Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Livingston 1–1 Hibernian

Saturday 20 March 2021, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 32 · Half-time 1–1

Livingston Sibbald 28'

Hibernian Doidge 41'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonHibernian
Goals11
xG1.090.68
Expected Points1.730.93

Livingston 46%Draw 35%Hibernian 19%

Most likely score 1–0, 23%. Final score 1–1, 19%.

Hibernian goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+13%9%3%5%1%10%8%3%2%2%23%19%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTSerrano on for Longridge, 57'Lawson on for Forrest, 79'Poplatnik on for Emmanuel-Thomas, 90'Sibbald 28'Doidge 41'Livingston 1.09Hibernian 0.6800.511.50153045607590HTSerrano on for Longridge, 57'Lawson on for Forrest, 79'Poplatnik on for Emmanuel-Thomas, 90'Sibbald 28'Doidge 41'1.090.68LivingstonHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonHibernian

1.09 −0.05xG0.68 −0.86
0.71 −0.37xG on target0.12 −1.47
12 +2Shots12 0
5 +2.0Shots on target2 −2.2
1 −0.5Big chances0 −1.9
20 +3Touches in the opposition box25 +3
49% +1Possession51% +1
329 −9Passes335 −59
60% +1Pass accuracy57% −14
53% +3Field tilt47% −1
37 +6Final-third entries29 −10
9 +0.9Box entries14 +3.2
13.8 +2Passes per defensive action13.9 0
2 −2.8Corners6 +0.4
8 −8Tackles12 −2
9 −3Interceptions9 −2
25 +7Clearances18 −2
1 −1.1Saves4 +1.5
15 +1Fouls13 0
1 −0.9Offsides2 −0.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Sibbald 21', 0.08 xGGuthrie 64', 0.06 xGEmmanuel-Thomas 13', 0.05 xGEmmanuel-Thomas 22', 0.05 xGGuthrie 87', 0.05 xGForrest 5', 0.04 xGEmmanuel-Thomas 15', 0.04 xGGuthrie 40', 0.04 xGSibbald 49', 0.04 xGSibbald 15', 0.03 xGEmmanuel-Thomas 34', 0.02 xGSibbald 28', 0.58 xG, goal53%0.58 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.58 xG, 1 goal30%0.33 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.33 xG, 0 goals7%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals6%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals3%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

Newell 69', 0.11 xGNisbet 71', 0.09 xGNewell 30', 0.08 xGGogic 55', 0.05 xGHanlon 67', 0.05 xGMcGinn 78', 0.05 xGNisbet 25', 0.04 xGDoig 55', 0.04 xGBoyle 66', 0.04 xGBoyle 21', 0.03 xGDoig 90+2', 0.02 xGDoidge 41', 0.09 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals53%0.36 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.36 xG, 1 goal25%0.17 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals22%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonHibernian

0.94 9 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.66 11 shots, 1 goal
0.15 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.02 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
79 min (86%) · Livingston 1.02, Hibernian 0.52 xG
Livingston ahead
13 min (14%) · Livingston 0.07, Hibernian 0.17 xG

Line-ups

1252723618108119McCrorieDevlinFitzwaterGuthrieLongridgeBartleyHoltSibbaldPittmanForrestEmmanuel-ThomasYellow cardGoal57'79'90'Livingston 4-2-3-1David Martindale16541013113625159MarcianoMcGinnPorteousHanlonBoyleGogicNewellIrvineDoigNisbetDoidgeGoalHibernian 3-1-4-2Jack Ross

Livingston substitutes

  • 33' Vita
  • 57' Serrano for Longridge
  • 79' Lawson for Forrest
  • 90' Poplatnik for Emmanuel-Thomas

Hibernian substitutes

None used

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McCrorieGK900.000.0100.0771
DevlinRB900.000.0300.0368
FitzwaterCB900.000.0400.0777
GuthrieCB900.150.0000.03414
Longridge LB570.000.010−0.0126
BartleyDM900.000.0200.0331
HoltDM900.000.1410.0840
SibbaldRW9010.730.1420.1045
PittmanAM900.000.0100.0324
ForrestLW790.040.1030.1370
Emmanuel-ThomasST900.170.1320.2021
Vita570.000.010––6
SerranoFW330.000.0410.0212
LawsonMF110.000.0000.0120
PoplatnikFW00.000.0000.0000

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MarcianoGK900.000.0000.0231
McGinnCB900.050.0300.16155
PorteousCB900.000.0000.0338
HanlonCB900.050.0600.2339
BoyleDM900.070.1800.2581
GogicRWB900.050.0210.0001
NewellCM900.180.0920.1974
IrvineCM900.000.2520.0135
DoigLWB9010.070.1020.1044
NisbetST900.130.0100.0830
DoidgeST9010.090.1220.1412

