Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Hearts 1–3 Rangers

Saturday 14 May 2022, 12:15 · Tynecastle Park · Round 38 · Half-time 1–2 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 16,969

Hearts Haring 24'

Rangers Itten 33', Lowry 45+1', McKinnon 81'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HeartsRangers
Goals13
xG0.621.22
Expected Points0.851.82

Hearts 17%Draw 33%Rangers 50%

Most likely score 0–1, 19%. Final score 1–3, 3%.

Rangers goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+12%4%1%9%9%3%3%4%3%15%19%15%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTGinnelly on for Boyce, 12'Atkinson on for Devlin, 46'Halliday on for Smith and Souttar on for Haring, 68'Halkett on for Simms, 75'McCann on for Arfield, 46'McKinnon on for Ramsey, 60'Simpson on for Balogun and McCausland on for Diallo, 61'Weston on for Davis, 71'Haring 24'Itten 33'Lowry 45+1'McKinnon 81'Rangers 1.22Hearts 0.6200.511.50153045607590HTGinnelly on for Boyce, 12'Atkinson on for Devlin, 46'Halliday on for Smith and Souttar on for Haring, 68'Halkett on for Simms, 75'McCann on for Arfield, 46'McKinnon on for Ramsey, 60'Simpson on for Balogun and McCausland on for Diallo, 61'Weston on for Davis, 71'Haring 24'Itten 33'Lowry 45+1'McKinnon 81'1.220.62HeartsRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HeartsRangers

0.62 −0.80xG1.22 −0.94
0.87 −0.55xG on target1.73 −0.42
9 −4Shots12 −7
3 −1.6Shots on target6 −0.4
1 −0.9Big chances2 −0.8
22 −2Touches in the opposition box28 −8
41% −15Possession59% −5
410 −38Passes600 +39
84% +8Pass accuracy89% +6
43% −12Field tilt57% −18
34 −10Final-third entries49 −7
18 +6Box entries22 +2
19.0 +6Passes per defensive action9.7 −3
6 +0.3Corners3 −4.6
23 +8Tackles23 +9
10 +2.1Interceptions9 +1.8
15 −2Clearances19 +6
3 −0.6Saves2 +0.4
6 −5Fouls10 0
1 −1.0Offsides0 −2.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hearts

Haring 29', 0.23 xGSimms 19', 0.09 xGHalliday 80', 0.09 xGMcKay 60', 0.07 xGMcKay 59', 0.03 xGMcKay 68', 0.03 xGSibbick 90+2', 0.03 xGKingsley 44', 0.02 xGHaring 24', 0.04 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals65%0.41 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.41 xG, 0 goals10%0.06 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals25%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.16 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Weston 88', 0.15 xGDiallo 44', 0.14 xGMcCann 70', 0.10 xGItten 32', 0.09 xGArfield 7', 0.06 xGDavis 17', 0.05 xGRamsey 38', 0.04 xGArfield 1', 0.03 xGLowry 75', 0.03 xGItten 32', 0.29 xG, goalMcKinnon 81', 0.13 xG, goalLowry 45+1', 0.11 xG, goal24%0.29 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.29 xG, 1 goal48%0.58 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.58 xG, 2 goals16%0.19 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals13%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HeartsRangers

0.38 7 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.79 10 shots, 2 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.14 1 shot, 0 goals
0.25 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.29 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
37 min (40%) · Hearts 0.15, Rangers 0.43 xG
Hearts ahead
9 min (10%) · Hearts 0.23, Rangers 0.38 xG
Rangers ahead
47 min (51%) · Hearts 0.25, Rangers 0.41 xG

Line-ups

121317251418112010GordonSibbickKingsleyCochraneSmithHaringDevlinMcKayMackay-StevenSimmsBoyceGoalYellow card68'68'46'75'12'Hearts 3-4-2-1Robbie Neilson336419264310163791151McLaughlinDevineSandsBalogunKingDavisRamseyArfieldDialloIttenLowryYellow cardGoalGoalYellow card61'71'60'46'61'Rangers 4-3-3Giovanni van Bronckhorst

Hearts substitutes

  • 12' Ginnelly for Boyce
  • 46' Atkinson for Devlin
  • 68' Souttar for Haring
  • 68' Halliday for Smith
  • 75' Halkett for Simms

Rangers substitutes

  • 46' McCann for Arfield
  • 60' McKinnon for Ramsey · goal 81'
  • 61' Simpson for Balogun
  • 61' McCausland for Diallo · 1 assist
  • 71' Weston for Davis

