Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Motherwell 3–0 Dundee United

Wednesday 2 September 2026, 19:45 · Fir Park · Round 5 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Calum Scott · Attendance 6,412

Motherwell Houlden 19', Lowry 65', Levitt 67'

Dundee United Agyei sent off 14'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

MotherwellDundee United
Goals30
xG2.390.16
Expected Points2.770.14

Motherwell 89%Draw 10%Dundee United 1%

Most likely score 2–0, 24%. Final score 3–0, 20%.

Dundee United goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+6%1%3%4%3%11%2%4%2%18%24%20%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTAgyei (Dundee United), red card 14'Girdwood-Reich on for Knight-Lebel, 46'Bjørgolfsson on for Houlden and Levitt on for Fadinger, 59'O'Donnell on for Sparrow and Vogt on for Lowry, 68'Tait on for Yoro, 20'Randall on for Merghem, 46'Farrugia on for Bennie, 57'Rose on for Sapsford, 58'Ciubotaru on for Ferry, 64'Houlden 19'Lowry 65'Levitt 67'Motherwell 2.39Dundee United 0.1601230153045607590HTAgyei (Dundee United), red card 14'Girdwood-Reich on for Knight-Lebel, 46'Bjørgolfsson on for Houlden and Levitt on for Fadinger, 59'O'Donnell on for Sparrow and Vogt on for Lowry, 68'Tait on for Yoro, 20'Randall on for Merghem, 46'Farrugia on for Bennie, 57'Rose on for Sapsford, 58'Ciubotaru on for Ferry, 64'Houlden 19'Lowry 65'Levitt 67'2.390.16MotherwellDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellDundee United

2.39 +0.42xG0.16 −1.55
1.79 +0.16xG on target0.18 −1.23
25 +11Shots5 −12
8 +3.7Shots on target1 −3.0
3 0.0Big chances0 −3.0
37 +14Touches in the opposition box14 −18
71% +16Possession29% −26
755 +225Passes296 −135
93% +5Pass accuracy80% +1
90% +42Field tilt10% −39
83 +46Final-third entries25 −18
20 +9Box entries9 −6
10.7 −1.9Passes per defensive action29.1 +20.1
9 +5.3Corners3 −1.5
16 0Tackles18 0
5 −1.7Interceptions3 −10.5
20 −8Clearances30 −2
1 −2.3Saves5 +1.2
8 −6Fouls6 −6
1 −0.7Offsides1 −0.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Motherwell

Maswanhise 22', 0.42 xGHoulden 40', 0.36 xGLowry 2', 0.16 xGHoulden 9', 0.14 xGVogt 73', 0.14 xGLongelo 2', 0.11 xGMaswanhise 17', 0.11 xGMaswanhise 28', 0.09 xGLowry 47', 0.07 xGLevitt 78', 0.07 xGHoulden 17', 0.06 xGFadinger 24', 0.06 xGMaswanhise 16', 0.05 xGLongelo 38', 0.05 xGHodge 70', 0.05 xGVogt 71', 0.05 xGLowry 16', 0.04 xGLowry 38', 0.04 xGFadinger 48', 0.03 xGLongelo 51', 0.03 xGLongelo 44', 0.02 xGKanga 44', 0.02 xGHoulden 19', 0.10 xG, goalLevitt 67', 0.08 xG, goalLowry 65', 0.05 xG, goal17%0.41 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.41 xG, 0 goals51%1.21 xGCentral box: 10 shots, 1.21 xG, 2 goals14%0.33 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.33 xG, 0 goals18%0.43 xGEdge of the box: 9 shots, 0.43 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

Randall 55', 0.04 xGTait 81', 0.04 xGRose 88', 0.04 xGTait 50', 0.02 xGCamará 56', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals24%0.04 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals24%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals53%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellDundee United

2.16 19 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.07 2 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.04 1 shot, 0 goals
0.22 6 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.06 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
19 min (21%) · Motherwell 0.76, Dundee United 0.00 xG
Motherwell ahead
71 min (79%) · Motherwell 1.62, Dundee United 0.17 xG

Line-ups

17454571813114718PaulsenSparrowKnight-LebelMoormannLongeloHodgeFadingerKangaLowryHouldenMaswanhiseGoalGoalYellow card68'46'59'68'59'Motherwell 4-2-3-1Alfred Johansson12331811812267977WaltonRawlinsEsselinkForbesFerryCamaráAgyeiYoroMerghemSapsfordBennieSent off64'20'46'58'57'Dundee United 4-3-3Jim Goodwin

Motherwell substitutes

  • 46' Girdwood-Reich for Knight-Lebel
  • 59' Levitt for Fadinger · goal 67'
  • 59' Bjørgolfsson for Houlden
  • 68' O'Donnell for Sparrow
  • 68' Vogt for Lowry

