Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Rangers 2–0 Kilmarnock

Saturday 6 August 2022, 15:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 2 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 49,600

Rangers Colak 51', Morelos 88'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

RangersKilmarnock
Goals20
xG1.770.37
Expected Points2.480.33

Rangers 76%Draw 19%Kilmarnock 5%

Most likely score 2–0, 22%. Final score 2–0, 22%.

Kilmarnock goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+8%3%10%1%9%1%11%5%3%1%22%22%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTBarisic on for Yilmaz and Matondo on for Wright, 63'Morelos on for Colak, 64'Arfield on for Tillman, 75'Polworth on for Donnelly, 60'Armstrong on for Lafferty, 75'Cameron on for McKenzie and McInroy on for Power, 84'Colak 51'Morelos 88'Rangers 1.77Kilmarnock 0.3700.511.520153045607590HTBarisic on for Yilmaz and Matondo on for Wright, 63'Morelos on for Colak, 64'Arfield on for Tillman, 75'Polworth on for Donnelly, 60'Armstrong on for Lafferty, 75'Cameron on for McKenzie and McInroy on for Power, 84'Colak 51'Morelos 88'1.770.37RangersKilmarnock

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersKilmarnock

1.77 +0.62xG0.37 −0.87
2.05 −0.33xG on target0.00 −0.63
18 −3Shots4 −14
4 −2.0Shots on target0 −5.0
2 0.0Big chances0 −1.0
73% −10Possession27% −25
675 −53Passes249 −125
86% −3Pass accuracy67% −7
90% −4Field tilt10% −46
70 −27Final-third entries16 −29
22 −2Box entries2 −17
8.6 +4.5Passes per defensive action19.4 −0.8
8 0.0Corners3 −1.0
20 +3Tackles17 +1
9 +6.0Interceptions15 +6.0
10 +8.0Clearances29 +11.0
0 −1.0Saves2 −2.0
13 −2Fouls17 +6
5 +4.0Offsides5 +4.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Rangers

Tillman 3', 0.27 xGLundstram 12', 0.15 xGColak 9', 0.05 xGTavernier 15', 0.05 xGWright 17', 0.05 xGGoldson 37', 0.05 xGWright 42', 0.04 xGMorelos 69', 0.04 xGLawrence 2', 0.03 xGDavis 57', 0.03 xGColak 26', 0.02 xGLawrence 26', 0.02 xGLawrence 39', 0.02 xGDavis 40', 0.02 xGLawrence 19', 0.01 xGYilmaz 27', 0.01 xGMorelos 88', 0.65 xG, goalColak 51', 0.25 xG, goal37%0.65 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.65 xG, 1 goal42%0.75 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.75 xG, 1 goal6%0.11 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals12%0.22 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals2%0.04 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Kilmarnock

McKenzie 48', 0.17 xGTaylor 32', 0.11 xGArmstrong 80', 0.07 xGPower 81', 0.03 xG29%0.11 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.11 xG, 0 goals45%0.17 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.17 xG, 0 goals18%0.07 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals8%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersKilmarnock

1.63 15 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.17 1 shot, 0 goals
0.14 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.20 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
51 min (57%) · Rangers 1.05, Kilmarnock 0.27 xG
Rangers ahead
39 min (43%) · Rangers 0.72, Kilmarnock 0.10 xG

Line-ups

33261934111023971McLaughlinTavernierGoldsonSandsYilmazLundstramLawrenceDavisWrightColakTillmanGoal63'63'64'75'Rangers 4-3-3Giovanni van Bronckhorst20531925422157289WalkerTaylorDorsettWrightAlebiosuPowerDonnellyMurrayMcKenzieLaffertyShawYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card84'60'84'75'Kilmarnock 3-4-3Derek McInnes

Rangers substitutes

  • 63' Barisic for Yilmaz
  • 63' Matondo for Wright
  • 64' Morelos for Colak · goal 88'
  • 75' Arfield for Tillman

Kilmarnock substitutes

  • 60' Polworth for Donnelly
  • 75' Armstrong for Lafferty · yellow card 82'
  • 84' Cameron for McKenzie · yellow card 86'
  • 84' McInroy for Power

Players

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McLaughlinGK900.000.0000.0221
TavernierRB900.050.3720.29107
GoldsonCB900.050.1110.26136
SandsCB900.000.0700.20113
YilmazLB630.010.0100.0042
LundstramCM900.150.040−0.0357
LawrenceCM9010.070.1540.1864
DavisCM900.060.0700.0883
WrightRW630.090.1830.2270
ColakST6410.320.010−0.0100
TillmanLW750.270.1430.2053
BarisicDF270.000.0000.0122
MatondoFW270.000.0400.1261
MorelosFW2610.690.0100.0001
ArfieldMF150.000.0000.0101

