Saturday 20 May 2023, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 36 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 2,612
Livingston Anderson 11', Penrice 59'
Dundee United Harkes 21' · Behich sent off 90+4'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Livingston
Dundee United
Goals
2
1
xG
1.06
1.17
Expected Points
1.25
1.42
Livingston 31%Draw 33%Dundee United 37%
Most likely score 1–1, 18%. Final score 2–1, 8%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
LivingstonDundee United
1.06 +0.09xG1.17 +0.20
0.95 +0.01xG on target0.93 +0.02
14 +4.3Shots17 +6.5
7 +3.8Shots on target4 +0.4
1 −0.2Big chances1 −0.1
40% −3Possession60% +15
301 −3Passes414 +64
59% −4Pass accuracy70% +1
39% −3Field tilt61% +17
32 +5Final-third entries44 +9
12 +3.6Box entries19 +9.9
14.6 0Passes per defensive action10.3 −6
1 −2.9Corners12 +7.4
14 0Tackles24 +8
9 −0.1Interceptions7 −2.0
26 +2Clearances15 −11
3 +0.2Saves5 +1.7
16 +4Fouls11 +1
2 +1.0Offsides0 −1.3
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Livingston
Dundee United
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
11'21'59'
0–01–01–12–1
0'HTFT
Level
49 min (52%) · Livingston 0.68, Dundee United 0.29 xG
Livingston ahead
46 min (48%) · Livingston 0.38, Dundee United 0.88 xG
Line-ups
Livingston substitutes
46'Omeonga for Shinnie · yellow card 80'
58'Parkes for Boyes
70'Pittman for Montano
77'Brandon for Anderson
78'Bradley for Stephen Kelly · yellow card 84'
Dundee United substitutes
65'Thomson for Middleton
65'Pawlett for MacLeod
76'Levitt for Sibbald
88'Fotheringham for Harkes
88'Cudjoe for Mulgrew
Players
Livingston
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
George
GK
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
4
1
Devlin
RB
90
0.00
0.03
0
0.04
2
9
Perez
CB
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.04
2
11
Boyes
CB
58
0.00
0.05
0
−0.03
3
4
Montano
LB
70
1
0.05
0.03
1
0.13
11
6
Sean Kelly
DM
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
5
2
Shinnie
DM
46
0.00
0.12
1
0.07
2
2
Penrice
RW
90
1
0.09
0.01
2
−0.03
0
3
Stephen Kelly
AM
78
1
0.22
0.05
1
0.02
2
2
Nouble
LW
90
0.02
0.06
1
0.14
9
1
Anderson
ST
77
1
0.48
0.06
3
0.10
5
1
Omeonga
MF
44
0.00
0.01
1
−0.01
1
5
Parkes
DF
32
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
3
6
Pittman
MF
20
0.00
0.04
1
0.05
1
2
Brandon
MF
13
0.02
0.01
0
0.02
1
2
Bradley
FW
12
0.18
0.00
0
0.02
1
0
Dundee United
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Birighitti
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
2
0
Niskanen
RB
90
0.00
0.03
1
0.12
7
10
Ayina
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.06
4
9
Mulgrew
CB
88
0.09
0.00
0
0.04
3
9
McMann
LB
90
0.03
0.08
1
0.23
12
6
Harkes
DM
88
1
0.16
0.02
0
−0.07
0
2
Sibbald
DM
76
0.02
0.08
0
0.17
6
4
Middleton
RW
65
0.08
0.09
2
0.13
3
2
McGrath
AM
90
0.15
0.16
4
−0.01
2
4
Behich
LW
90
0.13
0.04
2
0.06
7
0
MacLeod
ST
65
0.00
0.02
1
−0.01
2
0
Thomson
MF
25
0.14
0.13
1
0.20
2
0
Pawlett
MF
25
0.36
0.00
0
0.02
2
0
Levitt
MF
14
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
3
1
Fotheringham
MF
2
0.00
0.13
0
−0.16
0
0
Cudjoe
FW
2
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
1
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Livingston
Dundee United
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Livingston
From
To
Passes
Anderson
Nouble
7
Montano
Stephen Kelly
5
Sean Kelly
Anderson
5
Stephen Kelly
Montano
4
Nouble
Anderson
4
Dundee United
From
To
Passes
McMann
Behich
10
McMann
McGrath
8
Niskanen
Behich
8
Niskanen
McGrath
7
Mulgrew
Sibbald
7
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Livingston
Against its average of 35 matches
Dundee United
Against its average of 35 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Livingston
Dundee United
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Dundee United
11th
22%
13%
−9
Bottom
69%
85%
+16
Ross County
11th
43%
50%
+7
Bottom
19%
9%
−10
Kilmarnock
11th
21%
21%
0
Bottom
10%
5%
−5
From the forecast before the match (20 May 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Livingston
Dundee United
Expected goals
1.32
1.04
Win
42%
29%
Expected Points
1.56
1.15
Clean sheet
35%
27%
Livingston 42%Draw 29%Dundee United 29%
Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 48%.