Dundee United substitutes

  • 20' Tait for Yoro
  • 46' Randall for Merghem
  • 57' Farrugia for Bennie
  • 58' Rose for Sapsford
  • 64' Ciubotaru for Ferry

Players

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
PaulsenGK900.000.0000.0204
SparrowRB6810.000.1410.1062
Knight-LebelCB460.000.1810.1076
MoormannCB900.000.0510.0322
LongeloLB900.210.4430.41122
HodgeDM900.050.0810.18165
FadingerDM590.090.1310.1461
KangaRW900.020.1520.1160
LowryAM6810.360.2120.0673
Houlden LW5910.660.0820.0705
MaswanhiseST9020.660.1020.1523
Girdwood-ReichDF440.000.0300.1696
LevittMF3110.140.0300.0622
BjørgolfssonFW310.000.000−0.0200
O'DonnellDF220.000.0000.0001
VogtFW220.200.010−0.0101

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WaltonGK900.000.0000.0111
RawlinsRB900.000.0100.0119
EsselinkCB900.000.0000.04112
ForbesCB900.000.0100.0328
FerryLB640.000.010−0.01012
CamaráCM900.020.1210.1794
Agyei CM140.000.0000.0022
YoroCM200.000.0000.0100
MerghemRW460.000.0000.0530
SapsfordST580.000.0000.0211
BennieLW570.000.0000.0545
TaitMF700.060.0100.0132
RandallFW440.040.0000.0131
FarrugiaMF330.000.0110.0420
RoseFW320.040.000−0.0100
CiubotaruDF260.000.0000.0223

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Fadinger and Maswanhise: 5 passesSparrow and Moormann: 6 passesFadinger and Kanga: 6 passesSparrow and Lowry: 7 passesMoormann and Knight-Lebel: 7 passesLowry and Kanga: 7 passesLongelo and Lowry: 8 passesFadinger and Lowry: 8 passesPaulsen and Moormann: 9 passesMoormann and Hodge: 9 passesLongelo and Hodge: 9 passesSparrow and Knight-Lebel: 11 passesMoormann and Longelo: 11 passesSparrow and Kanga: 12 passesSparrow and Fadinger: 13 passesKnight-Lebel and Fadinger: 15 passesPaulsen and Knight-Lebel: 16 passesKnight-Lebel and Hodge: 16 passesLongelo and Fadinger: 19 passesHodge and Lowry: 19 passesHodge and Kanga: 19 passesSparrow and Hodge: 22 passesFadinger and Hodge: 30 passesPaulsen: 17 completed passesSparrow: 42 completed passesMoormann: 28 completed passesKnight-Lebel: 38 completed passesLongelo: 30 completed passesFadinger: 53 completed passesHodge: 66 completed passesLowry: 27 completed passesMaswanhise: 8 completed passesKanga: 27 completed passesHoulden: 7 completed passes17544587111181347PaulsenSparrowMoormannKnight-LebelLongeloFadingerHodgeLowryMaswanhiseKangaHouldenStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

FromToPasses
MoormannHodge21
HodgeFadinger18
HodgeKanga18
MoormannLevitt17
Girdwood-ReichO'Donnell15

Dundee United

FromToPasses
ForbesEsselink15
EsselinkForbes11
EsselinkRawlins10
RawlinsEsselink8
EsselinkCamará8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

1−3.016−2.08+2.01−2.33−6.75−2.75−3.05+1.34−2.09+5.040.02−2.02−2.38+4.02−1.03+0.72−0.34+0.74+1.020.06+5.33+0.31−1.73+2.31+0.70−0.71+0.30−0.33−8.71−9.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 3 matches

Dundee United

1−1.813+6.226+9.57+1.810+4.21−6.06+1.05−2.514+4.27+2.50−6.51−4.82−3.58+1.06−1.82−4.21−2.20−3.53+0.22−3.81−1.50−1.81−1.20−0.83+0.23+1.80−1.00−0.80−0.50−0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 4 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

0.010.010.010.050.020.020.010.040.120.040.030.010.100.130.070.030.030.030.080.060.090.070.10−0.050.130.180.14LessMore

Dundee United

0.010.010.010.030.020.020.020.020.040.010.04−0.010.030.020.030.020.020.020.020.11LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackMotherwell1.38 → 1.41Dundee United1.22 → 1.18Defence (lower is better)Motherwell1.27 → 1.23Dundee United1.50 → 1.53

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Motherwell
Top six77%82%+5
11th1%1%0
Bottom1%<1%−1
Dundee United
Top six21%16%−5
11th12%14%+2
Bottom8%11%+3

From the forecast before the match (2 September 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

MotherwellDundee United
Expected goals1.771.02
Win55%21%
Expected Points1.880.87
Clean sheet36%17%

Motherwell 55%Draw 24%Dundee United 21%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 54%.

