Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Celtic 1–1 Rangers

Sunday 21 March 2021, 12:00 · Celtic Park · Round 32 · Half-time 1–1

Celtic Elyounoussi 23'

Rangers Morelos 38'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticRangers
Goals11
xG1.330.83
Expected Points1.750.93

Celtic 48%Draw 31%Rangers 21%

Most likely score 1–1, 17%. Final score 1–1, 17%.

Rangers goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+9%8%3%6%1%10%10%4%4%4%1%16%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTForrest on for Turnbull, 79'Rogic on for Elyounoussi, 85'Soro on for Brown, 88'Griffiths on for Edouard, 89'Patterson on for Balogun, 56'Arfield on for Hagi, 65'Wright on for Aribo and Roofe on for Morelos, 77'Elyounoussi 23'Morelos 38'Celtic 1.33Rangers 0.8300.511.50153045607590HTForrest on for Turnbull, 79'Rogic on for Elyounoussi, 85'Soro on for Brown, 88'Griffiths on for Edouard, 89'Patterson on for Balogun, 56'Arfield on for Hagi, 65'Wright on for Aribo and Roofe on for Morelos, 77'Elyounoussi 23'Morelos 38'1.330.83CelticRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticRangers

1.33 −0.59xG0.83 −1.33
0.92 −1.09xG on target0.58 −1.44
16 −2Shots9 −8
8 +1.5Shots on target3 −3.0
1 −1.5Big chances0 −2.9
23 −7Touches in the opposition box27 −4
56% −11Possession44% −23
539 −49Passes411 −199
85% +1Pass accuracy80% −4
62% −12Field tilt38% −40
57 −9Final-third entries27 −32
15 −2Box entries15 −3
11.6 +2Passes per defensive action22.9 +12
10 +3.8Corners5 −1.8
13 0Tackles14 0
9 −1.0Interceptions12 +2.5
16 0Clearances23 +11
2 +0.3Saves7 +5.4
16 +5Fouls13 +2
1 −0.2Offsides2 +0.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Elyounoussi 22', 0.09 xGEdouard 41', 0.09 xGEdouard 73', 0.09 xGElyounoussi 44', 0.08 xGWelsh 49', 0.07 xGMcGregor 30', 0.06 xGElyounoussi 58', 0.06 xGChristie 64', 0.05 xGTurnbull 72', 0.05 xGBrown 45', 0.04 xGKenny 82', 0.04 xGMcGregor 13', 0.03 xGMcGregor 26', 0.03 xGLaxalt 49', 0.03 xGEdouard 52', 0.03 xGElyounoussi 23', 0.48 xG, goal49%0.65 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.65 xG, 1 goal26%0.35 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.35 xG, 0 goals12%0.16 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals13%0.17 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Balogun 38', 0.12 xGRoofe 84', 0.08 xGGoldson 88', 0.07 xGGoldson 90+1', 0.07 xGHagi 14', 0.05 xGMorelos 21', 0.05 xGKent 42', 0.05 xGDavis 67', 0.04 xGMorelos 38', 0.30 xG, goal61%0.50 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.50 xG, 1 goal28%0.23 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.23 xG, 0 goals6%0.05 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals5%0.04 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticRangers

1.02 11 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.23 4 shots, 0 goals
0.32 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.60 5 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
76 min (84%) · Celtic 1.24, Rangers 0.41 xG
Celtic ahead
15 min (16%) · Celtic 0.09, Rangers 0.42 xG

Line-ups

291657359384217142722BainKennyWelshAjerLaxaltBrownMcGregorChristieTurnbullElyounoussiEdouardYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow card88'79'85'89'Celtic 4-2-3-1John Kennedy126653118101772014McGregorBalogunGoldsonHelanderBarisicKamaraDavisAriboHagiMorelosKentGoalYellow card56'77'65'77'Rangers 4-3-3Steven Gerrard

Celtic substitutes

  • 79' Forrest for Turnbull
  • 85' Rogic for Elyounoussi
  • 88' Soro for Brown
  • 89' Griffiths for Edouard

Rangers substitutes

  • 56' Patterson for Balogun
  • 65' Arfield for Hagi
  • 77' Roofe for Morelos
  • 77' Wright for Aribo

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BainGK900.000.0000.0320
KennyRB900.040.0400.12187
WelshCB900.070.0210.0784
AjerCB900.000.0300.0735
Laxalt LB900.030.0510.18131
Brown DM880.040.0100.0424
McGregorDM900.130.1310.1896
ChristieRW900.050.1220.1567
TurnbullAM790.050.5650.3083
ElyounoussiLW8510.710.232−0.0211
Edouard ST8910.210.4120.1622
ForrestFW110.000.0100.0120
RogicFW50.000.0100.0000
SoroMF20.000.0000.0000
GriffithsFW10.000.000––0

