Matches › 2025/26

Dundee United 3–2 Livingston

Saturday 11 April 2026, 15:00 · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park · Round 33 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Chris Graham · Attendance 8,470

Dundee United Ferry 19', Keresztes 75', Sapsford 90+3' (pen)

Livingston Smith 49', 53'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Dundee United	Livingston
Goals	3	2
xG	1.82	1.81
Non-penalty xG	1.03	1.81
Expected Points	1.34	1.35

Dundee United 34%Draw 31%Livingston 35%

Most likely score 2–2, 14%. Final score 3–2, 6%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedLivingston

1.82 +0.51xG1.81 +0.82

1.03Non-penalty xG1.81

1.61 +0.26xG on target2.16 +1.13

14 +0.8Shots14 +4.4

5 +0.5Shots on target6 +2.8

2 +0.1Big chances2 +0.6

38 +14Touches in the opposition box24 +5

51% +10Possession49% +5

361 +59Passes354 −6

63% −4Pass accuracy57% −16

62% +25Field tilt38% +1

31 0Final-third entries26 −4

10 −1.3Box entries11 +2.6

26.7 +12Passes per defensive action12.8 −1

4 −0.6Corners3 −1.4

9 −8Tackles18 +1

8 −2.8Interceptions17 +8.3

38 0Clearances33 −2

4 +0.8Saves2 −1.1

7 −6Fouls9 −5

2 +0.4Offsides2 +0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Dundee United

Livingston

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedLivingston

0.53 8 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.93 3 shots, 1 goal

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.14 2 shots, 1 goal

0.51 5 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.75 9 shots, 0 goals

0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–01–22–2

Level: 41 min (44%) · Dundee United 1.20, Livingston 0.49 xG
Dundee United ahead: 31 min (33%) · Dundee United 0.46, Livingston 1.30 xG
Livingston ahead: 22 min (23%) · Dundee United 0.16, Livingston 0.02 xG

Line-ups

Dundee United substitutes

14' Farrugia for Fatah
62' Keresztes for Iovu · goal 75'
62' Naamo for Sevelj
62' Camará for Watters
88' Dolcek for Ferry

Livingston substitutes

64' Pittman for May
70' Muirhead for Nouble
71' Kabongolo for Fati
71' Tait for Arfield
82' Zimmerman for Smith

Players

Dundee United

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Richards	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	0
Cleall-Harding	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.06	4	8
Iovu	CB	62			0.17	0.00	1	0.00	0	8
Graham	CB	90			0.16	0.02	0	−0.01	2	14
Strain	RWB	90			0.00	0.12	0	0.11	5	7
Sevelj	CM	62			0.09	0.01	0	0.00	0	0
Agyei	CM	90			0.00	0.03	0	0.02	3	9
Ferry	LWB	88	1	1	0.17	0.19	3	0.17	7	5
Sapsford	RW	90	1		1.00	0.01	0	0.06	0	0
Watters	ST	62		1	0.00	0.08	2	0.02	2	1
Fatah	LW	14			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	0
Farrugia	MF	76			0.02	0.07	1	0.11	3	4
Keresztes	DF	28	1		0.10	0.02	0	0.05	2	3
Naamo	MF	28			0.00	0.21	1	0.09	1	0
Camará	MF	28			0.12	0.01	0	−0.01	0	0
Dolcek	FW	2			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Livingston

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Prior	GK	90		1	0.00	0.01	1	0.05	6	1
Finlayson	CB	90			0.33	0.01	0	0.03	3	8
Wilson	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.05	5	13
Montaño	CB	90			0.02	0.00	0	0.02	2	8
Kerr	RWB	90			0.00	0.06	2	0.04	4	8
Arfield	CM	71			0.03	0.02	0	0.07	2	2
Sylla	CM	90			0.00	0.01	1	0.03	4	11
Fati	LWB	71			0.02	0.00	0	0.01	2	5
May	RW	64			0.06	0.33	2	0.17	2	5
Nouble	ST	70		1	0.06	0.34	2	0.08	2	2
Smith	LW	82	2		0.96	0.02	0	0.14	9	2
Pittman	MF	26			0.00	0.10	1	0.00	0	1
Muirhead	FW	20			0.26	0.03	1	−0.02	0	1
Kabongolo	DF	19			0.07	0.01	0	0.06	1	3
Tait	MF	19			0.00	0.01	0	0.01	1	1
Zimmerman	FW	8			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

From	To	Passes
Strain	Farrugia	11
Cleall-Harding	Strain	11
Agyei	Strain	8
Strain	Sevelj	7
Agyei	Cleall-Harding	7

Livingston

From	To	Passes
Wilson	Prior	10
Arfield	Smith	9
Fati	Montaño	8
Montaño	Wilson	8
Kerr	Smith	8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

Against its average of 32 matches

Livingston

Against its average of 32 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

Livingston

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Livingston
11th	1%	<1%	−1
Bottom	99%	>99%	+1

From the forecast before the match (11 April 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Dundee United	Livingston
Expected goals	1.94	0.92
Win	61%	17%
Expected Points	2.05	0.73
Clean sheet	40%	14%

Dundee United 61%Draw 23%Livingston 17%

Most likely score 2–0, 11%. Both sides score 52%.

