Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Hibernian 2–1 Livingston

Wednesday 21 April 2021, 18:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 35 · Half-time 2–0

Hibernian Nisbet 8', Boyle 26' (pen)

Livingston Emmanuel-Thomas 85' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HibernianLivingston
Goals21
xG2.311.77
Non-penalty xG1.520.98
Expected Points1.760.95

Hibernian 49%Draw 29%Livingston 22%

Most likely score 2–2, 16%. Final score 2–1, 12%.

Livingston goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+1%1%1%7%8%3%2%12%6%2%9%11%5%3%4%2%1%16%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTWright on for Doidge, 76'Magennis on for Newell, 84'McMillan on for Longridge, 28'Forrest on for Ambrose, 46'Poplatnik on for Mullin, 67'Diani on for Sibbald, 80'Nisbet 8'Boyle 26' (pen)Emmanuel-Thomas 85' (pen)Hibernian 2.31Livingston 1.7701230153045607590HTWright on for Doidge, 76'Magennis on for Newell, 84'McMillan on for Longridge, 28'Forrest on for Ambrose, 46'Poplatnik on for Mullin, 67'Diani on for Sibbald, 80'Nisbet 8'Boyle 26' (pen)Emmanuel-Thomas 85' (pen)2.311.77HibernianLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianLivingston

2.31 +0.81xG1.77 +0.64
1.52Non-penalty xG0.98
2.63 +1.08xG on target1.08 +0.01
11 −0.9Shots9 −0.9
6 +1.8Shots on target2 −1.0
4 +2.1Big chances3 +1.6
16 −5Touches in the opposition box13 −4
50% 0Possession50% +3
360 −30Passes371 +34
67% −4Pass accuracy68% +8
50% +3Field tilt50% 0
36 −3Final-third entries37 +6
9 −1.7Box entries5 −3.0
16.9 +3Passes per defensive action10.8 −2
6 +0.4Corners4 −0.6
10 −4Tackles15 −1
7 −3Interceptions9 −3
18 −2Clearances11 −7
1 −1.6Saves4 +1.9
9 −4Fouls14 0
1 −1.3Offsides0 −1.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hibernian

Nisbet 90+2', 0.23 xGNisbet 90+3', 0.21 xGDoidge 39', 0.14 xGNisbet 38', 0.09 xGHanlon 29', 0.08 xGDoidge 42', 0.07 xGNisbet 55', 0.06 xGIrvine 16', 0.05 xGBoyle 30', 0.03 xGNisbet 8', 0.56 xG, goal14%0.22 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals45%0.69 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.69 xG, 1 goal23%0.35 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.35 xG, 0 goals18%0.27 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.27 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Poplatnik 68', 0.51 xGForrest 72', 0.27 xGGuthrie 71', 0.04 xGHolt 14', 0.03 xGSibbald 45', 0.03 xGSibbald 50', 0.03 xGSibbald 64', 0.03 xGEmmanuel-Thomas 87', 0.03 xG53%0.51 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.51 xG, 0 goals32%0.31 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.31 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals12%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals3%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianLivingston

1.21 6 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.94 7 shots, 0 goals
0.31 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.04 1 shot, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
8 min (9%) · Hibernian 0.56, Livingston 0.00 xG
Hibernian ahead
85 min (91%) · Hibernian 1.75, Livingston 1.76 xG

Line-ups

16541610131136159MarcianoMcGinnPorteousHanlonStevensonBoyleGogicNewellIrvineNisbetDoidgeGoalYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoal84'76'Hibernian 4-4-2Jack Ross322427252310188149StryjekDevlinLithgowGuthrieAmbroseLongridgeSibbaldHoltPittmanMullinEmmanuel-ThomasYellow cardYellow cardGoal46'28'80'67'Livingston 5-4-1David Martindale

Hibernian substitutes

  • 76' Wright for Doidge
  • 84' Magennis for Newell

Livingston substitutes

  • 28' McMillan for Longridge
  • 46' Forrest for Ambrose · yellow card 57'
  • 67' Poplatnik for Mullin
  • 80' Diani for Sibbald

Players

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MarcianoGK900.000.0000.0220
McGinnRB900.000.0300.0456
PorteousCB900.000.0100.0644
HanlonCB900.080.0300.0553
StevensonLB900.000.0210.1095
BoyleRM90110.820.7630.2451
Gogic CM900.000.0210.0586
Newell CM840.000.0810.0823
Irvine LM900.050.0100.0394
NisbetST9011.150.0510.0654
DoidgeST760.210.010−0.0112
WrightMF140.000.0000.0111
MagennisMF60.000.0000.0000