Kilmarnock

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WalkerGK900.000.0100.0541
Taylor CB900.110.0000.01112
DorsettCB900.000.0000.00010
WrightCB900.000.0000.02112
AlebiosuRWB900.000.0100.0321
PowerCM840.030.0500.0466
Donnelly CM600.000.0000.0005
Murray LWB900.000.4210.1737
McKenzie RW840.170.000−0.0100
LaffertyST750.000.001−0.0116
ShawLW900.000.0000.0213
PolworthMF300.000.0100.0011
Armstrong MF150.070.0000.0111
Cameron FW60.000.0000.0000
McInroyMF60.000.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Goldson and Lawrence: 6 passesGoldson and Tillman: 6 passesLundstram and Davis: 6 passesLawrence and Tillman: 6 passesWright and Tillman: 6 passesYilmaz and Davis: 8 passesLundstram and Lawrence: 8 passesLundstram and Wright: 8 passesMcLaughlin and Sands: 10 passesTavernier and Sands: 10 passesMcLaughlin and Goldson: 11 passesGoldson and Wright: 11 passesYilmaz and Lawrence: 11 passesTavernier and Tillman: 12 passesTavernier and Davis: 13 passesTavernier and Wright: 13 passesSands and Lundstram: 13 passesTavernier and Lundstram: 14 passesSands and Lawrence: 14 passesGoldson and Lundstram: 15 passesLawrence and Davis: 15 passesSands and Davis: 18 passesGoldson and Davis: 19 passesSands and Yilmaz: 20 passesTavernier and Goldson: 28 passesSands and Goldson: 39 passesMcLaughlin: 24 completed passesTavernier: 46 completed passesSands: 74 completed passesGoldson: 74 completed passesYilmaz: 28 completed passesLundstram: 44 completed passesLawrence: 27 completed passesDavis: 47 completed passesWright: 22 completed passesColak: 9 completed passesTillman: 20 completed passes33219634111023971McLaughlinTavernierSandsGoldsonYilmazLundstramLawrenceDavisWrightColakTillmanStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Kilmarnock

Walker and Shaw: 3 passesDorsett and Murray: 3 passesAlebiosu and McKenzie: 3 passesAlebiosu and Lafferty: 3 passesAlebiosu and Shaw: 3 passesWalker and Lafferty: 4 passesPower and Lafferty: 5 passesWright and Alebiosu: 6 passesWright and Power: 6 passesAlebiosu and Power: 7 passesLafferty and Shaw: 7 passesWalker: 11 completed passesTaylor: 5 completed passesWright: 8 completed passesDorsett: 3 completed passesAlebiosu: 12 completed passesMurray: 3 completed passesPower: 14 completed passesDonnelly: 6 completed passesMcKenzie: 3 completed passesLafferty: 10 completed passesShaw: 7 completed passes20519325154227289WalkerTaylorWrightDorsettAlebiosuMurrayPowerDonnellyMcKenzieLaffertyShawStarters until 60' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

FromToPasses
SandsGoldson34
GoldsonSands26
TavernierGoldson23
GoldsonTavernier21
LundstramTavernier13

Kilmarnock

FromToPasses
AlebiosuWright8
PowerAlebiosu7
ShawLafferty5
McKenzieAlebiosu5
WalkerLafferty5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

20.02+1.05+3.04−1.03+2.010+8.06+5.06+5.04+1.09+5.04−4.020.06+2.010+2.010+4.07+5.02−2.03+1.06+2.04+1.05+1.04+1.03+1.01−4.04−1.00−2.000.03+3.000.00−2.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 1 match

Kilmarnock

5−4.07−2.023+14.020+16.010+7.02−3.08+3.010+6.08+1.011+5.08+4.05−3.070.05−1.02−8.03−1.06+3.03+1.06+3.04−1.05+3.00−1.00−1.030.01−1.02+1.000.000.000.00−1.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 1 match

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

0.020.010.010.030.030.020.020.040.030.030.020.030.170.080.160.080.040.060.140.130.120.020.14−0.17−0.010.31LessMore

Kilmarnock

0.020.010.010.010.010.020.01−0.020.03−0.01−0.010.020.030.010.020.01−0.01−0.010.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.17AttackRangers2.02 → 2.03Kilmarnock1.02 → 0.99Defence (lower is better)Rangers0.65 → 0.65Kilmarnock1.24 → 1.25

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Rangers
Title44%46%+2
Kilmarnock
Top six40%38%−2
11th9%10%+1
Bottom9%10%+1
Celtic
Title56%54%−2

From the forecast before the match (6 August 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

RangersKilmarnock
Expected goals2.560.52
Win81%5%
Expected Points2.570.29
Clean sheet60%8%

Rangers 81%Draw 14%Kilmarnock 5%

Most likely score 2–0, 15%. Both sides score 37%.

