Matches › 2021/22

St. Mirren 1–0 Aberdeen

Tuesday 25 January 2022, 19:45 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 23 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Grant Irvine · Attendance 4,829

St. Mirren Ronan 61'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	St. Mirren	Aberdeen
Goals	1	0
xG	0.13	0.47
Expected Points	0.83	1.55

St. Mirren 7%Draw 62%Aberdeen 31%

Most likely score 0–0, 58%. Final score 1–0, 6%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenAberdeen

0.13 −0.85xG0.47 −0.67

0.28 −0.60xG on target0.00 −1.19

4 −8Shots11 −2

1 −3.2Shots on target0 −4.5

0 −0.9Big chances0 −1.2

13 −5Touches in the opposition box14 −5

32% −15Possession68% +10

277 −64Passes608 +142

62% −4Pass accuracy81% +4

37% −6Field tilt63% +4

27 −3Final-third entries56 +17

7 −2.5Box entries9 −0.5

18.4 +4Passes per defensive action12.4 −2

4 −1.6Corners4 −1.2

16 +3Tackles13 +1

9 −0.6Interceptions6 −2.1

18 −1Clearances14 −4

0 −4.0Saves0 −1.3

8 −3Fouls13 +1

3 +0.1Offsides2 +0.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

St. Mirren

Aberdeen

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenAberdeen

0.05 2 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.36 8 shots, 0 goals

0.08 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.11 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–0

Level: 61 min (66%) · St. Mirren 0.13, Aberdeen 0.47 xG
St. Mirren ahead: 31 min (34%) · St. Mirren 0.00, Aberdeen 0.00 xG

Line-ups

St. Mirren substitutes

72' Greive for Brophy
78' Erhahon for Ronan

Aberdeen substitutes

62' Emmanuel-Thomas for Hedges
73' McLennan for Jenks
78' Kennedy for Ramsay

Players

St. Mirren

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Alnwick	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	4	1
Fraser	RB	90			0.05	0.00	0	0.02	1	3
Shaughnessy	CB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.03	1	11
Dunne	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	6
Tanser	LB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.09	7	6
Power	DM	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.03	4	6
Ronan	DM	78	1		0.03	0.01	1	0.00	2	1
Henderson	RW	90			0.03	0.03	0	0.07	5	1
Kiltie	AM	90		1	0.02	0.03	1	0.02	2	3
McGrath	LW	90			0.00	0.05	1	0.03	6	5
Brophy	ST	72			0.00	0.00	0	−0.02	0	3
Greive	FW	18			0.00	0.00	0	0.04	1	0
Erhahon	MF	12			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Aberdeen

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Lewis	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	0
Ramsay	RB	78	0.00	0.15	2	0.05	7	5
McCrorie	CB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.12	11	5
Bates	CB	90	0.04	0.01	0	0.04	11	7
Campbell	LB	90	0.00	0.01	2	0.02	4	5
Brown	DM	90	0.17	0.04	1	0.06	5	3
Ferguson	DM	90	0.05	0.22	1	0.18	17	1
Hedges	RW	62	0.02	0.08	4	0.04	5	2
Jenks	AM	73	0.03	0.02	0	0.00	2	0
Ojo	LW	90	0.02	0.02	0	0.00	5	3
Ramirez	ST	90	0.14	0.02	0	0.01	1	1
Emmanuel-Thomas	FW	28	0.00	0.00	0	−0.03	0	1
McLennan	MF	17	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	0
Kennedy	MF	12	0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Aberdeen

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

From	To	Passes
McGrath	Tanser	9
Fraser	Henderson	9
Henderson	Fraser	7
Fraser	Ronan	7
Ronan	Fraser	6

Aberdeen

From	To	Passes
Bates	Ferguson	20
Lewis	Bates	15
McCrorie	Bates	15
Ferguson	Bates	15
Campbell	Bates	14

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

Against its average of 21 matches

Aberdeen

Against its average of 21 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

Aberdeen

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
St. Mirren
Top six	8%	17%	+9
11th	11%	6%	−5
Bottom	4%	2%	−2
Aberdeen
Top six	87%	77%	−10
Dundee United
Top six	15%	18%	+3
11th	7%	8%	+1
Bottom	2%	2%	0

From the forecast before the match (25 January 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	St. Mirren	Aberdeen
Expected goals	0.91	1.21
Win	27%	42%
Expected Points	1.12	1.57
Clean sheet	30%	40%

St. Mirren 27%Draw 31%Aberdeen 42%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 43%.

