Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Dundee United 2–0 Livingston

Saturday 22 April 2023, 15:00 · Tannadice Park · Round 33 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 8,034

Dundee United McGrath 17', Fletcher 85'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedLivingston
Goals20
xG0.720.51
Expected Points1.511.05

Dundee United 36%Draw 44%Livingston 21%

Most likely score 0–0, 28%. Final score 2–0, 7%.

Livingston goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+14%3%15%3%7%4%1%1%28%23%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTFotheringham on for McGrath, 31'Edwards on for Fotheringham, 88'MacLeod on for Fletcher, 90+2'Penrice on for Bradley, 72'Guthrie on for Stephen Kelly, 73'Pittman on for Shinnie, 77'McGrath 17'Fletcher 85'Dundee United 0.72Livingston 0.5100.250.50.7510153045607590HTFotheringham on for McGrath, 31'Edwards on for Fotheringham, 88'MacLeod on for Fletcher, 90+2'Penrice on for Bradley, 72'Guthrie on for Stephen Kelly, 73'Pittman on for Shinnie, 77'McGrath 17'Fletcher 85'0.720.51Dundee UnitedLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedLivingston

0.72 −0.21xG0.51 −0.51
1.35 +0.45xG on target0.02 −1.00
7 −3.4Shots8 −1.8
3 −0.6Shots on target1 −2.4
2 +0.9Big chances1 −0.3
16 −1Touches in the opposition box18 0
43% −2Possession57% +15
283 −71Passes373 +78
56% −13Pass accuracy63% +1
49% +6Field tilt51% +9
26 −10Final-third entries30 +3
8 −0.9Box entries9 +0.5
8.9 −8Passes per defensive action10.2 −5
6 +1.4Corners3 −0.9
17 +2Tackles20 +6
12 +2.9Interceptions3 −6.6
27 +1Clearances16 −9
1 −2.3Saves1 −1.9
15 +5Fouls10 −2
0 −1.3Offsides0 −1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Niskanen 23', 0.36 xGFletcher 51', 0.10 xGFletcher 23', 0.05 xGBehich 63', 0.04 xGHarkes 75', 0.03 xGMcGrath 17', 0.07 xG, goalFletcher 85', 0.07 xG, goal51%0.36 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.36 xG, 0 goals7%0.05 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals32%0.23 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.23 xG, 1 goal10%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Devlin 16', 0.17 xGMontano 90', 0.08 xGAnderson 38', 0.07 xGStephen Kelly 45+2', 0.05 xGAnderson 77', 0.04 xGDevlin 81', 0.04 xGShinnie 52', 0.03 xGBradley 49', 0.02 xG33%0.17 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.17 xG, 0 goals31%0.16 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals35%0.18 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedLivingston

0.72 7 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.37 5 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.14 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
17 min (18%) · Dundee United 0.07, Livingston 0.17 xG
Dundee United ahead
77 min (82%) · Dundee United 0.65, Livingston 0.33 xG

Line-ups

12227431472318169BirighittiFreemanAyinaMulgrewMcMannSibbaldNiskanenHarkesMcGrathBehichFletcherYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoal31'90+2'Dundee United 4-1-4-1Jim Goodwin125151122181617199GeorgeDevlinFitzwaterBoyesMontanoShinnieHoltBradleyStephen KellyNoubleAndersonYellow card77'72'73'Livingston 4-2-3-1David Martindale

Dundee United substitutes

  • 31' Fotheringham for McGrath · 1 assist, off 88'
  • 88' Edwards for Fotheringham
  • 90+2' MacLeod for Fletcher

Livingston substitutes

  • 72' Penrice for Bradley · yellow card 87'
  • 73' Guthrie for Stephen Kelly
  • 77' Pittman for Shinnie

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BirighittiGK900.000.0000.0220
FreemanRB900.000.0100.0225
Ayina CB900.000.0000.02213
MulgrewCB900.000.0100.04411
McMannLB900.000.0710.1361
Sibbald DM900.000.0310.0117
NiskanenRM900.360.0100.0437
Harkes CM9010.030.0210.0441
McGrathCM3110.070.0200.0222
BehichLM900.040.0410.1064
FletcherST9010.220.0220.0632
FotheringhamMF5710.000.0410.0822
EdwardsDF20.000.0000.0003
MacLeodMF00.000.0000.0000

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0100.0650
DevlinRB900.210.030−0.0146
FitzwaterCB900.000.0100.0549
BoyesCB900.000.0100.1044
MontanoLB900.080.0300.1087
Shinnie DM770.030.0000.0322
HoltDM900.000.1420.1546
BradleyRW720.020.0100.0001
Stephen KellyAM730.050.0300.0313
NoubleLW900.000.0720.0462
AndersonST900.120.3110.1310
Penrice DF180.000.0810.0010
GuthrieFW170.000.0000.0000
PittmanMF130.000.000−0.0401

