Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Aberdeen 2–3 Motherwell

Saturday 13 August 2022, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 3 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Chris Graham · Attendance 14,714

Aberdeen Miovski 42', Hayes 47'

Motherwell Spittal 20', Slattery 52', van Veen 55'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenMotherwell
Goals23
xG1.272.72
Expected Points0.562.26

Aberdeen 13%Draw 18%Motherwell 69%

Most likely score 1–2, 10%. Final score 2–3, 6%.

Motherwell goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+1%4%6%6%4%2%2%7%6%3%1%1%4%6%4%2%1%2%3%2%10%10%7%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTMorris on for Kennedy, 30'MacKenzie on for Clarkson, 67'Duk on for Hayes, 75'Efford on for Spittal, 62'Morris on for Shields, Maguire on for Slattery, and Tierney on for Cornelius, 74'Miovski 42'Hayes 47'Spittal 20'Slattery 52'van Veen 55'Motherwell 2.72Aberdeen 1.2701230153045607590HTMorris on for Kennedy, 30'MacKenzie on for Clarkson, 67'Duk on for Hayes, 75'Efford on for Spittal, 62'Morris on for Shields, Maguire on for Slattery, and Tierney on for Cornelius, 74'Miovski 42'Hayes 47'Spittal 20'Slattery 52'van Veen 55'2.721.27AberdeenMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenMotherwell

1.27 −0.53xG2.72 +1.80
2.36 +0.11xG on target3.06 +2.07
14 0Shots19 +8
3 −3.5Shots on target6 +4.0
4 +0.5Big chances7 +6.0
60% +7Possession40% −14
481 +24Passes297 −124
83% +4Pass accuracy73% +3
40% −11Field tilt60% +1
53 +6Final-third entries38 −4
7 −6.0Box entries11 +2.0
9.6 −11Passes per defensive action17.6 +6
5 +1.5Corners12 +9.0
18 +7Tackles12 +1
12 +2.5Interceptions8 −2.5
23 0Clearances13 −10
3 −0.5Saves1 −2.5
9 −3Fouls10 −4
2 +2.0Offsides1 +0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Hayes 47', 0.31 xGMiovski 11', 0.18 xGMcCrorie 90+1', 0.08 xGScales 88', 0.07 xGMorris 70', 0.06 xGRichardson 83', 0.05 xGKennedy 26', 0.03 xGRamadani 90', 0.03 xGClarkson 64', 0.02 xGMorris 45', 0.01 xGScales 68', 0.01 xGMcCrorie 70', 0.01 xGHayes 47', 0.22 xG, goalMiovski 42', 0.18 xG, goal42%0.53 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.53 xG, 1 goal44%0.56 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.56 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals10%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals4%0.05 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Tierney 86', 0.42 xGvan Veen 78', 0.30 xGTierney 78', 0.18 xGMugabi 87', 0.18 xGJohansen 85', 0.14 xGSpittal 55', 0.12 xGJohansen 15', 0.10 xGEfford 84', 0.09 xGvan Veen 90+1', 0.07 xGGoss 34', 0.06 xGvan Veen 79', 0.03 xGMorris 90+1', 0.03 xGGoss 3', 0.02 xGvan Veen 10', 0.02 xGSlattery 17', 0.02 xGSlattery 51', 0.01 xGSlattery 52', 0.33 xG, goalSpittal 20', 0.31 xG, goalvan Veen 55', 0.29 xG, goal19%0.51 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.51 xG, 1 goal68%1.86 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 1.86 xG, 2 goals5%0.13 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals5%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals3%0.09 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenMotherwell

0.87 9 shots, 2 goalsOpen play1.81 13 shots, 2 goals
0.18 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.16 2 shots, 0 goals
0.22 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.75 4 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
28 min (29%) · Aberdeen 0.72, Motherwell 0.88 xG
Aberdeen ahead
5 min (5%) · Aberdeen 0.00, Motherwell 0.34 xG
Motherwell ahead
63 min (66%) · Aberdeen 0.55, Motherwell 1.50 xG

Line-ups

242552416203310179RoosRichardsonStewartMcCrorieScalesRamadaniClarksonKennedyBesuijenHayesMiovskiGoalGoal67'30'75'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Jim Goodwin1165152827187299KellyMcGinnMugabiJohansenO'DonnellSlatteryGossCorneliusSpittalShieldsvan VeenGoalYellow cardGoalGoal74'74'62'74'Motherwell 4-4-2Steven Hammell

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 30' Morris for Kennedy
  • 67' MacKenzie for Clarkson · yellow card 90+6'
  • 75' Duk for Hayes

Motherwell substitutes

  • 62' Efford for Spittal
  • 74' Maguire for Slattery
  • 74' Morris for Shields · yellow card 85'
  • 74' Tierney for Cornelius

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RoosGK900.000.0000.0110
RichardsonRB900.050.010−0.0134
StewartCB900.000.0110.111118
McCrorieCB900.100.0100.1398
ScalesLB9010.090.0610.15118
RamadaniDM900.030.0210.10127
ClarksonDM670.020.0100.0457
KennedyRW300.030.0000.0000
BesuijenAM900.000.1110.0440
HayesLW7510.530.0100.0133
MiovskiST9010.360.0200.1610
MorrisMF600.070.0200.0563
MacKenzie DF230.000.0410.0711
DukFW150.000.0000.0220