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

McCrorie and Fitzwater: 3 passesMcCrorie and Longridge: 3 passesFitzwater and Guthrie: 3 passesLongridge and Bartley: 3 passesBartley and Forrest: 3 passesSibbald and Pittman: 3 passesPittman and Emmanuel-Thomas: 3 passesForrest and Emmanuel-Thomas: 3 passesMcCrorie and Guthrie: 4 passesDevlin and Fitzwater: 4 passesGuthrie and Holt: 4 passesPittman and Forrest: 4 passesDevlin and Holt: 5 passesGuthrie and Longridge: 5 passesLongridge and Emmanuel-Thomas: 5 passesBartley and Holt: 5 passesBartley and Sibbald: 5 passesHolt and Sibbald: 5 passesMcCrorie and Emmanuel-Thomas: 6 passesLongridge and Forrest: 6 passesDevlin and Sibbald: 7 passesSibbald and Emmanuel-Thomas: 9 passesMcCrorie: 8 completed passesDevlin: 12 completed passesFitzwater: 8 completed passesGuthrie: 14 completed passesLongridge: 20 completed passesBartley: 11 completed passesHolt: 13 completed passesSibbald: 19 completed passesPittman: 8 completed passesForrest: 10 completed passesEmmanuel-Thomas: 9 completed passes1252723618108119McCrorieDevlinFitzwaterGuthrieLongridgeBartleyHoltSibbaldPittmanForrestEmmanuel-ThomasStarters until 57' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Hibernian

Marciano and Hanlon: 5 passesMcGinn and Gogic: 5 passesPorteous and Hanlon: 5 passesPorteous and Boyle: 5 passesNewell and Boyle: 5 passesNewell and Irvine: 5 passesNewell and Doidge: 5 passesIrvine and Doidge: 5 passesIrvine and Nisbet: 5 passesDoig and Doidge: 5 passesMarciano and McGinn: 6 passesMcGinn and Doidge: 6 passesHanlon and Newell: 6 passesPorteous and Newell: 7 passesHanlon and Doig: 7 passesNewell and Doig: 7 passesBoyle and Nisbet: 8 passesMcGinn and Newell: 9 passesMcGinn and Irvine: 9 passesMcGinn and Boyle: 10 passesBoyle and Irvine: 10 passesIrvine and Doig: 15 passesMcGinn and Porteous: 18 passesMarciano: 19 completed passesMcGinn: 39 completed passesPorteous: 31 completed passesHanlon: 19 completed passesNewell: 27 completed passesBoyle: 20 completed passesIrvine: 24 completed passesGogic: 8 completed passesDoig: 22 completed passesDoidge: 9 completed passesNisbet: 8 completed passes16541110361325915MarcianoMcGinnPorteousHanlonNewellBoyleIrvineGogicDoigDoidgeNisbetStarters, whole match · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
McCrorieEmmanuel-Thomas10
SibbaldDevlin7
HoltSibbald7
FitzwaterMcCrorie7
Emmanuel-ThomasSibbald6

Hibernian

FromToPasses
PorteousMcGinn12
DoigIrvine8
McGinnNewell7
IrvineDoig7
IrvineBoyle6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

7+1.76+1.221+10.84−1.41−4.04−4.56−1.010+3.36−1.515+5.84−1.64−1.52−2.14−1.710+3.63−1.10−4.43+0.10−3.94−0.52−1.22−0.43+1.91−0.45+2.20−1.40−0.40−0.72+1.52+0.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 32 matches

Hibernian

6+1.19+3.67+0.24−2.36−1.13−4.46−2.08+0.812+3.95−1.32−3.84−0.52−4.34−2.23−1.01−2.43+1.11−1.95+0.72+0.11−0.33+2.11−0.41−0.90−0.80−0.50−1.22+1.60−0.77−5.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 32 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.020.050.010.030.010.020.020.010.030.060.010.020.03−0.020.04−0.010.090.120.110.16LessMore

Hibernian

0.030.030.020.020.010.030.090.030.010.010.060.010.020.040.100.030.070.110.060.080.010.120.22LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackLivingston1.03 → 1.03Hibernian1.28 → 1.26Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.12 → 1.11Hibernian0.99 → 1.00

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonHibernian
Expected goals0.961.28
Win27%43%
Expected Points1.111.59
Clean sheet28%38%

Livingston 27%Draw 30%Hibernian 43%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 45%.

