Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
HibernianSt. Johnstone
0.99 −0.17xG0.44 −0.21
0.56 −0.58xG on target0.00 −0.61
13 +1.5Shots5 −4.0
3 −0.6Shots on target0 −2.6
1 −0.4Big chances0 −0.6
24 +6Touches in the opposition box14 0
60% +6Possession40% −3
460 +38Passes315 −15
80% +4Pass accuracy67% +4
65% +12Field tilt35% −4
46 +7Final-third entries28 0
14 +3.0Box entries9 +2.0
12.9 0Passes per defensive action13.8 −2
9 +3.5Corners3 −1.7
13 −2Tackles22 +7
2 −7.6Interceptions11 +0.9
18 +1Clearances29 +5
0 −2.7Saves3 −0.1
15 +3Fouls16 +4
1 −1.1Offsides2 +0.3
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Hibernian
St. Johnstone
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
0–0
0'HTFT
Level
93 min (100%) · Hibernian 0.99, St. Johnstone 0.44 xG
Line-ups
Hibernian substitutes
59'Allan for Henderson · yellow card 74'
59'Melkersen for Doidge · yellow card 87'
72'Hauge for Wright
St. Johnstone substitutes
20'Brown for Sang · off 46'
46'O'Halloran for Brown · yellow card 74'
59'Ciftci for Middleton
85'Mahon for McCart
Players
Hibernian
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Dabrowski
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
1
Cadden
CB
90
0.04
0.03
0
0.10
12
4
Porteous
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.07
8
7
Doig
CB
90
0.01
0.00
0
0.08
3
5
Wright
RWB
72
0.00
0.11
1
0.09
3
1
Doyle-Hayes
CM
90
0.00
0.05
2
0.06
6
2
Campbell
CM
90
0.05
0.02
1
0.01
3
2
Stevenson
LWB
90
0.00
0.07
1
0.14
8
7
Henderson
AM
59
0.17
0.01
0
−0.03
3
0
Jasper
AM
90
0.05
0.35
2
0.40
13
0
Doidge
ST
59
0.39
0.00
1
0.00
0
2
Allan
MF
31
0.00
0.39
1
0.04
6
0
Melkersen
FW
31
0.22
0.00
1
0.00
0
1
Hauge
MF
18
0.06
0.00
0
0.03
0
2
St. Johnstone
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Clark
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.05
6
1
Cleary
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
4
7
Gordon
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
2
13
McCart
CB
85
0.00
0.01
0
0.05
4
15
Sang
RWB
20
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
2
2
Hallberg
CM
90
0.03
0.60
1
0.25
4
3
MacPherson
CM
90
0.05
0.08
0
0.04
4
8
Gallacher
LWB
90
0.00
0.04
0
0.09
4
6
Crawford
AM
90
0.00
0.06
1
0.08
5
3
Middleton
ST
59
0.00
0.01
0
0.00
1
0
Hendry
ST
90
0.36
0.00
1
0.00
1
6
Brown
DF
26
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
0
1
O'Halloran
MF
44
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
4
2
Ciftci
FW
31
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
Mahon
DF
5
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
2
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Hibernian
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Hibernian
From
To
Passes
Porteous
Cadden
20
Cadden
Porteous
16
Stevenson
Jasper
13
Doig
Stevenson
12
Cadden
Doyle-Hayes
11
St. Johnstone
From
To
Passes
Gallacher
Crawford
9
MacPherson
Hallberg
7
McCart
Crawford
7
Hallberg
Hendry
7
Crawford
Gallacher
6
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Hibernian
Against its average of 29 matches
St. Johnstone
Against its average of 29 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Hibernian
St. Johnstone
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Hibernian
Top six
81%
75%
−6
St. Johnstone
11th
58%
59%
+1
Bottom
35%
34%
−1
Dundee FC
11th
32%
31%
−1
Bottom
64%
65%
+1
Motherwell
Top six
51%
52%
+1
11th
1%
1%
0
From the forecast before the match (5 March 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Hibernian
St. Johnstone
Expected goals
1.25
0.65
Win
50%
19%
Expected Points
1.82
0.87
Clean sheet
52%
29%
Hibernian 50%Draw 31%St. Johnstone 19%
Most likely score 1–0, 18%. Both sides score 35%.
From the forecast as it stood on 5 March 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Hibernian win
Draw
St. Johnstone win
Hibernian
Top six
81%
92%
75%
63%
St. Johnstone
11th
58%
54%
59%
64%
Bottom
35%
41%
34%
21%
Dundee FC
11th
32%
38%
31%
19%
Bottom
64%
58%
65%
77%
Motherwell
Top six
51%
49%
52%
54%
11th
1%
1%
1%
2%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Hibernian
St. Johnstone
Position
5th
11th
Played
29
29
Won, drawn, lost
9–9–11
5–8–16
Points
36 (1.24 per game)
23 (0.79 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.45
0.85
Goals
28–30
18–36
xG per game
1.16–1.04
0.65–1.36
Home: points, xG per game
1.47, 1.13–0.99
0.73, 0.65–1.31
Away: points, xG per game
1.00, 1.20–1.09
0.86, 0.64–1.42
Manager
Shaun Maloney (11)
Callum Davidson (67)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Hibernian
St. Johnstone
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−2%
−17%
−49%
−4%
Counter-attacks
+60%
+17%
−75%
+183%
Set pieces
−32%
−7%
−35%
+13%
Penalties
+33%
−20%
−47%
+59%
Headers
−13%
−1%
−59%
+16%
Left side
average
−8%
−35%
+6%
Centre
−13%
−8%
−51%
+8%
Right side
−3%
−29%
−47%
+11%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
St. Johnstone createdHibernian concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−35%−29%Centre−51%−8%Right side−47%−8%Open play−49%−17%Counter-attacks−75%+17%Set pieces−35%−7%Headers−59%−1%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
HibernianSt. Johnstone
1.16xG0.65
1.04xG against1.36
54%Possession43%
11.5Shots9.0
10.7Shots against14.1
3.6Shots on target2.6
1.4Big chances0.6
18.4Touches in the opposition box13.7
422Passes330
76%Pass accuracy63%
5.5Corners4.7
52%Field tilt40%
38.9Final-third entries28.3
11.0Box entries7.0
12.9Passes per defensive action15.9
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Hibernian
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
49
1.13
0.89
Ahead
18
1.09
1.01
Behind
22
1.30
1.39
St. Johnstone
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
51
0.68
1.24
Ahead
14
0.67
1.96
Behind
24
0.57
1.26
xG by period
Hibernian
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.16
0.14
2–6
16–30
0.13
0.19
3–6
31–45
0.20
0.14
7–3
46–60
0.20
0.21
6–6
61–75
0.23
0.16
4–3
76–90
0.24
0.20
6–6
St. Johnstone
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.13
0.19
4–4
16–30
0.10
0.13
4–4
31–45
0.08
0.23
4–7
46–60
0.09
0.25
3–7
61–75
0.14
0.24
1–7
76–90
0.11
0.31
2–7
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts