Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Ross County 1–1 Aberdeen

Tuesday 1 February 2022, 19:45 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 22 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Alan James Muir · Attendance 3,343

Ross County Callachan 53'

Aberdeen Hayes 48'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyAberdeen
Goals11
xG0.320.74
Expected Points0.871.67

Ross County 14%Draw 46%Aberdeen 40%

Most likely score 0–0, 36%. Final score 1–1, 10%.

Aberdeen goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+25%9%2%11%10%3%1%1%36%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTRandall on for Ramsay, 46'Paton on for Hungbo, 66'Jenks on for McGeouch, 69'MacKenzie on for Ojo, 81'Callachan 53'Hayes 48'Aberdeen 0.74Ross County 0.3200.250.50.7510153045607590HTRandall on for Ramsay, 46'Paton on for Hungbo, 66'Jenks on for McGeouch, 69'MacKenzie on for Ojo, 81'Callachan 53'Hayes 48'0.740.32Ross CountyAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyAberdeen

0.32 −0.83xG0.74 −0.37
0.48 −0.81xG on target0.62 −0.52
5 −6Shots19 +6
2 −2.1Shots on target7 +2.7
0 −1.6Big chances0 −1.2
7 −10Touches in the opposition box11 −8
38% −4Possession62% +4
250 −58Passes405 −68
56% −9Pass accuracy73% −5
36% −4Field tilt64% +6
19 −10Final-third entries43 +3
5 −3.3Box entries6 −3.5
15.1 −2Passes per defensive action10.4 −4
2 −2.0Corners5 −0.2
8 −5Tackles7 −5
8 −2.3Interceptions4 −4.0
19 −8Clearances15 −2
6 +2.3Saves1 −0.3
22 +10Fouls21 +9
1 −1.2Offsides3 +1.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

White 35', 0.11 xGPaton 85', 0.08 xGCharles-Cook 53', 0.05 xGTillson 62', 0.04 xGCallachan 53', 0.04 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals25%0.08 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals47%0.15 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals28%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Ojo 80', 0.12 xGFerguson 57', 0.06 xGOjo 61', 0.05 xGMcGeouch 16', 0.04 xGRamsay 19', 0.04 xGFerguson 61', 0.04 xGRamirez 79', 0.04 xGRamirez 90+1', 0.04 xGFerguson 4', 0.03 xGBrown 66', 0.03 xGJenks 74', 0.03 xGHayes 78', 0.03 xGOjo 28', 0.02 xGFerguson 31', 0.02 xGFerguson 37', 0.02 xGOjo 47', 0.02 xGBesuijen 50', 0.02 xGHayes 74', 0.02 xGHayes 48', 0.08 xG, goal16%0.12 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.12 xG, 0 goals15%0.11 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals22%0.16 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.16 xG, 1 goal41%0.30 xGEdge of the box: 8 shots, 0.30 xG, 0 goals7%0.05 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyAberdeen

0.32 5 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.35 12 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.05 1 shot, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.33 6 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
86 min (95%) · Ross County 0.23, Aberdeen 0.72 xG
Aberdeen ahead
5 min (5%) · Ross County 0.09, Aberdeen 0.03 xG

Line-ups

1191516317228231026LaidlawRamsayWatsonIacovittiVokinsCharles-CookTillsonCallachanHungboD. SamuelWhiteYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow cardYellow card46'66'Ross County 4-4-2Malky Mackay122227178151019169LewisRamsayMcCrorieBatesHayesBrownMcGeouchBesuijenFergusonOjoRamirezGoalYellow cardYellow cardYellow card69'81'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Stephen Glass

Ross County substitutes

  • 46' Randall for Ramsay
  • 66' Paton for Hungbo · yellow card 70'

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 69' Jenks for McGeouch
  • 81' MacKenzie for Ojo

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0200.0852
RamsayRB460.000.0000.0213
WatsonCB900.000.0000.0339
IacovittiCB900.000.0300.0327
VokinsLB900.000.0100.0143
Charles-Cook RM900.050.0200.0631
Tillson CM900.040.0100.0114
CallachanCM9010.040.0510.0852
Hungbo LM660.000.010−0.0222
D. Samuel ST900.000.0000.0012
WhiteST900.110.010−0.0303
RandallMF440.000.0310.0712
Paton MF240.080.0000.0110

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LewisGK900.000.0000.0330
RamsayRB900.040.1330.3065
McCrorieCB900.000.0000.0421
BatesCB900.000.0210.1064
Hayes LB9010.130.0720.0664
Brown DM9010.030.0220.0722
McGeouchDM690.040.0210.0633
BesuijenRW900.020.0100.0141
Ferguson AM900.170.0410.1074
OjoLW810.210.021−0.1052
RamirezST900.070.0320.0100
JenksFW210.030.0110.0300
MacKenzieDF90.000.000−0.0101

