Matches › 2020/21

Celtic 3–0 Hibernian

Sunday 27 September 2020, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 9 · Half-time 2–0

Celtic McGregor 7', Ajeti 35', Elyounoussi 79'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Celtic	Hibernian
Goals	3	0
xG	1.94	0.60
Expected Points	2.33	0.46

Celtic 71%Draw 20%Hibernian 9%

Most likely score 2–0, 16%. Final score 3–0, 10%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticHibernian

1.94 −0.54xG0.60 −0.78

3.18 +0.26xG on target0.00 −1.43

20 +1Shots9 −2

9 +0.9Shots on target0 −3.9

4 +0.4Big chances0 −1.5

24Touches in the opposition box16

65% −5Possession35% −11

653 +31Passes338 0

89% +2Pass accuracy78% +11

74% −6Field tilt26% −12

78 +3Final-third entries35 +5

14 −5.4Box entries10 +0.4

13.2 +3.3Passes per defensive action20.2 +4.7

6 −0.1Corners5 −0.1

11 −2Tackles21 +7

7 −0.7Interceptions6 −3.6

16 +2Clearances12 −13

0 −1.4Saves6 +3.4

9 −2Fouls11 −2

0 −1.0Offsides0 −2.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Celtic

Hibernian

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticHibernian

1.37 13 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.60 9 shots, 0 goals

0.57 7 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–02–03–0

Level: 7 min (8%) · Celtic 0.09, Hibernian 0.00 xG
Celtic ahead: 84 min (92%) · Celtic 1.85, Hibernian 0.60 xG

Line-ups

Celtic substitutes

37' Edouard for Ajeti
46' Turnbull for Christie · 1 assist
82' Ntcham for Brown
82' Klimala for Elyounoussi
86' Soro for McGregor

Hibernian substitutes

46' Stevenson for Doig
53' Murphy for Wright
83' Mallan for Doidge

Players

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Barkas	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
Bitton	CB	90			0.03	0.03	1	0.17	15	6
Duffy	CB	90			0.07	0.01	0	0.07	4	8
Ajer	CB	90			0.00	0.02	1	0.16	10	5
Frimpong	RWB	90			0.40	0.03	2	0.19	17	3
Christie	CM	46		1	0.11	0.22	1	0.25	5	1
Brown	CM	82			0.29	0.12	3	0.14	6	2
McGregor	CM	86	1		0.09	0.08	0	0.12	6	2
Taylor	LWB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.01	3	4
Elyounoussi	ST	82	1		0.32	0.06	0	−0.03	2	4
Ajeti	ST	37	1		0.40	0.01	0	0.00	0	0
Edouard	FW	53			0.18	0.04	0	0.04	3	0
Turnbull	MF	44		1	0.05	0.18	4	0.09	4	0
Ntcham	MF	8			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Klimala	FW	8			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Soro	MF	4			0.00	0.00	1	0.01	1	1

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Marciano	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
McGinn	CB	90	0.00	0.07	1	0.15	8	6
Porteous	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	11
Hanlon	CB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.06	6	6
Boyle	RWB	90	0.03	0.04	0	0.19	4	1
Wright	CM	53	0.00	0.01	1	0.02	1	1
Gogic	CM	90	0.00	0.02	1	0.06	4	3
Newell	CM	90	0.11	0.17	1	0.06	5	2
Doig	LWB	46	0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	5
Doidge	ST	83	0.11	0.08	1	0.03	1	0
Nisbet	ST	90	0.35	0.28	2	0.27	2	6
Stevenson	MF	44	0.00	0.10	1	0.12	5	1
Murphy	MF	37	0.00	0.09	0	0.11	8	2
Mallan	MF	7	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Hibernian

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Duffy	Bitton	22
Ajer	McGregor	22
McGregor	Taylor	20
Taylor	McGregor	15
Duffy	Ajer	14

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Porteous	McGinn	11
Stevenson	Murphy	11
Hanlon	Stevenson	10
Porteous	Hanlon	9
Newell	McGinn	9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

