Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Dundee United 1–1 Livingston

Saturday 4 October 2025, 15:00 · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park · Round 7 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Duncan Nicolson · Attendance 8,146

Dundee United Keresztes 48'

Livingston Pittman 34'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedLivingston
Goals11
xG2.141.29
Expected Points1.950.79

Dundee United 56%Draw 26%Livingston 18%

Most likely score 2–1, 16%. Final score 1–1, 15%.

Livingston goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+1%5%2%3%7%1%3%9%2%2%6%1%1%6%3%2%15%16%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTEskesen on for Iovu, 26'Sibbald on for Dolcek and Fatah on for Camara, 46'Trapanovski on for Möller, 70'Naamo on for Sevelj, 87'Yengi on for Smith, 37'Winter on for McLennan, 51'Bokila on for May, 67'Keresztes 48'Pittman 34'Dundee United 2.14Livingston 1.2901230153045607590HTEskesen on for Iovu, 26'Sibbald on for Dolcek and Fatah on for Camara, 46'Trapanovski on for Möller, 70'Naamo on for Sevelj, 87'Yengi on for Smith, 37'Winter on for McLennan, 51'Bokila on for May, 67'Keresztes 48'Pittman 34'2.141.29Dundee UnitedLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedLivingston

2.14 +0.77xG1.29 +0.29
1.32 −0.69xG on target1.22 −0.08
19 +5.7Shots7 −1.7
6 0.0Shots on target4 +0.3
3 +0.5Big chances1 −0.4
29 +4Touches in the opposition box27 +10
44% −1Possession56% +13
309 −34Passes413 +68
67% −9Pass accuracy74% +1
45% +1Field tilt55% +19
47 +16Final-third entries36 +8
16 +4.0Box entries7 −0.7
10.0 −5Passes per defensive action11.2 −3
4 −1.3Corners5 +0.6
25 +6Tackles12 −8
7 −1.3Interceptions4 −4.1
42 +6Clearances46 +3
3 −0.7Saves4 +1.6
16 +3Fouls11 −4
3 +0.8Offsides1 −0.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Sevelj 71', 0.36 xGEsselink 72', 0.22 xGStephenson 71', 0.18 xGSevelj 45+2', 0.16 xGSevelj 76', 0.16 xGSevelj 71', 0.15 xGStephenson 71', 0.09 xGMöller 21', 0.07 xGFatah 85', 0.07 xGMöller 56', 0.06 xGSapsford 80', 0.06 xGFatah 60', 0.05 xGSapsford 8', 0.04 xGDolcek 45', 0.03 xGFatah 58', 0.03 xGSevelj 27', 0.02 xGMöller 29', 0.02 xGEsselink 81', 0.02 xGKeresztes 48', 0.37 xG, goal35%0.74 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.74 xG, 0 goals46%0.99 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.99 xG, 1 goal7%0.14 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals9%0.20 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals3%0.06 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

May 9', 0.19 xGPittman 39', 0.14 xGYengi 81', 0.05 xGSmith 9', 0.03 xGWilson 29', 0.03 xGMay 41', 0.03 xGPittman 34', 0.83 xG, goal15%0.19 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.19 xG, 0 goals77%0.99 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.99 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals9%0.11 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedLivingston

0.32 8 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.22 5 shots, 1 goal
0.21 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.05 1 shot, 0 goals
1.61 9 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.03 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
76 min (83%) · Dundee United 1.58, Livingston 1.12 xG
Livingston ahead
16 min (17%) · Dundee United 0.56, Livingston 0.17 xG

Line-ups

1432321581119779KucherenkoIovuEsselinkKeresztesStephensonSeveljCamaraFerryDolcekMöllerSapsfordGoalYellow card26'87'46'46'70'Dundee United 3-4-3Jim Goodwin2819242737251581117PriorFinlaysonSyllaWilsonMontgomerySusohoTaitSmithPittmanMcLennanMayGoalYellow card37'51'67'Livingston 4-2-3-1David Martindale

Dundee United substitutes

  • 26' Eskesen for Iovu
  • 46' Sibbald for Dolcek
  • 46' Fatah for Camara
  • 70' Trapanovski for Möller
  • 87' Naamo for Sevelj

Livingston substitutes

  • 37' Yengi for Smith
  • 51' Winter for McLennan
  • 67' Bokila for May

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KucherenkoGK900.000.0000.0112
IovuCB260.000.0000.0222
EsselinkCB900.230.2810.04611
KeresztesCB9010.370.0600.14620
Stephenson RWB900.270.1100.18610
SeveljCM870.850.0210.0477
CamaraCM460.000.010−0.0110
FerryLWB9010.000.3420.451310
DolcekRW460.030.1020.1842
MöllerST700.150.0110.0000
SapsfordLW900.090.3230.4331
EskesenMF640.000.0210.0223
SibbaldMF440.000.0200.0422
FatahFW440.150.011−0.0114
TrapanovskiFW200.000.1210.1150
NaamoDF30.000.0000.0001