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Laidlaw and Watson: 3 passesLaidlaw and White: 3 passesWatson and Hungbo: 3 passesWatson and D. Samuel: 3 passesIacovitti and Callachan: 3 passesCharles-Cook and Callachan: 3 passesTillson and Hungbo: 3 passesLaidlaw and Vokins: 4 passesCallachan and D. Samuel: 4 passesRamsay and Tillson: 5 passesWatson and Iacovitti: 5 passesVokins and Hungbo: 5 passesCallachan and White: 5 passesRamsay and Watson: 6 passesVokins and Tillson: 6 passesCallachan and Hungbo: 7 passesLaidlaw: 12 completed passesRamsay: 9 completed passesWatson: 15 completed passesIacovitti: 8 completed passesVokins: 15 completed passesCharles-Cook: 5 completed passesTillson: 9 completed passesCallachan: 14 completed passesHungbo: 8 completed passesD. Samuel: 6 completed passesWhite: 6 completed passes1191516317228231026LaidlawRamsayWatsonIacovittiVokinsCharles-CookTillsonCallachanHungboD. SamuelWhiteStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Aberdeen

Hayes and Ramirez: 4 passesFerguson and Ramirez: 4 passesLewis and Bates: 5 passesBates and Ferguson: 5 passesBrown and Ferguson: 5 passesBrown and Ramirez: 5 passesMcGeouch and Ferguson: 5 passesRamsay and Brown: 6 passesRamsay and Besuijen: 6 passesOjo and Ramirez: 6 passesMcCrorie and Bates: 7 passesMcGeouch and Ojo: 7 passesBesuijen and Ferguson: 7 passesMcCrorie and Brown: 8 passesBates and Hayes: 8 passesHayes and Ferguson: 8 passesBrown and McGeouch: 8 passesRamsay and McGeouch: 9 passesRamsay and Ojo: 9 passesBates and Brown: 9 passesBates and McGeouch: 9 passesHayes and Ojo: 9 passesRamsay and McCrorie: 10 passesRamsay and Ferguson: 10 passesMcCrorie and McGeouch: 10 passesHayes and McGeouch: 10 passesLewis: 13 completed passesRamsay: 24 completed passesMcCrorie: 23 completed passesBates: 27 completed passesHayes: 25 completed passesBrown: 26 completed passesMcGeouch: 35 completed passesBesuijen: 13 completed passesFerguson: 19 completed passesOjo: 18 completed passesRamirez: 10 completed passes122227178151019169LewisRamsayMcCrorieBatesHayesBrownMcGeouchBesuijenFergusonOjoRamirezStarters until 69' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
LaidlawWhite9
CallachanHungbo7
RamsayTillson4
WhiteCallachan4
CallachanD. Samuel4

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
McCrorieRamsay10
RamsayFerguson9
FergusonRamsay8
OjoRamsay8
BatesHayes8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

6+0.83−2.910−6.47−0.67+0.610+2.26−1.93−3.68−0.717+8.31−4.33−1.55+1.64−0.91−5.51−3.24+1.34+1.32−1.13−0.63+1.02−0.11+0.30−1.50−1.71+0.10−0.11+0.30−0.31+0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 23 matches

Aberdeen

5−0.68+3.26+1.070.09+3.95+0.37+0.36−2.23−1.37+3.960.03−2.73−0.63−0.21−1.30−2.83−1.61−1.44+3.00−1.13+1.71−1.51+0.40−0.12+1.31+0.80−0.61−3.97−4.12−4.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 22 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.050.010.030.020.010.020.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.010.030.04−0.010.03−0.01−0.02−0.010.07LessMore

Aberdeen

0.020.030.010.030.010.030.010.050.030.050.030.020.050.030.010.04−0.010.05−0.13−0.010.30LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackRoss County1.09 → 1.06Aberdeen1.10 → 1.06Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.48 → 1.46Aberdeen0.95 → 0.95

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six4%3%−1
11th17%17%0
Bottom7%7%0
Aberdeen
Top six76%73%−3
11th<1%<1%0
St. Johnstone
11th35%35%0
Bottom41%41%0
Dundee FC
11th31%32%+1
Bottom47%47%0

From the forecast before the match (1 February 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyAberdeen
Expected goals1.041.31
Win29%42%
Expected Points1.161.55
Clean sheet27%35%

Ross County 29%Draw 29%Aberdeen 42%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 48%.

