Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Aberdeen 0–1 St. Johnstone

Sunday 11 October 2026, 14:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 8 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Ryan Lee · Attendance 16,706

St. Johnstone Fowler 14' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenSt. Johnstone
Goals01
xG1.231.10
Non-penalty xG1.230.31
Expected Points1.371.28

Aberdeen 34%Draw 35%St. Johnstone 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 25%. Final score 0–1, 16%.

St. Johnstone goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+4%16%5%6%7%3%14%5%1%5%2%1%25%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTSmith on for Mouloua, 35'Armstrong on for Marshall and Yogane on for Ronan, 59'Mahou on for Guinness-Walker, 68'Aremu on for Cadden, 90'Cotterill on for Paton, 58'Steven on for Todd, 67'Campbell on for Fowler and Gullan on for Stanton, 78'Mikulić on for Finlayson, 90+1'Fowler 14' (pen)Aberdeen 1.23St. Johnstone 1.1000.511.50153045607590HTSmith on for Mouloua, 35'Armstrong on for Marshall and Yogane on for Ronan, 59'Mahou on for Guinness-Walker, 68'Aremu on for Cadden, 90'Cotterill on for Paton, 58'Steven on for Todd, 67'Campbell on for Fowler and Gullan on for Stanton, 78'Mikulić on for Finlayson, 90+1'Fowler 14' (pen)1.231.10AberdeenSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenSt. Johnstone

1.23 +0.22xG1.10 −0.26
1.23Non-penalty xG0.31
0.40 −0.64xG on target0.80 −0.69
22 +12Shots5 −6
5 +2.4Shots on target1 −2.7
2 +0.6Big chances2 −0.4
39 +19Touches in the opposition box11 −8
65% +20Possession35% −14
566 +191Passes307 −153
81% +4Pass accuracy73% −8
76% +39Field tilt24% −29
77 +44Final-third entries21 −21
24 +13Box entries7 −4
12.8 −1Passes per defensive action25.8 +8
13 +7.9Corners2 −1.4
14 −4Tackles10 −4
6 −2.9Interceptions9 +1.3
11 −22Clearances77 +44
0 −4.4Saves5 +1.1
7 −5Fouls10 −1
0 −2.4Offsides0 −1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Milne 90', 0.27 xGNisbet 36', 0.08 xGSmith 42', 0.08 xGSmith 62', 0.08 xGRonan 50', 0.07 xGRonan 51', 0.07 xGYogane 72', 0.07 xGMahou 83', 0.07 xGNisbet 84', 0.06 xGMarshall 55', 0.05 xGMahou 83', 0.05 xGMarshall 49', 0.04 xGYogane 79', 0.04 xGCadden 21', 0.03 xGSmith 45+2', 0.03 xGRonan 49', 0.03 xGMouloua 31', 0.02 xGLyons 34', 0.02 xGMilne 59', 0.02 xGCadden 65', 0.02 xGMilne 17', 0.01 xGMilne 45+7', 0.01 xG28%0.34 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.34 xG, 0 goals37%0.45 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 0.45 xG, 0 goals20%0.25 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.25 xG, 0 goals15%0.19 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Fowler 11', 0.10 xGHolt 70', 0.08 xGPaton 11', 0.07 xGPaton 44', 0.05 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals74%0.23 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.23 xG, 0 goals26%0.08 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenSt. Johnstone

0.78 14 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.26 3 shots, 0 goals
0.07 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.39 6 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.05 1 shot, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
14 min (14%) · Aberdeen 0.00, St. Johnstone 0.96 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
84 min (86%) · Aberdeen 1.23, St. Johnstone 0.13 xG

Line-ups

2728225212484025915MüllerCaddenMilneKnoesterMolloyGuinness-WalkerLyonsMarshallRonanMoulouaNisbet90'68'59'59'35'Aberdeen 5-3-2Stephen Robinson133191426428211999StewardSmithFinlaysonFouldsToddMcAlearHoltAlićStantonPatonFowlerGoal90+1'67'78'58'78'St. Johnstone 3-4-2-1Simo Valakari

