Wednesday 2 March 2022, 19:45 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 29 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Colin Steven · Attendance 1,864
Livingston Pittman 23', Edwards 83' (og)
Dundee United Smith 2'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Livingston
Dundee United
Goals
2
1
xG
2.16
0.93
Expected Points
2.20
0.59
Livingston 66%Draw 22%Dundee United 12%
Most likely score 2–1, 13%. Final score 2–1, 13%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
LivingstonDundee United
2.16 +1.23xG0.93 0.00
1.02 +0.11xG on target1.41 +0.40
21 +11.1Shots8 −2.5
5 +1.7Shots on target2 −1.4
1 0.0Big chances2 +0.9
46 +30Touches in the opposition box23 +8
44% +4Possession56% +10
379 +74Passes501 +131
69% +6Pass accuracy76% +8
60% +21Field tilt40% −4
31 +5Final-third entries25 −10
18 +10.0Box entries13 +5.2
12.1 −4Passes per defensive action12.0 −3
3 −0.8Corners2 −2.8
20 +4Tackles19 +4
11 +1Interceptions11 +1
12 −11Clearances22 0
1 −2.0Saves4 +1.1
12 −2Fouls11 −1
1 −1.4Offsides2 +0.6
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Livingston
Dundee United
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
2'23'83'
0–11–12–1
0'HTFT
Level
64 min (67%) · Livingston 2.04, Dundee United 0.88 xG
Livingston ahead
11 min (11%) · Livingston 0.00, Dundee United 0.01 xG
Dundee United ahead
21 min (22%) · Livingston 0.12, Dundee United 0.04 xG
Line-ups
Livingston substitutes
70'Soto for Anderson
80'Bailey for Forrest
81'Montano for Nouble
Dundee United substitutes
13'Clark for Watt
50'McMann for Graham
51'Mochrie for Freeman
67'McDonald for Butcher
Players
Livingston
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Stryjek
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
6
0
Devlin
RB
90
0.03
0.27
5
0.49
10
4
Fitzwater
CB
90
0.01
0.01
0
0.06
5
7
Obileye
CB
90
0.15
0.01
0
0.07
8
4
Penrice
LB
90
0.12
0.11
2
0.11
8
7
Pittman
CM
90
1
0.60
0.04
1
0.03
1
3
Holt
CM
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.00
6
8
Omeonga
CM
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.01
1
7
Nouble
RW
81
0.10
0.31
5
0.36
6
2
Anderson
ST
70
1
0.50
0.72
2
0.22
1
0
Forrest
LW
80
0.63
0.15
1
0.11
4
1
Soto
FW
20
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
Bailey
MF
10
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
0
Montano
FW
9
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
2
Dundee United
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Siegrist
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Edwards
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.10
11
11
Mulgrew
CB
90
0.00
0.10
2
0.09
6
7
Graham
CB
50
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
4
Freeman
RWB
51
0.00
0.17
1
0.05
1
4
Smith
CM
90
1
0.45
0.06
0
0.13
6
5
Butcher
CM
67
0.00
0.07
1
0.09
5
4
Niskanen
LWB
90
0.06
0.04
1
−0.06
2
6
Harkes
AM
90
0.04
0.04
0
0.01
2
2
Watt
ST
13
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
2
McNulty
ST
90
0.27
0.08
0
0.05
0
1
Clark
MF
77
0.07
0.09
1
−0.01
1
5
McMann
DF
40
0.01
0.01
0
0.01
2
4
Mochrie
FW
39
0.00
0.07
0
0.04
3
1
McDonald
MF
23
0.03
0.01
1
0.02
2
2
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Livingston
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Livingston
From
To
Passes
Penrice
Forrest
14
Devlin
Nouble
13
Holt
Obileye
8
Obileye
Fitzwater
8
Nouble
Devlin
8
Dundee United
From
To
Passes
Mulgrew
Edwards
15
Edwards
Smith
14
Siegrist
Mulgrew
11
Smith
Harkes
10
Edwards
Mulgrew
10
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Livingston
Against its average of 28 matches
Dundee United
Against its average of 28 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Livingston
Dundee United
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Livingston
Top six
46%
68%
+22
11th
1%
<1%
−1
Dundee United
Top six
52%
34%
−18
11th
1%
1%
0
Aberdeen
Top six
27%
26%
−1
Motherwell
Top six
67%
66%
−1
From the forecast before the match (2 March 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Livingston
Dundee United
Expected goals
1.27
0.87
Win
45%
25%
Expected Points
1.66
1.04
Clean sheet
42%
28%
Livingston 45%Draw 30%Dundee United 25%
Most likely score 1–0, 14%. Both sides score 42%.
From the forecast as it stood on 2 March 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Livingston win
Draw
Dundee United win
Livingston
Top six
46%
68%
35%
18%
11th
1%
<1%
1%
2%
Dundee United
Top six
52%
34%
57%
81%
11th
1%
1%
1%
<1%
Aberdeen
Top six
27%
26%
30%
25%
Motherwell
Top six
67%
66%
70%
68%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Livingston
Dundee United
Position
7th
5th
Played
28
28
Won, drawn, lost
9–7–12
9–8–11
Points
34 (1.21 per game)
35 (1.25 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.16
1.10
Goals
30–34
23–29
xG per game
0.93–1.22
0.93–1.47
Home: points, xG per game
1.15, 1.04–1.14
1.57, 1.02–1.59
Away: points, xG per game
1.27, 0.84–1.30
0.93, 0.84–1.35
Manager
David Martindale (51)
Tam Courts (28)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Livingston
Dundee United
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−28%
−7%
−22%
+23%
Counter-attacks
−16%
−8%
−8%
−31%
Set pieces
−4%
+9%
−23%
+27%
Penalties
−45%
+39%
−45%
+11%
Headers
−29%
+1%
−10%
+19%
Left side
−1%
−11%
−18%
+9%
Centre
−25%
−6%
−16%
+41%
Right side
−32%
+13%
−34%
−5%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
Livingston attacking
Livingston createdDundee United concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−1%−5%Centre−25%+41%Right side−32%+9%Open play−28%+23%Counter-attacks−16%−31%Set pieces−4%+27%Headers−29%+19%
Dundee United attacking
Dundee United createdLivingston concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−18%+13%Centre−16%−6%Right side−34%−11%Open play−22%−7%Counter-attacks−8%−8%Set pieces−23%+9%Headers−10%+1%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
LivingstonDundee United
0.93xG0.93
1.22xG against1.47
40%Possession46%
9.9Shots10.5
13.4Shots against14.3
3.3Shots on target3.4
1.0Big chances1.1
16.3Touches in the opposition box15.5
305Passes370
63%Pass accuracy68%
3.8Corners4.8
39%Field tilt44%
25.7Final-third entries35.2
8.0Box entries7.8
15.9Passes per defensive action14.8
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Livingston
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
44
0.89
1.00
Ahead
22
1.11
1.39
Behind
24
0.85
1.47
Dundee United
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
55
0.84
1.31
Ahead
14
0.71
1.79
Behind
21
1.30
1.67
xG by period
Livingston
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.12
0.17
3–6
16–30
0.18
0.14
7–4
31–45
0.17
0.19
6–4
46–60
0.16
0.18
7–4
61–75
0.14
0.19
3–7
76–90
0.15
0.36
4–9
Dundee United
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.13
0.13
1–2
16–30
0.11
0.15
3–7
31–45
0.17
0.31
5–4
46–60
0.16
0.17
4–4
61–75
0.16
0.38
5–3
76–90
0.20
0.33
5–9
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts