Matches › 2022/23

Kilmarnock 2–1 Motherwell

Saturday 27 August 2022, 15:00 · Rugby Park · Round 5 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Euan Anderson · Attendance 6,238

Kilmarnock Armstrong 71', Taylor 76'

Motherwell van Veen 14'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Kilmarnock	Motherwell
Goals	2	1
xG	1.52	0.70
Expected Points	1.96	0.76

Kilmarnock 56%Draw 28%Motherwell 16%

Most likely score 1–0, 15%. Final score 2–1, 10%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

KilmarnockMotherwell

1.52 +0.77xG0.70 −0.80

1.09 +0.75xG on target1.49 −0.03

21 +9Shots10 −3

4 +1.5Shots on target6 +3.0

3 +2.8Big chances1 −1.8

56% +17Possession44% −8

387 +96Passes310 −77

70% +4Pass accuracy63% −8

61% +24Field tilt39% −22

40 +9Final-third entries29 −9

13 +4.2Box entries8 −1.0

10.7 −6Passes per defensive action11.4 −1

8 +4.0Corners4 −1.0

12 −3Tackles13 0

9 −3.5Interceptions16 +8.2

12 −7Clearances28 +10

6 +2.2Saves2 −0.2

11 −4Fouls20 +7

2 −0.2Offsides0 −1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Kilmarnock

Motherwell

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

KilmarnockMotherwell

1.21 16 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.67 9 shots, 1 goal

0.16 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.15 4 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.03 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–12–1

Level: 19 min (20%) · Kilmarnock 0.08, Motherwell 0.48 xG
Kilmarnock ahead: 18 min (19%) · Kilmarnock 0.18, Motherwell 0.08 xG
Motherwell ahead: 59 min (61%) · Kilmarnock 1.26, Motherwell 0.15 xG

Line-ups

Kilmarnock substitutes

64' Murray for Shaw
64' McKenzie for McInroy
76' Cameron for Lafferty
85' Donnelly for Armstrong

Motherwell substitutes

58' Efford for Shields
59' Morris for Cornelius
73' Maguire for Slattery
73' Tierney for Spittal

Players

Kilmarnock

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Walker	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	0
Alebiosu	RB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.03	4	3
Taylor	CB	90	1		0.09	0.01	0	0.10	13	5
Mayo	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	3	5
Chrisene	LB	90			0.13	0.01	0	0.09	8	8
Armstrong	RM	85	1		0.22	0.02	1	0.02	3	2
Polworth	CM	90		1	0.00	0.16	5	0.13	5	2
Power	CM	90			0.06	0.13	4	0.26	12	6
McInroy	LM	64			0.01	0.03	0	0.04	2	0
Lafferty	ST	76			0.50	0.03	1	−0.05	1	1
Shaw	ST	64			0.32	0.04	2	−0.02	0	1
Murray	FW	26			0.11	0.00	0	0.07	5	0
McKenzie	MF	26			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	2
Cameron	FW	14			0.05	0.01	0	0.03	0	1
Donnelly	MF	5			0.02	0.02	0	0.02	2	0

Motherwell

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Kelly	GK	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.07	4	0
McGinn	RB	90			0.03	0.01	0	0.06	7	10
Johansen	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.04	2	12
Lamie	CB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.02	3	13
O'Donnell	LB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.05	6	7
Slattery	CM	73			0.01	0.01	3	0.05	3	3
Goss	CM	90			0.02	0.09	0	0.02	0	10
Cornelius	CM	59			0.04	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Shields	RW	58			0.07	0.03	1	0.08	3	4
van Veen	ST	90	1		0.31	0.05	2	0.14	2	0
Spittal	LW	73		1	0.00	0.28	1	0.04	3	1
Efford	FW	32			0.04	0.02	0	0.04	1	2
Morris	FW	31			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Maguire	MF	17			0.04	0.00	0	0.00	1	0
Tierney	MF	17			0.13	0.00	0	0.00	0	1

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Kilmarnock

Motherwell

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Kilmarnock

From	To	Passes
Polworth	Chrisene	10
Chrisene	McInroy	9
Chrisene	Polworth	9
McInroy	Power	8
Alebiosu	Armstrong	8

Motherwell

From	To	Passes
McGinn	van Veen	7
Lamie	Kelly	7
McGinn	Shields	6
Goss	O'Donnell	6
McGinn	Slattery	6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Kilmarnock

Against its average of 4 matches

Motherwell

Against its average of 4 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Kilmarnock

Motherwell

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Kilmarnock
Top six	19%	27%	+8
11th	16%	13%	−3
Bottom	18%	13%	−5
Motherwell
Top six	54%	46%	−8
11th	4%	5%	+1
Bottom	2%	3%	+1
St. Johnstone
Top six	9%	9%	0
11th	21%	21%	0
Bottom	26%	28%	+2

From the forecast before the match (27 August 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Kilmarnock	Motherwell
Expected goals	1.25	1.06
Win	40%	31%
Expected Points	1.49	1.21
Clean sheet	35%	29%

Kilmarnock 40%Draw 29%Motherwell 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 47%.

