Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Livingston 2–1 Dundee United

Saturday 20 May 2023, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 36 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 2,612

Livingston Anderson 11', Penrice 59'

Dundee United Harkes 21' · Behich sent off 90+4'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonDundee United
Goals21
xG1.061.17
Expected Points1.251.42

Livingston 31%Draw 33%Dundee United 37%

Most likely score 1–1, 18%. Final score 2–1, 8%.

Dundee United goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+9%12%7%2%11%9%3%6%8%5%2%2%2%1%18%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTBehich (Dundee United), second yellow card 90+4'Omeonga on for Shinnie, 46'Parkes on for Boyes, 58'Pittman on for Montano, 70'Brandon on for Anderson, 77'Bradley on for Stephen Kelly, 78'Pawlett on for MacLeod and Thomson on for Middleton, 65'Levitt on for Sibbald, 76'Fotheringham on for Harkes and Cudjoe on for Mulgrew, 88'Anderson 11'Penrice 59'Harkes 21'Dundee United 1.17Livingston 1.0600.511.50153045607590HTBehich (Dundee United), second yellow card 90+4'Omeonga on for Shinnie, 46'Parkes on for Boyes, 58'Pittman on for Montano, 70'Brandon on for Anderson, 77'Bradley on for Stephen Kelly, 78'Pawlett on for MacLeod and Thomson on for Middleton, 65'Levitt on for Sibbald, 76'Fotheringham on for Harkes and Cudjoe on for Mulgrew, 88'Anderson 11'Penrice 59'Harkes 21'1.171.06LivingstonDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonDundee United

1.06 +0.09xG1.17 +0.20
0.95 +0.01xG on target0.93 +0.02
14 +4.3Shots17 +6.5
7 +3.8Shots on target4 +0.4
1 −0.2Big chances1 −0.1
40% −3Possession60% +15
301 −3Passes414 +64
59% −4Pass accuracy70% +1
39% −3Field tilt61% +17
32 +5Final-third entries44 +9
12 +3.6Box entries19 +9.9
14.6 0Passes per defensive action10.3 −6
1 −2.9Corners12 +7.4
14 0Tackles24 +8
9 −0.1Interceptions7 −2.0
26 +2Clearances15 −11
3 +0.2Saves5 +1.7
16 +4Fouls11 +1
2 +1.0Offsides0 −1.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Stephen Kelly 68', 0.10 xGBradley 90+5', 0.10 xGBradley 79', 0.08 xGAnderson 61', 0.06 xGMontano 34', 0.05 xGStephen Kelly 50', 0.05 xGStephen Kelly 27', 0.04 xGStephen Kelly 23', 0.03 xGPenrice 29', 0.02 xGAnderson 43', 0.02 xGNouble 79', 0.02 xGBrandon 83', 0.02 xGAnderson 11', 0.41 xG, goalPenrice 59', 0.06 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals14%0.15 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals8%0.09 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 1 goal34%0.36 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.36 xG, 0 goals43%0.46 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.46 xG, 1 goal

Dundee United

Pawlett 90', 0.36 xGThomson 82', 0.14 xGMiddleton 48', 0.08 xGMcGrath 68', 0.07 xGBehich 90', 0.07 xGHarkes 32', 0.06 xGMcGrath 71', 0.06 xGHarkes 36', 0.05 xGMulgrew 58', 0.04 xGBehich 90', 0.04 xGMulgrew 49', 0.03 xGMcGrath 63', 0.03 xGMcMann 74', 0.03 xGBehich 6', 0.02 xGSibbald 42', 0.02 xGMulgrew 83', 0.02 xGHarkes 21', 0.05 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals50%0.59 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.59 xG, 0 goals27%0.32 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.32 xG, 0 goals21%0.25 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.25 xG, 1 goal2%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonDundee United

0.93 12 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.84 11 shots, 1 goal
0.10 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.14 1 shot, 0 goals
0.03 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.19 5 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
49 min (52%) · Livingston 0.68, Dundee United 0.29 xG
Livingston ahead
46 min (48%) · Livingston 0.38, Dundee United 0.88 xG