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 35' Smith for Mouloua
  • 59' Armstrong for Marshall
  • 59' Yogane for Ronan
  • 68' Mahou for Guinness-Walker
  • 90' Aremu for Cadden

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 58' Cotterill for Paton
  • 67' Steven for Todd
  • 78' Gullan for Stanton
  • 78' Campbell for Fowler
  • 90+1' Mikulić for Finlayson

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MüllerGK900.000.0100.0631
CaddenRWB900.050.2120.2352
MilneCB900.310.0300.19217
KnoesterCB900.000.0510.1745
MolloyCB900.000.1600.3079
Guinness-WalkerLWB680.000.0600.0451
LyonsCM900.020.3010.1564
MarshallCM590.090.0000.0210
RonanCM590.170.0910.1141
MoulouaST350.020.010−0.0112
NisbetST900.140.094−0.0620
SmithFW550.190.1030.06101
ArmstrongMF310.000.1910.1260
YoganeFW310.110.0920.2250
MahouFW220.120.0100.0330
AremuMF00.000.0000.0000

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StewardGK900.000.0000.0462
SmithCB900.000.0100.02417
FinlaysonCB900.000.0000.00013
FouldsCB900.000.1610.19116
ToddRWB670.000.0100.0115
McAlearCM900.000.0200.0355
HoltCM900.080.0100.0239
AlićLWB900.000.0100.0545
StantonAM780.000.010−0.0107
PatonAM580.130.0010.0128
FowlerST7810.890.0210.0122
CotterillMF320.000.0600.0512
StevenFW230.000.0000.0115
GullanFW120.000.0000.0003
CampbellFW120.000.0000.0112
MikulićDF00.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Müller and Milne: 3 passesMüller and Lyons: 3 passesRonan and Nisbet: 3 passesMouloua and Nisbet: 3 passesCadden and Mouloua: 4 passesKnoester and Guinness-Walker: 4 passesMilne and Ronan: 4 passesMilne and Nisbet: 4 passesRonan and Marshall: 4 passesRonan and Lyons: 4 passesMolloy and Milne: 5 passesMilne and Lyons: 5 passesGuinness-Walker and Marshall: 5 passesMolloy and Guinness-Walker: 6 passesKnoester and Ronan: 6 passesGuinness-Walker and Ronan: 7 passesCadden and Ronan: 8 passesMolloy and Knoester: 9 passesKnoester and Milne: 9 passesCadden and Lyons: 10 passesCadden and Milne: 11 passesMüller: 4 completed passesCadden: 21 completed passesMolloy: 14 completed passesKnoester: 15 completed passesMilne: 20 completed passesGuinness-Walker: 12 completed passesRonan: 20 completed passesMarshall: 6 completed passesLyons: 17 completed passesMouloua: 4 completed passesNisbet: 7 completed passes2728215222425408915MüllerCaddenMolloyKnoesterMilneGuinness-WalkerRonanMarshallLyonsMoulouaNisbetStarters until 35' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

St. Johnstone

Steward and Foulds: 3 passesSteward and Alić: 3 passesMcAlear and Paton: 3 passesHolt and Stanton: 3 passesPaton and Stanton: 3 passesFoulds and Fowler: 4 passesSmith and Holt: 4 passesFinlayson and Holt: 4 passesTodd and Stanton: 4 passesAlić and Fowler: 4 passesMcAlear and Stanton: 4 passesFoulds and Alić: 5 passesSmith and McAlear: 5 passesTodd and McAlear: 5 passesAlić and McAlear: 5 passesFoulds and McAlear: 7 passesFoulds and Paton: 7 passesFinlayson and McAlear: 7 passesSmith and Stanton: 9 passesFoulds and Holt: 11 passesMcAlear and Holt: 11 passesSmith and Finlayson: 12 passesSmith and Todd: 12 passesFoulds and Finlayson: 13 passesSteward and Finlayson: 17 passesSteward: 19 completed passesFoulds: 24 completed passesSmith: 26 completed passesFinlayson: 32 completed passesTodd: 10 completed passesAlić: 9 completed passesMcAlear: 27 completed passesHolt: 19 completed passesPaton: 9 completed passesStanton: 11 completed passesFowler: 5 completed passes114331926242899119StewardFouldsSmithFinlaysonToddAlićMcAlearHoltPatonStantonFowlerStarters until 58' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
KnoesterMilne20
MilneCadden19
KnoesterMolloy17
MolloyKnoester15
MilneKnoester15