From the forecast as it stood on 11 April 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Dundee United win	Draw	Livingston win
Livingston
11th	1%	<1%	1%	3%
Bottom	99%	>99%	99%	97%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

Livingston

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Dundee United	Livingston
Position	7th	12th
Played	32	32
Won, drawn, lost	8–⁠13–⁠11	1–⁠13–⁠18
Points	37 (1.16 per game)	16 (0.50 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.12	0.81
Goals	42–⁠52	33–⁠63
xG per game	1.31–⁠1.80	0.99–⁠1.99
Home: points, xG per game	1.31, 1.32–⁠1.90	0.62, 1.07–⁠1.85
Away: points, xG per game	1.00, 1.29–⁠1.71	0.38, 0.91–⁠2.14
Manager	Jim Goodwin (82)	Marvin Bartley (7)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Dundee United		Livingston
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−31%	+28%	−40%	+41%
Counter-attacks	+33%	+11%	−41%	+23%
Set pieces	+13%	+30%	−25%	+41%
Penalties	+29%	+29%	+29%	+50%
Headers	−15%	+19%	−37%	+35%
Left side	+2%	+33%	−44%	+25%
Centre	−25%	+27%	−36%	+40%
Right side	+5%	+19%	−27%	+51%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdLivingston concededLeft side+2%+51%Centre−25%+40%Right side+5%+25%Open play−31%+41%Counter-attacks+33%+23%Set pieces+13%+41%Headers−15%+35%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdDundee United concededLeft side−44%+19%Centre−36%+27%Right side−27%+33%Open play−40%+28%Counter-attacks−41%+11%Set pieces−25%+30%Headers−37%+19%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedLivingston

1.31xG0.99

1.80xG against1.99

41%Possession44%

13.2Shots9.6

15.7Shots against15.4

4.5Shots on target3.2

1.9Big chances1.4

23.8Touches in the opposition box19.1

302Passes360

67%Pass accuracy73%

4.6Corners4.4

37%Field tilt37%

30.7Final-third entries30.5

11.3Box entries8.4

14.3Passes per defensive action14.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	48	1.39	1.55
Ahead	17	1.11	2.24
Behind	25	1.26	1.99

Livingston

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	44	0.91	2.03
Ahead	10	0.88	3.10
Behind	37	1.12	1.66

xG by period

Dundee United

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.16	0.20	4–3
16–30	0.12	0.26	4–13
31–45	0.24	0.34	8–9
46–60	0.27	0.30	7–9
61–75	0.25	0.32	11–5
76–90	0.27	0.38	8–13

Livingston

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.10	0.38	5–12
16–30	0.15	0.28	6–9
31–45	0.25	0.40	5–9
46–60	0.15	0.33	5–8
61–75	0.16	0.23	4–6
76–90	0.19	0.38	8–19

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

Formations: 3-4-3 (16), 3-4-2-1 (5), 3-5-2 (5), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Livingston

Formations: 4-3-3 (11), 4-2-3-1 (11), 3-5-2 (6), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
30 December 2025	Livingston	1–3	Dundee United	xG 0.45–3.25
4 October 2025	Dundee United	1–1	Livingston	xG 2.14–1.29
20 May 2023	Livingston	2–1	Dundee United	xG 1.06–1.17
22 April 2023	Dundee United	2–0	Livingston	xG 0.72–0.51
8 March 2023	Livingston	1–1	Dundee United	xG 1.17–1.04
7 August 2022	Dundee United	0–1	Livingston	xG 0.51–0.90

12 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 3, Livingston won 6, and 3 were drawn. Goals 14–14 and xG 1.24–1.19 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Fatah	21	1,845	8	3	0.33	0.15
Watters	13	1,049	2	1	0.35	0.08
Dolcek	10	895	5	2	0.30	0.13
Sapsford	25	2,187	7	2	0.34	0.07

Livingston

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Muirhead	15	1,324	4	2	0.44	0.16
Yengi	11	1,054	2	0	0.30	0.08
McLennan	8	766	3	0	0.26	0.08
L. Smith	20	1,548	5	1	0.15	0.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.