Dundee United goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+7%6%3%1%6%2%5%2%6%6%3%1%3%3%1%10%12%10%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 2 September 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowMotherwell winDrawDundee United win
Motherwell
Top six77%82%74%66%
11th1%1%1%2%
Bottom1%<1%1%1%
Dundee United
Top six21%16%22%31%
11th12%14%12%8%
Bottom8%11%7%4%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

  1. D3–330 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.45–2.92
  2. D0–09 AugFalkirk (H)xG 1.27–0.55
  3. W2–12 AugHibernian (A)xG 2.19–1.94
  4. W1–016 MayHibernian (A)xG 1.16–0.76
  5. L2–313 MayCeltic (H)xG 1.24–1.38
  6. D1–19 MayHearts (H)xG 0.55–1.33

Dundee United

  1. W4–029 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 3.42–1.13
  2. L0–222 AugDundee FC (H)xG 1.19–1.43
  3. L0–49 AugHearts (A)xG 0.58–2.21
  4. D1–131 JulRangers (H)xG 1.64–1.46
  5. D1–117 MaySt. Mirren (A)xG 0.50–1.02
  6. D0–012 MayLivingston (H)xG 1.54–0.92

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellDundee United
Position6th8th
Played34
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠2–⁠01–⁠1–⁠2
Points5 (1.67 per game)4 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.541.41
Goals5–⁠45–⁠7
xG per game1.97–⁠1.801.71–⁠1.56
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.27–⁠0.550.50, 1.42–⁠1.44
Away: points, xG per game2.00, 2.32–⁠2.431.50, 2.00–⁠1.67
ManagerAlfred Johansson (3)Jim Goodwin (92)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackMotherwell1.38, 5thDundee United1.22, 6thDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.27, 5thDundee United1.50, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugMotherwell attack: 1.38Dundee United attack: 1.221.381.22Dundee UnitedMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugMotherwell defence: 1.27Dundee United defence: 1.501.501.27

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+6%−19%−32%+15%
Counter-attacks+28%+30%+77%−46%
Set pieces−41%+1%+15%−1%
Penalties+98%+17%+5%−1%
Headers−49%−32%+14%−17%
Left side−13%−29%−38%−11%
Centre−42%+4%−15%+10%
Right side+84%−4%+50%−2%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdDundee United concededLeft side−13%−2%Centre−42%+10%Right side+84%−11%Open play+6%+15%Counter-attacks+28%−46%Set pieces−41%−1%Headers−49%−17%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdMotherwell concededLeft side−38%−4%Centre−15%+4%Right side+50%−29%Open play−32%−19%Counter-attacks+77%+30%Set pieces+15%+1%Headers+14%−32%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellDundee United

1.97xG1.71
1.80xG against1.56
55%Possession55%
14.0Shots16.8
17.3Shots against15.8
4.3Shots on target4.0
3.0Big chances3.0
23.3Touches in the opposition box32.5
530Passes431
88%Pass accuracy79%
3.7Corners4.5
48%Field tilt49%
37.0Final-third entries42.8
11.3Box entries14.8
12.6Passes per defensive action9.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level541.891.07
Ahead212.712.74
Behind151.203.16

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level331.800.83
Ahead242.621.44
Behind330.952.35

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.560.051–0
16–300.230.061–0
31–450.410.411–3
46–600.200.400–1
61–750.160.290–0
76–900.410.592–0

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.260.381–2
16–300.100.040–0
31–450.480.243–1
46–600.240.480–3
61–750.300.280–1
76–900.310.141–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTPaulsen 3Sparrow 3Knight-Lebel 2Girdwood-Reich 1Moormann 3Longelo 2Williams 1Vogt 2Maswanhise 1Priestman 2Fadinger 3Hodge 1Said 2Longelo 1Said 1Maswanhise 1Lowry 1Charles-Cook 2Booth 14-4-2 in 2 of 3 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWWalton 4Rawlins 3Yoro 1Esselink 4Forbes 4Ferry 4Sevelj 3Yoro 1Tait 3Agyei 3Camará 2Merghem 2Randall 2Rose 2Sapsford 1Metsoko 1Bennie 2Sapsford 1Randall 14-3-3 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
28 February 2026Motherwell2–0Dundee UnitedxG 2.12–0.31
13 December 2025Dundee United0–0MotherwellxG 0.49–0.68
29 October 2025Motherwell2–0Dundee UnitedxG 1.08–0.48
22 February 2025Dundee United1–0MotherwellxG 1.25–1.09
14 December 2024Motherwell4–3Dundee UnitedxG 2.09–2.02
30 October 2024Dundee United1–2MotherwellxG 1.43–1.06

18 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 8, Dundee United won 6, and 4 were drawn. Goals 22–19 and xG 1.54–1.03 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Maswanhise373,0431820.500.08
Said282,507400.170.14
Charles-Cook10954120.180.12
Longelo342,977840.140.14

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Sapsford332,8781020.380.10
Ferry363,246570.050.26
Farrugia10952000.120.13
Sevelj322,800030.130.09

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.