Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Livingston 0–2 Dundee FC

Saturday 28 October 2023, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 10 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee William Collum · Attendance 4,210

Livingston Montano sent off 70'

Dundee FC Shaughnessy 82', 85'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonDundee FC
Goals02
xG0.142.02
Expected Points0.162.71

Livingston 1%Draw 12%Dundee FC 86%

Most likely score 0–2, 27%. Final score 0–2, 27%.

Dundee FC goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+8%18%7%2%1%4%4%3%1%23%27%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTMontano (Livingston), red card 70'Guthrie on for Bradley, 60'Shinnie on for Anderson and Brandon on for Mackay, 71'Bakayoko on for Cameron, 46'Tiffoney on for McGhee, 75'Shaughnessy 82'Shaughnessy 85'Dundee FC 2.02Livingston 0.1401230153045607590HTMontano (Livingston), red card 70'Guthrie on for Bradley, 60'Shinnie on for Anderson and Brandon on for Mackay, 71'Bakayoko on for Cameron, 46'Tiffoney on for McGhee, 75'Shaughnessy 82'Shaughnessy 85'2.020.14LivingstonDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonDundee FC

0.14 −0.95xG2.02 +0.69
0.00 −1.02xG on target2.88 +1.61
4 −5.4Shots18 +6.9
0 −2.6Shots on target7 +3.4
0 −1.2Big chances4 +1.9
7 −11Touches in the opposition box26 +5
48% +2Possession52% +12
369 +28Passes389 +78
67% +2Pass accuracy72% +5
52% +10Field tilt48% +10
29 +2Final-third entries32 0
6 −2.1Box entries9 −0.5
14.0 +2Passes per defensive action14.5 −4
1 −2.7Corners5 +1.0
15 −3Tackles10 −6
10 0Interceptions10 0
29 +5Clearances11 −19
5 +2.7Saves0 −3.1
13 −0.8Fouls15 +5.2
3 +2.1Offsides4 +3.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Montano 49', 0.07 xGMontano 38', 0.04 xGSean Kelly 53', 0.02 xGMackay 42', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals7%0.01 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals50%0.07 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals43%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

Bakayoko 79', 0.52 xGRudden 54', 0.28 xGBakayoko 50', 0.14 xGDonnelly 72', 0.10 xGMcCowan 66', 0.08 xGMcCowan 35', 0.05 xGMcCowan 53', 0.05 xGBoateng 78', 0.05 xGRudden 8', 0.04 xGBakayoko 49', 0.03 xGMcCowan 90+2', 0.03 xGBeck 71', 0.02 xGPortales 85', 0.02 xGPortales 90+3', 0.02 xGMcCowan 45+1', 0.01 xGRudden 46', 0.01 xGShaughnessy 85', 0.31 xG, goalShaughnessy 82', 0.25 xG, goal53%1.08 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 1.08 xG, 2 goals10%0.20 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals19%0.38 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.38 xG, 0 goals17%0.35 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.35 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonDundee FC

0.08 3 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.10 8 shots, 0 goals
0.07 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.92 10 shots, 2 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
83 min (88%) · Livingston 0.14, Dundee FC 1.63 xG
Dundee FC ahead
11 min (12%) · Livingston 0.00, Dundee FC 0.39 xG

Line-ups

123531118242916199Georgede LucasDevlinMontanoMackayHoltSean KellyPenriceBradleyNoubleAndersonSent off71'60'71'Livingston 3-4-1-2David Martindale3129525610282331720CarsonPortalesShaughnessyDonnellyMcGheeCameronSyllaBoatengBeckMcCowanRuddenGoalGoal75'46'Dundee FC 3-5-1-1Tony Docherty

Livingston substitutes

  • 60' Guthrie for Bradley
  • 71' Shinnie for Anderson
  • 71' Brandon for Mackay

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 46' Bakayoko for Cameron
  • 75' Tiffoney for McGhee

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0110.0761
de LucasCB900.000.0000.0119
DevlinCB900.000.0100.04510
Montano CB700.110.0100.16126
MackayRWB710.010.0000.0221
HoltCM900.000.0300.0226
Sean KellyCM900.020.020−0.0104
PenriceLWB900.000.0610.1246
BradleyAM600.000.022−0.0213
NoubleST900.000.0200.0032
AndersonST710.000.010−0.0100
GuthrieFW300.000.0000.0103
ShinnieMF190.000.0000.0112
BrandonMF190.000.0000.0124

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
CarsonGK900.000.0000.0321
PortalesCB9010.050.5930.50156
ShaughnessyCB9020.560.0310.0327
DonnellyCB900.100.2710.0962
McGheeRWB750.000.0000.0124
CameronCM460.000.040−0.0222
SyllaCM9010.000.0130.0004
BoatengCM900.050.0100.0221
BeckLWB900.020.2220.0592
McCowanAM900.220.0400.1161
RuddenST900.340.0400.0731
BakayokoFW440.690.011−0.0100
TiffoneyFW150.000.0000.0220