Kilmarnock goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+5%2%6%2%8%2%7%2%8%4%1%4%2%3%1%12%15%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 6 August 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRangers winDrawKilmarnock win
Rangers
Title44%46%36%33%
Kilmarnock
Top six40%38%51%55%
11th9%10%7%5%
Bottom9%10%5%5%
Celtic
Title56%54%63%67%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

  1. W2–130 JulLivingston (A)xG 1.15–0.57
  2. W3–114 MayHearts (A)xG 1.22–0.62
  3. W4–111 MayRoss County (H)xG 4.22–0.16
  4. W2–08 MayDundee United (H)xG 2.45–0.06
  5. D1–11 MayCeltic (A)xG 1.43–1.20
  6. W3–123 AprMotherwell (A)xG 1.92–0.43

Kilmarnock

  1. D1–130 JulDundee United (H)xG 1.24–0.38
  2. W2–016 MayHamilton Academical (A)xG 2.24–0.48
  3. D3–312 MaySt. Mirren (H)xG 1.33–1.21
  4. L0–21 MayMotherwell (A)xG 0.93–1.00
  5. W3–021 AprDundee United (H)xG 2.29–1.15
  6. D2–210 AprRoss County (H)xG 0.69–1.07

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersKilmarnock
Position3rd7th
Played11
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠0–⁠00–⁠1–⁠0
Points3 (3.00 per game)1 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.802.05
Goals2–⁠11–⁠1
xG per game1.15–⁠0.571.24–⁠0.38
Home: points, xG per game–⁠1.00, 1.24–⁠0.38
Away: points, xG per game3.00, 1.15–⁠0.57–⁠
ManagerGiovanni van Bronckhorst (26)Derek McInnes (1)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.17AttackRangers2.02, 2ndKilmarnock1.02, 7thDefence (lower is better)Rangers0.65, 2ndKilmarnock1.24, 7th

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersKilmarnock
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+75%−44%average−12%
Counter-attacks+7%−93%−17%−17%
Set pieces+43%−36%+20%−2%
Penalties+56%−53%−17%−17%
Headers+27%−46%average−15%
Left side+44%−15%+27%−5%
Centre+42%−58%−4%−15%
Right side+123%−54%average−8%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdKilmarnock concededLeft side+44%−8%Centre+42%−15%Right side+123%−5%Open play+75%−12%Counter-attacks+7%−17%Set pieces+43%−2%Headers+27%−15%

Kilmarnock attacking

Kilmarnock createdRangers concededLeft side+27%−54%Centre−4%−58%Right sideaverage−15%Open playaverage−44%Counter-attacks−17%−93%Set pieces+20%−36%Headersaverage−46%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersKilmarnock

1.15xG1.24
0.57xG against0.38
83%Possession52%
21.0Shots18.0
5.0Shots against7.0
6.0Shots on target5.0
2.0Big chances1.0
728Passes374
89%Pass accuracy73%
8.0Corners4.0
94%Field tilt56%
97.0Final-third entries45.0
24.0Box entries19.0
4.1Passes per defensive action20.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level71.033.60
Ahead161.070.00
Behind671.180.38

Kilmarnock

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level431.610.36
Ahead0––
Behind470.900.42

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.030.280–1
16–300.090.070–0
31–450.100.150–0
46–600.360.060–0
61–750.390.002–0
76–900.190.000–0

Kilmarnock

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.300.030–0
16–300.340.070–0
31–450.080.070–1
46–600.140.220–0
61–750.110.000–0
76–900.280.001–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMcLaughlin 1Tavernier 1Goldson 1Souttar 1Barisic 1Kamara 1Lundstram 1Wright 1Lawrence 1Kent 1Colak 14-2-3-1 in every start

Kilmarnock

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTWalker 1Alebiosu 1Wright 1Taylor 1Mayo 1McInroy 1McKenzie 1Power 1Polworth 1Shaw 1Lafferty 15-3-2 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
13 February 2021Rangers1–0KilmarnockxG 1.47–0.08
1 November 2020Kilmarnock0–1RangersxG 0.50–2.80
22 August 2020Rangers2–0KilmarnockxG 2.93–0.10

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 3, Kilmarnock won 0, and 0 were drawn. Goals 4–0 and xG 2.40–0.23 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Tavernier363,21610130.280.32
Wright10974410.300.23
Arfield181,630500.400.11
Kent272,232290.170.18

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.