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Ayina and Sibbald: 3 passesAyina and Niskanen: 3 passesMcMann and Behich: 3 passesMcMann and Fletcher: 3 passesNiskanen and Harkes: 3 passesMcGrath and Fletcher: 3 passesFreeman and Niskanen: 4 passesFreeman and Fletcher: 4 passesAyina and Harkes: 4 passesMulgrew and McMann: 4 passesMcMann and Harkes: 4 passesAyina and Mulgrew: 5 passesSibbald and McGrath: 6 passesNiskanen and McGrath: 6 passesBirighitti and Ayina: 8 passesFreeman and Harkes: 8 passesBirighitti: 7 completed passesFreeman: 12 completed passesAyina: 15 completed passesMulgrew: 7 completed passesMcMann: 12 completed passesSibbald: 9 completed passesNiskanen: 5 completed passesMcGrath: 10 completed passesHarkes: 14 completed passesBehich: 3 completed passesFletcher: 8 completed passes12227431471823169BirighittiFreemanAyinaMulgrewMcMannSibbaldNiskanenMcGrathHarkesBehichFletcherStarters until 31' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Livingston

Devlin and Shinnie: 4 passesBoyes and Shinnie: 4 passesMontano and Shinnie: 4 passesHolt and Bradley: 4 passesHolt and Stephen Kelly: 4 passesShinnie and Stephen Kelly: 4 passesBradley and Stephen Kelly: 4 passesGeorge and Boyes: 5 passesFitzwater and Nouble: 5 passesGeorge and Fitzwater: 6 passesFitzwater and Stephen Kelly: 6 passesFitzwater and Shinnie: 7 passesBoyes and Montano: 7 passesHolt and Shinnie: 7 passesBoyes and Holt: 8 passesHolt and Nouble: 8 passesDevlin and Bradley: 9 passesDevlin and Fitzwater: 10 passesFitzwater and Holt: 10 passesMontano and Holt: 14 passesMontano and Nouble: 14 passesFitzwater and Boyes: 22 passesGeorge: 14 completed passesDevlin: 15 completed passesFitzwater: 39 completed passesBoyes: 26 completed passesMontano: 28 completed passesHolt: 31 completed passesShinnie: 18 completed passesBradley: 10 completed passesStephen Kelly: 16 completed passesNouble: 14 completed passesAnderson: 3 completed passes125151118221617199GeorgeDevlinFitzwaterBoyesMontanoHoltShinnieBradleyStephen KellyNoubleAndersonStarters until 72' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
McMannFletcher8
FreemanFletcher7
BirighittiFletcher7
FreemanHarkes6
FreemanNiskanen6

Livingston

FromToPasses
MontanoNouble14
BoyesFitzwater12
FitzwaterBoyes12
HoltMontano10
HoltFitzwater8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

3−1.87+0.214−2.44−3.51−4.911+4.613+7.28+0.48+0.15−1.413+8.16+1.37+3.02−3.96−0.110+5.55+1.50−2.52−1.22−0.97+4.82+0.72+0.92+0.31−0.53+2.41+0.80−0.50−0.30−1.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 32 matches

Livingston

4−1.43−4.79−5.57−1.710+4.83−4.76−0.15+0.17−0.520+11.55−1.05+0.44+1.27+2.84−3.23−1.52−1.14+1.64+0.85+0.82−0.60−1.74+3.10−1.51−1.82+0.80−0.31+0.51+0.71+0.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 32 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.020.010.030.010.020.010.020.010.030.020.02−0.010.040.020.050.01−0.010.070.070.070.07LessMore

Livingston

0.060.010.010.010.010.020.050.030.040.090.010.020.010.020.080.020.020.100.07−0.07−0.110.010.010.16LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.26AttackDundee United0.97 → 0.98Livingston0.97 → 0.96Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.48 → 1.45Livingston1.47 → 1.47

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
11th29%24%−5
Bottom21%11%−10
Livingston
Top six20%–−20
Hibernian
Top six84%>99%+16
St. Mirren
Top six96%>99%+4

From the forecast before the match (22 April 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedLivingston
Expected goals1.361.03
Win43%28%
Expected Points1.591.12
Clean sheet36%26%

Dundee United 43%Draw 29%Livingston 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 48%.