Players

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GordonGK900.000.0000.0230
SibbickCB900.030.0100.0206
KingsleyCB900.020.0110.0243
CochraneCB900.000.0200.04311
SmithRWB680.000.0200.0348
HaringCM6810.260.0300.0027
DevlinCM460.000.0100.0306
McKayLWB900.130.0800.2681
Mackay-StevenAM900.000.3520.0832
Simms AM7510.090.021−0.0300
BoyceST120.000.0200.0410
GinnellyFW780.000.2310.2661
AtkinsonDF440.000.0400.0981
SouttarDF220.000.0100.0752
HallidayMF220.090.0300.0101
HalkettDF150.000.0000.0320

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McLaughlinGK900.000.0000.0101
DevineRB900.000.0300.0979
SandsCB900.000.0100.1076
BalogunCB610.000.0000.0673
King LB900.000.0100.0224
DavisCM710.050.0400.0997
RamseyCM6010.040.0720.1270
ArfieldCM460.090.1500.2032
DialloRW610.140.0910.1764
IttenST9010.380.0320.0933
Lowry LW90110.140.3110.1892
McCannMF440.100.0100.0533
McKinnonMF3010.130.0000.0111
SimpsonDF290.000.0100.0314
McCauslandMF2910.000.1120.1022
WestonMF190.150.0000.1401

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Balogun and Arfield: 6 passesSands and Ramsey: 6 passesArfield and Ramsey: 6 passesItten and Lowry: 6 passesBalogun and Ramsey: 7 passesKing and Arfield: 7 passesKing and Ramsey: 7 passesKing and Lowry: 7 passesArfield and Lowry: 8 passesMcLaughlin and Sands: 9 passesArfield and Davis: 9 passesDevine and Arfield: 10 passesDevine and Diallo: 10 passesSands and Davis: 10 passesRamsey and Diallo: 11 passesMcLaughlin and Balogun: 12 passesKing and Davis: 12 passesArfield and Diallo: 12 passesBalogun and Sands: 13 passesRamsey and Davis: 13 passesBalogun and King: 14 passesRamsey and Lowry: 14 passesBalogun and Davis: 15 passesDevine and Davis: 18 passesMcLaughlin: 21 completed passesDevine: 28 completed passesBalogun: 42 completed passesSands: 25 completed passesKing: 32 completed passesArfield: 36 completed passesRamsey: 34 completed passesDavis: 47 completed passesDiallo: 20 completed passesItten: 9 completed passesLowry: 21 completed passes336426194337161091151McLaughlinDevineBalogunSandsKingArfieldRamseyDavisDialloIttenLowryStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hearts

FromToPasses
KingsleyCochrane13
CochraneKingsley10
CochraneMcKay9
SibbickKingsley8
KingsleySibbick8

Rangers

FromToPasses
McLaughlinSands19
KingBalogun13
SandsBalogun11
DevineDavis10
BalogunDavis10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hearts

0−4.45−0.16−4.98+2.72−2.55−1.89+2.15−1.73−3.410+3.45−1.24−1.86+1.711+5.114+8.75+0.62−1.80−3.43−0.47+3.03+0.50−1.90−1.33+1.620.03+2.60−0.40−0.50−0.30−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 37 matches

Rangers

4−0.17+2.911+3.38+3.26+1.08+1.98+2.76+1.62−3.48−0.94−2.29+4.14+0.46+0.96−0.39+4.62−1.27+4.45+1.74−0.64+0.60−2.11−0.45+2.91−1.70−0.80−0.40−0.52+1.60−0.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 37 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hearts

0.010.020.010.010.040.010.020.010.020.060.030.020.030.060.010.070.040.050.080.060.120.07−0.03−0.030.010.17LessMore

Rangers

0.010.020.010.010.010.020.040.020.040.010.060.090.030.040.020.020.090.040.020.150.130.070.160.020.040.29LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.16AttackHearts1.29 → 1.29Rangers2.06 → 2.06Defence (lower is better)Hearts1.21 → 1.21Rangers0.66 → 0.66

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HeartsRangers
Expected goals0.881.97
Win15%62%
Expected Points0.682.10
Clean sheet14%42%

Hearts 15%Draw 22%Rangers 62%

Most likely score 0–2, 11%. Both sides score 51%.