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
StewardFinlayson11
FinlaysonSmith9
HoltMcAlear9
SmithStanton8
McAlearFoulds8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

3−2.35−4.41−8.03−2.911+5.03−5.12−3.48+1.65−0.93−4.33−0.72−0.92−1.44−2.16+1.04+0.74+1.35+2.03−1.15+1.92+0.73+2.01−0.14+2.60−0.71+0.110.02+1.42+1.17−10.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 7 matches

St. Johnstone

14+10.022+15.025+10.015+8.35−0.38+2.113+6.39+2.76−0.714+6.41−4.35+2.430.02−4.17+1.92−0.72−0.71−1.31−1.41−3.71−1.31−1.42+0.31−1.32−0.91+0.700.01+0.30−1.01+0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 7 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.010.050.040.020.010.040.110.080.030.010.100.080.050.050.080.100.120.060.07−0.040.060.150.160.20LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.030.010.010.010.010.010.010.01−0.010.020.020.040.030.010.020.02−0.01−0.01−0.02−0.040.29LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackAberdeen1.11 → 1.11St. Johnstone1.06 → 1.07Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.48 → 1.47St. Johnstone1.57 → 1.56

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Aberdeen
Top six31%20%−11
11th12%15%+3
Bottom10%15%+5
St. Johnstone
Top six17%26%+9
11th18%16%−2
Bottom25%15%−10
Kilmarnock
11th20%18%−2
Bottom28%30%+2

From the forecast before the match (11 October 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.501.05
Win47%26%
Expected Points1.681.05
Clean sheet35%22%

Aberdeen 47%Draw 27%St. Johnstone 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 51%.

St. Johnstone goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+8%8%4%2%6%2%9%5%2%4%5%2%2%2%11%13%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Aberdeen
Top six31%38%27%20%
11th12%9%12%15%
Bottom10%7%11%15%
St. Johnstone
Top six17%12%16%26%
11th18%19%18%16%
Bottom25%31%23%15%
Kilmarnock
11th20%21%20%18%
Bottom28%27%29%30%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. D1–119 SepHibernian (A)xG 0.70–1.40
  2. W4–015 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.90–0.85
  3. D0–05 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.08–1.11
  4. L0–32 SepCeltic (A)xG 0.68–2.67
  5. L0–130 AugRangers (H)xG 0.35–2.10
  6. L0–28 AugDundee FC (A)xG 0.72–1.83

St. Johnstone

  1. D1–119 SepFalkirk (H)xG 0.94–1.29
  2. L0–19 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.69–1.80
  3. W2–16 SepHibernian (H)xG 2.32–1.61
  4. D1–12 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.08–2.07
  5. L1–229 AugHearts (A)xG 1.28–2.20
  6. L0–18 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.17–1.58

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenSt. Johnstone
Position8th7th
Played77
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠2–⁠32–⁠2–⁠3
Points8 (1.14 per game)8 (1.14 per game)
Expected Points per game0.921.15
Goals7–⁠89–⁠10
xG per game1.01–⁠1.681.36–⁠1.64
Home: points, xG per game1.33, 1.36–⁠1.681.75, 1.49–⁠1.41
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 0.75–⁠1.690.33, 1.18–⁠1.95
ManagerStephen Robinson (16)Simo Valakari (38)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackAberdeen1.11, 10thSt. Johnstone1.06, 12thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.48, 9thSt. Johnstone1.57, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctAberdeen attack: 1.11St. Johnstone attack: 1.061.111.06St. JohnstoneAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctAberdeen defence: 1.48St. Johnstone defence: 1.571.571.48