Hibernian goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+9%4%1%10%8%4%1%5%6%4%2%2%2%1%11%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 20 March 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Livingston

  1. W2–113 MarHamilton Academical (H)xG 1.26–0.19
  2. L1–36 MarMotherwell (A)xG 1.14–1.80
  3. L0–13 MarRangers (H)xG 0.35–2.73
  4. D1–120 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.29–0.71
  5. L0–313 FebDundee United (A)xG 0.93–1.93
  6. L1–26 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.86–1.78

Hibernian

  1. W2–113 MarRoss County (A)xG 2.75–1.36
  2. L0–16 MarSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.03–0.29
  3. L0–227 FebMotherwell (H)xG 1.70–1.00
  4. W2–020 FebHamilton Academical (H)xG 2.49–0.40
  5. W2–06 FebAberdeen (H)xG 2.26–0.54
  6. W2–12 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.60–0.65

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonHibernian
Position5th3rd
Played3232
Won, drawn, lost12–⁠7–⁠1316–⁠7–⁠9
Points43 (1.34 per game)55 (1.72 per game)
Expected Points per game1.351.66
Goals39–⁠4043–⁠30
xG per game1.14–⁠1.151.54–⁠1.10
Home: points, xG per game1.31, 1.04–⁠1.331.44, 1.41–⁠1.22
Away: points, xG per game1.38, 1.23–⁠0.962.00, 1.66–⁠0.98
ManagerDavid Martindale (17)Jack Ross (32)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackLivingston1.03, 7thHibernian1.28, 3rdDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.12, 6thHibernian0.99, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarLivingston attack: 1.03Hibernian attack: 1.281.281.03HibernianLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarLivingston defence: 1.12Hibernian defence: 0.991.120.99

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−9%−19%+24%−18%
Counter-attacks−92%−26%−30%+23%
Set pieces+15%+10%+4%−8%
Penalties−45%+9%+64%−9%
Headers+18%+5%+34%−30%
Left side−19%−37%+9%−12%
Centre+10%−4%+12%−29%
Right side−19%+4%+30%+14%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdHibernian concededLeft side−19%+14%Centre+10%−29%Right side−19%−12%Open play−9%−18%Counter-attacks−92%+23%Set pieces+15%−8%Headers+18%−30%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdLivingston concededLeft side+9%+4%Centre+12%−4%Right side+30%−37%Open play+24%−19%Counter-attacks−30%−26%Set pieces+4%+10%Headers+34%+5%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonHibernian

1.14xG1.54
1.15xG against1.10
48%Possession50%
10.0Shots12.0
9.7Shots against11.2
3.0Shots on target4.2
1.5Big chances1.9
17.4Touches in the opposition box21.6
338Passes394
60%Pass accuracy71%
4.8Corners5.6
50%Field tilt48%
31.4Final-third entries39.5
8.1Box entries10.8
12.2Passes per defensive action13.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level480.991.12
Ahead171.070.85
Behind251.481.39

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level381.601.05
Ahead321.671.16
Behind201.181.09

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.118–3
16–300.210.214–12
31–450.140.273–10
46–600.210.1910–10
61–750.190.135–1
76–900.240.249–4

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.230.125–4
16–300.190.158–4
31–450.220.216–6
46–600.240.238–6
61–750.340.159–2
76–900.320.227–8

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTStryjek 18McCrorie 14Devlin 29Ambrose 1Robinson 1Ambrose 12Fitzwater 11Guthrie 29Brown 8Taylor-Sinclair 4Serrano 17Brown 5Longridge 2Bartley 24Pittman 4Lawson 4Holt 18Sibbald 10Forrest 2Mullin 12Robinson 6Fitzwater 4Pittman 21Bartley 4Sibbald 2Forrest 17Sibbald 8Robinson 2Emmanuel-Thomas 7Robinson 5Poplatnik 34-2-3-1 in 18 of 32 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (18), 3-4-2-1 (6), 4-3-3 (3), 4-4-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTMarciano 28Macey 2Barnes 2McGinn 25Cadden 5Boyle 1Porteous 27McGregor 6McGinn 2Hanlon 29Doig 17Stevenson 9Gogic 3Boyle 19McGinn 5Newell 2Gogic 17Hallberg 9Mallan 3Newell 23Irvine 7Nisbet 1Murphy 12Doig 4Horgan 4Nisbet 23Boyle 9Wright 1Doidge 24Gogic 3Irvine 14-4-2 in 14 of 32 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (14), 3-4-1-2 (5), 3-5-2 (4), 5-3-2 (2), 4-5-1 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
2 January 2021Hibernian0–3LivingstonxG 0.49–1.18
8 August 2020Livingston1–4HibernianxG 1.42–3.83

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 1, Hibernian won 1, and 0 were drawn. Goals 4–4 and xG 1.30–2.16 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Forrest191,626410.180.21
Emmanuel-Thomas8931300.270.05
Robinson161,473410.200.08
Mullin141,190230.080.19

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nisbet242,2311220.490.09
Mallan4507100.230.33
Boyle302,7021150.390.14
Doidge242,272520.390.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.