatate: 15 passesRalston and McGregor: 16 passesRalston and Abada: 16 passesRogic and Abada: 16 passesHart: 24 completed passesRalston: 32 completed passesStarfelt: 23 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 21 completed passesTaylor: 32 completed passesRogic: 19 completed passesHatate: 25 completed passesMcGregor: 36 completed passesAbada: 16 completed passesGiakoumakis: 5 completed passesMaeda: 8 completed passes1556420318414211738HartRalstonStarfeltCarter-VickersTaylorRogicHatateMcGregorAbadaGiakoumakisMaedaStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

FromToPasses
O'DonnellSlattery8
DonnellySlattery5
CorneliusMcGinley5
O'DonnellGoss4
SlatteryDonnelly4

Celtic

FromToPasses
StarfeltTaylor18
HartStarfelt17
Carter-VickersRalston15
TaylorStarfelt13
McGregorTaylor12

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

2−2.48+1.819+1.28+1.43−3.014+7.511+5.114+8.35−2.85−3.07+1.57+2.32−1.78+2.86−1.07+2.44+0.52−0.52−1.46+1.69+5.41−0.30−1.02−0.52−1.42+1.02+1.62+1.20−0.81+0.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 24 matches

Celtic

40.010+5.47−1.23−1.33−2.07+0.76+1.02−2.27+0.810+2.210+4.54−0.13−0.56+0.66+0.23−1.83−0.73+0.87+2.84−2.01−1.37+5.50−2.06+4.01−2.01+0.60−0.50−0.52+1.30−0.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 24 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

0.020.010.010.01−0.010.030.010.010.010.01−0.010.010.020.02−0.010.04−0.030.020.050.050.07LessMore

Celtic

0.010.010.060.030.020.040.030.020.020.030.080.070.060.100.090.140.040.230.070.03−0.180.180.010.380.44LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.13AttackMotherwell0.96 → 0.95Celtic2.01 → 2.05Defence (lower is better)Motherwell1.28 → 1.30Celtic0.71 → 0.69

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Motherwell
Top six74%70%−4
11th1%1%0
Celtic
Title70%74%+4
Rangers
Title30%26%−4
Aberdeen
Top six64%65%+1

From the forecast before the match (6 February 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

MotherwellCeltic
Expected goals0.692.15
Win10%71%
Expected Points0.502.31
Clean sheet12%50%

Motherwell 10%Draw 19%Celtic 71%

Most likely score 0–2, 13%. Both sides score 45%.

Celtic goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+6%10%5%2%1%4%9%9%7%4%2%1%3%3%2%1%12%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 6 February 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowMotherwell winDrawCeltic win
Motherwell
Top six74%90%81%70%
11th1%<1%1%1%
Celtic
Title70%55%63%74%
Rangers
Title30%45%37%26%
Aberdeen
Top six64%58%62%65%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

  1. D1–11 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.81–0.46
  2. L0–229 JanHearts (A)xG 0.76–1.65
  3. D0–026 JanHibernian (H)xG 0.61–0.38
  4. L1–318 JanRoss County (A)xG 0.59–1.20
  5. W2–126 DecLivingston (H)xG 0.92–0.43
  6. W2–018 DecSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.31–0.52

Celtic

  1. W3–02 FebRangers (H)xG 1.45–0.43
  2. W1–029 JanDundee United (H)xG 3.43–0.56
  3. W2–126 JanHearts (A)xG 1.70–1.22
  4. W2–017 JanHibernian (H)xG 2.94–0.57
  5. W3–126 DecSt. Johnstone (A)xG 2.57–0.26
  6. D0–022 DecSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.68–0.29