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0000.0101
McGinnRB900.000.0100.0665
MugabiCB900.180.0000.0119
JohansenCB900.230.0000.0114
O'DonnellLB900.000.0200.0684
Slattery RM7410.360.3410.1351
GossCM9010.080.2420.1191
CorneliusCM740.000.0220.0013
SpittalLM6210.430.1010.0640
ShieldsST7410.000.3810.3111
van VeenST9010.710.0130.0251
EffordFW280.090.0410.0532
MaguireMF160.000.0610.0002
Morris FW160.030.0120.0340
TierneyMF160.600.0610.0832

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

McCrorie and Ramadani: 3 passesScales and Ramadani: 3 passesClarkson and Miovski: 3 passesRamadani and Besuijen: 3 passesBesuijen and Hayes: 3 passesStewart and Clarkson: 4 passesMcCrorie and Clarkson: 4 passesClarkson and Besuijen: 4 passesBesuijen and Miovski: 4 passesHayes and Miovski: 4 passesRoos and Stewart: 5 passesRoos and McCrorie: 5 passesRichardson and Stewart: 5 passesRichardson and Clarkson: 5 passesStewart and Ramadani: 5 passesClarkson and Ramadani: 5 passesRichardson and Ramadani: 6 passesScales and Clarkson: 6 passesScales and Besuijen: 8 passesStewart and McCrorie: 12 passesMcCrorie and Scales: 12 passesRoos: 8 completed passesRichardson: 13 completed passesStewart: 16 completed passesMcCrorie: 19 completed passesScales: 17 completed passesClarkson: 17 completed passesRamadani: 13 completed passesKennedy: 3 completed passesBesuijen: 9 completed passesHayes: 7 completed passesMiovski: 6 completed passes242552420163310179RoosRichardsonStewartMcCrorieScalesClarksonRamadaniKennedyBesuijenHayesMiovskiStarters until 30' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Motherwell

Johansen and Mugabi: 3 passesGoss and van Veen: 3 passesSpittal and van Veen: 3 passesvan Veen and Shields: 3 passesKelly and O'Donnell: 4 passesSlattery and Cornelius: 4 passesSlattery and van Veen: 4 passesSpittal and Shields: 4 passesCornelius and van Veen: 5 passesSlattery and Shields: 6 passesMcGinn and van Veen: 7 passesJohansen and O'Donnell: 7 passesO'Donnell and Cornelius: 8 passesSlattery and Goss: 8 passesGoss and Spittal: 8 passesMcGinn and Goss: 9 passesMcGinn and Shields: 9 passesGoss and Cornelius: 10 passesO'Donnell and Goss: 12 passesCornelius and Spittal: 13 passesO'Donnell and Spittal: 16 passesMcGinn and Slattery: 18 passesKelly: 8 completed passesMcGinn: 32 completed passesJohansen: 11 completed passesMugabi: 6 completed passesO'Donnell: 29 completed passesSlattery: 16 completed passesGoss: 30 completed passesCornelius: 21 completed passesSpittal: 23 completed passesvan Veen: 10 completed passesShields: 10 completed passes1161552827187929KellyMcGinnJohansenMugabiO'DonnellSlatteryGossCorneliusSpittalvan VeenShieldsStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
McCrorieStewart16
StewartMcCrorie16
McCrorieScales14
ScalesBesuijen13
RamadaniStewart12

Motherwell

FromToPasses
McGinnSlattery13
O'DonnellSpittal11
O'DonnellCornelius8
McGinnGoss7
CorneliusSpittal7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

3−1.010+1.017−3.04−1.550.017+13.05−0.55−4.58+1.02−5.52−2.08+3.53−1.08+5.06+1.54+1.55+2.530.04+2.510+8.51+0.510.010.00−2.02+1.50−1.50−1.50−0.500.01+1.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 2 matches

Motherwell

5+0.51−5.015−4.04−5.04−1.53−4.55+1.57+1.56+0.513+5.58+4.01−3.57+0.512+6.52−2.03−0.520.040.05+0.51−4.00−2.00−1.02−0.53−1.510.00−0.54+2.50−0.53+1.03−5.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 2 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.040.020.060.020.040.050.030.050.010.060.040.050.020.010.02−0.02−0.010.070.030.070.120.10LessMore

Motherwell

0.010.010.030.030.010.020.040.050.040.020.040.10−0.010.070.08−0.010.030.14−0.020.030.19LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.17AttackAberdeen1.08 → 1.07Motherwell0.97 → 1.02Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.12 → 1.17Motherwell1.36 → 1.34

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Aberdeen
Top six70%57%−13
11th2%3%+1
Bottom1%2%+1
Motherwell
Top six24%36%+12
11th12%10%−2
Bottom10%5%−5

From the forecast before the match (13 August 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenMotherwell
Expected goals1.480.85
Win52%21%
Expected Points1.820.90
Clean sheet43%23%

Aberdeen 52%Draw 28%Motherwell 21%

Most likely score 1–0, 14%. Both sides score 45%.