Aberdeen goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+8%4%1%9%9%4%1%5%7%4%2%2%2%2%10%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 1 February 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawAberdeen win
Ross County
Top six4%9%3%2%
11th17%11%17%20%
Bottom7%4%7%10%
Aberdeen
Top six76%65%73%85%
11th<1%1%<1%<1%
St. Johnstone
11th35%38%35%34%
Bottom41%42%41%40%
Dundee FC
11th31%32%32%31%
Bottom47%50%47%46%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. D3–329 JanRangers (H)xG 1.63–3.20
  2. L1–226 JanDundee United (A)xG 1.19–2.96
  3. W3–118 JanMotherwell (H)xG 1.20–0.59
  4. L1–226 DecHearts (A)xG 1.00–1.73
  5. W2–122 DecSt. Johnstone (A)xG 2.15–0.32
  6. D1–118 DecLivingston (A)xG 0.57–1.00

Aberdeen

  1. L0–125 JanSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.47–0.13
  2. D1–118 JanRangers (H)xG 1.49–1.03
  3. W2–126 DecDundee FC (H)xG 1.12–0.12
  4. L0–122 DecHibernian (A)xG 0.70–0.41
  5. W1–011 DecSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.77–0.21
  6. W4–14 DecSt. Mirren (H)xG 4.40–0.95

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyAberdeen
Position10th6th
Played2322
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠7–⁠118–⁠4–⁠10
Points22 (0.96 per game)28 (1.27 per game)
Expected Points per game1.181.47
Goals34–⁠4126–⁠26
xG per game1.15–⁠1.531.11–⁠0.85
Home: points, xG per game1.18, 1.35–⁠1.461.82, 1.38–⁠0.67
Away: points, xG per game0.75, 0.97–⁠1.580.73, 0.83–⁠1.04
ManagerMalky Mackay (23)Stephen Glass (27)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackRoss County1.09, 6thAberdeen1.10, 5thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.48, 12thAberdeen0.95, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanRoss County attack: 1.09Aberdeen attack: 1.101.101.09AberdeenRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanRoss County defence: 1.48Aberdeen defence: 0.951.480.95

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−7%+25%−11%−42%
Counter-attacks−53%+50%−56%−17%
Set pieces−17%+44%+13%−10%
Penalties+64%−34%−31%+3%
Headers−40%+66%+12%−20%
Left side−10%+56%−18%−31%
Centre−18%+26%−9%−37%
Right side−2%+15%+7%−25%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdAberdeen concededLeft side−10%−25%Centre−18%−37%Right side−2%−31%Open play−7%−42%Counter-attacks−53%−17%Set pieces−17%−10%Headers−40%−20%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdRoss County concededLeft side−18%+15%Centre−9%+26%Right side+7%+56%Open play−11%+25%Counter-attacks−56%+50%Set pieces+13%+44%Headers+12%+66%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyAberdeen

1.15xG1.11
1.53xG against0.85
42%Possession58%
10.5Shots13.3
15.9Shots against8.0
4.1Shots on target4.3
1.6Big chances1.2
17.2Touches in the opposition box18.7
308Passes473
65%Pass accuracy77%
4.0Corners5.2
39%Field tilt59%
28.5Final-third entries40.0
8.3Box entries9.5
17.1Passes per defensive action14.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level460.911.51
Ahead151.491.55
Behind291.341.53

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level490.860.92
Ahead191.330.86
Behind221.450.71

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.203–7
16–300.250.216–7
31–450.170.229–8
46–600.070.232–6
61–750.220.328–5
76–900.350.356–8

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.114–3
16–300.170.135–4
31–450.170.153–4
46–600.140.174–7
61–750.280.097–4
76–900.160.203–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMaynard-Brewer 17Laidlaw 6Clarke 10Randall 8Burroughs 2Baldwin 15Clarke 5Watson 4Iacovitti 17H. Paton 1Burroughs 1Vokins 8Randall 5B. Paton 5Tillson 12Spittal 8Callachan 6H. Paton 10Cancola 9Charles-Cook 1Hungbo 10Charles-Cook 4Spittal 3Callachan 12Tillson 3H. Paton 3Charles-Cook 15Spittal 5Hungbo 2White 16Samuel 3A. Samuel 24-2-3-1 in 12 of 23 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (12), 4-4-2 (2), 4-5-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLewis 20Woods 2Ramsay 12Ojo 7Gurr 3McCrorie 16Gallagher 7Brown 4Bates 14Considine 2MacKenzie 1Hayes 8MacKenzie 7Campbell 6Ferguson 17McGeouch 6Ojo 3Brown 10Longstaff 3Hedges 1Hedges 9Ojo 6Bates 2Jenks 5Brown 5Hedges 5Watkins 8Hayes 4Ramirez 3Ramirez 17Watkins 3Emmanuel-Thomas 24-2-3-1 in 6 of 22 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-3-3 (6), 3-4-1-2 (3), 4-4-1-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
29 August 2021Aberdeen1–1Ross CountyxG 2.94–1.15
16 January 2021Ross County4–1AberdeenxG 0.95–2.28
12 December 2020Aberdeen2–0Ross CountyxG 1.19–0.80
27 September 2020Ross County0–3AberdeenxG 0.46–3.26

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 1, Aberdeen won 2, and 1 was a draw. Goals 5–7 and xG 0.84–2.42 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Samuel6704100.350.05
Charles-Cook221,7871020.220.11
Hungbo121,083230.160.15
Spittal181,599410.130.16

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Watkins11967300.380.09
Ramirez211,849830.250.05
Ferguson201,791510.210.08
Jenks6578220.150.13

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.