From the forecast as it stood on 25 January 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	St. Mirren win	Draw	Aberdeen win
St. Mirren
Top six	8%	17%	7%	4%
11th	11%	6%	10%	14%
Bottom	4%	2%	4%	6%
Aberdeen
Top six	87%	77%	87%	93%
Dundee United
Top six	15%	18%	15%	14%
11th	7%	8%	7%	7%
Bottom	2%	2%	3%	2%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

Aberdeen

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	St. Mirren	Aberdeen
Position	9th	6th
Played	21	21
Won, drawn, lost	4–⁠10–⁠7	8–⁠4–⁠9
Points	22 (1.05 per game)	28 (1.33 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.12	1.47
Goals	20–⁠32	26–⁠25
xG per game	0.98–⁠1.58	1.14–⁠0.89
Home: points, xG per game	0.90, 0.92–⁠1.13	1.82, 1.38–⁠0.67
Away: points, xG per game	1.18, 1.04–⁠1.99	0.80, 0.86–⁠1.13
Manager	Jim Goodwin (59)	Stephen Glass (26)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	St. Mirren		Aberdeen
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−36%	+44%	−9%	−40%
Counter-attacks	−1%	+1%	−52%	−10%
Set pieces	+28%	+12%	+18%	−5%
Penalties	−29%	+6%	−29%	+6%
Headers	+27%	+6%	+17%	−17%
Left side	−15%	+46%	−14%	−27%
Centre	−11%	+29%	−6%	−35%
Right side	−33%	+28%	+9%	−20%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdAberdeen concededLeft side−15%−20%Centre−11%−35%Right side−33%−27%Open play−36%−40%Counter-attacks−1%−10%Set pieces+28%−5%Headers+27%−17%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−14%+28%Centre−6%+29%Right side+9%+46%Open play−9%+44%Counter-attacks−52%+1%Set pieces+18%+12%Headers+17%+6%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenAberdeen

0.98xG1.14

1.58xG against0.89

47%Possession58%

11.8Shots13.4

15.7Shots against8.1

4.2Shots on target4.5

0.9Big chances1.2

18.2Touches in the opposition box19.0

342Passes466

67%Pass accuracy77%

5.6Corners5.2

43%Field tilt58%

30.1Final-third entries39.3

9.5Box entries9.5

14.4Passes per defensive action14.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	45	1.01	1.27
Ahead	17	1.13	1.74
Behind	28	0.85	2.00

Aberdeen

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	48	0.87	0.96
Ahead	20	1.33	0.86
Behind	22	1.54	0.76

xG by period

St. Mirren

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.07	0.23	5–4
16–30	0.11	0.20	1–6
31–45	0.14	0.30	4–7
46–60	0.24	0.29	3–5
61–75	0.14	0.39	3–8
76–90	0.28	0.17	4–2

Aberdeen

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.19	0.11	4–3
16–30	0.17	0.14	5–4
31–45	0.17	0.15	3–4
46–60	0.14	0.18	4–7
61–75	0.30	0.10	7–3
76–90	0.17	0.21	3–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (6), 3-4-1-2 (6), 3-1-4-2 (4), 3-5-1-1 (2), 5-4-1 (2), 4-4-2 (1)

Aberdeen

Formations: 4-3-3 (6), 4-2-3-1 (5), 3-4-1-2 (3), 4-4-1-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
4 December 2021	Aberdeen	4–1	St. Mirren	xG 4.40–0.95
26 September 2021	St. Mirren	3–2	Aberdeen	xG 1.50–1.11
13 February 2021	Aberdeen	0–0	St. Mirren	xG 0.51–0.66
5 December 2020	St. Mirren	1–1	Aberdeen	xG 2.58–0.39
2 October 2020	Aberdeen	2–1	St. Mirren	xG 0.92–0.48

5 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 1, Aberdeen won 2, and 2 were drawn. Goals 6–9 and xG 1.23–1.47 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Brophy	16	1,345	6	0	0.33	0.01
Tait	6	644	0	1	0.20	0.12
Tanser	21	1,762	2	4	0.07	0.24
McGrath	17	1,498	2	1	0.11	0.16

Aberdeen

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Watkins	11	967	3	0	0.38	0.09
Jenks	5	505	2	2	0.17	0.14
Ramirez	20	1,759	8	3	0.25	0.05
Ferguson	19	1,701	5	1	0.22	0.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.