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
PriorGK900.000.0000.0220
FinlaysonRB900.000.0500.06814
SyllaCB900.000.0100.07512
WilsonCB900.030.0100.07414
MontgomeryLB900.000.0100.0359
SusohoDM900.000.0200.0333
TaitDM900.000.2700.0626
SmithRW370.030.0100.0131
PittmanAM9010.960.0220.0012
McLennan LW510.000.0800.1914
MayST6710.230.2520.0710
YengiFW530.050.061−0.1122
WinterFW390.000.0200.0011
BokilaFW230.000.0000.0310

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Kucherenko and Iovu: 3 passesStephenson and Dolcek: 3 passesFerry and Sapsford: 3 passesCamara and Dolcek: 3 passesKucherenko and Esselink: 6 passesKucherenko: 5 completed passesKeresztes: 6 completed passesIovu: 4 completed passesEsselink: 6 completed passesStephenson: 3 completed passesFerry: 3 completed passesSevelj: 3 completed passesCamara: 3 completed passesDolcek: 5 completed passesMöller: 3 completed passesSapsford: 4 completed passes1234321115819779KucherenkoKeresztesIovuEsselinkStephensonFerrySeveljCamaraDolcekMöllerSapsfordStarters until 26' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Livingston

Prior and Finlayson: 3 passesPrior and Pittman: 3 passesFinlayson and Smith: 3 passesSylla and Pittman: 3 passesMontgomery and Susoho: 3 passesMontgomery and Tait: 3 passesSusoho and Pittman: 3 passesSylla and Susoho: 4 passesWilson and Montgomery: 4 passesPittman and Smith: 4 passesTait and McLennan: 4 passesPrior and Sylla: 6 passesMontgomery and McLennan: 6 passesFinlayson and Pittman: 7 passesFinlayson and Susoho: 8 passesFinlayson and Sylla: 9 passesPrior and Wilson: 12 passesWilson and Tait: 12 passesWilson and Susoho: 13 passesSylla and Wilson: 14 passesPrior: 15 completed passesFinlayson: 18 completed passesSylla: 18 completed passesWilson: 30 completed passesMontgomery: 10 completed passesSusoho: 21 completed passesPittman: 14 completed passesTait: 13 completed passesSmith: 4 completed passesMay: 6 completed passesMcLennan: 6 completed passes2819242737825151711PriorFinlaysonSyllaWilsonMontgomerySusohoPittmanTaitSmithMayMcLennanStarters until 37' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
FerryKeresztes8
FerrySapsford7
SeveljFatah6
SeveljKeresztes5
KeresztesFerry5

Livingston

FromToPasses
PriorSylla12
WilsonSylla11
SusohoWilson11
WilsonTait11
SyllaWilson9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

8+1.55−2.814−2.210+3.88+2.79+1.713+4.36−1.77−4.79+0.74−1.72−1.77+3.07+2.24−3.24+0.82−1.87+5.010+6.73−0.26+3.83+1.30−1.01−1.21−0.51+0.30−0.51+0.20−0.22+0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 6 matches

Livingston

4−1.111+3.724+5.710+1.19+2.15−2.45−4.74−4.610+0.66−3.77+2.46+1.14+1.12−4.74+0.36+2.12−0.34+0.63−1.60−3.42+0.62+1.05+3.93+0.40−1.11+1.010.01+0.72+0.32−6.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 7 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.030.030.020.020.040.020.020.050.060.060.030.040.040.010.21−0.05−0.010.140.070.050.350.41LessMore

Livingston

0.020.010.010.010.010.010.020.010.030.030.030.010.020.05−0.010.030.02−0.020.070.03−0.02−0.110.06−0.010.22LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackDundee United1.21 → 1.22Livingston0.99 → 1.00Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.47 → 1.46Livingston1.69 → 1.68

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six33%28%−5
11th6%7%+1
Bottom2%3%+1
Livingston
Top six4%5%+1
11th25%26%+1
Bottom26%24%−2
Falkirk
Top six5%5%0
11th21%20%−1
Bottom41%42%+1
Dundee FC
11th25%25%0
Bottom19%20%+1

From the forecast before the match (4 October 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedLivingston
Expected goals1.740.98
Win55%21%
Expected Points1.890.86
Clean sheet38%18%

Dundee United 55%Draw 25%Livingston 21%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 52%.

