Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

St. Mirren 0–2 Livingston

Saturday 25 April 2026, 15:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 34 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee David Dickinson · Attendance 5,884

Livingston Gogic 67' (og), Pittman 81'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenLivingston
Goals02
xG1.100.72
Expected Points1.601.03

St. Mirren 41%Draw 37%Livingston 22%

Most likely score 1–1, 24%. Final score 0–2, 2%.

Livingston goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+12%17%2%13%3%7%12%2%2%4%24%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTYoung on for Ayunga and Idowu on for King, 56'Richardson on for Campbell and McMenamin on for Devaney, 73'Tanser on for John, 82'Montaño on for Fati, 40'Tait on for May, Pittman on for Arfield, and Muirhead on for Nouble, 64'Kerr on for Finlayson, 77'Gogic 67' (og)Pittman 81'St. Mirren 1.10Livingston 0.7200.511.50153045607590HTYoung on for Ayunga and Idowu on for King, 56'Richardson on for Campbell and McMenamin on for Devaney, 73'Tanser on for John, 82'Montaño on for Fati, 40'Tait on for May, Pittman on for Arfield, and Muirhead on for Nouble, 64'Kerr on for Finlayson, 77'Gogic 67' (og)Pittman 81'1.100.72St. MirrenLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenLivingston

1.10 0.00xG0.72 −0.30
1.28 +0.31xG on target0.54 −0.52
17 +5.3Shots4 −5.7
4 +0.5Shots on target2 −1.3
2 +0.3Big chances1 −0.4
34 +10Touches in the opposition box17 −2
63% +18Possession37% −7
506 +152Passes304 −56
85% +12Pass accuracy77% +4
8 +2.4Corners7 +2.6
13 −2Tackles14 −3
6 −1.0Interceptions15 +6.1
23 −8Clearances46 +12
1 −2.0Saves4 +0.9
13 0Fouls10 −4
1 −1.3Offsides1 −0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

King 36', 0.22 xGGogic 13', 0.16 xGMandron 45', 0.13 xGPhillips 90+6', 0.10 xGJohn 45+2', 0.08 xGCampbell 14', 0.07 xGJohn 12', 0.06 xGO'Hara 90+1', 0.05 xGGogic 72', 0.04 xGO'Hara 84', 0.04 xGAyunga 26', 0.03 xGO'Hara 90', 0.03 xGFreckleton 90+5', 0.03 xGPhillips 45+2', 0.02 xGKing 47', 0.02 xGCampbell 3', 0.01 xGIdowu 90+8', 0.01 xG53%0.59 xGSix-yard box: 4 shots, 0.59 xG, 0 goals23%0.25 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.25 xG, 0 goals18%0.20 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals6%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

May 32', 0.08 xGKabongolo 9', 0.03 xGSylla 79', 0.01 xGPittman 81', 0.59 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals86%0.63 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.63 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals14%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenLivingston

0.52 7 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.07 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.59 1 shot, 1 goal
0.52 9 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.13 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
69 min (69%) · St. Mirren 0.81, Livingston 0.12 xG
Livingston ahead
31 min (31%) · St. Mirren 0.29, Livingston 0.60 xG

Line-ups

275132168162488911SinclairKingGogicFreckletonO'HaraDevaneyCampbellJohnPhillipsMandronAyungaOwn goalYellow cardYellow card56'73'73'82'56'St. Mirren 3-4-1-2Craig McLeish2823275193724315177PriorKabongoloWilsonMcGowanFinlaysonArfieldSyllaFatiSmithMayNoubleYellow card77'64'40'64'64'Livingston 3-4-2-1Marvin Bartley

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 56' Young for Ayunga
  • 56' Idowu for King
  • 73' McMenamin for Devaney
  • 73' Richardson for Campbell
  • 82' Tanser for John

Livingston substitutes

  • 40' Montaño for Fati
  • 64' Tait for May
  • 64' Pittman for Arfield · goal 81'
  • 64' Muirhead for Nouble · yellow card 71'
  • 77' Kerr for Finlayson

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPDef
SinclairGK900.000.0001
KingCB560.250.0104
Gogic CB900.200.06013
FreckletonCB900.030.0304
O'HaraRWB900.110.0202
DevaneyCM730.000.0813
Campbell CM730.080.2722
JohnLWB820.150.1811
PhillipsAM900.120.7520
MandronST900.130.1008
AyungaST560.030.1020
YoungFW340.000.0101
IdowuFW340.010.0102
McMenaminMF170.000.0911
RichardsonMF170.000.0211
TanserMF80.000.1520

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPDef
PriorGK900.000.0003
KabongoloCB900.030.00020
WilsonCB900.000.0004
McGowanCB900.000.0107
FinlaysonRWB770.000.0106
ArfieldCM640.000.0104
Sylla CM900.010.0109
FatiLWB400.000.0003
SmithAM9010.000.3813
MayAM640.080.0811
NoubleST640.000.0100
MontañoDF500.000.0505
TaitMF260.000.0103
PittmanMF2610.590.0103
Muirhead FW260.000.5204
KerrMF130.000.0804

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions).

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.35AttackSt. Mirren1.08 → 1.08Livingston0.94 → 0.96Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.43 → 1.42Livingston1.84 → 1.81

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
11th18%31%+13
Livingston
11th<1%1%+1
Bottom>99%99%−1
Kilmarnock
11th72%61%−11
Bottom<1%1%+1

From the forecast before the match (25 April 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenLivingston
Expected goals1.760.88
Win58%18%
Expected Points1.970.78
Clean sheet41%17%

St. Mirren 58%Draw 24%Livingston 18%

Most likely score 1–0, 12%. Both sides score 49%.

