Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Livingston 1–2 Rangers

Saturday 30 July 2022, 12:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 1 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 9,672

Livingston Nouble 5'

Rangers Arfield 72', Tavernier 74'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonRangers
Goals12
xG0.571.15
Expected Points0.861.80

Livingston 17%Draw 35%Rangers 48%

Most likely score 0–1, 19%. Final score 1–2, 8%.

Rangers goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+11%4%1%11%8%3%2%3%2%17%19%15%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTMontano on for Cancar, 34'Anderson on for Shinnie, 76'Tillman on for Wright, 46'Arfield on for Kamara and Sands on for Souttar, 67'Jack on for Lawrence, 84'Nouble 5'Arfield 72'Tavernier 74'Rangers 1.15Livingston 0.5700.511.50153045607590HTMontano on for Cancar, 34'Anderson on for Shinnie, 76'Tillman on for Wright, 46'Arfield on for Kamara and Sands on for Souttar, 67'Jack on for Lawrence, 84'Nouble 5'Arfield 72'Tavernier 74'1.150.57LivingstonRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonRangers

0.57xG1.15
0.90xG on target2.38
5Shots21
2Shots on target6
2Big chances2
17%Possession83%
157Passes728
55%Pass accuracy89%
6%Field tilt94%
11Final-third entries97
3Box entries24
18.4Passes per defensive action4.1
0Corners8
15Tackles17
11Interceptions3
41Clearances2
4Saves1
17Fouls15
1Offsides1

Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Pittman 39', 0.12 xGObileye 27', 0.07 xGOmeonga 53', 0.06 xGNouble 39', 0.03 xGNouble 5', 0.28 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals100%0.57 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.57 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Tillman 60', 0.18 xGTavernier 65', 0.10 xGColak 90', 0.10 xGArfield 77', 0.09 xGTillman 55', 0.07 xGLundstram 64', 0.06 xGBarisic 71', 0.06 xGTavernier 33', 0.05 xGLawrence 45+1', 0.05 xGTavernier 49', 0.04 xGKent 52', 0.04 xGTavernier 63', 0.04 xGLawrence 17', 0.03 xGLawrence 25', 0.03 xGKent 51', 0.03 xGTavernier 69', 0.03 xGLawrence 10', 0.02 xGKent 28', 0.02 xGKamara 2', 0.01 xGTavernier 74', 0.07 xG, goalArfield 72', 0.03 xG, goal15%0.17 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals35%0.40 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.40 xG, 1 goal11%0.13 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals39%0.45 xGEdge of the box: 12 shots, 0.45 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonRangers

0.34 2 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.91 15 shots, 1 goal
0.23 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.24 6 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
7 min (8%) · Livingston 0.28, Rangers 0.08 xG
Livingston ahead
68 min (75%) · Livingston 0.28, Rangers 0.88 xG
Rangers ahead
16 min (18%) · Livingston 0.00, Rangers 0.19 xG

Line-ups

12562524331882219GeorgeDevlinFitzwaterObileyeCancarKellyOmeongaHoltPittmanShinnieNoubleYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoal34'76'Livingston 4-1-4-1David Martindale332616311842311149McLaughlinTavernierGoldsonSouttarBarisicKamaraLundstramWrightLawrenceKentColakGoalYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card67'67'46'84'Rangers 4-2-3-1Giovanni van Bronckhorst

Livingston substitutes

  • 34' Montano for Cancar
  • 76' Anderson for Shinnie

Rangers substitutes

  • 46' Tillman for Wright
  • 67' Sands for Souttar
  • 67' Arfield for Kamara · goal 72'
  • 84' Jack for Lawrence

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
George GK900.000.0000.0343
DevlinRB9010.000.0810.0839
FitzwaterCB900.000.0000.01113
ObileyeCB900.070.0200.1113
Cancar LB340.000.0000.0115
Kelly DM900.000.0000.0104
OmeongaRM900.060.0000.0615
HoltCM900.000.0100.0018
PittmanCM900.120.0000.0117
ShinnieLM760.000.0610.0025
NoubleST9010.310.0310.0225
MontanoDF560.000.0000.0116
AndersonFW140.000.0000.0000

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McLaughlinGK900.000.0000.0210
TavernierRB9010.320.3220.42117
Goldson CB900.000.0710.25111
Souttar CB670.000.0200.17101
BarisicLB900.060.0420.0442
Kamara DM670.010.0700.0321
LundstramDM900.060.2410.1481
WrightRW460.000.0600.0761
LawrenceAM840.140.071−0.0256
KentLW9010.100.1540.0892
Colak ST900.100.0310.0500
TillmanMF440.250.060−0.1111
SandsMF230.000.0000.0650
ArfieldMF2310.120.2310.0730
JackMF60.000.000−0.0101

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Devlin and Omeonga: 3 passesCancar and Holt: 3 passesCancar and Shinnie: 4 passesShinnie and Nouble: 4 passesGeorge: 4 completed passesDevlin: 4 completed passesObileye: 1 completed passesFitzwater: 3 completed passesCancar: 5 completed passesKelly: 4 completed passesPittman: 3 completed passesOmeonga: 3 completed passesHolt: 3 completed passesShinnie: 9 completed passesNouble: 2 completed passes12652524833182219GeorgeDevlinObileyeFitzwaterCancarKellyPittmanOmeongaHoltShinnieNoubleStarters until 34' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Rangers

