Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

St. Johnstone 1–1 Falkirk

Saturday 19 September 2026, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 7 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Calum Scott · Attendance 5,875

St. Johnstone Alić 90+6' · Diabate sent off 53'

Falkirk Ross 60'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneFalkirk
Goals11
xG0.941.29
Expected Points1.091.59

St. Johnstone 25%Draw 32%Falkirk 42%

Most likely score 1–1, 18%. Final score 1–1, 18%.

Falkirk goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+9%12%8%3%11%11%4%1%5%7%5%2%1%18%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTDiabate (St. Johnstone), second yellow card 53'Finlayson on for Campbell, 55'Paton on for McAlear and Stanton on for Holt, 65'Schmidt on for Mitchell, 77'Sibbald on for Barbrook and MacIver on for Murrell, 67'Fodrey on for Ross and Doherty on for Eames, 75'McMillan on for Krauhaus, 89'Alić 90+6'Ross 60'Falkirk 1.29St. Johnstone 0.9400.511.50153045607590HTDiabate (St. Johnstone), second yellow card 53'Finlayson on for Campbell, 55'Paton on for McAlear and Stanton on for Holt, 65'Schmidt on for Mitchell, 77'Sibbald on for Barbrook and MacIver on for Murrell, 67'Fodrey on for Ross and Doherty on for Eames, 75'McMillan on for Krauhaus, 89'Alić 90+6'Ross 60'1.290.94St. JohnstoneFalkirk

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneFalkirk

0.94 −0.49xG1.29 +0.28
1.38 −0.13xG on target1.27 +0.60
8 −3Shots14 +4
5 +1.5Shots on target4 +1.3
3 +0.7Big chances1 −0.5
12 −9Touches in the opposition box29 +7
44% −6Possession56% +11
379 −94Passes476 +89
74% −7Pass accuracy80% +4
36% −20Field tilt64% +22
33 −11Final-third entries45 +10
7 −5.2Box entries14 +5.8
17.8 0Passes per defensive action14.4 +2
3 −0.5Corners8 +3.8
14 0Tackles10 −8
6 −2.0Interceptions8 −1.7
23 −11Clearances36 +10
3 −1.0Saves4 −0.3
13 +2Fouls18 +3
0 −1.2Offsides0 −1.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Steven 36', 0.44 xGPaton 70', 0.25 xGHolt 23', 0.09 xGMcAlear 41', 0.05 xGSteven 19', 0.03 xGAlić 69', 0.03 xGMitchell 57', 0.02 xGAlić 90+6', 0.03 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals76%0.71 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.71 xG, 0 goals10%0.09 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.09 xG, 0 goals3%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals12%0.11 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.11 xG, 1 goal

Falkirk

Murrell 40', 0.18 xGSpencer 45+2', 0.18 xGKrauhaus 74', 0.14 xGBarbrook 45+1', 0.12 xGFodrey 82', 0.10 xGRoss 42', 0.09 xGSpencer 45+2', 0.07 xGSpencer 45+2', 0.06 xGHenderson 14', 0.04 xGMurrell 17', 0.04 xGKrauhaus 26', 0.04 xGKrauhaus 55', 0.04 xGEames 56', 0.02 xGRoss 60', 0.18 xG, goal26%0.34 xGSix-yard box: 4 shots, 0.34 xG, 0 goals40%0.51 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.51 xG, 1 goal14%0.18 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.18 xG, 0 goals20%0.26 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneFalkirk

0.86 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.97 9 shots, 1 goal
0.08 3 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.32 5 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
63 min (64%) · St. Johnstone 0.63, Falkirk 1.05 xG
Falkirk ahead
36 min (36%) · St. Johnstone 0.30, Falkirk 0.24 xG

Line-ups

133532428323079StewardSmithMitchellDiabateAlićMcAlearHoltCampbellCotterillStevenFowlerYellow cardSent off, second yellowGoalYellow card77'65'65'55'St. Johnstone 4-2-3-1Simo Valakari1922215316823284224BainStrainMeļņiksHendersonMcCannBarbrookSpencerRossKrauhausEamesMurrellGoal67'75'89'75'67'Falkirk 4-2-3-1John McGlynn

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 55' Finlayson for Campbell
  • 65' Paton for McAlear · yellow card 90'
  • 65' Stanton for Holt
  • 77' Schmidt for Mitchell

Falkirk substitutes

  • 67' Sibbald for Barbrook
  • 67' MacIver for Murrell
  • 75' Doherty for Eames
  • 75' Fodrey for Ross
  • 89' McMillan for Krauhaus

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StewardGK900.000.0000.0113
SmithRB900.000.0100.0345
MitchellCB770.020.0000.0218
Diabate CB530.000.0100.0555
Alić LB9010.060.0920.09108
McAlearDM650.050.0210.0121
HoltDM650.090.0200.0543
CampbellRW550.000.000−0.0200
CotterillAM900.000.010−0.0314
StevenLW900.470.0200.2063
FowlerST900.000.0320.0115
FinlaysonDF350.000.0000.0014
Paton FW250.250.0500.0112
StantonFW250.000.1210.0720
SchmidtFW130.000.0000.0000