From the forecast as it stood on 20 May 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Livingston win
Draw
Dundee United win
Dundee United
11th
22%
13%
23%
34%
Bottom
69%
85%
72%
41%
Ross County
11th
43%
50%
43%
32%
Bottom
19%
9%
17%
35%
Kilmarnock
11th
21%
21%
19%
20%
Bottom
10%
5%
10%
17%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Livingston
Dundee United
Position
8th
12th
Played
35
35
Won, drawn, lost
12–6–17
8–7–20
Points
42 (1.20 per game)
31 (0.89 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.01
0.99
Goals
33–56
37–62
xG per game
0.97–1.54
0.97–1.63
Home: points, xG per game
1.65, 1.06–1.43
1.11, 1.04–1.61
Away: points, xG per game
0.78, 0.88–1.64
0.65, 0.89–1.66
Manager
David Martindale (96)
Jim Goodwin (9)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Livingston
Dundee United
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−40%
+11%
−29%
+32%
Counter-attacks
−83%
−6%
−29%
+76%
Set pieces
−5%
+18%
−44%
+16%
Penalties
+16%
+45%
+16%
−27%
Headers
−36%
+13%
−41%
+35%
Left side
−17%
+7%
−18%
+52%
Centre
−41%
+6%
−35%
+27%
Right side
−36%
+28%
−44%
+8%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
Livingston attacking
Livingston createdDundee United concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−17%+8%Centre−41%+27%Right side−36%+52%Open play−40%+32%Counter-attacks−83%+76%Set pieces−5%+16%Headers−36%+35%
Dundee United attacking
Dundee United createdLivingston concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−18%+28%Centre−35%+6%Right side−44%+7%Open play−29%+11%Counter-attacks−29%−6%Set pieces−44%+18%Headers−41%+13%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
LivingstonDundee United
0.97xG0.97
1.54xG against1.63
43%Possession45%
9.7Shots10.5
13.4Shots against15.6
3.2Shots on target3.6
1.2Big chances1.1
18.5Touches in the opposition box17.3
304Passes350
63%Pass accuracy69%
3.9Corners4.6
42%Field tilt44%
27.1Final-third entries35.2
8.4Box entries9.1
15.0Passes per defensive action15.8
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Livingston
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
36
1.04
1.35
Ahead
27
0.89
1.51
Behind
27
0.95
1.82
Dundee United
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
34
0.89
1.66
Ahead
22
0.76
1.22
Behind
34
1.18
1.88
xG by period
Livingston
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.21
0.14
10–4
16–30
0.15
0.18
5–6
31–45
0.15
0.34
8–15
46–60
0.13
0.29
3–9
61–75
0.12
0.26
4–13
76–90
0.19
0.32
3–9
Dundee United
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.15
0.23
8–9
16–30
0.15
0.18
6–3
31–45
0.15
0.27
3–14
46–60
0.11
0.35
4–14
61–75
0.20
0.25
8–7
76–90
0.20
0.35
8–15
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.