Souttar and Kent: 5 passesKamara and Wright: 5 passesGoldson and Barisic: 6 passesGoldson and Lawrence: 6 passesTavernier and Lawrence: 7 passesTavernier and Kamara: 8 passesLundstram and Wright: 8 passesLundstram and Kent: 8 passesWright and Lawrence: 8 passesGoldson and Kamara: 9 passesLundstram and Lawrence: 9 passesGoldson and Lundstram: 15 passesGoldson and Wright: 15 passesKamara and Lundstram: 15 passesTavernier and Goldson: 16 passesSouttar and Lundstram: 16 passesTavernier and Wright: 19 passesTavernier and Lundstram: 22 passesBarisic and Kent: 23 passesSouttar and Barisic: 25 passesBarisic and Lundstram: 25 passesGoldson and Souttar: 36 passesMcLaughlin: 10 completed passesTavernier: 41 completed passesGoldson: 53 completed passesSouttar: 51 completed passesBarisic: 44 completed passesKamara: 23 completed passesLundstram: 59 completed passesWright: 27 completed passesLawrence: 21 completed passesKent: 23 completed passesColak: 2 completed passes332616311842311149McLaughlinTavernierGoldsonSouttarBarisicKamaraLundstramWrightLawrenceKentColakStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
GeorgeNouble5
DevlinOmeonga4
GeorgePittman3
OmeongaNouble3
ShinnieNouble3

Rangers

FromToPasses
BarisicKent33
TavernierLundstram26
SouttarGoldson25
GoldsonTavernier25
LundstramBarisic25

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

9114771211813149521111121915LessMore

Rangers

212512113424242434325522886LessMore

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.020.02−0.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.010.030.060.06−0.020.10LessMore

Rangers

0.010.010.010.030.010.030.010.030.070.100.070.040.050.090.060.050.050.040.020.040.040.05−0.050.060.010.220.16LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.17AttackLivingston1.04 → 1.03Rangers2.05 → 2.03Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.22 → 1.23Rangers0.65 → 0.65

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six48%44%−4
11th6%7%+1
Bottom4%5%+1
Rangers
Title46%50%+4
Celtic
Title54%50%−4

From the forecast before the match (30 July 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonRangers
Expected goals0.691.94
Win12%67%
Expected Points0.572.21
Clean sheet14%50%

Livingston 12%Draw 22%Rangers 67%

Most likely score 0–2, 14%. Both sides score 43%.

Rangers goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+8%9%4%2%4%9%6%3%1%2%3%3%2%1%14%14%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 30 July 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawRangers win
Livingston
Top six48%62%52%44%
11th6%3%6%7%
Bottom4%1%3%5%
Rangers
Title46%33%41%50%
Celtic
Title54%67%59%50%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. W2–115 MayDundee FC (H)xG 1.48–1.58
  2. D0–011 MaySt. Mirren (A)xG 0.85–0.64
  3. D1–17 MaySt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.25–1.21
  4. W1–030 AprHibernian (H)xG 1.32–1.12
  5. W2–123 AprAberdeen (A)xG 1.54–2.15
  6. D2–29 AprMotherwell (H)xG 1.21–0.90

Rangers

  1. W3–114 MayHearts (A)xG 1.22–0.62
  2. W4–111 MayRoss County (H)xG 4.22–0.16
  3. W2–08 MayDundee United (H)xG 2.45–0.06
  4. D1–11 MayCeltic (A)xG 1.43–1.20
  5. W3–123 AprMotherwell (A)xG 1.92–0.43
  6. W4–010 AprSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.38–0.30

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.17AttackLivingston1.04, 6thRangers2.05, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.22, 6thRangers0.65, 2nd

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−21%−7%+88%−41%
Counter-attacks−12%−4%+28%−92%
Set pieces+2%+22%+46%−47%
Penalties−44%+50%+88%−44%
Headers−27%+29%+41%−42%
Left side+8%−5%+32%−37%
Centre−21%−1%+58%−49%
Right side−23%+10%+141%−45%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdRangers concededLeft side+8%−45%Centre−21%−49%Right side−23%−37%Open play−21%−41%Counter-attacks−12%−92%Set pieces+2%−47%Headers−27%−42%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdLivingston concededLeft side+32%+10%Centre+58%−1%Right side+141%−5%Open play+88%−7%Counter-attacks+28%−4%Set pieces+46%+22%Headers+41%+29%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
26 January 2022Rangers1–0LivingstonxG 1.51–0.34
28 November 2021Livingston1–3RangersxG 0.94–1.70
31 July 2021Rangers3–0LivingstonxG 1.84–0.07
12 May 2021Livingston0–3RangersxG 0.87–2.44
3 March 2021Livingston0–1RangersxG 0.35–2.73
25 October 2020Rangers2–0LivingstonxG 1.39–0.87

7 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 0, Rangers won 6, and 1 was a draw. Goals 1–13 and xG 0.50–1.82 per game.