Against its average of 7 matches

Hibernian

Against its average of 8 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

Hibernian

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Celtic
Title	52%	55%	+3
Hibernian
Title	<1%	<1%	0
Top six	93%	92%	−1
Rangers
Title	48%	44%	−4

From the forecast before the match (27 September 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Celtic	Hibernian
Expected goals	2.09	0.61
Win	71%	9%
Expected Points	2.34	0.47
Clean sheet	54%	12%

Celtic 71%Draw 19%Hibernian 9%

Most likely score 2–0, 15%. Both sides score 40%.

From the forecast as it stood on 27 September 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Celtic win	Draw	Hibernian win
Celtic
Title	52%	55%	44%	40%
Hibernian
Title	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%
Top six	93%	92%	95%	98%
Rangers
Title	48%	44%	56%	58%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

Hibernian

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Celtic	Hibernian
Position	2nd	3rd
Played	7	8
Won, drawn, lost	6–⁠1–⁠0	5–⁠2–⁠1
Points	19 (2.71 per game)	17 (2.12 per game)
Expected Points per game	2.27	1.47
Goals	20–⁠5	13–⁠5
xG per game	2.48–⁠0.76	1.38–⁠1.29
Home: points, xG per game	3.00, 2.72–⁠0.68	1.25, 0.92–⁠1.58
Away: points, xG per game	2.50, 2.31–⁠0.82	3.00, 1.84–⁠1.00
Manager	Neil Lennon (7)	Jack Ross (8)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Celtic		Hibernian
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+100%	−64%	+1%	−14%
Counter-attacks	+706%	−100%	−37%	−70%
Set pieces	+21%	−29%	+1%	+13%
Penalties	+68%	+68%	+47%	+47%
Headers	−22%	−48%	+5%	+8%
Left side	+64%	−69%	−10%	+15%
Centre	+115%	−49%	+13%	−34%
Right side	+78%	−50%	−14%	+19%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdHibernian concededLeft side+64%+19%Centre+115%−34%Right side+78%+15%Open play+100%−14%Counter-attacks+706%−70%Set pieces+21%+13%Headers−22%+8%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdCeltic concededLeft side−10%−50%Centre+13%−49%Right side−14%−69%Open play+1%−64%Counter-attacks−37%−100%Set pieces+1%−29%Headers+5%−48%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticHibernian

2.48xG1.38

0.76xG against1.29

70%Possession46%

19.1Shots11.1

7.0Shots against13.6

8.1Shots on target3.9

3.6Big chances1.5

622Passes338

87%Pass accuracy67%

6.1Corners5.1

80%Field tilt38%

74.7Final-third entries30.1

19.4Box entries9.6

9.9Passes per defensive action15.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	37	2.27	0.85
Ahead	50	2.64	0.74
Behind	3	2.57	0.00

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	48	1.40	1.31
Ahead	34	1.48	1.35
Behind	8	0.80	1.00

xG by period

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.24	0.19	2–1
16–30	0.35	0.32	5–2
31–45	0.48	0.05	3–1
46–60	0.37	0.06	4–0
61–75	0.66	0.07	3–0
76–90	0.37	0.06	3–1

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.21	0.18	2–0
16–30	0.21	0.14	3–0
31–45	0.31	0.34	3–3
46–60	0.09	0.24	1–2
61–75	0.27	0.10	2–0
76–90	0.29	0.30	2–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (4), 3-5-2 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1)

Hibernian

Formations: 4-4-2 (5), 3-5-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Key players

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Christie	6	549	2	3	0.34	0.32
Forrest	5	484	2	1	0.28	0.23
Taylor	6	493	0	3	0.01	0.44
McGregor	7	618	1	2	0.06	0.22

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Nisbet	6	526	4	1	0.72	0.06
Boyle	8	717	3	3	0.24	0.15
Doidge	7	650	3	0	0.31	0.04
Newell	8	655	1	1	0.03	0.21

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.