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Montano and Bradley: 4 passesMackay and Holt: 4 passesMackay and Bradley: 4 passesHolt and Anderson: 4 passesSean Kelly and Bradley: 4 passesNouble and Anderson: 4 passesGeorge and Montano: 5 passesMontano and Holt: 5 passesDevlin and Sean Kelly: 5 passesHolt and Sean Kelly: 5 passesGeorge and de Lucas: 6 passesHolt and Bradley: 6 passesMontano and Sean Kelly: 9 passesMontano and Nouble: 9 passesDevlin and Holt: 9 passesde Lucas and Mackay: 11 passesde Lucas and Holt: 12 passesMontano and Penrice: 13 passesDevlin and de Lucas: 15 passesGeorge and Devlin: 18 passesMontano and Devlin: 28 passesGeorge: 21 completed passesMontano: 36 completed passesDevlin: 47 completed passesde Lucas: 29 completed passesMackay: 10 completed passesHolt: 30 completed passesSean Kelly: 17 completed passesPenrice: 9 completed passesBradley: 11 completed passesNouble: 14 completed passesAnderson: 5 completed passes135231118242916199GeorgeMontanoDevlinde LucasMackayHoltSean KellyPenriceBradleyNoubleAndersonStarters until 60' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Dundee FC

Carson and Boateng: 3 passesDonnelly and McCowan: 3 passesSylla and McCowan: 3 passesBoateng and Cameron: 3 passesCarson and Donnelly: 4 passesShaughnessy and Sylla: 4 passesPortales and Sylla: 4 passesPortales and Boateng: 4 passesMcGhee and Boateng: 4 passesBeck and Cameron: 4 passesCameron and Rudden: 4 passesMcCowan and Rudden: 4 passesBoateng and McCowan: 5 passesShaughnessy and Donnelly: 6 passesShaughnessy and Portales: 6 passesShaughnessy and Boateng: 6 passesShaughnessy and Cameron: 6 passesBeck and McCowan: 8 passesDonnelly and Beck: 9 passesPortales and Cameron: 9 passesCarson: 6 completed passesShaughnessy: 19 completed passesDonnelly: 14 completed passesPortales: 18 completed passesMcGhee: 4 completed passesBeck: 11 completed passesSylla: 11 completed passesBoateng: 13 completed passesCameron: 15 completed passesMcCowan: 11 completed passesRudden: 3 completed passes3152529632823101720CarsonShaughnessyDonnellyPortalesMcGheeBeckSyllaBoatengCameronMcCowanRuddenStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
DevlinMontano20
de LucasDevlin11
GeorgeDevlin10
MontanoDevlin8
Holtde Lucas8

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
DonnellyBeck13
ShaughnessyPortales11
ShaughnessyDonnelly10
PortalesShaughnessy10
CarsonDonnelly10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

4−3.96−1.620+5.25−2.82−4.65−2.39−0.94−0.810+2.86−1.87−0.94−2.22−3.07+0.45−2.24−0.75−0.11−1.04+0.610+6.14+1.22−0.72+1.330.05+2.21+0.20−0.40−0.80−0.11+0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 9 matches

Dundee FC

7+1.03−7.24−7.57−1.923+15.66−1.25−0.410+2.110+0.115+8.92−2.93−0.83−0.93−3.56+0.64+0.21−0.63−0.91−2.81−1.41−1.52+1.50−1.54+0.62+1.44+3.81+0.80−0.61+0.45−14.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.040.010.020.010.020.020.010.010.010.010.050.030.01−0.010.020.01−0.010.090.08LessMore

Dundee FC

0.010.020.030.030.010.040.040.010.020.030.070.06−0.010.020.060.010.010.02−0.010.02−0.070.130.010.140.19LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.29AttackLivingston1.05 → 1.02Dundee FC1.00 → 1.05Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.39 → 1.43Dundee FC1.54 → 1.47

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six29%18%−11
11th12%16%+4
Bottom6%11%+5
Dundee FC
Top six12%21%+9
11th21%16%−5
Bottom27%15%−12
St. Johnstone
Top six6%5%−1
11th23%21%−2
Bottom38%42%+4

From the forecast before the match (28 October 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonDundee FC
Expected goals1.500.97
Win49%24%
Expected Points1.740.98
Clean sheet38%22%

Livingston 49%Draw 27%Dundee FC 24%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 49%.