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−56%−6%−14%+14%
Counter-attacks−65%+39%−50%−13%
Set pieces+31%+4%−21%+1%
Penalties−29%+41%+41%−29%
Headers+56%−16%−10%+37%
Left side−68%+23%+1%+10%
Centre−31%−35%−11%−3%
Right side−13%+39%−61%+19%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−68%+19%Centre−31%−3%Right side−13%+10%Open play−56%+14%Counter-attacks−65%−13%Set pieces+31%+1%Headers+56%+37%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdAberdeen concededLeft side+1%+39%Centre−11%−35%Right side−61%+23%Open play−14%−6%Counter-attacks−50%+39%Set pieces−21%+4%Headers−10%−16%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenSt. Johnstone

1.01xG1.36
1.68xG against1.64
45%Possession49%
10.0Shots10.6
17.4Shots against12.9
2.6Shots on target3.7
1.4Big chances2.4
19.6Touches in the opposition box19.4
375Passes460
77%Pass accuracy81%
5.1Corners3.4
37%Field tilt53%
33.2Final-third entries42.3
10.9Box entries11.4
14.2Passes per defensive action17.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level431.021.40
Ahead140.841.56
Behind331.082.12

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level501.411.58
Ahead131.372.25
Behind261.251.44

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.030.110–2
16–300.120.251–0
31–450.100.451–3
46–600.100.181–1
61–750.160.390–2
76–900.490.304–0

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.050.140–1
16–300.230.232–1
31–450.330.331–2
46–600.380.312–4
61–750.130.211–1
76–900.230.413–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Unavailable

Aberdeen

PlayerReasonExpected backStartsMin
GyamfiInjuryDoubtful00
TobersInjuryMid October 202600

St. Johnstone

PlayerReasonExpected backStartsMin
DiabateSuspensionMid October 20267593
MitchellInjuryOut for season6527

Injured, suspended, and otherwise unavailable players as listed before the match, with their league starts and minutes this season.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTMüller 7Cadden 6Lyons 1Mayo 6Milne 1Knoester 3Guinness… 1Guinness-WalkerOlusanya 1Happe 4Molloy 3Guinness… 6Guinness-WalkerCadden 1Ronan 4Armstrong 2Smith 1Aremu 7Briedl 2Olusanya 2Marshall 2Yogane 1Yogane 3Olusanya 2Ntelo 1Nisbet 7Mouloua 15-3-2 in 2 of 7 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTSteward 7Smith 5Todd 2Mitchell 6Finlayson 1Diabate 7Alić 5Foulds 2McAlear 6Stanton 1Holt 7Stanton 4Campbell 2Steven 1Cotterill 2Gullan 2Paton 2Steven 3Gullan 2Paton 2Fowler 6Gullan 14-2-3-1 in 4 of 7 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (4), 4-4-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
15 March 2025St. Johnstone0–0AberdeenxG 0.64–0.58
7 December 2024Aberdeen1–1St. JohnstonexG 0.70–1.35
5 August 2024St. Johnstone1–2AberdeenxG 0.81–1.79
4 May 2024Aberdeen1–0St. JohnstonexG 3.34–0.99
28 February 2024Aberdeen0–2St. JohnstonexG 2.17–1.69
24 January 2024St. Johnstone1–1AberdeenxG 0.99–1.21

18 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 9, St. Johnstone won 3, and 6 were drawn. Goals 15–9 and xG 1.20–0.77 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nisbet7542410.380.03
Mayo6471010.240.01
Olusanya5501000.110.05
Guinness-Walker7607000.010.12

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fowler6479410.490.06
Alić5450100.040.19
Stanton5467010.100.06
Diabate7593100.070.02

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.