Matches › 2025/26

Motherwell 2–3 Falkirk

Saturday 4 April 2026, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 32 · Half-time 1–2 · Referee Duncan Nicolson · Attendance 8,244

Motherwell Watt 34', Maswanhise 90+4'

Falkirk Stewart 3', Broggio 45', Miller 62' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Motherwell	Falkirk
Goals	2	3
xG	1.46	2.06
Non-penalty xG	1.46	1.28
Expected Points	0.89	1.84

Motherwell 21%Draw 27%Falkirk 52%

Most likely score 1–2, 15%. Final score 2–3, 7%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellFalkirk

1.46 −0.07xG2.06 +0.75

1.46Non-penalty xG1.28

2.07 +0.47xG on target2.08 +0.84

14 +1Shots13 +1

7 +2.0Shots on target5 +1.1

2 −0.4Big chances4 +1.9

19 −8Touches in the opposition box19 −2

62% +3Possession38% −13

521 −34Passes325 −80

83% −2Pass accuracy73% −4

71% +8Field tilt29% −20

43 −8Final-third entries39 +2

16 0Box entries11 0

9.0 −4Passes per defensive action11.0 −2

6 +2.3Corners2 −2.9

18 +4Tackles25 +6

8 +0.7Interceptions14 +5.1

11 −12Clearances21 −9

2 −0.8Saves5 +1.9

14 +2Fouls15 +3

1 −1.3Offsides3 +0.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Motherwell

Falkirk

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellFalkirk

1.30 10 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.12 10 shots, 1 goal

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.01 1 shot, 0 goals

0.16 4 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.14 1 shot, 1 goal

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–11–11–21–3

Level: 14 min (14%) · Motherwell 0.10, Falkirk 0.75 xG
Falkirk ahead: 83 min (86%) · Motherwell 1.36, Falkirk 1.31 xG

Line-ups

Motherwell substitutes

63' Nicholson for Sparrow
73' McGhee for O'Donnell
73' Priestman for Fadinger
79' Ross for Longelo

Falkirk substitutes

71' Ross for Broggio
71' Wilson for Yeats
79' Graham for Stewart
83' Parkinson for Miller

Players

Motherwell

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Ward	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.05	3	1
O'Donnell	RB	73			0.00	0.03	0	0.12	9	1
McGinn	CB	90			0.00	0.06	0	0.24	10	7
Welsh	CB	90			0.00	0.04	0	0.16	6	7
Longelo	LB	79			0.03	0.31	1	0.20	12	6
Fadinger	DM	73			0.02	0.01	0	0.01	1	1
Watt	DM	90	1		0.09	0.07	1	0.13	12	7
Sparrow	RW	63			0.21	0.01	0	−0.02	2	1
Just	AM	90		1	0.13	0.48	2	0.19	8	5
Said	LW	90			0.00	0.25	3	0.25	7	0
Maswanhise	ST	90	1		0.90	0.00	0	0.00	0	2
Nicholson	DF	27			0.08	0.02	0	0.01	0	1
McGhee	DF	17			0.00	0.01	0	−0.15	2	0
Priestman	MF	17			0.00	0.04	1	0.03	0	0
Ross	FW	11			0.00	0.00	0	−0.04	0	1

Falkirk

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Bain	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.06	7	1
Adams	RB	90			0.00	0.23	2	0.24	10	5
Lissah	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.04	6	19
Henderson	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	8
McCann	LB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	2
Tait	DM	90			0.05	0.03	1	0.07	5	4
Spencer	DM	90			0.01	0.16	0	0.24	4	7
Broggio	RW	71	1		0.79	0.05	1	0.05	5	1
Miller	AM	83	1	1	0.98	0.16	1	0.05	1	3
Yeats	LW	71			0.00	0.01	0	0.03	1	0
Stewart	ST	79	1		0.22	0.06	3	0.08	3	3
Ross	FW	19			0.02	0.00	0	0.06	2	0
Wilson	FW	19			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	6
Graham	FW	11			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	2
Parkinson	FW	7			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Falkirk

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

From	To	Passes
McGinn	Ward	15
Welsh	Ward	14
Watt	McGinn	12
Welsh	Watt	11
Watt	O'Donnell	10

Falkirk

From	To	Passes
Bain	Henderson	11
Henderson	Bain	10
Henderson	McCann	9
Adams	Lissah	9
Spencer	Tait	8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

Against its average of 31 matches

Falkirk

Against its average of 31 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

Falkirk

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Falkirk
Top six	99%	>99%	+1

From the forecast before the match (4 April 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Motherwell	Falkirk
Expected goals	1.55	0.94
Win	51%	22%
Expected Points	1.80	0.94
Clean sheet	39%	21%

Motherwell 51%Draw 27%Falkirk 22%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 49%.