Falkirk

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BainGK900.000.0000.0331
StrainRB900.000.1630.0679
MeļņiksCB900.000.0000.04215
HendersonCB900.040.0110.0877
McCannLB900.000.0200.0772
BarbrookDM670.120.010−0.0101
SpencerDM900.300.0510.0324
RossRW7510.280.0410.0543
KrauhausAM890.220.1630.0544
EamesLW7510.020.1710.1352
MurrellST670.220.0000.0001
SibbaldMF230.000.0100.0110
MacIverFW230.000.0510.0712
DohertyFW150.000.0400.0651
FodreyFW150.100.0100.0332
McMillanMF10.000.3600.1711

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Steward and Holt: 3 passesAlić and Cotterill: 3 passesSmith and Campbell: 4 passesAlić and McAlear: 4 passesSteven and Fowler: 4 passesSmith and Cotterill: 5 passesDiabate and Holt: 5 passesHolt and Cotterill: 5 passesMcAlear and Steven: 5 passesMitchell and McAlear: 6 passesAlić and Holt: 6 passesMitchell and Holt: 8 passesDiabate and McAlear: 8 passesHolt and McAlear: 8 passesHolt and Steven: 8 passesMcAlear and Cotterill: 8 passesMitchell and Diabate: 10 passesDiabate and Cotterill: 10 passesDiabate and Steven: 10 passesSmith and Mitchell: 11 passesSteward and Mitchell: 12 passesSmith and McAlear: 12 passesAlić and Steven: 13 passesSteward and Diabate: 14 passesSmith and Holt: 14 passesDiabate and Alić: 17 passesSteward: 16 completed passesSmith: 26 completed passesMitchell: 26 completed passesDiabate: 38 completed passesAlić: 25 completed passesHolt: 34 completed passesMcAlear: 27 completed passesCampbell: 7 completed passesCotterill: 19 completed passesSteven: 19 completed passesFowler: 4 completed passes133532842323079StewardSmithMitchellDiabateAlićHoltMcAlearCampbellCotterillStevenFowlerStarters until 53' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Falkirk

Strain and Murrell: 5 passesBarbrook and Krauhaus: 5 passesRoss and Krauhaus: 5 passesMeļņiks and Henderson: 6 passesHenderson and Eames: 6 passesMcCann and Krauhaus: 6 passesBain and Barbrook: 7 passesHenderson and Barbrook: 7 passesBarbrook and Spencer: 7 passesSpencer and Krauhaus: 8 passesStrain and Ross: 10 passesMcCann and Spencer: 10 passesBain and Strain: 12 passesHenderson and Spencer: 12 passesMcCann and Eames: 12 passesStrain and Spencer: 13 passesStrain and Krauhaus: 15 passesStrain and Meļņiks: 16 passesBain and Henderson: 18 passesBain and Meļņiks: 25 passesStrain and Barbrook: 25 passesHenderson and McCann: 26 passesBain: 36 completed passesStrain: 60 completed passesMeļņiks: 33 completed passesHenderson: 42 completed passesMcCann: 33 completed passesBarbrook: 32 completed passesSpencer: 27 completed passesRoss: 13 completed passesKrauhaus: 28 completed passesEames: 19 completed passesMurrell: 3 completed passes1922215316823284224BainStrainMeļņiksHendersonMcCannBarbrookSpencerRossKrauhausEamesMurrellStarters until 67' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
DiabateSteward10
AlićDiabate9
HoltSmith9
SmithMcAlear9
DiabateAlić8

Falkirk

FromToPasses
HendersonMcCann17
BainMeļņiks15
HendersonBain14
BarbrookStrain13
McCannHenderson12

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

40.09+2.314−1.28+1.58+3.24−2.24−3.26−0.37+0.37−0.74−1.52−0.72−1.27+1.010+5.71−2.03+0.30−2.70−2.87+2.73+0.83+0.73+1.53+0.85+2.50−0.300.00−0.810.00−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 6 matches

Falkirk

40.05−1.212−1.85−1.81−2.310+2.014+8.04−0.76−1.34−3.35−2.86+0.86+3.35+0.77+0.88+2.53−2.03−0.24+1.05−0.55+1.71−0.23+0.71−0.81−3.50−1.20−0.71−1.02+1.22+0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 6 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.020.010.020.040.070.010.030.04−0.020.09−0.03−0.010.020.17LessMore

Falkirk

0.010.010.010.010.040.020.010.020.040.010.050.050.020.030.010.030.040.050.030.070.07−0.020.010.050.20LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Johnstone1.07 → 1.06Falkirk1.16 → 1.17Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.57 → 1.57Falkirk1.46 → 1.45