Line-ups

1223151124222917199GeorgeDevlinPerezBoyesMontanoSean KellyShinniePenriceStephen KellyNoubleAndersonGoalGoal58'70'46'78'77'Livingston 4-2-3-1David Martindale172743231415181644BirighittiNiskanenAyinaMulgrewMcMannHarkesSibbaldMiddletonMcGrathBehichMacLeodYellow cardGoalYellow cardSent off, second yellow88'88'76'65'65'Dundee United 4-2-3-1Jim Goodwin

Livingston substitutes

  • 46' Omeonga for Shinnie · yellow card 80'
  • 58' Parkes for Boyes
  • 70' Pittman for Montano
  • 77' Brandon for Anderson
  • 78' Bradley for Stephen Kelly · yellow card 84'

Dundee United substitutes

  • 65' Thomson for Middleton
  • 65' Pawlett for MacLeod
  • 76' Levitt for Sibbald
  • 88' Fotheringham for Harkes
  • 88' Cudjoe for Mulgrew

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0100.0441
DevlinRB900.000.0300.0429
PerezCB900.000.0200.04211
BoyesCB580.000.050−0.0334
MontanoLB7010.050.0310.13116
Sean KellyDM900.000.0100.0452
ShinnieDM460.000.1210.0722
PenriceRW9010.090.012−0.0303
Stephen KellyAM7810.220.0510.0222
NoubleLW900.020.0610.1491
AndersonST7710.480.0630.1051
Omeonga MF440.000.011−0.0115
ParkesDF320.000.0000.0136
PittmanMF200.000.0410.0512
BrandonMF130.020.0100.0212
Bradley FW120.180.0000.0210

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BirighittiGK900.000.0000.0320
Niskanen RB900.000.0310.12710
AyinaCB900.000.0000.0649
MulgrewCB880.090.0000.0439
McMannLB900.030.0810.23126
HarkesDM8810.160.020−0.0702
SibbaldDM760.020.0800.1764
MiddletonRW650.080.0920.1332
McGrathAM900.150.164−0.0124
Behich LW900.130.0420.0670
MacLeodST650.000.021−0.0120
ThomsonMF250.140.1310.2020
PawlettMF250.360.0000.0220
LevittMF140.000.0100.0131
FotheringhamMF20.000.130−0.1600
CudjoeFW20.000.000−0.0110

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Devlin and Shinnie: 3 passesDevlin and Penrice: 3 passesPerez and Sean Kelly: 3 passesMontano and Shinnie: 3 passesMontano and Nouble: 3 passesShinnie and Penrice: 3 passesShinnie and Anderson: 3 passesSean Kelly and Stephen Kelly: 3 passesPenrice and Stephen Kelly: 3 passesStephen Kelly and Nouble: 3 passesDevlin and Perez: 4 passesPerez and Shinnie: 4 passesSean Kelly and Penrice: 4 passesSean Kelly and Anderson: 4 passesMontano and Anderson: 5 passesDevlin and Sean Kelly: 7 passesNouble and Anderson: 7 passesMontano and Stephen Kelly: 8 passesGeorge: 4 completed passesDevlin: 13 completed passesBoyes: 8 completed passesPerez: 11 completed passesMontano: 13 completed passesShinnie: 14 completed passesSean Kelly: 14 completed passesPenrice: 5 completed passesStephen Kelly: 11 completed passesNouble: 5 completed passesAnderson: 8 completed passes1215231122242917199GeorgeDevlinBoyesPerezMontanoShinnieSean KellyPenriceStephen KellyNoubleAndersonStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Dundee United