Rangers goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+6%7%4%1%5%6%3%1%2%4%4%3%1%1%1%11%11%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 14 May 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Hearts

  1. L1–211 MayMotherwell (A)xG 1.31–1.42
  2. L1–47 MayCeltic (A)xG 0.71–3.57
  3. D0–030 AprRoss County (H)xG 1.46–0.27
  4. W3–224 AprDundee United (A)xG 3.00–2.07
  5. W3–19 AprHibernian (H)xG 0.94–0.52
  6. D1–12 AprRoss County (A)xG 1.80–2.62

Rangers

  1. W4–111 MayRoss County (H)xG 4.22–0.16
  2. W2–08 MayDundee United (H)xG 2.45–0.06
  3. D1–11 MayCeltic (A)xG 1.43–1.20
  4. W3–123 AprMotherwell (A)xG 1.92–0.43
  5. W4–010 AprSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.38–0.30
  6. L1–23 AprCeltic (H)xG 1.12–1.47

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HeartsRangers
Position3rd2nd
Played3737
Won, drawn, lost17–⁠10–⁠1026–⁠8–⁠3
Points61 (1.65 per game)86 (2.32 per game)
Expected Points per game1.532.28
Goals53–⁠4177–⁠30
xG per game1.42–⁠1.322.16–⁠0.67
Home: points, xG per game2.06, 1.56–⁠0.922.42, 2.34–⁠0.53
Away: points, xG per game1.26, 1.28–⁠1.692.22, 1.98–⁠0.82
ManagerRobbie Neilson (37)Giovanni van Bronckhorst (24)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.16AttackHearts1.29, 3rdRangers2.06, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Hearts1.21, 7thRangers0.66, 1st

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayHearts attack: 1.29Rangers attack: 2.062.061.29RangersHeartsDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayHearts defence: 1.21Rangers defence: 0.661.210.66

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HeartsRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+18%+18%+90%−41%
Counter-attacks+98%+11%+27%−91%
Set pieces−15%+9%+48%−48%
Penalties+52%−62%+90%−43%
Headers−14%−10%+40%−40%
Left side+40%+9%+33%−37%
Centre−15%+15%+61%−49%
Right side+41%+23%+143%−45%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdRangers concededLeft side+40%−45%Centre−15%−49%Right side+41%−37%Open play+18%−41%Counter-attacks+98%−91%Set pieces−15%−48%Headers−14%−40%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdHearts concededLeft side+33%+23%Centre+61%+15%Right side+143%+9%Open play+90%+18%Counter-attacks+27%+11%Set pieces+48%+9%Headers+40%−10%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HeartsRangers

1.42xG2.16
1.32xG against0.67
56%Possession64%
13.4Shots19.4
12.6Shots against6.5
4.6Shots on target6.4
1.9Big chances2.8
23.5Touches in the opposition box35.6
448Passes561
76%Pass accuracy84%
5.7Corners7.6
54%Field tilt75%
43.8Final-third entries56.3
12.5Box entries19.5
13.3Passes per defensive action12.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.601.27
Ahead281.370.96
Behind201.091.93

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level322.280.60
Ahead432.050.75
Behind152.220.61

xG by period

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.220.239–9
16–300.170.176–3
31–450.270.2311–7
46–600.310.1910–7
61–750.250.2310–10
76–900.200.267–5

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.340.1215–8
16–300.270.1211–6
31–450.310.108–5
46–600.330.1012–2
61–750.430.1013–4
76–900.490.1318–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hearts

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWGordon 35Stewart 2Souttar 26Moore 12Atkinson 4Halkett 27Sibbick 9Kingsley 25Cochrane 7Smith 16Atkinson 9Moore 4Devlin 22Haring 19McEneff 2Baningime 23Woodburn 3Halliday 3Cochrane 17Halliday 11Kingsley 5McKay 13Ginnelly 11Woodburn 4Boyce 17Simms 10Ginnelly 5McKay 13Mackay-Steven 12Woodburn 73-4-3 in 21 of 37 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (21), 4-2-3-1 (6), 3-4-2-1 (6), 3-4-1-2 (3), 3-5-2 (1)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWMcGregor 29McLaughlin 7McCrorie 1Tavernier 35Balogun 1Patterson 1Goldson 36Balogun 15Bassey 14Helander 6Barisic 22Bassey 14Patterson 1Aribo 23Sands 4Jack 4Lundstram 17Arfield 12Davis 12Kamara 28Bacuna 1Hagi 11Wright 6Sakala 5Morelos 25Sakala 4Roofe 3Kent 24Sakala 4Wright 34-3-3 in 21 of 37 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (21), 4-2-3-1 (15), 4-3-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
6 February 2022Rangers5–0HeartsxG 4.76–0.57
12 December 2021Hearts0–2RangersxG 1.00–1.86
16 October 2021Rangers1–1HeartsxG 3.34–0.49

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Hearts won 0, Rangers won 2, and 1 was a draw. Goals 1–8 and xG 0.69–3.32 per game.

Key players

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Boyce282,4551030.520.11
Simms101,044500.560.04
McKay292,5542100.140.30
McEneff7519100.280.16

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Roofe99961000.770.16
Morelos252,1191170.660.17
Sakala131,464930.460.23
Tavernier353,1269130.280.32

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.