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McGregorGK900.000.0000.0230
BalogunRB5610.120.0010.0328
GoldsonCB900.140.0000.0106
HelanderCB900.000.0000.0106
BarisicLB900.000.3240.1275
KamaraCM900.000.0900.0524
DavisCM900.040.0100.0135
AriboCM770.000.0500.0684
HagiRW650.050.0210.0652
Morelos ST7710.340.020−0.0204
KentLW900.050.1010.13104
PattersonMF340.000.1410.2033
ArfieldMF250.000.0200.0131
RoofeFW130.080.0100.0311
WrightFW130.000.0000.0110

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Bain and Kenny: 7 passesKenny and Turnbull: 7 passesWelsh and McGregor: 7 passesWelsh and Christie: 7 passesLaxalt and Christie: 7 passesMcGregor and Turnbull: 7 passesTurnbull and Edouard: 7 passesAjer and Brown: 8 passesBain and Ajer: 9 passesMcGregor and Christie: 9 passesMcGregor and Edouard: 9 passesChristie and Turnbull: 9 passesLaxalt and Elyounoussi: 11 passesLaxalt and Edouard: 11 passesBrown and Turnbull: 11 passesKenny and Brown: 12 passesLaxalt and Turnbull: 12 passesAjer and Welsh: 15 passesAjer and Laxalt: 15 passesBain and Welsh: 16 passesBrown and McGregor: 17 passesAjer and McGregor: 18 passesWelsh and Brown: 21 passesKenny and Christie: 25 passesKenny and Welsh: 31 passesLaxalt and McGregor: 38 passesBain: 24 completed passesKenny: 50 completed passesAjer: 40 completed passesWelsh: 55 completed passesLaxalt: 53 completed passesBrown: 44 completed passesMcGregor: 58 completed passesChristie: 38 completed passesTurnbull: 33 completed passesElyounoussi: 16 completed passesEdouard: 14 completed passes291635579384217142722BainKennyAjerWelshLaxaltBrownMcGregorChristieTurnbullElyounoussiEdouardStarters until 79' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

Rangers

Hagi and Kent: 5 passesBalogun and Kamara: 6 passesHelander and Kamara: 6 passesHelander and Davis: 6 passesGoldson and Davis: 6 passesDavis and Hagi: 6 passesHelander and Goldson: 7 passesBarisic and Kent: 7 passesAribo and Kent: 7 passesHagi and Morelos: 7 passesMcGregor and Balogun: 8 passesBalogun and Davis: 8 passesKamara and Aribo: 8 passesKamara and Davis: 9 passesMcGregor and Goldson: 10 passesBarisic and Aribo: 10 passesMcGregor and Helander: 11 passesHelander and Barisic: 14 passesBalogun and Goldson: 15 passesMcGregor: 22 completed passesBalogun: 23 completed passesHelander: 25 completed passesGoldson: 21 completed passesBarisic: 24 completed passesKamara: 23 completed passesAribo: 18 completed passesDavis: 30 completed passesHagi: 16 completed passesMorelos: 10 completed passesKent: 12 completed passes126563118171072014McGregorBalogunHelanderGoldsonBarisicKamaraAriboDavisHagiMorelosKentStarters until 56' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
WelshKenny24
LaxaltMcGregor22
KennyChristie21
McGregorLaxalt20
McGregorAjer13

Rangers

FromToPasses
BalogunGoldson11
HelanderBarisic10
KamaraBarisic10
GoldsonMcGregor9
DavisKamara9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

2−2.24−0.512+2.07+2.92−2.77−0.510+4.04−0.75−3.011+5.32−3.31−2.93−2.17+0.94−0.21−2.91−2.57+2.86+2.06+3.81−0.90−2.11−1.33+0.51+0.60−0.52+1.30−0.73+2.22−5.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 32 matches

Rangers

9+5.315+11.814+7.24−0.84−0.511+3.315+8.84+0.33−2.65−2.410+3.52−3.31−2.42−2.46+0.30−4.91−3.50−2.52−1.62−2.91−2.11−1.30−1.23+1.05+2.510.00−0.52+1.11+0.50−1.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 32 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.010.010.040.020.010.010.010.080.050.020.030.030.080.090.110.060.030.120.030.070.17−0.050.24LessMore

Rangers

0.010.010.010.010.020.010.020.01−0.010.030.060.020.040.060.02−0.010.030.09−0.09−0.01−0.020.150.22LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackCeltic1.69 → 1.70Rangers1.86 → 1.85Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.76 → 0.75Rangers0.59 → 0.59

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticRangers
Expected goals0.951.23
Win28%42%
Expected Points1.131.56
Clean sheet29%39%

Celtic 28%Draw 30%Rangers 42%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 44%.