Harkes and Middleton: 4 passesSibbald and Behich: 4 passesNiskanen and Harkes: 5 passesMcMann and MacLeod: 5 passesHarkes and Sibbald: 5 passesSibbald and Middleton: 5 passesBehich and MacLeod: 5 passesBirighitti and Ayina: 6 passesNiskanen and McGrath: 6 passesAyina and Harkes: 6 passesMulgrew and McMann: 6 passesMulgrew and Harkes: 6 passesMcMann and Harkes: 6 passesMcMann and Sibbald: 7 passesMcMann and McGrath: 7 passesSibbald and McGrath: 7 passesNiskanen and Middleton: 8 passesAyina and Mulgrew: 8 passesMulgrew and Sibbald: 8 passesMcMann and Behich: 13 passesBirighitti: 13 completed passesNiskanen: 18 completed passesAyina: 16 completed passesMulgrew: 23 completed passesMcMann: 28 completed passesHarkes: 18 completed passesSibbald: 22 completed passesMiddleton: 11 completed passesMcGrath: 16 completed passesBehich: 12 completed passesMacLeod: 10 completed passes172743231415181644BirighittiNiskanenAyinaMulgrewMcMannHarkesSibbaldMiddletonMcGrathBehichMacLeodStarters until 65' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
AndersonNouble7
MontanoStephen Kelly5
Sean KellyAnderson5
Stephen KellyMontano4
NoubleAnderson4

Dundee United

FromToPasses
McMannBehich10
McMannMcGrath8
NiskanenBehich8
NiskanenMcGrath7
MulgrewSibbald7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

11+5.711+3.418+3.87−1.55−0.58+0.59+3.17+2.119+11.78−0.86+0.16+1.45+2.211+6.74−3.34−0.52−1.22−0.42−1.27+2.81−1.51−0.63+2.01−0.42−0.72+0.92+1.71+0.50−0.40−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 35 matches

Dundee United

9+4.22−4.86−10.16−1.51−4.820+13.314+8.011+3.37−0.87+0.55−0.37+2.30−4.213+7.16+0.14−0.69+5.52−0.42−1.23+0.11−1.33+1.71−0.10−1.81−0.50−0.71+0.70−0.51+0.70−1.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 35 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.020.030.010.010.010.020.020.010.060.060.020.030.050.040.020.010.020.08−0.010.01−0.04−0.05−0.060.070.080.11LessMore

Dundee United

0.010.010.010.010.020.010.010.010.030.03−0.010.040.040.050.060.03−0.010.100.100.020.020.050.06−0.01−0.22−0.040.210.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.25AttackLivingston0.92 → 0.93Dundee United0.97 → 0.97Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.49 → 1.47Dundee United1.48 → 1.48

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
11th22%13%−9
Bottom69%85%+16
Ross County
11th43%50%+7
Bottom19%9%−10
Kilmarnock
11th21%21%0
Bottom10%5%−5

From the forecast before the match (20 May 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonDundee United
Expected goals1.321.04
Win42%29%
Expected Points1.561.15
Clean sheet35%27%

Livingston 42%Draw 29%Dundee United 29%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 48%.

Dundee United goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+9%5%2%7%2%8%9%4%2%4%4%2%1%1%10%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 20 May 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawDundee United win
Dundee United
11th22%13%23%34%
Bottom69%85%72%41%
Ross County
11th43%50%43%32%
Bottom19%9%17%35%
Kilmarnock
11th21%21%19%20%
Bottom10%5%10%17%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. L0–213 MayKilmarnock (A)xG 0.32–1.75
  2. L0–26 MayRoss County (A)xG 0.58–0.72
  3. L0–222 AprDundee United (A)xG 0.51–0.72
  4. W2–015 AprSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.72–1.13
  5. L0–38 AprMotherwell (A)xG 0.84–1.59
  6. L0–31 AprSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.20–3.07

Dundee United

  1. L1–313 MayRoss County (H)xG 2.19–3.37
  2. L0–16 MaySt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.26–1.12
  3. W2–022 AprLivingston (H)xG 0.72–0.51
  4. W2–115 AprMotherwell (A)xG 1.53–2.47
  5. W2–19 AprHibernian (H)xG 1.44–1.47
  6. L0–21 AprRangers (A)xG 0.39–2.02

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonDundee United
Position8th12th
Played3535
Won, drawn, lost12–⁠6–⁠178–⁠7–⁠20
Points42 (1.20 per game)31 (0.89 per game)
Expected Points per game1.010.99
Goals33–⁠5637–⁠62
xG per game0.97–⁠1.540.97–⁠1.63
Home: points, xG per game1.65, 1.06–⁠1.431.11, 1.04–⁠1.61
Away: points, xG per game0.78, 0.88–⁠1.640.65, 0.89–⁠1.66
ManagerDavid Martindale (96)Jim Goodwin (9)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.25AttackLivingston0.92, 12thDundee United0.97, 10thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.49, 12thDundee United1.48, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayLivingston attack: 0.92Dundee United attack: 0.970.970.92Dundee UnitedLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayLivingston defence: 1.49Dundee United defence: 1.481.491.48