Motherwell goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+8%3%1%5%1%9%4%1%5%4%2%2%2%10%14%13%11%

From the forecast as it stood on 13 August 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawMotherwell win
Aberdeen
Top six70%76%67%57%
11th2%1%3%3%
Bottom1%<1%1%2%
Motherwell
Top six24%18%26%36%
11th12%14%11%10%
Bottom10%12%8%5%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. W4–16 AugSt. Mirren (H)xG 3.37–0.93
  2. L0–231 JulCeltic (A)xG 0.23–1.90
  3. D0–015 MaySt. Mirren (H)xG 1.16–0.37
  4. L0–111 MaySt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.28–0.68
  5. D1–17 MayHibernian (A)xG 0.63–2.02
  6. W1–030 AprDundee FC (H)xG 1.54–0.85

Motherwell

  1. L1–26 AugSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.67–0.87
  2. W1–031 JulSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.16–2.38
  3. L0–614 MayCeltic (A)xG 0.90–2.32
  4. W2–111 MayHearts (H)xG 1.42–1.31
  5. W1–07 MayRoss County (A)xG 1.22–0.72
  6. L0–130 AprDundee United (A)xG 0.77–0.38

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenMotherwell
Position5th6th
Played22
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠0–⁠11–⁠0–⁠1
Points3 (1.50 per game)3 (1.50 per game)
Expected Points per game1.530.84
Goals4–⁠32–⁠2
xG per game1.80–⁠1.420.92–⁠1.62
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 3.37–⁠0.930.00, 0.67–⁠0.87
Away: points, xG per game0.00, 0.23–⁠1.903.00, 1.16–⁠2.38
ManagerJim Goodwin (14)Steven Hammell (2)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.17AttackAberdeen1.08, 5thMotherwell0.97, 9thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.12, 4thMotherwell1.36, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugAberdeen attack: 1.08Motherwell attack: 0.971.080.97MotherwellAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugAberdeen defence: 1.12Motherwell defence: 1.361.361.12

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+2%−17%−29%+23%
Counter-attacks−8%−64%−56%+91%
Set pieces−1%−12%−17%+46%
Penalties+133%+108%+71%−12%
Headers+14%−13%−19%+36%
Left side−9%−21%−11%+14%
Centre−10%−6%−18%+46%
Right side+27%−31%−51%+12%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdMotherwell concededLeft side−9%+12%Centre−10%+46%Right side+27%+14%Open play+2%+23%Counter-attacks−8%+91%Set pieces−1%+46%Headers+14%+36%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdAberdeen concededLeft side−11%−31%Centre−18%−6%Right side−51%−21%Open play−29%−17%Counter-attacks−56%−64%Set pieces−17%−12%Headers−19%−13%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenMotherwell

1.80xG0.92
1.42xG against1.62
53%Possession54%
14.0Shots10.5
13.5Shots against14.5
6.5Shots on target2.0
3.5Big chances1.0
456Passes421
78%Pass accuracy70%
3.5Corners3.0
51%Field tilt59%
47.0Final-third entries42.5
13.0Box entries9.0
21.0Passes per defensive action11.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level143.670.77
Ahead333.111.24
Behind440.241.75

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level351.272.84
Ahead240.491.65
Behind310.840.22

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.040.230–1
16–300.560.211–0
31–450.410.072–0
46–600.350.480–1
61–750.040.250–1
76–900.400.181–0

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.040.070–0
16–300.020.420–1
31–450.470.451–0
46–600.080.130–0
61–750.150.160–0
76–900.160.401–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTRoos 2Richardson 2Stewart 2McCrorie 1Scales 1Coulson 2Ramadani 2McCrorie 1Polvara 1Kennedy 2Besuijen 2Hayes 2Miovski 24-2-3-1 in every start

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTKelly 2McGinn 2Johansen 2Mugabi 1Lamie 1O'Donnell 1Carroll 1Morris 1Spittal 1Spittal 1Maguire 1Goss 1Morris 1Shields 1Goss 1van Veen 2Maguire 1Shields 14-4-2 in 1 of 2 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
19 February 2022Motherwell1–1AberdeenxG 2.62–1.23
6 November 2021Aberdeen0–2MotherwellxG 0.94–0.47
11 September 2021Motherwell2–0AberdeenxG 0.92–1.56
23 January 2021Aberdeen2–0MotherwellxG 3.10–0.47
23 December 2020Motherwell0–0AberdeenxG 0.22–1.16
20 September 2020Aberdeen0–3MotherwellxG 0.70–1.75

6 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 1, Motherwell won 3, and 2 were drawn. Goals 3–8 and xG 1.45–1.07 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Ramirez332,9681040.210.05
Besuijen171,574200.130.11
Hayes302,672210.050.16
McCrorie322,839110.040.01

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
van Veen262,4581040.310.09
Efford111,005210.230.05
Goss282,401140.080.16
Shields191,632220.160.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.