Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Celtic 1–0 Aberdeen

Wednesday 17 February 2021, 18:00 · Celtic Park · Round 4 · Half-time 1–0

Celtic Turnbull 14'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticAberdeen
Goals10
xG0.980.43
Expected Points1.830.79

Celtic 49%Draw 37%Aberdeen 14%

Most likely score 1–0, 27%. Final score 1–0, 27%.

Aberdeen goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+9%2%13%2%12%5%1%3%1%23%27%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTRogic on for Ajeti, 62'Brown on for Soro, 72'Klimala on for Edouard and Elyounoussi on for Turnbull, 81'McLennan on for Hayes, 62'Hendry on for Hornby and McGinn on for Kennedy, 77'McGeouch on for Campbell, 82'Turnbull 14'Celtic 0.98Aberdeen 0.4300.511.50153045607590HTRogic on for Ajeti, 62'Brown on for Soro, 72'Klimala on for Edouard and Elyounoussi on for Turnbull, 81'McLennan on for Hayes, 62'Hendry on for Hornby and McGinn on for Kennedy, 77'McGeouch on for Campbell, 82'Turnbull 14'0.980.43CelticAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticAberdeen

0.98 −0.99xG0.43 −0.80
0.75 −1.43xG on target0.05 −1.13
12 −6Shots10 −2
3 −3.6Shots on target2 −1.6
1 −1.6Big chances0 −1.4
18 −11Touches in the opposition box24 +4
65% −1Possession35% −17
622 +41Passes320 −89
87% +3Pass accuracy73% +2
80% +7Field tilt20% −33
64 −2Final-third entries27 −9
12 −5.1Box entries9 −0.9
13.1 +3.3Passes per defensive action24.4 +10.8
4 −2.0Corners6 +1.5
12 −1Tackles16 +4
8 −2Interceptions6 −4
23 +7Clearances14 −6
2 +0.5Saves2 0.0
12 0Fouls18 +4
1 −0.2Offsides2 +0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Klimala 89', 0.42 xGTurnbull 54', 0.11 xGEdouard 2', 0.06 xGTurnbull 32', 0.06 xGEdouard 13', 0.05 xGEdouard 44', 0.05 xGTurnbull 45+2', 0.05 xGChristie 76', 0.05 xGTaylor 9', 0.04 xGChristie 81', 0.04 xGMcGregor 33', 0.03 xGTurnbull 14', 0.03 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals59%0.58 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.58 xG, 0 goals14%0.14 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals12%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals14%0.14 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.14 xG, 1 goal

Aberdeen

Hendry 90+1', 0.07 xGKamberi 71', 0.05 xGFerguson 90+1', 0.05 xGConsidine 90+2', 0.05 xGKamberi 11', 0.04 xGHornby 61', 0.04 xGTaylor 65', 0.04 xGKamberi 40', 0.03 xGKamberi 46', 0.03 xGHornby 65', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals65%0.28 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.28 xG, 0 goals12%0.05 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals16%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals7%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticAberdeen

0.83 9 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.27 6 shots, 0 goals
0.14 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.16 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
14 min (15%) · Celtic 0.17, Aberdeen 0.04 xG
Celtic ahead
80 min (85%) · Celtic 0.80, Aberdeen 0.39 xG

Line-ups

291657353121714422210BainKennyWelshAjerTaylorSoroChristieTurnbullMcGregorEdouardAjetiGoal72'81'81'62'Celtic 4-1-3-2Neil Lennon131443340192417722LewisHobanTaylorConsidineKennedyMcCrorieFergusonCampbellHayesHornbyKamberiYellow card77'82'62'77'Aberdeen 3-5-2Derek McInnes

Celtic substitutes

  • 62' Rogic for Ajeti
  • 72' Brown for Soro
  • 81' Elyounoussi for Turnbull
  • 81' Klimala for Edouard

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 62' McLennan for Hayes
  • 77' McGinn for Kennedy
  • 77' Hendry for Hornby · yellow card 83'
  • 82' McGeouch for Campbell

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BainGK900.000.0000.0440
KennyRB900.000.0100.0253
WelshCB900.000.0100.0533
AjerCB900.000.0500.14813
TaylorLB900.040.0410.13125
SoroDM720.000.0300.07106
ChristieCM900.090.3310.0637
TurnbullAM8110.240.1610.2771
McGregorCM9010.030.3430.28162
EdouardST810.150.101−0.0121
AjetiST620.000.010−0.0400
RogicFW280.000.0110.0320
BrownMF180.000.0100.0225
ElyounoussiFW90.000.0000.0000
KlimalaFW90.420.000−0.0100