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−40%+11%−29%+32%
Counter-attacks−83%−6%−29%+76%
Set pieces−5%+18%−44%+16%
Penalties+16%+45%+16%−27%
Headers−36%+13%−41%+35%
Left side−17%+7%−18%+52%
Centre−41%+6%−35%+27%
Right side−36%+28%−44%+8%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdDundee United concededLeft side−17%+8%Centre−41%+27%Right side−36%+52%Open play−40%+32%Counter-attacks−83%+76%Set pieces−5%+16%Headers−36%+35%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdLivingston concededLeft side−18%+28%Centre−35%+6%Right side−44%+7%Open play−29%+11%Counter-attacks−29%−6%Set pieces−44%+18%Headers−41%+13%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonDundee United

0.97xG0.97
1.54xG against1.63
43%Possession45%
9.7Shots10.5
13.4Shots against15.6
3.2Shots on target3.6
1.2Big chances1.1
18.5Touches in the opposition box17.3
304Passes350
63%Pass accuracy69%
3.9Corners4.6
42%Field tilt44%
27.1Final-third entries35.2
8.4Box entries9.1
15.0Passes per defensive action15.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level361.041.35
Ahead270.891.51
Behind270.951.82

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level340.891.66
Ahead220.761.22
Behind341.181.88

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.210.1410–4
16–300.150.185–6
31–450.150.348–15
46–600.130.293–9
61–750.120.264–13
76–900.190.323–9

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.238–9
16–300.150.186–3
31–450.150.273–14
46–600.110.354–14
61–750.200.258–7
76–900.200.358–15

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMAMAMSTGeorge 30Konovalov 4Hamilton 1Devlin 34Bradley 1Fitzwater 23Perez 5Devlin 1Obileye 20Boyes 14Sean Kelly 6Montano 22Penrice 8Pittman 2Pittman 15Omeonga 14Shinnie 12Holt 24Bradley 4Bahamboula 4Sean Kelly 20Stephen Kelly 8Goncalves 1Stephen Kelly 12Pittman 9Shinnie 8Nouble 13Penrice 4Guthrie 3Anderson 17Nouble 14Guthrie 34-3-2-1 in 9 of 35 starts

Formations: 4-3-2-1 (9), 4-3-3 (9), 4-2-3-1 (8), 5-3-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTBirighitti 25Eriksson 9Newman 1Mulgrew 15Smith 15McGrath 2Edwards 29Ayina 9McMann 18Graham 10Freeman 21Smith 12Niskanen 2Sibbald 21Djoum 8Mulgrew 1Levitt 21McGrath 9Harkes 5Behich 24McMann 4Sibbald 4Harkes 17McGrath 14Pawlett 3Middleton 15Fletcher 5Watt 5Fletcher 23Watt 7Anaku 23-4-2-1 in 14 of 35 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (14), 4-3-3 (5), 5-3-2 (4), 3-5-2 (3), 4-1-4-1 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
22 April 2023Dundee United2–0LivingstonxG 0.72–0.51
8 March 2023Livingston1–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.17–1.04
7 August 2022Dundee United0–1LivingstonxG 0.51–0.90
2 March 2022Livingston2–1Dundee UnitedxG 2.16–0.93
11 December 2021Dundee United0–1LivingstonxG 0.87–1.22
27 October 2021Livingston1–1Dundee UnitedxG 0.34–1.83

9 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 5, Dundee United won 2, and 2 were drawn. Goals 10–9 and xG 1.28–0.92 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Anderson181,615520.220.08
Bradley11871120.110.14
Guthrie6615000.240.02
Sean Kelly262,127220.160.10

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fletcher282,377820.380.08
McGrath262,147720.200.16
Niskanen6702110.220.13
Watt121,018410.240.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.