Saturday 2 April 2022, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 32 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 3,321
St. Johnstone Hendry 3' (pen)
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
St. Johnstone
Livingston
Goals
1
0
xG
0.99
0.73
Non-penalty xG
0.20
0.73
Expected Points
1.65
0.97
St. Johnstone 42%Draw 38%Livingston 20%
Most likely score 1–0, 30%. Final score 1–0, 30%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
St. JohnstoneLivingston
0.99 +0.36xG0.73 −0.23
0.20Non-penalty xG0.73
1.30 +0.72xG on target0.21 −0.70
6 −2.9Shots11 +1.0
3 +0.5Shots on target4 +0.7
1 +0.5Big chances1 −0.1
9 −5Touches in the opposition box32 +14
40% −3Possession60% +20
289 −42Passes413 +108
56% −7Pass accuracy68% +5
30% −10Field tilt70% +31
23 −5Final-third entries45 +19
4 −3.1Box entries18 +9.7
11.4 −4Passes per defensive action12.9 −3
1 −3.6Corners6 +2.2
22 +7Tackles18 +2
14 +4Interceptions9 −2
45 +21Clearances9 −13
4 +0.9Saves2 −1.0
10 −2Fouls14 0
4 +2.3Offsides1 −1.5
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
St. Johnstone
Livingston
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
3'
1–0
0'HTFT
Level
3 min (3%) · St. Johnstone 0.79, Livingston 0.00 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
96 min (97%) · St. Johnstone 0.20, Livingston 0.73 xG
Line-ups
St. Johnstone substitutes
36'Booth for Gallacher
74'May for Ciftci
88'MacPherson for Hallberg
89'Butterfield for Crawford
Livingston substitutes
66'Kelly for Omeonga
74'Bailey for Soto
80'Lewis for Penrice
80'Shinnie for Pittman
Players
St. Johnstone
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Clark
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
0
Cleary
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
6
12
Gordon
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
1
21
McCart
CB
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.07
6
18
Rooney
RWB
90
0.00
0.12
1
0.11
4
2
Hallberg
CM
88
0.00
0.16
0
0.00
3
6
Davidson
CM
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
3
12
Gallacher
LWB
36
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
2
0
Crawford
AM
89
0.10
0.04
0
0.09
5
3
Hendry
ST
90
1
0.79
0.01
0
0.00
1
3
Ciftci
ST
74
0.09
0.03
1
−0.10
1
1
Booth
DF
54
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
4
6
May
FW
16
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
MacPherson
MF
2
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
1
Butterfield
MF
1
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Livingston
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Stryjek
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.06
7
0
Devlin
RB
90
0.00
0.21
1
0.22
13
2
Fitzwater
CB
90
0.00
0.03
1
0.03
5
3
Obileye
CB
90
0.17
0.01
0
0.06
6
5
Penrice
LB
80
0.02
0.06
0
0.09
7
10
Holt
CM
90
0.00
0.03
0
0.01
6
8
Pittman
CM
80
0.07
0.03
1
0.01
1
3
Omeonga
CM
66
0.00
0.02
0
0.04
3
3
Nouble
RW
90
0.00
0.13
3
−0.02
4
1
Soto
ST
74
0.15
0.06
0
−0.02
0
1
Forrest
LW
90
0.18
0.11
0
0.15
7
1
Kelly
DF
24
0.00
0.07
1
0.10
4
1
Bailey
MF
16
0.14
0.01
0
0.04
3
0
Lewis
DF
10
0.00
0.03
1
0.01
1
0
Shinnie
FW
10
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
St. Johnstone
Livingston
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
St. Johnstone
From
To
Passes
Hallberg
Rooney
7
McCart
Ciftci
6
Cleary
Rooney
6
Rooney
Hallberg
6
Davidson
Booth
6
Livingston
From
To
Passes
Devlin
Nouble
12
Fitzwater
Devlin
8
Nouble
Devlin
8
Devlin
Fitzwater
8
Devlin
Pittman
7
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
St. Johnstone
Against its average of 31 matches
Livingston
Against its average of 31 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
St. Johnstone
Livingston
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
St. Johnstone
11th
78%
77%
−1
Bottom
13%
6%
−7
Livingston
Top six
59%
38%
−21
11th
1%
2%
+1
Dundee FC
11th
12%
6%
−6
Bottom
87%
93%
+6
Motherwell
Top six
26%
30%
+4
11th
2%
3%
+1
From the forecast before the match (2 April 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
St. Johnstone
Livingston
Expected goals
0.98
0.94
Win
35%
32%
Expected Points
1.37
1.30
Clean sheet
39%
38%
St. Johnstone 35%Draw 33%Livingston 32%
Most likely score 0–0, 15%. Both sides score 39%.
From the forecast as it stood on 2 April 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
St. Johnstone win
Draw
Livingston win
St. Johnstone
11th
78%
77%
80%
77%
Bottom
13%
6%
13%
19%
Livingston
Top six
59%
38%
52%
89%
11th
1%
2%
<1%
–
Dundee FC
11th
12%
6%
13%
19%
Bottom
87%
93%
87%
81%
Motherwell
Top six
26%
30%
29%
18%
11th
2%
3%
2%
1%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
St. Johnstone
Livingston
Position
11th
6th
Played
31
31
Won, drawn, lost
6–9–16
10–7–14
Points
27 (0.87 per game)
37 (1.19 per game)
Expected Points per game
0.86
1.15
Goals
20–37
33–40
xG per game
0.63–1.31
0.96–1.29
Home: points, xG per game
0.88, 0.63–1.24
1.20, 1.10–1.29
Away: points, xG per game
0.87, 0.63–1.39
1.19, 0.83–1.29
Manager
Callum Davidson (69)
David Martindale (54)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
St. Johnstone
Livingston
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−49%
−4%
−23%
−2%
Counter-attacks
−76%
+178%
−17%
+13%
Set pieces
−36%
+7%
+1%
+20%
Penalties
−54%
+38%
−54%
+38%
Headers
−56%
+7%
−31%
+22%
Left side
−34%
+7%
+8%
−8%
Centre
−52%
+3%
−21%
+5%
Right side
−48%
+11%
−28%
+17%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
St. Johnstone attacking
St. Johnstone createdLivingston concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−34%+17%Centre−52%+5%Right side−48%−8%Open play−49%−2%Counter-attacks−76%+13%Set pieces−36%+20%Headers−56%+22%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
St. JohnstoneLivingston
0.63xG0.96
1.31xG against1.29
43%Possession40%
8.9Shots10.0
13.9Shots against13.6
2.5Shots on target3.3
0.5Big chances1.1
13.7Touches in the opposition box17.5
331Passes305
64%Pass accuracy63%
4.6Corners3.8
40%Field tilt39%
28.0Final-third entries25.7
7.1Box entries8.3
15.8Passes per defensive action15.6
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
St. Johnstone
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
54
0.65
1.17
Ahead
13
0.67
1.97
Behind
23
0.57
1.25
Livingston
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
42
0.99
1.18
Ahead
20
1.10
1.38
Behind
28
0.83
1.40
xG by period
St. Johnstone
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.12
0.18
4–5
16–30
0.09
0.13
5–4
31–45
0.08
0.23
4–7
46–60
0.09
0.24
3–7
61–75
0.14
0.23
1–7
76–90
0.11
0.30
3–7
Livingston
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.12
0.21
3–8
16–30
0.17
0.18
8–5
31–45
0.18
0.18
6–4
46–60
0.20
0.17
8–7
61–75
0.14
0.18
3–7
76–90
0.15
0.36
5–9
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.