Livingston goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+7%6%3%1%6%2%5%2%6%6%3%3%2%1%11%12%10%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 4 October 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawLivingston win
Dundee United
Top six33%40%28%22%
11th6%3%7%9%
Bottom2%1%3%4%
Livingston
Top six4%2%5%8%
11th25%27%26%20%
Bottom26%31%24%19%
Falkirk
Top six5%4%5%4%
11th21%23%20%19%
Bottom41%39%42%44%
Dundee FC
11th25%24%25%25%
Bottom19%17%20%22%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. L0–227 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 2.21–1.49
  2. W2–023 SepAberdeen (H)xG 1.33–1.33
  3. D3–313 SepHibernian (A)xG 1.87–3.05
  4. W2–031 AugDundee FC (A)xG 0.91–0.12
  5. L2–310 AugHearts (H)xG 0.71–1.87
  6. D2–23 AugFalkirk (A)xG 1.19–2.02

Livingston

  1. L1–228 SepRangers (H)xG 0.74–2.38
  2. L2–320 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.51–2.74
  3. D0–013 SepAberdeen (A)xG 0.56–1.22
  4. L1–230 AugHearts (H)xG 0.50–1.42
  5. L0–323 AugCeltic (A)xG 0.24–3.02
  6. W3–19 AugFalkirk (H)xG 1.59–0.78

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedLivingston
Position5th10th
Played67
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠2–⁠21–⁠2–⁠4
Points8 (1.33 per game)5 (0.71 per game)
Expected Points per game1.210.92
Goals11–⁠109–⁠13
xG per game1.37–⁠1.651.00–⁠1.78
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.42–⁠1.561.00, 0.94–⁠1.53
Away: points, xG per game1.67, 1.32–⁠1.730.50, 1.04–⁠1.97
ManagerJim Goodwin (56)David Martindale (144)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackDundee United1.21, 8thLivingston0.99, 11thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.47, 9thLivingston1.69, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepDundee United attack: 1.21Livingston attack: 0.991.210.99LivingstonDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepDundee United defence: 1.47Livingston defence: 1.691.691.47

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−13%+15%−40%+70%
Counter-attacks+105%−24%−77%−57%
Set piecesaverage+32%−44%−12%
Penalties−5%+90%+144%+63%
Headers+3%+11%−40%−5%
Left side+36%−30%−47%+60%
Centre−19%+33%−54%+17%
Right side+27%+20%−21%+34%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdLivingston concededLeft side+36%+34%Centre−19%+17%Right side+27%+60%Open play−13%+70%Counter-attacks+105%−57%Set piecesaverage−12%Headers+3%−5%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdDundee United concededLeft side−47%+20%Centre−54%+33%Right side−21%−30%Open play−40%+15%Counter-attacks−77%−24%Set pieces−44%+32%Headers−40%+11%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedLivingston

1.37xG1.00
1.65xG against1.78
45%Possession43%
13.3Shots8.7
15.8Shots against13.1
6.0Shots on target3.7
2.5Big chances1.4
24.5Touches in the opposition box17.0
343Passes345
76%Pass accuracy73%
5.3Corners4.4
44%Field tilt36%
31.4Final-third entries28.2
12.0Box entries7.7
14.8Passes per defensive action13.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.271.31
Ahead341.012.08
Behind112.831.71

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level520.521.98
Ahead131.500.56
Behind251.712.02

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.122–0
16–300.150.341–3
31–450.280.184–0
46–600.250.342–4
61–750.170.261–1
76–900.340.401–2

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.170–0
16–300.060.222–1
31–450.090.481–3
46–600.150.260–2
61–750.250.193–3
76–900.360.463–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWKucherenko 6Iovu 6Camara 1Esselink 6Keresztes 5Stephenson 4Sevelj 1Thomson 1Sevelj 5Sibbald 2Camara 4Pappoe 1Ferry 4Keresztes 1Dolcek 1Dolcek 4Camara 1Watters 1Sapsford 5Stirton 1Fatah 4Dolcek 1Sapsford 13-4-3 in 4 of 6 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (4), 3-5-2 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPrior 7Finlayson 6Lawal 1McGowan 5Blaney 2Sylla 1Wilson 6Montgomery 6Lawal 1Pittman 4Sylla 4Susoho 1Tait 4Carey 1Smith 5Winter 1Pittman 1Tait 2Pittman 2Sylla 1Winter 3Yengi 3Carey 1Muirhead 4Bokila 2May 14-2-3-1 in 4 of 7 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (4), 4-3-3 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
20 May 2023Livingston2–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.06–1.17
22 April 2023Dundee United2–0LivingstonxG 0.72–0.51
8 March 2023Livingston1–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.17–1.04
7 August 2022Dundee United0–1LivingstonxG 0.51–0.90
2 March 2022Livingston2–1Dundee UnitedxG 2.16–0.93
11 December 2021Dundee United0–1LivingstonxG 0.87–1.22

10 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 2, Livingston won 6, and 2 were drawn. Goals 10–12 and xG 0.95–1.26 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Sapsford6505200.460.05
Dolcek6484510.350.16
Sevelj6534010.100.09
Esselink6540100.090.02

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Pittman7609200.100.07
Sylla6549100.090.02
Tait6485010.040.05
McGowan5450000.000.09

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.