Dundee FC goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+9%8%4%1%6%2%9%4%1%5%5%2%2%2%12%13%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 28 October 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawDundee FC win
Livingston
Top six29%36%25%18%
11th12%9%13%16%
Bottom6%3%8%11%
Dundee FC
Top six12%8%11%21%
11th21%22%22%16%
Bottom27%33%26%15%
St. Johnstone
Top six6%6%6%5%
11th23%24%22%21%
Bottom38%36%38%42%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. L1–321 OctKilmarnock (A)xG 1.13–1.21
  2. W2–07 OctMotherwell (H)xG 2.59–0.06
  3. D1–130 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.98–0.62
  4. L0–323 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.94–2.61
  5. D1–116 SepRoss County (A)xG 0.17–0.87
  6. D1–12 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.45–0.67

Dundee FC

  1. D0–024 OctRoss County (H)xG 0.96–0.32
  2. D0–030 SepHibernian (A)xG 0.55–2.62
  3. D2–223 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.49–3.56
  4. L0–316 SepCeltic (A)xG 0.81–3.17
  5. D2–22 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.44–1.75
  6. W1–027 AugHearts (H)xG 1.52–0.86

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonDundee FC
Position7th10th
Played98
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠4–⁠31–⁠5–⁠2
Points10 (1.11 per game)8 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.401.22
Goals9–⁠157–⁠10
xG per game1.09–⁠1.111.33–⁠1.79
Home: points, xG per game1.25, 1.44–⁠1.011.50, 1.39–⁠1.38
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 0.82–⁠1.190.50, 1.28–⁠2.21
ManagerDavid Martindale (108)Tony Docherty (8)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.29AttackLivingston1.05, 9thDundee FC1.00, 11thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.39, 8thDundee FC1.54, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctLivingston attack: 1.05Dundee FC attack: 1.001.051.00Dundee FCLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctLivingston defence: 1.39Dundee FC defence: 1.541.541.39

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−41%−9%−5%+31%
Counter-attacks+3%−54%−43%−39%
Set pieces−18%−22%+32%+52%
Penalties+113%−29%−20%+59%
Headers+2%−20%−15%+137%
Left side−34%−9%+18%+50%
Centre−26%−17%+11%+32%
Right side−40%−20%−29%+10%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdDundee FC concededLeft side−34%+10%Centre−26%+32%Right side−40%+50%Open play−41%+31%Counter-attacks+3%−39%Set pieces−18%+52%Headers+2%+137%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdLivingston concededLeft side+18%−20%Centre+11%−17%Right side−29%−9%Open play−5%−9%Counter-attacks−43%−54%Set pieces+32%−22%Headers−15%−20%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonDundee FC

1.09xG1.33
1.11xG against1.79
46%Possession40%
9.4Shots11.1
12.4Shots against14.8
2.6Shots on target3.6
1.2Big chances2.1
18.0Touches in the opposition box21.3
341Passes311
64%Pass accuracy67%
3.7Corners4.0
43%Field tilt37%
27.3Final-third entries32.0
8.1Box entries9.5
12.2Passes per defensive action18.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level480.970.78
Ahead131.690.82
Behind291.011.80

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level591.011.58
Ahead121.112.89
Behind192.461.76

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.171–2
16–300.050.120–1
31–450.170.111–2
46–600.240.362–3
61–750.280.134–1
76–900.270.221–6

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.130–1
16–300.170.451–1
31–450.270.161–2
46–600.280.291–1
61–750.290.313–2
76–900.230.461–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTGeorge 9de Lucas 8Penrice 1Parkes 1Obileye 8Devlin 6Sean Kelly 3Brandon 7Mackay 2Shinnie 6Holt 4Penrice 3Pittman 3Holt 4Penrice 3Sangare 1Sangare 3Pittman 2Stephen Kelly 2Anderson 5Guthrie 3Stephen Kelly 1Nouble 8Sangare 13-4-1-2 in 3 of 9 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (3), 3-4-2-1 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

Dundee FC

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTCarson 7McCracken 1McGhee 3Kerr 3McCowan 2Shaughne… 8ShaughnessyMcGhee 2Portales 3Boateng 1McCowan 1Lamie 5Ashcroft 2Beck 8Robertson 4Cameron 3Mulligan 2McCowan 5McGhee 1Howley 1Boateng 7Bakayoko 8Rudden 2Robinson 4Tiffoney 25-3-2 in 2 of 8 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
15 May 2022Livingston2–1Dundee FCxG 1.48–1.58
26 February 2022Dundee FC0–4LivingstonxG 0.49–2.72
18 January 2022Livingston2–0Dundee FCxG 1.27–0.56
11 September 2021Dundee FC0–0LivingstonxG 1.08–0.44

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 3, Dundee FC won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 8–1 and xG 1.48–0.93 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Anderson5512300.310.01
Penrice7622010.050.14
Nouble9806010.130.05
de Lucas8748100.130.02

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Robinson6476000.570.04
McCowan8716110.130.19
Bakayoko8714120.180.08
Lamie5450110.040.13

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.