Rangers goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+9%4%1%8%3%1%5%6%4%2%2%2%1%12%13%10%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 21 March 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Celtic

  1. D0–07 MarDundee United (A)xG 1.77–0.51
  2. W1–027 FebAberdeen (H)xG 1.33–1.15
  3. L0–121 FebRoss County (A)xG 2.31–0.98
  4. W1–017 FebAberdeen (H)xG 0.98–0.43
  5. W2–114 FebSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.44–0.30
  6. W4–010 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.57–0.57

Rangers

  1. W3–06 MarSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.50–0.21
  2. W1–03 MarLivingston (A)xG 2.73–0.35
  3. W4–121 FebDundee United (H)xG 3.26–1.04
  4. W1–013 FebKilmarnock (H)xG 1.47–0.08
  5. D1–17 FebHamilton Academical (A)xG 0.74–1.37
  6. W1–03 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.33–0.27

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticRangers
Position2nd1st
Played3232
Won, drawn, lost20–⁠8–⁠428–⁠4–⁠0
Points68 (2.12 per game)88 (2.75 per game)
Expected Points per game1.972.36
Goals65–⁠2377–⁠9
xG per game1.92–⁠0.932.16–⁠0.55
Home: points, xG per game2.25, 1.72–⁠0.883.00, 2.33–⁠0.52
Away: points, xG per game2.00, 2.12–⁠0.972.50, 1.99–⁠0.58
ManagerJohn Kennedy (2)Steven Gerrard (32)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackCeltic1.69, 2ndRangers1.86, 1stDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.76, 2ndRangers0.59, 1st

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarCeltic attack: 1.69Rangers attack: 1.861.861.69RangersCelticDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarCeltic defence: 0.76Rangers defence: 0.590.760.59

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+73%−42%+91%−50%
Counter-attacks+117%−52%+60%−33%
Set pieces+4%+7%+29%−58%
Penalties+29%−8%+65%−100%
Headers−6%−6%+52%−54%
Left side+57%−22%+33%−40%
Centre+51%−24%+88%−54%
Right side+61%−44%+80%−59%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdRangers concededLeft side+57%−59%Centre+51%−54%Right side+61%−40%Open play+73%−50%Counter-attacks+117%−33%Set pieces+4%−58%Headers−6%−54%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdCeltic concededLeft side+33%−44%Centre+88%−24%Right side+80%−22%Open play+91%−42%Counter-attacks+60%−52%Set pieces+29%+7%Headers+52%−6%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticRangers

1.92xG2.16
0.93xG against0.55
67%Possession67%
17.9Shots16.8
8.5Shots against5.8
6.5Shots on target6.0
2.5Big chances2.9
29.8Touches in the opposition box31.3
588Passes610
84%Pass accuracy84%
6.2Corners6.8
74%Field tilt79%
65.9Final-third entries58.7
17.0Box entries17.7
10.1Passes per defensive action10.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.710.97
Ahead392.160.96
Behind91.870.59

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level332.160.68
Ahead532.140.50
Behind42.270.11

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.210.148–3
16–300.280.1311–3
31–450.330.087–3
46–600.390.1812–5
61–750.320.218–5
76–900.390.1919–4

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.260.128–1
16–300.380.1218–2
31–450.330.0614–1
46–600.430.0614–0
61–750.330.0913–2
76–900.420.1010–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBain 14Barkas 13Hazard 5Frimpong 14Kenny 8Ajer 4Duffy 13Welsh 9Bitton 9Ajer 24Taylor 16Laxalt 11Edouard 2Soro 10Brown 9Christie 5McGregor 28Ntcham 2Forrest 1Christie 10Brown 5Frimpong 4Turnbull 11Christie 4Rogic 4Edouard 12Elyounoussi 8Taylor 3Edouard 7Ajeti 7Griffiths 74-2-3-1 in 13 of 32 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (13), 4-1-3-2 (5), 4-1-2-1-2 (4), 3-5-2 (4), 4-3-1-2 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWMcGregor 23McLaughlin 9Tavernier 29Patterson 2Balogun 1Goldson 32Helander 19Balogun 13Barisic 29Bassey 3Aribo 19Arfield 11Davis 23Jack 16Hagi 2Kamara 22Hagi 15Roofe 6Kent 3Morelos 21Roofe 5Defoe 3Kent 27Hagi 2Roofe 24-3-3 in 25 of 32 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (25), 4-2-3-1 (7)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
2 January 2021Rangers1–0CelticxG 0.58–0.61
17 October 2020Celtic0–2RangersxG 0.55–1.50

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 0, Rangers won 2, and 0 were drawn. Goals 0–3 and xG 0.58–1.04 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Edouard221,9141620.770.18
Griffiths7656520.500.16
Elyounoussi151,288720.490.11
Christie221,998480.280.30

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Roofe131,1381020.660.11
Morelos211,7121030.580.11
Tavernier292,5851190.400.27
Itten4660410.370.20

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.