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LewisGK900.000.0000.0570
HobanCB900.000.0000.0469
TaylorCB900.040.0710.0937
ConsidineCB900.050.0510.0745
KennedyRWB770.000.1110.2293
McCrorieCM900.000.0800.0434
Ferguson CM900.050.123−0.0215
CampbellCM820.000.0410.0014
HayesLWB620.000.0100.0321
HornbyST770.080.000−0.0101
KamberiST900.150.011−0.0742
McLennanMF280.000.0500.1240
McGinnMF130.000.0410.0110
Hendry FW130.070.0000.0000
McGeouchMF80.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Welsh and Christie: 6 passesWelsh and McGregor: 6 passesBain and Ajer: 7 passesAjer and Turnbull: 7 passesSoro and Turnbull: 7 passesChristie and Turnbull: 7 passesMcGregor and Ajeti: 8 passesKenny and Christie: 9 passesTaylor and Edouard: 9 passesTaylor and Ajeti: 9 passesSoro and Christie: 9 passesTaylor and Turnbull: 10 passesChristie and McGregor: 11 passesAjer and Soro: 12 passesBain and Welsh: 13 passesTurnbull and Edouard: 13 passesMcGregor and Edouard: 13 passesAjer and Taylor: 14 passesKenny and Welsh: 15 passesSoro and McGregor: 16 passesKenny and Soro: 18 passesAjer and McGregor: 21 passesWelsh and Soro: 26 passesTurnbull and McGregor: 29 passesTaylor and McGregor: 30 passesAjer and Welsh: 43 passesBain: 20 completed passesKenny: 32 completed passesAjer: 58 completed passesWelsh: 60 completed passesTaylor: 38 completed passesSoro: 51 completed passesChristie: 26 completed passesTurnbull: 39 completed passesMcGregor: 67 completed passesEdouard: 23 completed passesAjeti: 17 completed passes291635573121714422210BainKennyAjerWelshTaylorSoroChristieTurnbullMcGregorEdouardAjetiStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Aberdeen

Taylor and Ferguson: 4 passesTaylor and Campbell: 4 passesMcCrorie and Kamberi: 4 passesFerguson and Campbell: 4 passesFerguson and Kamberi: 4 passesFerguson and Hornby: 4 passesCampbell and Hornby: 4 passesLewis and Hornby: 5 passesTaylor and Considine: 5 passesConsidine and Ferguson: 5 passesConsidine and Campbell: 5 passesConsidine and Kamberi: 5 passesKennedy and Ferguson: 5 passesHoban and Taylor: 6 passesHayes and Hornby: 6 passesMcCrorie and Hornby: 6 passesCampbell and Kamberi: 6 passesConsidine and Hayes: 7 passesKennedy and Kamberi: 7 passesKennedy and Hornby: 8 passesHayes and Kamberi: 8 passesHayes and Ferguson: 9 passesHayes and Campbell: 15 passesLewis: 8 completed passesHoban: 11 completed passesTaylor: 19 completed passesConsidine: 18 completed passesKennedy: 16 completed passesHayes: 27 completed passesMcCrorie: 11 completed passesFerguson: 21 completed passesCampbell: 20 completed passesKamberi: 14 completed passesHornby: 17 completed passes131443317401924227LewisHobanTaylorConsidineKennedyHayesMcCrorieFergusonCampbellKamberiHornbyStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
AjerWelsh24
McGregorTaylor23
WelshAjer23
TaylorMcGregor19
McGregorTurnbull18

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
HayesCampbell8
CampbellHayes7
TaylorHoban6
LewisHornby6
HayesFerguson6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

4−0.58+3.417+7.340.03−1.95−2.87+1.02−2.57−0.39+0.98+2.26+0.65+1.27+2.43−3.45+1.04−0.11−2.54−0.42−2.10−2.10−2.04+1.92−0.51−1.60−0.40−0.52+1.31+0.40−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 28 matches

Aberdeen

0−4.613+7.28−3.32−4.56+1.17+0.23−3.215+8.77−0.73−4.36+0.64−1.16+1.910+4.04−3.01−2.53−0.53+0.55+0.53−1.82+0.42+0.52+1.11−1.01−2.10−0.80−0.51+0.10−0.51+0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 28 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.010.010.010.020.030.040.010.020.040.040.040.040.040.050.040.080.07−0.02−0.020.070.08−0.010.020.070.26LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.020.020.010.010.020.010.020.010.020.010.030.030.010.080.05−0.100.01−0.010.170.14LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.19AttackCeltic1.85 → 1.81Aberdeen1.09 → 1.07Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.81 → 0.79Aberdeen1.04 → 1.01

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticAberdeen
Expected goals1.660.78
Win58%17%
Expected Points1.990.76
Clean sheet46%19%

Celtic 58%Draw 25%Aberdeen 17%

Most likely score 1–0, 14%. Both sides score 44%.