From the forecast as it stood on 27 August 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Kilmarnock win	Draw	Motherwell win
Kilmarnock
Top six	19%	27%	17%	12%
11th	16%	13%	18%	17%
Bottom	18%	13%	20%	23%
Motherwell
Top six	54%	46%	54%	64%
11th	4%	5%	4%	2%
Bottom	2%	3%	2%	1%
St. Johnstone
Top six	9%	9%	9%	9%
11th	21%	21%	20%	21%
Bottom	26%	28%	25%	24%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Kilmarnock

Motherwell

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Kilmarnock	Motherwell
Position	12th	3rd
Played	4	4
Won, drawn, lost	0–⁠1–⁠3	3–⁠0–⁠1
Points	1 (0.25 per game)	9 (2.25 per game)
Expected Points per game	0.96	1.60
Goals	1–⁠9	6–⁠4
xG per game	0.75–⁠1.54	1.50–⁠1.20
Home: points, xG per game	0.50, 0.96–⁠1.86	1.50, 1.05–⁠0.57
Away: points, xG per game	0.00, 0.53–⁠1.21	3.00, 1.94–⁠1.82
Manager	Derek McInnes (4)	Steven Hammell (4)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Kilmarnock		Motherwell
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−30%	+6%	−8%	+3%
Counter-attacks	−40%	−67%	+17%	+89%
Set pieces	+9%	+105%	+2%	+23%
Penalties	−67%	−67%	+185%	−56%
Headers	−15%	+3%	average	+24%
Left side	−11%	+9%	+42%	+7%
Centre	−33%	+52%	−12%	+31%
Right side	−15%	+6%	−38%	−16%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Kilmarnock attacking

Kilmarnock createdMotherwell concededLeft side−11%−16%Centre−33%+31%Right side−15%+7%Open play−30%+3%Counter-attacks−40%+89%Set pieces+9%+23%Headers−15%+24%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdKilmarnock concededLeft side+42%+6%Centre−12%+52%Right side−38%+9%Open play−8%+6%Counter-attacks+17%−67%Set pieces+2%+105%Headersaverage+3%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

KilmarnockMotherwell

0.75xG1.50

1.54xG against1.20

39%Possession52%

12.0Shots13.2

13.2Shots against12.0

2.5Shots on target3.0

0.2Big chances2.8

291Passes387

66%Pass accuracy71%

4.0Corners5.0

37%Field tilt62%

30.8Final-third entries37.8

8.8Box entries9.0

16.3Passes per defensive action12.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Kilmarnock

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	47	0.81	1.09
Ahead	0	–	–
Behind	43	0.68	2.02

Motherwell

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	42	1.58	1.71
Ahead	32	1.52	1.04
Behind	17	1.24	0.20

xG by period

Kilmarnock

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.07	0.26	0–1
16–30	0.15	0.08	0–0
31–45	0.13	0.29	0–3
46–60	0.22	0.21	0–1
61–75	0.04	0.11	0–0
76–90	0.15	0.59	1–4

Motherwell

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.05	0.09	0–0
16–30	0.11	0.22	1–1
31–45	0.26	0.29	1–1
46–60	0.25	0.22	2–1
61–75	0.32	0.11	1–0
76–90	0.51	0.27	1–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Kilmarnock

Formations: 5-3-2 (2), 4-4-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

Motherwell

Formations: 4-4-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
1 May 2021	Motherwell	2–0	Kilmarnock	xG 1.00–0.93
20 March 2021	Kilmarnock	4–1	Motherwell	xG 1.86–1.33
10 February 2021	Kilmarnock	0–1	Motherwell	xG 1.00–0.95
30 December 2020	Motherwell	0–2	Kilmarnock	xG 0.40–1.78

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Kilmarnock won 2, Motherwell won 2, and 0 were drawn. Goals 6–4 and xG 1.39–0.92 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
van Veen	28	2,638	12	4	0.34	0.08
Efford	11	1,069	2	1	0.23	0.05
Tierney	5	667	2	0	0.22	0.04
Goss	30	2,581	1	5	0.08	0.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.