From the forecast as it stood on 4 April 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Motherwell win	Draw	Falkirk win
Falkirk
Top six	99%	98%	>99%	>99%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

Falkirk

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Motherwell	Falkirk
Position	4th	6th
Played	31	31
Won, drawn, lost	14–⁠12–⁠5	12–⁠7–⁠12
Points	54 (1.74 per game)	43 (1.39 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.67	1.44
Goals	49–⁠23	39–⁠40
xG per game	1.53–⁠1.12	1.31–⁠1.23
Home: points, xG per game	2.19, 1.69–⁠0.72	1.44, 1.58–⁠1.02
Away: points, xG per game	1.27, 1.36–⁠1.55	1.33, 1.01–⁠1.44
Manager	Jens Berthel Askou (31)	John McGlynn (31)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Motherwell		Falkirk
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+21%	−12%	+2%	−16%
Counter-attacks	−6%	−22%	+12%	+6%
Set pieces	−36%	−34%	−13%	−21%
Penalties	+78%	−33%	−78%	+11%
Headers	−20%	−30%	−24%	+6%
Left side	+23%	−24%	−44%	−14%
Centre	−27%	−15%	+1%	−18%
Right side	+43%	−25%	+37%	−10%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdFalkirk concededLeft side+23%−10%Centre−27%−18%Right side+43%−14%Open play+21%−16%Counter-attacks−6%+6%Set pieces−36%−21%Headers−20%+6%

Falkirk attacking

Falkirk createdMotherwell concededLeft side−44%−25%Centre+1%−15%Right side+37%−24%Open play+2%−12%Counter-attacks+12%−22%Set pieces−13%−34%Headers−24%−30%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellFalkirk

1.53xG1.31

1.12xG against1.23

59%Possession51%

13.4Shots12.2

10.4Shots against12.0

5.0Shots on target3.9

2.4Big chances2.1

26.7Touches in the opposition box20.6

555Passes405

86%Pass accuracy77%

3.7Corners4.9

63%Field tilt49%

51.0Final-third entries36.7

16.1Box entries10.7

13.0Passes per defensive action13.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	50	1.21	1.12
Ahead	29	1.84	1.05
Behind	11	2.14	1.31

Falkirk

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	44	1.24	1.37
Ahead	22	1.66	0.77
Behind	24	1.11	1.36

xG by period

Motherwell

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.13	0.10	3–2
16–30	0.26	0.17	11–3
31–45	0.28	0.18	8–2
46–60	0.31	0.14	11–3
61–75	0.25	0.28	5–7
76–90	0.30	0.26	11–6

Falkirk

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.18	0.14	5–1
16–30	0.27	0.24	7–8
31–45	0.23	0.28	4–13
46–60	0.23	0.15	10–5
61–75	0.19	0.21	7–7
76–90	0.20	0.20	6–6

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (19), 4-3-3 (5), 4-1-3-2 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

Falkirk

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (30), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
3 December 2025	Falkirk	0–0	Motherwell	xG 0.57–0.47
18 October 2025	Motherwell	1–2	Falkirk	xG 1.01–1.35

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 0, Falkirk won 1, and 1 was a draw. Goals 1–2 and xG 0.74–0.96 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Stamatelopoulos	9	868	6	2	0.89	0.08
Maswanhise	28	2,286	16	2	0.47	0.08
Just	25	2,113	7	6	0.25	0.24
Slattery	21	1,925	3	8	0.18	0.24

Falkirk

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Stewart	12	990	7	2	0.53	0.09
MacIver	9	661	3	1	0.41	0.12
Graham	7	765	4	0	0.46	0.07
Miller	29	2,336	4	7	0.22	0.24

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.