Aberdeen goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+9%6%3%4%1%9%4%7%5%2%3%2%14%12%12%

From the forecast as it stood on 17 February 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Celtic

  1. W2–114 FebSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.44–0.30
  2. W4–010 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.57–0.57
  3. W2–16 FebMotherwell (H)xG 1.57–0.42
  4. W4–02 FebKilmarnock (A)xG 2.13–1.87
  5. L1–230 JanSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.61–1.03
  6. W2–027 JanHamilton Academical (H)xG 2.23–0.58

Aberdeen

  1. D0–013 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.51–0.66
  2. L0–26 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.54–2.26
  3. L0–22 FebLivingston (H)xG 0.36–0.56
  4. D0–030 JanLivingston (A)xG 1.38–0.98
  5. D0–027 JanSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.10–0.36
  6. W2–023 JanMotherwell (H)xG 3.10–0.47

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticAberdeen
Position2nd4th
Played2828
Won, drawn, lost18–⁠7–⁠312–⁠9–⁠7
Points61 (2.18 per game)45 (1.61 per game)
Expected Points per game1.971.52
Goals63–⁠2231–⁠28
xG per game1.97–⁠0.951.23–⁠1.00
Home: points, xG per game2.14, 1.80–⁠0.901.80, 1.26–⁠1.05
Away: points, xG per game2.21, 2.13–⁠1.001.38, 1.19–⁠0.93
ManagerNeil Lennon (28)Derek McInnes (28)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.19AttackCeltic1.85, 2ndAberdeen1.09, 5thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.81, 2ndAberdeen1.04, 4th

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0SepOctNovDecJanFebCeltic attack: 1.85Aberdeen attack: 1.091.851.09AberdeenCelticDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0SepOctNovDecJanFebCeltic defence: 0.81Aberdeen defence: 1.041.040.81

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+71%−38%−13%−26%
Counter-attacks+131%−65%+25%−31%
Set pieces+11%−1%−2%−36%
Penalties+43%+2%+43%+43%
Headers−6%−19%−6%−42%
Left side+60%−21%−5%−18%
Centre+51%−26%−8%−45%
Right side+63%−41%−13%−12%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdAberdeen concededLeft side+60%−12%Centre+51%−45%Right side+63%−18%Open play+71%−26%Counter-attacks+131%−31%Set pieces+11%−36%Headers−6%−42%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdCeltic concededLeft side−5%−41%Centre−8%−26%Right side−13%−21%Open play−13%−38%Counter-attacks+25%−65%Set pieces−2%−1%Headers−6%−19%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticAberdeen

1.97xG1.23
0.95xG against1.00
66%Possession52%
17.9Shots11.5
8.5Shots against9.6
6.6Shots on target3.6
2.6Big chances1.4
29.4Touches in the opposition box20.3
581Passes409
84%Pass accuracy72%
6.0Corners4.5
73%Field tilt54%
65.5Final-third entries36.4
17.1Box entries9.9
9.8Passes per defensive action13.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.680.95
Ahead392.301.03
Behind101.850.63

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.240.93
Ahead241.351.12
Behind201.080.99

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.210.136–3
16–300.260.1411–3
31–450.340.097–3
46–600.420.1912–5
61–750.340.208–4
76–900.400.2019–4

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.280.125–5
16–300.120.214–6
31–450.230.157–4
46–600.190.156–6
61–750.150.143–3
76–900.260.216–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBarkas 13Bain 10Hazard 5Frimpong 14Ajer 4Kenny 4Duffy 13Bitton 9Jullien 9Ajer 20Taylor 14Laxalt 9Edouard 2Soro 9Brown 8Christie 4McGregor 26Turnbull 3Rogic 2Christie 9Frimpong 4Brown 3Turnbull 9Rogic 4Ntcham 4Edouard 10Elyounoussi 8Taylor 3Ajeti 7Griffiths 7Edouard 54-2-3-1 in 12 of 28 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (12), 4-1-3-2 (4), 3-5-2 (4), 4-1-2-1-2 (3), 4-4-2 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTLewis 28Hoban 24Hayes 3McCrorie 3Taylor 25McKenna 4Considine 25Kennedy 7Hedges 7McLennan 4Ferguson 21Kennedy 2Wright 1McCrorie 15Campbell 5Ojo 5Hayes 16Kennedy 6Leigh 5Hedges 12McGinn 4Ferguson 3Wright 12Kennedy 4Watkins 4Main 7Cosgrove 6Watkins 43-4-2-1 in 9 of 28 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (9), 3-4-1-2 (8), 3-4-3 (5), 3-5-1-1 (2), 4-4-1-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
25 October 2020Aberdeen3–3CelticxG 2.76–2.04

1 league meeting since 2020/21: Celtic won 0, Aberdeen won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 3–3 and xG 2.04–2.76 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Edouard181,5631520.880.16
Griffiths7627520.490.17
Turnbull151,252550.240.39
Elyounoussi141,163720.490.11

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Main8709200.390.09
Watkins9732210.330.07
Wright141,132210.220.16
Cosgrove9853300.330.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.