Livingston goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+9%5%2%7%2%8%9%4%2%4%4%2%1%1%10%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 22 April 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawLivingston win
Dundee United
11th29%24%32%33%
Bottom21%11%25%31%
Livingston
Top six20%––72%
Hibernian
Top six84%>99%>99%44%
St. Mirren
Top six96%>99%>99%84%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. W2–115 AprMotherwell (A)xG 1.53–2.47
  2. W2–19 AprHibernian (H)xG 1.44–1.47
  3. L0–21 AprRangers (A)xG 0.39–2.02
  4. D1–118 MarSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.12–1.75
  5. D1–18 MarLivingston (A)xG 1.04–1.17
  6. L1–34 MarAberdeen (H)xG 2.02–0.78

Livingston

  1. W2–015 AprSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.72–1.13
  2. L0–38 AprMotherwell (A)xG 0.84–1.59
  3. L0–31 AprSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.20–3.07
  4. W2–118 MarRoss County (H)xG 0.66–1.29
  5. D1–18 MarDundee United (H)xG 1.17–1.04
  6. L1–44 MarHibernian (H)xG 0.43–1.36

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedLivingston
Position10th7th
Played3232
Won, drawn, lost7–⁠7–⁠1812–⁠6–⁠14
Points28 (0.88 per game)42 (1.31 per game)
Expected Points per game0.971.02
Goals34–⁠5833–⁠50
xG per game0.93–⁠1.631.02–⁠1.58
Home: points, xG per game1.06, 0.99–⁠1.571.65, 1.06–⁠1.43
Away: points, xG per game0.69, 0.86–⁠1.690.93, 0.97–⁠1.76
ManagerJim Goodwin (6)David Martindale (93)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.26AttackDundee United0.97, 10thLivingston0.97, 9thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.48, 12thLivingston1.47, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprDundee United attack: 0.97Livingston attack: 0.970.970.97LivingstonDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprDundee United defence: 1.48Livingston defence: 1.471.481.47

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−33%+32%−38%+14%
Counter-attacks−33%+97%−80%+7%
Set pieces−42%+7%−1%+23%
Penalties+8%−23%+24%+39%
Headers−43%+30%−32%+13%
Left side−21%+54%−15%+9%
Centre−37%+21%−37%+12%
Right side−47%+13%−33%+32%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdLivingston concededLeft side−21%+32%Centre−37%+12%Right side−47%+9%Open play−33%+14%Counter-attacks−33%+7%Set pieces−42%+23%Headers−43%+13%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdDundee United concededLeft side−15%+13%Centre−37%+21%Right side−33%+54%Open play−38%+32%Counter-attacks−80%+97%Set pieces−1%+7%Headers−32%+30%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedLivingston

0.93xG1.02
1.63xG against1.58
45%Possession42%
10.4Shots9.8
16.0Shots against13.8
3.6Shots on target3.4
1.1Big chances1.3
17.3Touches in the opposition box18.5
354Passes295
69%Pass accuracy62%
4.6Corners3.9
43%Field tilt41%
35.6Final-third entries26.8
8.9Box entries8.5
16.7Passes per defensive action15.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level340.901.60
Ahead220.751.30
Behind341.061.87

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level371.081.40
Ahead290.891.51
Behind241.061.94

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.228–8
16–300.110.194–3
31–450.170.283–13
46–600.110.354–13
61–750.200.248–6
76–900.190.357–15

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.230.1510–4
16–300.160.175–5
31–450.160.378–14
46–600.140.303–7
61–750.130.254–12
76–900.200.353–8

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTBirighitti 22Eriksson 9Newman 1Smith 15Ayina 6McGrath 2Edwards 28McMann 16Mulgrew 13Graham 10Freeman 19Smith 12Niskanen 1Sibbald 19Djoum 8Mulgrew 1Levitt 21McGrath 6Harkes 5Behich 23McMann 4Sibbald 3Harkes 15McGrath 14Pawlett 3Middleton 15Watt 5Fletcher 4Fletcher 21Watt 7Anaku 23-4-2-1 in 14 of 32 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (14), 4-3-3 (5), 5-3-2 (4), 4-1-4-1 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWGeorge 27Konovalov 4Hamilton 1Devlin 29Bahamboula 2Bradley 1Fitzwater 20de Lucas 4Devlin 1Obileye 20Boyes 12Sean Kelly 6Montano 19Penrice 8Pittman 2Sean Kelly 18Omeonga 14Shinnie 11Holt 21Pittman 19Stephen Kelly 7Goncalves 1Bradley 8Bahamboula 7Shinnie 5Anderson 15Nouble 13Guthrie 3Nouble 10Stephen Kelly 7Pittman 44-3-3 in 9 of 32 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (9), 4-3-2-1 (8), 4-2-3-1 (6), 5-3-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
8 March 2023Livingston1–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.17–1.04
7 August 2022Dundee United0–1LivingstonxG 0.51–0.90
2 March 2022Livingston2–1Dundee UnitedxG 2.16–0.93
11 December 2021Dundee United0–1LivingstonxG 0.87–1.22
27 October 2021Livingston1–1Dundee UnitedxG 0.34–1.83
13 February 2021Dundee United3–0LivingstonxG 1.93–0.93

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 1, Livingston won 5, and 2 were drawn. Goals 7–10 and xG 0.95–1.38 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fletcher252,107720.360.07
McGrath231,936520.180.15
Watt121,018410.240.08
Middleton191,645220.120.14

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Anderson161,427520.230.07
Bradley9715120.130.16
Sean Kelly241,947220.170.10
Nouble242,150720.190.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.