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0100.13141
Devlin RWB900.000.3520.2253
LithgowCB900.000.020−0.1713
GuthrieCB900.040.0100.0648
AmbroseCB460.000.000−0.0104
LongridgeLWB280.000.0000.0033
SibbaldRM800.090.041−0.0121
Holt CM900.030.2300.0834
PittmanCM900.000.0300.0214
MullinLM670.000.0100.0020
Emmanuel-ThomasST9010.820.0520.0431
McMillanDF620.000.0100.0021
Forrest FW440.270.000−0.0523
PoplatnikFW230.510.0210.0000
DianiMF100.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Marciano and Porteous: 4 passesMcGinn and Gogic: 4 passesPorteous and Nisbet: 4 passesStevenson and Doidge: 4 passesMarciano and Stevenson: 5 passesMcGinn and Doidge: 5 passesPorteous and Gogic: 5 passesPorteous and Newell: 5 passesStevenson and Gogic: 5 passesBoyle and Newell: 5 passesBoyle and Nisbet: 5 passesGogic and Doidge: 5 passesIrvine and Doidge: 5 passesIrvine and Nisbet: 5 passesMarciano and Hanlon: 6 passesHanlon and Stevenson: 6 passesStevenson and Newell: 6 passesStevenson and Nisbet: 7 passesMcGinn and Newell: 8 passesStevenson and Irvine: 8 passesGogic and Newell: 8 passesGogic and Irvine: 9 passesMcGinn and Boyle: 10 passesPorteous and Hanlon: 12 passesHanlon and Newell: 12 passesMcGinn and Porteous: 13 passesMarciano: 19 completed passesMcGinn: 28 completed passesPorteous: 30 completed passesHanlon: 28 completed passesStevenson: 25 completed passesBoyle: 13 completed passesGogic: 24 completed passesNewell: 28 completed passesIrvine: 18 completed passesDoidge: 9 completed passesNisbet: 12 completed passes16541610131136915MarcianoMcGinnPorteousHanlonStevensonBoyleGogicNewellIrvineDoidgeNisbetStarters until 76' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Livingston

Longridge and Mullin: 3 passesHolt and Emmanuel-Thomas: 3 passesPittman and Mullin: 3 passesPittman and Emmanuel-Thomas: 3 passesAmbrose and Guthrie: 4 passesGuthrie and Holt: 5 passesLongridge and Emmanuel-Thomas: 5 passesStryjek: 5 completed passesDevlin: 4 completed passesAmbrose: 8 completed passesLithgow: 3 completed passesGuthrie: 8 completed passesLongridge: 7 completed passesSibbald: 5 completed passesHolt: 10 completed passesPittman: 5 completed passesMullin: 4 completed passesEmmanuel-Thomas: 7 completed passes322254272310188149StryjekDevlinAmbroseLithgowGuthrieLongridgeSibbaldHoltPittmanMullinEmmanuel-ThomasStarters until 28' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

FromToPasses
McGinnPorteous8
McGinnBoyle7
StevensonNisbet7
StevensonIrvine6
NewellHanlon6

Livingston

FromToPasses
StryjekEmmanuel-Thomas11
HoltMcMillan9
DevlinEmmanuel-Thomas7
GuthrieStryjek6
DevlinSibbald6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

4−0.83−2.612−0.44−2.99+2.93−4.17−0.580.08+0.72−4.39+3.25+0.56−0.12−2.11−2.34+2.10−2.85+0.820.01−0.30−1.01−0.40−1.90−0.71+0.51−0.20−0.42+1.43−5.10−6.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 34 matches

Livingston

7+1.76+1.18−2.61−4.32−2.85−1.95−1.89+1.310+0.75−0.62−3.43−1.14−1.77+0.65+0.97+2.84+1.13−0.72−2.51−2.23+0.60−1.34+2.62−0.92+0.70−0.52+1.30−0.61−0.12−6.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 34 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

0.020.020.020.010.030.040.010.020.050.030.070.010.030.020.040.020.010.020.020.100.14LessMore

Livingston

0.020.030.010.010.050.060.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.010.050.020.01−0.01−0.01−0.03−0.230.05−0.010.20LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackHibernian1.27 → 1.30Livingston1.03 → 1.05Defence (lower is better)Hibernian0.98 → 1.00Livingston1.17 → 1.19

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HibernianLivingston
Expected goals1.430.86
Win50%22%
Expected Points1.770.95
Clean sheet42%24%

Hibernian 50%Draw 28%Livingston 22%

Most likely score 1–0, 14%. Both sides score 45%.