Livingston goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+8%6%3%5%1%4%1%6%6%3%3%3%1%1%12%12%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 25 April 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawLivingston win
St. Mirren
11th18%12%24%31%
Livingston
11th<1%<1%–1%
Bottom>99%>99%>99%99%
Kilmarnock
11th72%78%69%61%
Bottom<1%<1%–1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. L0–111 AprCeltic (A)xG 0.25–0.94
  2. W2–04 AprAberdeen (H)xG 0.90–0.53
  3. W2–121 MarFalkirk (A)xG 0.90–1.43
  4. L0–115 MarRangers (H)xG 0.19–2.08
  5. L1–23 MarDundee United (A)xG 1.11–1.69
  6. D1–128 FebLivingston (A)xG 1.02–0.70

Livingston

  1. L2–311 AprDundee United (A)xG 1.81–1.82
  2. D2–25 AprHearts (H)xG 2.00–1.87
  3. L0–221 MarKilmarnock (A)xG 0.79–1.71
  4. D0–014 MarHibernian (A)xG 0.14–2.18
  5. D1–128 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.70–1.02
  6. D2–222 FebRangers (H)xG 0.30–3.74

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenLivingston
Position10th12th
Played3333
Won, drawn, lost7–⁠9–⁠171–⁠13–⁠19
Points30 (0.91 per game)16 (0.48 per game)
Expected Points per game1.170.83
Goals27–⁠4835–⁠66
xG per game1.10–⁠1.361.02–⁠1.99
Home: points, xG per game1.25, 1.10–⁠1.070.62, 1.07–⁠1.85
Away: points, xG per game0.59, 1.09–⁠1.630.35, 0.96–⁠2.12
ManagerCraig McLeish (4)Marvin Bartley (8)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.35AttackSt. Mirren1.08, 10thLivingston0.94, 12thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.43, 7thLivingston1.84, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprSt. Mirren attack: 1.08Livingston attack: 0.941.080.94LivingstonSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprSt. Mirren defence: 1.43Livingston defence: 1.841.841.43

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−31%−3%−38%+39%
Counter-attacks−42%+38%−39%+21%
Set pieces+13%−15%−20%+41%
Penalties−61%−41%+18%+57%
Headers+10%+7%−31%+34%
Left side−25%+2%−44%+23%
Centre−20%−1%−31%+38%
Right side−16%−7%−27%+49%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdLivingston concededLeft side−25%+49%Centre−20%+38%Right side−16%+23%Open play−31%+39%Counter-attacks−42%+21%Set pieces+13%+41%Headers+10%+34%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−44%−7%Centre−31%−1%Right side−27%+2%Open play−38%−3%Counter-attacks−39%+38%Set pieces−20%−15%Headers−31%+7%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenLivingston

1.10xG1.02
1.36xG against1.99
45%Possession44%
11.7Shots9.7
12.7Shots against15.4
3.5Shots on target3.3
1.7Big chances1.4
23.8Touches in the opposition box19.3
354Passes360
74%Pass accuracy72%
5.6Corners4.4
46%Field tilt37%
35.8Final-third entries30.4
10.7Box entries8.5
15.4Passes per defensive action14.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level551.141.39
Ahead130.881.48
Behind221.121.23

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level430.912.05
Ahead100.832.94
Behind371.191.66

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.181–4
16–300.160.185–4
31–450.150.294–10
46–600.170.184–8
61–750.200.255–7
76–900.240.288–15

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.375–12
16–300.150.286–10
31–450.260.405–9
46–600.170.327–8
61–750.150.234–7
76–900.190.408–20

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTGeorge 33Fraser 26Donnelly 3Gogic 19King 19Freckleton 32Richard… 20RichardsonMcMena… 8McMenaminO'Hara 3Phillips 32Baccus 13Devaney 8Donnelly 5O'Hara 12Gogic 11Idowu 5John 26Tanser 6McMenamin 1Nlundulu 15Idowu 7Young 4Mandron 24Ayunga 13John 13-5-2 in 25 of 33 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (25), 5-3-2 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWPrior 33Finlayson 13Brenet 9Kerr 5McGowan 18Finlayson 12Sylla 2Wilson 26Kabongolo 3Blaney 3Montaño 15Montgomery 8Fati 5Sylla 18Danso 4Smith 3Pittman 26May 2Arfield 2Tait 26Susoho 13Carey 1Smith 13Kabongolo 5McLennan 4Muirhead 11Bokila 8Yengi 7May 13McLennan 4Yengi 44-3-3 in 11 of 33 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (11), 4-2-3-1 (11), 3-5-2 (6), 3-4-3 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
28 February 2026Livingston1–1St. MirrenxG 0.70–1.02
20 January 2026Livingston1–1St. MirrenxG 1.47–1.41
20 December 2025St. Mirren1–0LivingstonxG 2.23–0.24
17 February 2024Livingston1–0St. MirrenxG 0.97–2.07
25 November 2023St. Mirren1–0LivingstonxG 0.81–0.59
2 September 2023Livingston1–1St. MirrenxG 1.45–0.67

16 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 7, Livingston won 1, and 8 were drawn. Goals 17–9 and xG 1.12–0.93 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McMenamin131,162110.210.25
Mandron242,157440.230.13
Ayunga131,141300.320.03
Nlundulu161,545300.240.06

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Muirhead151,344420.450.16
Yengi111,054200.300.08
Smith211,630710.200.16
McLennan8766300.260.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.