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellCeltic
Position4th1st
Played2424
Won, drawn, lost9–⁠6–⁠918–⁠3–⁠3
Points33 (1.38 per game)57 (2.38 per game)
Expected Points per game1.112.45
Goals27–⁠3350–⁠13
xG per game0.98–⁠1.362.52–⁠0.61
Home: points, xG per game1.92, 0.96–⁠1.242.67, 2.98–⁠0.50
Away: points, xG per game0.83, 1.00–⁠1.472.08, 2.07–⁠0.72
ManagerGraham Alexander (42)Ange Postecoglou (24)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.13AttackMotherwell0.96, 7thCeltic2.01, 1stDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.28, 10thCeltic0.71, 1st

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMotherwell attack: 0.96Celtic attack: 2.012.010.96CelticMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMotherwell defence: 1.28Celtic defence: 0.711.280.71

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−24%+9%+142%−51%
Counter-attacks−32%−2%+103%−54%
Set pieces+9%+10%+62%−46%
Penalties−34%+64%+32%−34%
Headers+34%−3%+73%−22%
Left side−4%+19%+85%−57%
Centre−6%−1%+168%−47%
Right side−45%+19%+59%−48%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdCeltic concededLeft side−4%−48%Centre−6%−47%Right side−45%−57%Open play−24%−51%Counter-attacks−32%−54%Set pieces+9%−46%Headers+34%−22%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdMotherwell concededLeft side+85%+19%Centre+168%−1%Right side+59%+19%Open play+142%+9%Counter-attacks+103%−2%Set pieces+62%+10%Headers+73%−3%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellCeltic

0.98xG2.52
1.36xG against0.61
41%Possession70%
10.2Shots21.2
14.1Shots against6.9
3.6Shots on target7.0
1.4Big chances3.6
17.4Touches in the opposition box37.5
290Passes649
61%Pass accuracy87%
4.0Corners9.8
36%Field tilt79%
26.2Final-third entries73.2
7.6Box entries23.0
12.9Passes per defensive action10.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level390.931.30
Ahead250.991.18
Behind261.051.63

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level392.420.46
Ahead452.690.76
Behind61.950.39

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.195–2
16–300.140.194–5
31–450.110.161–10
46–600.250.299–4
61–750.190.204–5
76–900.160.334–7

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.340.117–1
16–300.460.0815–3
31–450.480.098–2
46–600.270.096–2
61–750.360.164–4
76–900.610.0910–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWKelly 24O'Donnell 17Mugabi 7Johansen 13Mugabi 12Ojala 10Lamie 9McGinley 20Carroll 4Slattery 19Grimshaw 10Shaw 2Maguire 11Donnelly 7Cornelius 2Goss 13O'Hara 8Woolery 16Roberts 4Amaluzor 2van Veen 13Watt 7Shields 4Watt 11van Veen 4Shields 34-3-3 in 23 of 24 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (23), 3-4-2-1 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 21Bain 2Barkas 1Ralston 16Juranovic 7Welsh 1Carter-Vickers 19Bitton 1Starfelt 20Welsh 8Taylor 9Juranovic 8Scales 4Rogic 11O'Riley 3Christie 2McGregor 19Bitton 9McCarthy 4Turnbull 16Hatate 4Johnston 1Abada 16Forrest 2Rogic 2Furuhashi 9Giakoumakis 4Abada 3Jota 12Forrest 4Furuhashi 34-3-3 in 20 of 24 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (20), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-3-1-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
12 December 2021Celtic1–0MotherwellxG 2.45–0.75
16 October 2021Motherwell0–2CelticxG 0.54–1.18
6 February 2021Celtic2–1MotherwellxG 1.57–0.42
8 November 2020Motherwell1–4CelticxG 1.66–2.84
30 August 2020Celtic3–0MotherwellxG 2.06–0.22

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 0, Celtic won 5, and 0 were drawn. Goals 2–12 and xG 0.72–2.02 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Watt181,598900.350.06
van Veen171,556720.290.08
Shields7594110.200.09
Woolery191,581110.170.06

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Furuhashi12949800.810.16
Abada191,619840.510.33
Giakoumakis5473200.790.01
Turnbull181,586540.280.43

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.