Livingston goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+8%4%1%5%2%9%4%1%5%4%2%2%2%11%14%13%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 21 April 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Hibernian

  1. L1–211 AprRangers (A)xG 1.09–0.58
  2. D1–120 MarLivingston (A)xG 0.68–1.09
  3. W2–113 MarRoss County (A)xG 2.75–1.36
  4. L0–16 MarSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.03–0.29
  5. L0–227 FebMotherwell (H)xG 1.70–1.00
  6. W2–020 FebHamilton Academical (H)xG 2.49–0.40

Livingston

  1. L0–610 AprCeltic (A)xG 0.79–2.83
  2. D1–120 MarHibernian (H)xG 1.09–0.68
  3. W2–113 MarHamilton Academical (H)xG 1.26–0.19
  4. L1–36 MarMotherwell (A)xG 1.14–1.80
  5. L0–13 MarRangers (H)xG 0.35–2.73
  6. D1–120 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.29–0.71

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianLivingston
Position3rd5th
Played3434
Won, drawn, lost16–⁠8–⁠1012–⁠8–⁠14
Points56 (1.65 per game)44 (1.29 per game)
Expected Points per game1.641.33
Goals45–⁠3340–⁠47
xG per game1.50–⁠1.081.13–⁠1.18
Home: points, xG per game1.44, 1.41–⁠1.221.29, 1.05–⁠1.29
Away: points, xG per game1.83, 1.57–⁠0.961.29, 1.21–⁠1.07
ManagerJack Ross (34)David Martindale (19)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackHibernian1.27, 3rdLivingston1.03, 6thDefence (lower is better)Hibernian0.98, 4thLivingston1.17, 6th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprHibernian attack: 1.27Livingston attack: 1.031.271.03LivingstonHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprHibernian defence: 0.98Livingston defence: 1.171.170.98

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+21%−18%−8%−12%
Counter-attacks−28%+17%−92%−29%
Set pieces+3%−11%+10%+7%
Penalties+59%−12%−47%+6%
Headers+33%−32%+12%−1%
Left side+7%−14%−20%−29%
Centre+11%−28%+11%−3%
Right side+25%+11%−24%+7%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdLivingston concededLeft side+7%+7%Centre+11%−3%Right side+25%−29%Open play+21%−12%Counter-attacks−28%−29%Set pieces+3%+7%Headers+33%−1%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdHibernian concededLeft side−20%+11%Centre+11%−28%Right side−24%−14%Open play−8%−18%Counter-attacks−92%+17%Set pieces+10%−11%Headers+12%−32%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianLivingston

1.50xG1.13
1.08xG against1.18
50%Possession47%
11.9Shots9.9
11.3Shots against9.9
4.2Shots on target3.0
1.9Big chances1.4
21.3Touches in the opposition box17.2
390Passes337
70%Pass accuracy60%
5.6Corners4.6
47%Field tilt49%
38.8Final-third entries31.3
10.7Box entries8.0
13.8Passes per defensive action12.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level391.521.06
Ahead301.671.16
Behind211.201.02

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level480.981.11
Ahead171.060.86
Behind251.461.53

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.220.125–4
16–300.180.178–6
31–450.220.207–6
46–600.230.228–6
61–750.340.159–3
76–900.310.228–8

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.108–3
16–300.220.225–13
31–450.130.293–12
46–600.220.2110–12
61–750.180.135–2
76–900.230.239–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTMarciano 30Macey 2Barnes 2McGinn 27Cadden 5Boyle 1Porteous 29McGregor 6McGinn 2Hanlon 31Doig 17Stevenson 9Gogic 3Boyle 19McGinn 5Newell 2Gogic 18Hallberg 9Mallan 3Newell 25Irvine 8Nisbet 1Murphy 12Doig 6Horgan 4Nisbet 25Boyle 9Wright 1Doidge 26Gogic 3Irvine 14-4-2 in 14 of 34 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (14), 3-4-1-2 (5), 3-5-2 (4), 3-1-4-2 (2), 5-3-2 (2), 4-5-1 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTStryjek 18McCrorie 16Devlin 31Ambrose 1Robinson 1Fitzwater 13Ambrose 12Guthrie 31Brown 8Taylor-Sinclair 4Serrano 17Brown 5Longridge 4Bartley 26Pittman 4Lawson 4Holt 19Sibbald 11Forrest 2Mullin 12Robinson 6Fitzwater 4Pittman 23Bartley 4Sibbald 2Forrest 19Sibbald 8Robinson 2Emmanuel-Thomas 9Robinson 5Poplatnik 34-2-3-1 in 20 of 34 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (20), 3-4-2-1 (6), 4-3-3 (3), 4-4-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
20 March 2021Livingston1–1HibernianxG 1.09–0.68
2 January 2021Hibernian0–3LivingstonxG 0.49–1.18
8 August 2020Livingston1–4HibernianxG 1.42–3.83

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 1, Livingston won 1, and 1 was a draw. Goals 5–5 and xG 1.67–1.23 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Mallan4507100.230.33
Nisbet262,4111320.470.09
Boyle322,8821150.370.14
Doidge262,428620.370.07

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Forrest211,772410.170.20
Emmanuel-Thomas101,067300.250.05
Robinson161,473410.200.08
Mullin141,234230.080.19

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.