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six19%16%−3
11th16%17%+1
Bottom22%22%0
Falkirk
Top six26%26%0
11th12%12%0
Bottom11%11%0

From the forecast before the match (19 September 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneFalkirk
Expected goals1.351.22
Win39%33%
Expected Points1.451.27
Clean sheet29%26%

St. Johnstone 39%Draw 28%Falkirk 33%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

Falkirk goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+8%9%6%2%8%3%1%7%8%5%2%3%4%2%1%1%1%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 19 September 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawFalkirk win
St. Johnstone
Top six19%27%16%12%
11th16%14%17%18%
Bottom22%15%22%31%
Falkirk
Top six26%18%26%36%
11th12%14%12%8%
Bottom11%16%11%6%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–19 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.69–1.80
  2. W2–16 SepHibernian (H)xG 2.32–1.61
  3. D1–12 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.08–2.07
  4. L1–229 AugHearts (A)xG 1.28–2.20
  5. L0–18 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.17–1.58
  6. W4–32 AugKilmarnock (H)xG 2.03–0.92

Falkirk

  1. W2–115 SepHearts (H)xG 2.14–1.79
  2. D1–15 SepDundee United (A)xG 1.27–2.66
  3. L1–22 SepRangers (H)xG 1.00–1.57
  4. L1–229 AugCeltic (A)xG 0.57–3.45
  5. D0–09 AugMotherwell (A)xG 0.55–1.27
  6. L0–21 AugSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.55–1.57

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneFalkirk
Position7th10th
Played66
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠1–⁠31–⁠2–⁠3
Points7 (1.17 per game)5 (0.83 per game)
Expected Points per game1.160.76
Goals8–⁠95–⁠8
xG per game1.43–⁠1.701.01–⁠2.05
Home: points, xG per game2.00, 1.68–⁠1.441.00, 1.23–⁠1.64
Away: points, xG per game0.33, 1.18–⁠1.950.67, 0.80–⁠2.46
ManagerSimo Valakari (37)John McGlynn (44)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Johnstone1.07, 12thFalkirk1.16, 8thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.57, 11thFalkirk1.46, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepSt. Johnstone attack: 1.07Falkirk attack: 1.161.161.07FalkirkSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepSt. Johnstone defence: 1.57Falkirk defence: 1.461.571.46

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneFalkirk
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−20%+10%−11%+51%
Counter-attacks−45%−5%−88%−11%
Set pieces−16%−3%−58%+26%
Penalties+71%−14%−100%−100%
Headers−3%+46%−76%−39%
Left side−16%−15%−54%+30%
Centre−5%−1%−22%+32%
Right side−59%+32%−29%+51%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdFalkirk concededLeft side−16%+51%Centre−5%+32%Right side−59%+30%Open play−20%+51%Counter-attacks−45%−11%Set pieces−16%+26%Headers−3%−39%

Falkirk attacking

Falkirk createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−54%+32%Centre−22%−1%Right side−29%−15%Open play−11%+10%Counter-attacks−88%−5%Set pieces−58%−3%Headers−76%+46%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneFalkirk

1.43xG1.01
1.70xG against2.05
50%Possession45%
11.0Shots10.5
12.7Shots against16.2
3.5Shots on target2.7
2.3Big chances1.5
20.7Touches in the opposition box22.2
474Passes387
82%Pass accuracy76%
3.5Corners4.2
56%Field tilt42%
43.8Final-third entries34.8
12.2Box entries8.2
17.6Passes per defensive action12.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level481.501.58
Ahead161.372.25
Behind261.311.59

Falkirk

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level341.251.63
Ahead201.482.63
Behind350.512.12

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.060.150–1
16–300.250.252–1
31–450.300.271–2
46–600.440.332–3
61–750.110.221–1
76–900.270.472–1

Falkirk

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.230.182–3
16–300.090.530–2
31–450.080.401–0
46–600.120.240–0
61–750.250.392–0
76–900.250.310–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTSteward 6Smith 4Todd 2Mitchell 5Finlayson 1Diabate 6Alić 4Foulds 2McAlear 5Stanton 1Holt 6Stanton 4Steven 1Campbell 1Gullan 2Paton 2McAlear 1Steven 2Gullan 2Paton 2Fowler 5Gullan 14-2-3-1 in 3 of 6 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1)

Falkirk

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBain 6Strain 6Neilson 5Meļņiks 1Henderson 6McCann 5Tanser 1Barbrook 5McMillan 1Spencer 4Krauhaus 1Sibbald 1Ross 3Fodrey 1Doherty 1Krauhaus 4Yeats 2Ross 2Eames 2Fodrey 1Murrell 3Parkinson 2MacIver 14-2-3-1 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Diabate6540100.080.02
McAlear6519000.020.05
Holt6470000.020.05
Mitchell5450000.000.07

Falkirk

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Strain6540030.100.18
Henderson6507000.020.04
Neilson5450000.020.00
Bain6540000.000.00

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.